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Energy from the deserts; an emerging reality Paul van Son Dii GmbH – Renewable energy bridging continents Munich, May 6, 2013

Dii Presentation for Student Groups

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Page 1: Dii Presentation for Student Groups

Energy from the deserts; an emerging reality

Paul van SonDii GmbH – Renewable energy bridging continents

Munich, May 6, 2013

Page 2: Dii Presentation for Student Groups

© Dii GmbH May 2013 2

Today generation mix in MENA and the EU heavily based on fossil fuels and nuclear energy

Source: Fraunhofer ISI, Dii

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© Dii GmbH May 2013 3

Electricity demand will more than double, butmore than enough energy available in EUMENA

Electricityin TWh / a

630,000

6,000

4,000

2,000

0

Theoretical Potential of renewables

>630,000

Demand 2050

Demand 2010

MENA

Europe

Source: DLR

Geothermal

Solar

Hydro

Wind

Biomass

Wave/Tidal

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© Dii GmbH May 2013 4

Objective 2050: More than 90 % renewable energy in the EU-MENA electricity mix

Source: Fraunhofer ISI, Dii

Mainly wind and solar

Page 5: Dii Presentation for Student Groups

© Dii GmbH May 2013 5

Dii, an international industry network…

Shareholders* Associated Partners*

Inspired by Desertec, Dii creates in partnership with local authorities and industries a market place in EUMENA

for renewable energy from the deserts

* as of December 2012

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… mobilizing many stakeholders in North Africa, the Middle East and Europe

Scientific community Industry

Policy Community Civil society (NGOs), e.g. DESERTEC Foundation

Dii conducts it’s studies and initiates reference projects in partnership with key stakeholders in North Africa, the Middle East and Europe

Page 7: Dii Presentation for Student Groups

© Dii GmbH May 2013 7

Dii is open to all field-proven technologies

Load/supply matchWindPV

Thin-film

CSP

On-shore turbines

AC transmission (short & medium distances)

Mono/Poly-CrystallineParabolic trough

Solar power tower

Fresnel

Hybrid (CSP + Gas)

Concentrated

HVDC transmission(long distances)

Source: Dii; The Science Museum; phault (Flickr)

Off-shore turbines

Storage(e.g. Pumped Hydro)

Load management(e.g. desalination)

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Dii: market enabler for desert power in the EUMENA region

EUMENAsystem strategy

Target picture: Desert Power 2050Implementation steps: Getting Started

Develop RE Projects

Construct RE plants

Operate RE plants

Country strategies

EUMENA system strategy

Reference ProjectsMA, TN, DZ, EG, …

Market players

Market players

Market players

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Connecting the two systems in Europe and in the MENA region will create benefits for all

Source: Dii, ISI Fraunhofer

While super producers, balancers and importers profit from the system integration in a different way, they ALL BENEFIT from being part of a large sustainable power system.

Reliable +

Sustainable +

Job market effects +

Mutual reliance +

Cost effective +

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Creating an EUMENA market makes sense

Average summer day in Europe and MENA

The demand and supply conditions in MENA and Europe are balanced over the course of a single day. Such balance also exists during different seasons.

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Spotlight on Egypt

Local demand will be multiplied by 6 by 2050

High wind resources will help Egypt secure its energy supply

In an interconnected scenario, possible exports to Saudi Arabia and Libya

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Target picture

Desert Power 2050: a strategic framework in two parts

The first part of Desert Power 2050 is a target picture showing what a sustainable power system in North Africa, the Middle East and Europe could look like in 2050 – specifically, with which technological and geographical mix

1

The second part of Desert Power 2050, “Getting started”, will give actionable recommendations on: The development of renewable energy in MENA Electricity highways connecting MENA & Europe Public support phase-out Socio-economic effects

2

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Ecomonic Impacts of Desert Power:Getting Started for the people

MENA industrial capability analysis:

Complexity of component manufacturing and capability status today

Hypotheses on future development in MENA

Macro-economic impacts:

Macro-economic impact assessment on country level

Influences of different climate policy and electricity trade assumptions

Policy recommendations:

Advice for governments on how to capture the benefits of desert power for their citizens

Describe actionable tools for different sectors

Economic Impacts of Desert Power

Employment effects:

Employment effects for several countries

Comparison of CSP, PV, Wind technology build-up across different countries

Source: Dii

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Desert power potential increasingly recognized in Europe

Intensive talks with European governments ongoing

GERMANY: Support for desert power expressed by governmentEnergy partnership with Tunisia, Morocco and proposal for an energy partnership with Algeria

FRANCE: Strategic partnership with Morocco with an interest expressed for renewable energySupport for Tunisia’s renewable energy targets expressed

ITALY: RE strategy including import from EU and MENA

RE targets, outlook 2050, infrastructure plan,Article 9 of the EU Renewables Directive

Page 15: Dii Presentation for Student Groups

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The energy transition has already started on the Southern shore of the MediterraneanRE targets until 2020 in GW (August 2012)

Morocco

Algeria

Tunisia

Egypt

Libya

Jordan

Turkey

Syria

4,2

2,5

1,0

7,3

2,8

1,8

16,2

2,7

2,5

16,2

Wind: Zafarana 1-8: 545 MW

UAE (Abu Dhabi/Dubai)

Saudi Arabia

CSP: Shams 1: 100 MW

PV and Wind: 100 MW

RWE

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Dii: stimulating the MENA energy transition

Intensive talks to all other North African and Middle Eastern countries continued

MOROCCO: RE national strategyCountry strategy with MASEN Reference Project: 500 MW

ALGERIA: RE national strategyPlanned investment: USD 60 bn. until 2030Country strategy with SonelgazReference Project: 1000 MW

TUNISIA: RE national strategyCountry strategy with STEG ERReference Project: 1000 MW

EGYPT: RE on the policy agendaMoU with NREA (Jan. 2013)

JORDAN: RE strategyCurrent talks with Jordanian partners

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Co-ordinated actions are the key!

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Need for Dii’s work is increasing

Policy Advocates

Think Tank

IndustryPlatform

OpinionLeader

Priorities 2013-2014 MENA country strategies Market-orientated implementation

recommendations (RE, grids, capacity building, etc…)

Initiate break through reference projects

Expanding cooperation with governments, regulators, industry and NGOs.

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The project: internships for Tunisian students at Dii partner companies for 6-9 months, beginning in Feb. 2012

Dii’s commitment to education in EUMENA

Pilot Project internship: “Know- how from the deserts”

Desertec Best Paper Award

Journalist Fellowship

The project: award for outstanding academic work in the field of renewable energy in the deserts of the MENA region

The project: fellowship enabling five young journalists from MENA to visit the 4th Dii Desert Energy Conference in Rabat

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Videos, pictures, statements and news related to renewable energy from the deserts and the activities of Dii on Facebook and Twitter

Stay connected!

www.dii-eumena.com Social media channels

Videos on Youtube Pictures on Flickr

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Thank you for your attention