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2020 2030 2040
EIA
IEA
IEA
IEA
-10-505
1015
(
OECD )
5,000
7,000
9,000
11,000
13,000
15,000
17,000
19,000
21,000
23,000
2014FY 2015FY 2016FY 2017FY 2018FY 2019FY
•
•
•
2015
JX 1,960 1,984
260 518
52 243
7
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
LNG
9
LNG LNG
IEA, World Energy Outlook 2015
()
/
LNG
11
IEA , 28.8%
, 22.4%
, 10.6%
OECD Asia, 8.9%
, 29.3%
1973
2013
2040
IEA
58.1%
4.9%
1.1%
OECD Asia 5.0%
30.8%
IEA
41.3%
23.2% ,
4.8%
OECD
Asia 8.8%
, 21.9%
IEA 29
2015 5
2016 5
2015 5
12
13
14
1.2 2 1.6 1 - 4.8 8 6.1 - 6.2 2 5.5
15
16
17
27 28 2
18
19
20
21
22
23
1990 2005 2013
18.0% 2030
25.4% 2030
26.0% 2030
14 16 2025
26 28 2025
18 21% 2025
EU 40 2030
35 2030
24% 2030
EU, 10.2%
1.2%
2.8%
5.1%
1.5%
NZ 0.2%
13.8%
22.2% 5.8%
35.3%
2013 2030 /2025
0.29kg-CO2 0.16kg-CO2 2030
0.47kg-CO2 0.28-0.29kg-CO2 2025
EU 0.29kg-CO2 0.17kg-CO2 2030
[ kl/ ]
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1970 1990 2010 2030
24
2030 80
4 2025 320
0.35
0.4
0.45
0.5
0.55
0.6
0.65
0.7
0.75
0.8
0.85
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2030
kg-C
O2/
kWh
25
2030
0.37kg-CO2/kWh)
26
27
•
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•
•
•
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28
• •
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