“Opportunity or Armageddon ?”

KarenArmstrong

Partner

LauraBlack

Partner

JaneGrant

Partner

JimHenderson

Partner

Accelerate Ayrshire

“Opportunity or Armageddon ?”8th September 2016

Theme

“Great Change Creates Great Opportunity”

Why businesses need to stay flexible to take advantage of the opportunities and shifts in market conditions.

Ignore The Press !

Markets – FTSE, Dow, Hang Seng

• The markets are good indicators as to what’s coming in the economy and are always ahead of the economy by about 6 months

• Although markets do jump about in the short term, it’s possible to draw trends over time – to help businesses make key decisions based on long-term market directions

July 2007 – March 2012 The Great Depression

January 2016 to Date

Brexit

June 2012 - 2015,

Independence result

Growth

Growth

Growth

Growth

2 Black Holes,

We Always Recover• 1973 oil crisis and recession (FTSE 30 fell 73%)• 1979 oil crisis – middle east conflict – crude oil price doubled• 1990 ERM and recession and black Wednesday• 2001 911 disaster – markets reached a 3 year low• 2008 Great recession – “Armageddon”• 2014 Russian invasion of Ukraine territory Micex fell 11%• 2016 Brexit – OMG !

Your Choice

Opportunity or Armageddon ?

How’s your mind-set?

What beliefs do you hold?

Those showing courage, confidence and innovation always win in times of great change

We Always Recover

• The markets see Brexit as a blip (in macro economic terms)

• The trendists see a period of growth for the next 15 years

• That being the case, what blockages need to be overcome in your business now, to accelerate you forwards ? (5 mins)

3 May 2023

Thank YouJim Henderson– Shirlaws GroupE: jim.henderson@shirlawsgroup.com M: 07817 745958