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www.juniperresearch.com Top 10 Technology Leaders, Influencers & Visionaries 2015

Top 10 technology leaders influencers and visionaries 2015

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Top 10 Technology Leaders, Influencers & Visionaries2015

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Introduction

• Leaders, innovators and visionaries have always been at the heart of the technology sector. Their choices, actions

and investments influence the direction and pace of the industry. This free research presents the 10 individuals

that Juniper believes will have the greatest impact on the sector over the next 12 months, discussing how they

influence both their respective organisations and the wider tech sector.

• We have selected and ranked these innovators according to 8 key criteria, delineated on the following page.

• We present short biographies of the top 10 ranked leaders, highlighting how they have inspired, innovated or

influenced the development of specific product categories or organisational strategy. We also comment on how

these individuals have made a real difference in their markets and how they continue to influence the future

direction of the industry.

• In addition, we include a selection of other influencers of particular note. These people are likely to have a strong

impact on their relevant segments, but Juniper considers them less likely to bring revolutionary change to the

technology sector in the short term.

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Ranking Criteria

• Our selection and ranking of these leaders and influencers was based on an assessment of the following 8

criteria:

a) Innovation – how new, differentiated and disruptive their contributions are to the industry.

b) Scalability – how easily their contribution can be applied to multiple markets and product types.

c) Reach –how much impact does this person and their contribution have on a geographical scale?

d) Business Model – the crunch side of innovation, how new is the business proposition of the person’s

contribution.

e) Personal Capital – how much the person’s individual connections, personality, philosophy etc, is able to

complement their business.

f) Outside Impact – the probable impact that the person’s contributions will have on their sector outside the

growth of their business.

g) End-user Impact – how big a difference the contribution will make to the lives of end users.

h) Vision – how complete a picture of the future the person can make. Do they make a convincing case for the

applicability and/or potential of their product?

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1. Satya Nadella – Microsoft CEO

• With the launch of Windows 10, Microsoft will become a platform-centric

company, focusing on transferable OS experiences across devices.

a) These are complemented by the Continuum technology that allows

projection of the Windows 10 Mobile OS from a smartphone to another

device to create a flexible platform.

• Nadella’s background in the cloud and enterprise space means that his vision

of Windows 10 and the new services it offers, is likely to be very cloud-centric

one.

a) Thanks to the advent of universal apps, cloud-based app management

is very likely to be on Microsoft’s future agenda, for both business and

consumer users.

• Nadella has articulated a vision of ‘Windows-as-a-Service’ to meet users’

needs where they are. In practical terms, he intends Windows services to be

platform neutral.

a) There have been hints of these service-first or service-only offerings

with Microsoft signing deals with Samsung and Cyanogen to integrate

its software into a range of mobile devices offered by other vendors.

b) This is a fundamental change to Microsoft’s business model. Instead of

centring its offerings on the OS, Nadella’s Windows-as-a-Service will

result in a very different process of development at Microsoft in future.

Nadella was appointed CEO and a

Director in February 2014. He served as

Executive Vice President, Cloud and

Enterprise from July 2013. From 2011 to

2013, Nadella served as President,

Server and Tools. From 2009 to 2011, he

was Senior Vice President, Online

Services Division. From 2008 to 2009, he

was Senior Vice President, Search,

Portal and Advertising.

Since joining Microsoft in 1992,

Nadella's roles also included Vice

President of the Business Division.

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2. Jony Ive – Apple Chief Design Officer

• Ive is responsible for the features of the Apple Watch that are now being

emulated by many different smartwatch designers.

a) These include the doodle functionality, NFC and Wi-Fi capabilities, all

introduced into Android Wear shortly after the Watch’s launch

b) Similar hardware features, such as the digital crown and haptic

feedback, are likely to be integrated in other watches over time.

• The hype and sector awareness that the Apple Watch has generated means

that Ive’s designs will be the benchmark for the category in future. Consumer

expectations will now compare features to the Apple Watch, even for non-iOS

users.

• The guidelines for Apple Watch app development imply a very distinct vision

from Ive and others about how a smartwatch should be used, more

completely than the competition has articulated at present.

