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Decision Support ToolsInforming Decision-Making in Marine Spatial
Planning Processes
November 9, 2011
Parametrix
Aquatera
Parametrix
Oregon State University
Robust Decisions
Aquatera
Point Absorber Offshore Wave Energy Device Suitability
Wave Energy Potential Grid Connection
Site Quality
Energy Model
Site Model
Distances to:
Wave energy data
Utility network
Substation
Depth Distance to shore Services port distance
Deep water port distance Substrate
BASS
OWET Cumulative
Effects Function Models
+Bayesian
Networks to Track
Uncertainty+
Accord Based Value
Modeling
Data&
Model
Bayesian Belief Networks
Substrate Depth
None1m1m_5m5m
25.025.025.025.0
Anchoring Suitability
ExcellentAcceptablePossibleNot Acceptable
5.3611.68.9374.1
Water Depth
0m_30m30m_40m40m_50m50m_75m75m_100m100m_200m200m
14.314.314.314.314.314.314.3
Port Size
Deep DraftMedium DraftShallow Draft
33.333.333.3
Distance to Port
5NM5NM_10NM10NM_15NM15NM_20NM20NM_25NM25NM_30NM30NM_50NM50NM
12.512.512.512.512.512.512.512.5
Energy Potential
HighMediumLow
33.333.333.3
Distance to Shore
1NM1NM_3NM3NM_4NM4NM_5NM5NM_10NM10NM_15NM15NM_20NM20NM_25NM25NM
11.111.111.111.111.111.111.111.111.1
Substrate Type
Sand_or_MudGravelBedrockAll other
25.025.025.025.0
Device Suitability
ExcellentAcceptablePossibleNot Acceptable
0.537.3510.981.2
Port Access
ExcellentAcceptablePossibleNot Acceptable
16.737.529.216.7
Anchoring Uncertainty
HiMedLow
33.333.333.3
Composite Anchoring
ExcellentAcceptablePossibleNot Acceptable
8.0213.218.260.6
BASS
Accord
Accord + GIS Viewers
Bayesian Networks
Accord
Analyze device suitability: Science based including uncertainty
Display results for review
Develop measuring criteria
Decision is Made
Collect Stakeholder values
Collect Stakeholder Experiential info related to Scio-economic, environmental and other qualitative measures including uncertainty
Fuse results
BASS Structure
OnePreferred
site option
Alternative sites
Identify need for more information, refinements and change
ScientistsDevelopersAgenciesOther Stakeholders
No single raindrop believes it is to blame for the flood
