Upload
sccla
View
258
Download
2
Tags:
Embed Size (px)
DESCRIPTION
Presentation by Ross Pfeffer, Director Sales & Marketing Southern Cross at the 2011 NZ CommsDay Summit.
Citation preview
Ross Pfeffer
Director Sales and Marketing
Southern Cross Cables Limited
26 July 2011
Presented: CommsDay NZ Summit 2011
“Controlled by TNZ”
“Latency to the US can be significantly reduced”
“Holds back capacity supply”
“Imposes data caps”
“Exploits its NZ market position”
“Cannot support NBN and UFB”
SOUTHERN CROSS MYTHS
More cables are required for security
International Capacity demand grows at 60%+ pa
NZ data caps are low because of international prices
NZ’s smaller ISP’s must buy capacity on long contracts at high prices
All Subscribers need Unlimited / TB plans
Existing cables can’t support Unlimited / TB Plans
MARKET MYTHS
Private and independent
Multi national ownership
TNZ, Singtel, Verizon
The owners compete
Board decisions require unanimity or super majority
Southern Cross cannot be controlled by TNZ
OUR COMPANY
30,500 k 2 cable ring network with 10 access points
99.999%+ availability
Constructed 2000-01
Engineered until 2025
In commercial service until 2025+
Costing US$1.4B
OUR NETWORK
Southern Cross has 2 cables
connecting NZ to the Internet with
extremely high availability
SX actual delay AUC-Haw-LA is 61 msec
The minimum possible AUC-LA direct is 53 msec,
An actual AUC-LA likely to be 56-61 msec
Potential to reduce latency by 0 to 5 one thousandths of a sec
by not going to Hawaii
OUR LATENCY
We have expanded capacity 4 times
We are expanding again to be
completed late 2012
Current upgrade adds 800 Gb and
takes Lit capacity to 2 Tbps
Southern Cross has consistently
expanded capacity ahead of total
market demand
OUR CAPACITY
5 cables from ANZ that can
expand supply
Existing cables can
accommodate both 40% and
60% compound growth
SUPPLY POTENTIAL
CAGR decline of 23%
Excluding volume discounts
Price Declines reflect
Capacity upgrades
Cable competition
ISP data cap wars (AU)
Resale competition
Southern Cross proactively reduces
price and provides volume discounts
to reflect capacity expansions and meet
broadband market needs.
OUR PUBLISHED PRICE
$0.00
$5.00
$10.00
$15.00
$20.00
$25.00
$30.00
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
SX Published 10G Price to USA per 1G Unprotected
(US$M)
Customers are treated equitably
Substantial Volume discounts to support a strong resale market
Small ISP’s in both AU and NZ purchase on the resale market
We compete in both the AU US and HW US markets
Our NZ Prices are always competition based:
NZ US = AU US
NZ AU = HW US
Our Prices will support the needs of NBN and UFB
OUR PRICE POLICY
– Market IRU Price per 10G Unprotected
• US$0.8M to US$1.2M per Gbps
• Or an estimated 5 cents per GB of download (15 year IRU)
– Price declines are driven by
• 4 competing systems
• capacity expansions
• resale market
SX is building the next price initiative to be associated with our
2012 upgrade
MARKET PRICE NOW
International data cost is about 5
cents per GB
International price is not a
bottleneck
NZ Download Cost is significantly
higher but the cost of capacity is
the same
DOWNLOAD COST COMPARISON
NZ Data Caps are significantly lower but the cost of capacity
is the same
DATA CAP COMPARISON
TB and Unlimited plans widely available in AU now
Average download per fixed subscriber is less than 10GB (Dec 2010)
Lit capacity can support average downloads of up to 50 GB per subscriber.
Potential capacity can support average downloads of 500 GB per subscriber (every
user, every month)
ISPs set Data Caps and Monthly Charges – Not Southern Cross
TB AND UNLIMITED SUPPORT
Demand grew by up to 40% pa due:
Increasing access speed
Reducing cost of data
New applications and content
Changing user requirements
Demand Growth is moderated by:
Cache (25-30%)
Contention
DEMAND GROWTH
BROADBAND REALITIES
Internet responsiveness depends on
ISP set contention and access speed
Data Caps are set by ISP’s and
reflect their market , not capacity
prices
Most subscribers do not need
Unlimited or TB plans
Capacity prices are not holding back
high speed broadband
Capacity supply is not holding back
high speed broadband
Affects are very unclear
Access Speed has already increased dramatically and will continue
Move to Mobile Data (with substitution for fixed line)
Fixed Line subscribers only using 15% of their average data cap in AU
(44GB)
Caching will continue to grow quickly (estimated at 30%)
Future growth:
Around 45% over the next 5 years
then declining
NBN/UFB DEMAND
Expand supply ahead of demand for UFB and NBN
(next capacity expansion by Mid 2012)
Reduce price as the BB & Capacity market s require
Price NZ US capacity no higher than AU US
Price NZ AU capacity no higher than HW US
Provide an extremely reliable diverse network and make protected products
cost effective
OUR COMMITMENTS TO NZ:
THANKYOU