• While the execution of the Apple Watch is best-in-class and is likely to shape

the future of the category as a whole, Apple have not categorically answered

the question of the use case for smartwatches, which Juniper discusses in

depth in our Smartwatch Research.

London-born designer Jonathan Ive is

Apple's Chief Design Officer, reporting

to CEO Tim Cook. Since 1996, he has

been responsible for leading a design

team widely regarded as one of the

world’s best. As the driving force

behind the look and feel of Apple's

innovative products, Ive also provides

leadership and direction for Human

Interface software teams across the

company.

Recognised with numerous design

awards, Apple products are featured in

the permanent collections of museums

worldwide, including MoMA in New York

and the Pompidou in Paris.

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3. Min-Liang Tan – Razer Co-Founder & CEO

• As well as serving as CEO, Tan is also the creative director of Razer, giving

him a large amount of control over the company’s direction.

• Tan is a founding member of the OSVR (Open Source Virtual Reality)

Alliance, This started as a Razer project but announced it had 50 partners at

the Games Developer Conference in March this year, which has since

expanded to 56 hardware partners and 35 universities

a) The inclusion of Vuzix and other sensory companies in the OSVR

highlights the blurring lines between VR and AR. The OSVR could be in

a position to influence both, with the right sensor technology

integration.

• The OSVR platform allows Razer to showcase its software for use on

third-party hardware, creating a common standard for VR programs to be

designed.

A Singaporean, residing in San

Francisco where he oversees the

company's global operations in the US,

Singapore, China, Taiwan, Korea and

Germany. Graduated from the National

University of Singapore Law School.

Practiced law for 2 years before

founding Razer. He is responsible for all

marketing and branding of Razer; and

all design and development of Razer

products.

Named one of ‘The 25 Most Creative

People in Tech’ by the Business Insider

together with Apple's Jonathan Ive and

Valve's Gabe Newell.

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4. Travis Kalanick – Uber CEO

• Uber is the world’s most successful on-demand taxi service, providing

certified drivers when the app is used, rather than checking for cars in the

vicinity like Lyft.

• Uber has been noted as undercutting the rates of taxi companies, through

engaging in contractual relationships rather than employee-employer

relationships. Kalanick’s tenacity in the face of fire has been critical to

furthering the company’s progress.

a) As the challenges to Uber’s business model continues, Kalanick’s vocal

defence of his company will be vital in ensuring that Uber is not

quashed by unsettled firms or unfriendly legislation.

• Uber has announced it is funding university research at Pittsburgh to develop

self-driving cars, which would ultimately put it in direct competition with

Google [x]’s self-driving car initiative.

a) The initiative to get into self-driving cars has been Kalanick’s, as he

believes self-driving cars are the future. He knows this will end Uber’s

current business model, but is not worried as he considers that

‘[d]riverless car is a multi-decade transition.’

Travis Kalanick is the CEO &

Co-Founder at Uber Technologies. He is

a successful entrepreneur in the areas

of consumer Internet, transportation

and enterprise content delivery. His

most recent company, Uber, an on-

demand black car service, seeks to be

‘Everyone’s Private Driver’ by bringing

disruptive technology and business

innovation to urban transportation

challenges.

Prior to Uber, Travis founded Red

Swoosh, an enterprise content delivery

company that he sold to Akamai

Technologies in 2007.

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5. Reed Hastings – Netflix Co-Founder & CEO

• Netflix has become the most popular streamed video service in the world,

with more than 62 million subscribers

a) It accounts for more than 30% of aggregated upstream/downstream US

traffic in 2014.

• As Netflix’s founder and CEO, Hastings has played a pivotal role in the

company’s ongoing disruption of the linear TV model.

a) The company has moved into the production of original content,

creating popular programmes such as House of Cards, Orange is The

New Black and Daredevil.

b) Hastings has said that more than 320 hours of original content will be

delivered this year, 3 times more than 2014, thereby becoming an

increasing threat to traditional pay TV services such as HBO.

• Hastings has also supervised Netflix’s ongoing forays into the international

arena.

a) In September 2014, the company expanded into an additional 6

European markets.

b) Netflix launched in Australia and New Zealand earlier this year, and is

poised to enter the potentially lucrative Japanese market.

