Welcome Navy Tropical Information FAQs Climo/History 2012/13 Season 2015 Summary Preparedness...

WelcomeNavy Tropical InformationFAQsClimo/History2012/13 Season2015 SummaryPreparedness

2015 Annual Department/Tenant Command Hurricane

Preparedness

Duncan St - Sep 2004(looking south from front gate)

Tropical Warnings Issued for DOD

Staff CoordinationNational Hurricane CenterUS Fleet Forces Command2nd & 4th Fleet SORTIECNIC TC-CORsACFT HURREVAC

TC WarningsNHC-ATCFUpdated every 6 hoursText & graphics

AlertsTCFA

X

Y

100nm

{

Possible TCF between position X and Y in the next

24 hrs

Tropical Cyclone Conditions of Readiness (TC-CORs)(time until the forecast onset of destructive winds*)

COR V 96 hoursCOR IV 72 hoursCOR III 48 hoursCOR II 24 hoursCOR I 12 hours

Fleet Sortie Conditions

Charlie - Prepare to sortie within 48 hoursBravo - Expected sortie within 24 hoursAlpha - Commence sortie to sea

Aircraft Evacuation Status Reports(required at the following times)

72 hours48 hours24 hours12 hours

* Destructive winds are defined as sustained winds ≥ 50 KTS

KEY TO TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING GRAPHICSThe lines around a projected tropical cyclone track indicate the 34-knot, 50-knot, and 64-knot wind radii associated with the storm at a given point. The outermost line indicates the 34-knot radius; the next line indicates the 50-knot radius; and the inner line shows the 64-knot radius. Not all tropical cyclones will have peak central winds that reach the 50-knot or 64-knot threshold; as a result, weaker systems may not have a 50-knot or 64-knot wind radius. The size of the tropical cyclone’s forecast wind field will be indicated by the radius of each quadrant in the associated tropical cyclone warning message.

Tropical Cyclone Quick Reference Guide 2015

34

50

64

Fleet Weather Center - Norfolk, 9141 Third Ave, Norfolk VA 23511-2394Operations Watchfloor: 757-444-7750 (DSN 564-7750)

NIPR email: fwc-norfolk.cdo@navy.mil SIPR email fwc-norfolk.cdo@navy.smil.mil(Public) http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/fwc-n (PKI) https://nepoc.oceanography.navy.mil/portal/web/fwcn

(SIPR) http://nepoc.oceanography.navy.smil.mil/portal/web/fwcn

The shaded area outlined by a dashed line represents forecast uncertainty. This “cone” depicts the track and intensity forecast uncertainty for days 1 through 5 based on the National Hurricane Center’s five-year average forecast error. Statistical data indicates that the entire 5-day path of tropical storm force winds (winds > 34 knots) will occur within the cone about 70% of the time.

Past six-hourly tropical cyclone positions indicated in black.

Forecast tropical cyclone positions indicated in magenta.

Tropical Cyclone Quick Reference Guide 2015

Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Season: 01 June - 30 November East Pacific Tropical Cyclone Season: 15 May - 30 November

Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (TCFA)

Saffir-Simpson Scale Hurricane Destruction Potential

Category Sustained Wind Speed Damage (knots) ( mph)

1 64 - 82 74 - 95 Minimal2 83 - 95 96 - 110 Moderate3 96 - 112 111 - 129 Extensive4 113 - 136 130 - 156 Extreme5 > 137 > 157 Catastrophic

NOTE: Categories 3, 4, & 5 are considered MAJOR hurricanes

Stages of Tropical Cyclone Development

< 20 KTS

20 - 33 KTS

34 - 63 KTS

sustained winds≥ 64 KTS

Tropical Cyclones: Development Areas and Movement

2015 Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Names

AnaBillClaudetteDannyErikaFredGraceHenriIdaJoaquinKate

LarryMindyNicholasOdettePeterRoseSamTeresaVictorWanda

Fleet Weather Center - Norfolk, 9141 Third Ave, Norfolk VA 23511-2394Operations Watchfloor: 757-444-7750 (DSN 564-7750)

NIPR email: fwc-norfolk.cdo@navy.mil SIPR email fwc-norfolk.cdo@navy.smil.mil(Public) http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/fwc-n (PKI) https://nepoc.oceanography.navy.mil/portal/web/fwcn

(SIPR) http://nepoc.oceanography.navy.smil.mil/portal/web/fwcn

or

Numbered warningsbegin

Naming begins

Track Climatology

JUN JUL

AUG SEP

OCT NOV

Peak season: 10 SEP

GOMEX/CARIB water temps

Track Climatology

Tropical Cyclone History

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 20130

5

10

15

20

25

30

96

13

59 8 6 7

11 9 11

4

3

8

3

43

1

73 8 2

36

7

2

2 5

2

5 42

0

MAJOR HUR-RICANES

HURRICANES

NAMED STORMS

Average number of storms per season (1950 to 2000)

9.6 Tropical Storms5.9 Hurricanes2.3 Major Hurricanes

8

Ike

Hanna

Gustav

Fay

2012 season

9

2013 season

10

Colorado State SummaryApril 2014

“The tropical Atlantic has anomalously cooled over the past several months”

“it appears quite likely that an El Niño of at

least moderate strength will develop this summer and fall ”

Radford Blvd in front of Bldg 1500

Despite the quiet forecast, coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one

hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them. They are reminded

to prepare the same for every season, regardless of how much or how little

activity is predicted.