Reed Hastings co-founded Netflix in

1997, initially delivering DVDs by mail

within the US. The company

subsequently began delivering content

via streaming, which is now its prime

source of income.

Prior to founding Netflix, Reed founded

Pure Software, which made tools for

software developers. Reed is also a

board member of Facebook and was on

the board of Microsoft from 2007 to

2012.

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6. Jack Ma – Alibaba Founder & Chairman

• Alibaba is one of the world’s most successful eCommerce businesses,

expected by some to soon be the world’s largest retailer.

• The company has expressed an interest in wishing to develop its own mobile

OS to compete with the likes of Android and promote its services, in a similar

way to Amazon and the Fire Phone.

a) Using hardware to monetise software is likely to gain more traction in

Asia than elsewhere, as Xiaomi has shown. Any moves made by

Alibaba are also likely to be magnified by its existing presence in the

Chinese eCommerce market.

• Having previously stated that he was dissatisfied with the company’s

penetration of the mobile Internet, Ma drove the mobile-first imperative into

Alibaba’s growth strategy.

• To further this, Alibaba recently invested $590 million in Meizu, a Chinese

smartphone company. This gives Alibaba a potential window into the

smartphone market as a whole, and a potential receiver for their services and

promote Alibaba’s YunOS.

a) Having previously failed to introduce YunOS, the company is now in a

position to insist on at least some YunOS phones.

• This may precipitate similar moves by other Chinese internet companies

(such as Baidu and Tencent) to enter the smartphone market.

Jack Ma founded Alibaba and has

served as Executive Chairman since

May 2013. He was previously Chairman

and Chief Executive Officer.

Jack currently serves on the board of

SoftBank. He is also a Director of Huayi

Brothers Media Corporation, an

entertainment group in China, as well as

chair of The Nature Conservancy's

China Board of Directors and a Director

of its Global Board of Directors. In

September 2013, he joined the

Breakthrough Prize in Life Sciences

Foundation as a Director.

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7. Paul Eremenko – Google ATAP Director

• Having originally worked for DARPA, Eremenko has brought Google’s module

Project Ara smartphone from concept to pilot stage, following DARPA’s

production ethos.

• The aim of Project Ara is to create a fully customisable smartphone, with

components that can be swapped in and out of the phone’s core (known as

the endo) at will.

a) The ultimate aim is to create an app-like ecosystem for hardware,

changing the upgrade cycle of phones in favour of swapping individual

components.

b) If the Puerto Rican pilot is successful, the product should launch in

2016.

• Eremenko has previously encouraged the use of 3D-printed components to

complement the customisable element to Project Ara, but 3D-printed

elements have been pulled from the pilot launch at present.

a) Part of the reason for this is to keep costs down. Project Ara’s current

marketing angle is aimed at those who don’t have smartphones. The

offering therefore needs to compete primarily with the budget end of

the market.

• While modular phones are a fresh innovation, there are already competitors in

the space. Start-up Fonkraft has showcased a similarly modular phone, but is

unlikely to be an immediate competitor following problems with Indiegogo.

Paul Eremenko is currently Director of

Engineering at Google, in the ATAP

(Advanced Technology & Projects)

organisation, where he heads Project

Ara, including all engineering, design,

and go-to-market activities.

Previously he was an Associate Vice

President at Motorola. Here he

conceived and led the development of

Ara, a project to create a modular

hardware ecosystem-rivalling mobile

apps in the pace and level of

innovation--around smartphones, with

the goal of delivering the mobile

internet to the next 5 billion people.

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8. Jeff Bezos – Amazon Founder & CEO

• Since the company’s inception, Bezos has been the driving force behind

Amazon’’s diversification, seeking to create product offerings across adjacent

connected industries.

a) Amazon’s business was initially built on eCommerce, before the launch

of Amazon Web Services.

b) Amazon’s transition from pure eRetailer to eContent aggregator was

most noticeably shown by its acquisition of the DVD, and latterly

cloud-based, video rental service, LOVEFiLM, in 2011.

c) Bezos has consistently pursued a growth over profits strategy. His

latest initiatives include TV set-top boxes, original TV content,

smartphones and unlimited eBook access.

d) The company is also seeking to acquire an eRetail market share in

China, taking on Alibaba in its home market.

• While the Amazon Fire Phone failed to spark interest, its other nascent

ventures are expected to show strong growth, consolidating Amazon’s

primacy across a range of sectors.

Jeff Bezos founded Amazon in 1994,

having previously worked on Wall Street

and for Bankers’ Trust after graduating

from Princeton. Bezos is also the

founder of aerospace company Blue

Origin, which is working to lower the

cost and increase the safety of

spaceflight, so that humans can better

continue exploring the solar system.

He was named TIME Magazine’s Person

of the Year in 1999.

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9. Elon Musk – Tesla Chairman & CEO

• Moving away from electric cars, Tesla announced the Powerpack and

Powerwall batteries for storage of electricity in buildings in April 2015.

• Powerpack and Powerwall offer some of the first power solutions to store

surplus power generation from solar panels for later use at the individual

home level.

a) The discussion around these products have been underscored by

Musk’s vision of bringing affordable electricity products to consumers,

with affordability a cornerstone of the products’ appeal.

• However, they are currently not economical for home use by many people,

with the smaller units costing $3,500.

a) Musk has hinted that the costs may come down as the company opens

a ‘gigafactory’ in Nevada to ramp up their production.

• The real benefits of this technology will be felt when economies of scale and

competition force prices down further, bringing the technology within easy

reach of consumers.

• The batteries could see wide usage by utilities companies, who currently rely

on peaking plants to deal with surplus electricity demand. This could

fundamentally change the way that power plants are managed and lead to the

development of small-scale smart grids.

Musk co-founded Tesla and continues

to oversee the company's product

strategy; including the design,

engineering and manufacturing of more

and more affordable electric vehicles for

mainstream consumers. As Chairman

and Product Architect, he helped design

the groundbreaking Tesla Roadster, for

which he won an Index and a Global

Green award, the latter presented by

Mikhail Gorbachev.

In October 2008, he took on the

additional responsibility of CEO,

overseeing daily operations.

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10. Lei Jun – Xiaomi CEO

• Xiaomi’s rise to prominence has been on the platform of affordable quality; Lei

has designed phones at the premium end of the Chinese smartphone market,

while keeping margins low.

a) Much of Xiaomi’s profit is derived from software and services,

particularly its MIUI platform, which draws on Lei’s background in social

media to produce a vibrant user community.

b) This is not likely to translate well into contract-driven markets (like the

US and much of Europe), as consumers regularly replace their phones,

meaning any software-based revenue cannot be guaranteed beyond

the 1 or 2 year contract. In addition, engaging with brands through

social media is not common practice in these markets.

• Outside China, and for special occasions, the company offers flash sales of

its devices, relying on the hype provided in social media to promote them,

rather than paid-for advertising.

• Xiaomi also has a growing range of other products, from a fitness wearable to

a tablet and smart TVs. These follow the same online-only strategy as the

phones in distribution.

a) While Xiaomi’s expansion in the phone market may remain checked by

limited profits, these devices which rely on hardware revenue have no

such restrictions. This means that Xiaomi will be a more immediate hit

in non-phone consumer electronics overseas in the years to come.

Lei Jun co-founded Xiaomi with other

partners in 2010, and has taken the

position of Chairman and CEO. Lei is

the chairman of YY Inc, a Chinese social

network. Lei is also the Chairman of

Cheetah Mobile. which is a subsidiary of

the Kingsoft software company, where

Lei also serves as Chairman.

Lei graduated from Wuhan University in

1991 with a bachelor’s degree in

Computer Science. He has been a

member of the board of Wuhan

University since 2003.

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Other Leaders & Influencers

Todd Holmdahl

Microsoft

Corporate Vice President

responsible for Microsoft Health,

Microsoft Band and Microsoft

Hololens Hardware

Eric Migicovsky

Pebble

Founder & CEO

Hong Ku Yeo

Samsung Electronics

Lead Designer for S6 & S6 Edge

James Park

Fitbit

Co-Founder & CEO

John Kunze

Xoom

CEO

Jeff Bewkes

Time Warner

CEO

Kirt McMaster

Cyanogen

Co-Founder & CEO

Sundar Pichai

Google

Senior VP for Android,

Chrome & Google Apps

Paul Travers

Vuzix

Founder,

President & CEO

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