April 2015 Tropical Cyclone Forecast

Average 2015 Forecast0

5

10

15

20

25

12.5 11

7

5

3.5

2

MAJOR HURRICANES

HURRICANES

NAMED STORMS

Source: Colorado State University

1992 – slow year

Do you remember this one?

New for 2014 from NHC

13

Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map

New for 2014 from NHC

14

Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map

EVACUATION

Voluntary* Issued by County EM/CO

- You will not be paid- May have to take leave

* Know your area! -Are you in a storm surge

area or flood plain?-Have a plan!

2 Types

Radford Blvd @ Sherman Cove

Mandatory County EM will

determine which areas will evacuate; usually coastal and low-lying areas.

Installation Commanding Officer determines for NAS Whiting Field

Evacuation Routes(Escambia)

Evacuation Routes(Santa Rosa)

Secure your home

Have a family pet plan

Even Renters need insurance

Be prepared BEFORE it’s an EMERGENCY!!

Develop a Family Plan

Create a Disaster Supply Kit

Have a place to go

Don’t get caught in a “PILEUP”

FAMILY DISASTER PLAN

* Have an out-of-state family or friendcontact point-

* Make a plan NOW for what to do withyour pets if you evacuate. - Most shelters/hotels do not allow pets!

* Prepare a disaster supply kit

* Use a NOAA weather radio. Rememberto check batteries!!

Radford Blvd @ Lake Fredrick

Safe haven designated for NAS Whiting Field is a 300 NM radius from MCLAS Albany (why 300?)

Designated safe haven location – Albany, Ga

POST STORM RETURN

* When all Clear is issued by ICO

* Bring essentials back with you(milk, cash, eggs, etc)

* Prepare for slow inflow returning

* Fuel up over 100 miles out; stop to top off frequently

* Be prepared to live without power for periods of time

Gulf Bch Hwy @ Snug Harbor

Disaster Supply Kit/Supplies

– Heavy duty trash bags– Bleach– Water purification tablets– Non-perishable food (pre-packaged or canned)– Manual can opener– Emergency / Camping equipment and fuel– Matches / Lighters– Portable Cooler– Rope / Duct tape– Tarp– Portable fire extinguisher– Pet carrier and supplies

Home Preparations (COR 3 – COR 1)

– Clean w/bleach then fill bathtubs with water– Set refrigerator to coldest settings– Freeze water in jugs– Fill fuel tanks (car, propane)– Begin boarding up house– Get extra cash– Place valuables in water tight bags / containers– Secure yard equipment (grills, swings, etc.)– Protect electronics

*Bag them*Move to interior locations off the floor if possible

Some Information Sources

www.bereadyescambia.com

www.bereadyescambia.com

www.santarosa.fl.gov/emergency

26

Communication

• AtHoc (power and NMCI permitting)• Email• Press Release through Escambia, Santa Rosa

and Okaloosa Co PIO• Information Line• Social Media (facebook, twitter)

Emergency Card (front)

NAS Whiting Field Emergency CardPhone numbers: NASWF UIC: 60508NASWF Information / Muster Line: 888-623-9484Emergency Manager: 850-623-7038NASWF CDO: 850-382-4966Fleet and Family Service Center: 850-623-7177Red Cross Emergency Service: 850-432-7601NFAAS Immediate Assistance: 877-414-5358TRICARE (Out of town non-emergency) 800-444-5445

NAS Whiting Field Emergency CardPhone numbers: NASWF UIC: 60508NASWF Information / Muster Line: 888-623-9484Emergency Manager: 850-623-7038NASWF CDO: 850-382-4966Fleet and Family Service Center: 850-623-7177Red Cross Emergency Service: 850-432-7601NFAAS Immediate Assistance: 877-414-5358TRICARE (Out of town non-emergency) 800-444-5445

Emergency Card (back)

NAS Whiting Field Emergency CardOnce you reach your safe haven/location following an

evacuation from a Natural/Man made Disaster or Terrorist attack, you must immediately report your status and whereabouts to one of the following (in this order):

1. Command POC; 2. NFAAS; 3. NASWF Muster Line

Contact your Chain of Command POC

POC is:

Command UIC:

Muster Tel #:

NFAAS website = www.navyfamily.navy .mil

NAS Whiting Field Emergency CardOnce you reach your safe haven/location following an

evacuation from a Natural/Man made Disaster or Terrorist attack, you must immediately report your status and whereabouts to one of the following (in this order):

1. Command POC; 2. NFAAS; 3. NASWF Muster Line

Contact your Chain of Command POC

POC is:

Command UIC:

Muster Tel #:

NFAAS website = www.navyfamily.navy .mil

Emergency Manager

NAS Whiting Field EM

ABHC Jeff Richardson(W) 623-7038

(C)(757)778-7954Jeffrey.l.richardson@navy

.mil