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This is a presentation I gave to the Chicago Chemists Society a few years back related to world energy consumption - dated but still interesting...
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ENERGY CHALLENGESENERGY CHALLENGESOF THE FUTUREOF THE FUTURE
George F. Hamstra
ENERGY CHALLENGESENERGY CHALLENGESOF THE FUTUREOF THE FUTURE
WORLD CAR POPULATION
United States
Rest of World
100000000
200000000
300000000
400000000
500000000
600000000
700000000
800000000
900000000
Vehi
cles
•Developing World - 300% Increase Between 1995 & 2020
•Greater Demand & Less Resources
•Accelerated Greenhouse Emissions
•Environment & Energy Trends = Negative Economic Impacts
1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020
ENERGY CHALLENGESENERGY CHALLENGESOF THE FUTUREOF THE FUTURE
Year
CO2 EMISSIONSCO2 EMISSIONS
IndustrialProcesses
10.9%
Fuel Combustion5.5%
Miscellaneous10.9%
Transportation 76.6%
U.S. CO2 Emissions1997
Global Carbon Emissions1820 to 2020
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
202019801940190018601820
ProjectionHistory
World PopulationOil Production
WHAT’S WRONG WITH THIS WHAT’S WRONG WITH THIS PICTURE?PICTURE?
WHAT’S WRONG WITH THIS WHAT’S WRONG WITH THIS PICTURE?PICTURE?
WHAT’S WRONG WITH THIS PICTURE?WHAT’S WRONG WITH THIS PICTURE?
-700
-600
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
Total Remaining
Total Recovered
UnitedStates
Canada
Mexico,Central America,& South America
WesternEurope
MiddleEast
EasternEurope,FormerU.S.S.R.,China
OtherEastern
Hemisphere
Oil Recovered Since 1859 & Total Remaining as of 1990Barrels (in B’s)
WORLD PETROLEUM RESERVESWORLD PETROLEUM RESERVES
Middle East65.82%
Far East4.10%
Eastern Europe and Community
5.56%
Western Europe1.76%
North America3.67%
Latin America12.27%
Africa6.81%
WORLD PETROLEUM RESERVESWORLD PETROLEUM RESERVES
Environmental DamageAgricultural LossesIncreased Health Care ExpensesHigher Insurance Premiums
U.S. Military Expenses for Protecting Middle East Oil Supplies
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
$45/Barrel
$15/Barrel
$9/Barrel
Price of a Barrel of Crude Oil (avg. since 1940)
*Prices do not include transportation, processing, refining, distribution, marketing, and profits, etc.
THE ACTUAL COST OF OILTHE ACTUAL COST OF OIL
$45/Barrel
$15/Barrel
$9/Barrel
THE ACTUAL COST OF OILTHE ACTUAL COST OF OIL
WHERE ARE WE AT?WHERE ARE WE AT?
WHERE ARE WE AT? WHERE ARE WE AT? (cont)(cont)
WHERE ARE WE AT? WHERE ARE WE AT? (cont)(cont)
WHERE ARE WE AT?WHERE ARE WE AT? (cont) (cont)
WHERE ARE WE AT? WHERE ARE WE AT? (cont)(cont)
•Oil provides 40% of U.S. total energy consumption
•U.S. uses 26% of worlds total energy
•Domestic production peaked in 1970
•Baby Boomers (post WWII) have consumed 70% of the total U.S. oil in one generation!
WHERE ARE WE AT? WHERE ARE WE AT? (cont)(cont)
WHERE ARE WE AT? WHERE ARE WE AT? (cont)(cont)
The Small PictureThe Small Picture
The Bigger PictureThe Bigger Picture
The Big PictureThe Big Picture
Reality!Reality!
Reality!Reality!
WHERE ARE WE GOING?WHERE ARE WE GOING?
Fuel CellsFuel Cells
Hope For The FutureHope For The Future
Hope For The FutureHope For The Future
HOW WILL WE GET THERE?HOW WILL WE GET THERE?
HOW WILL WE GET THERE?HOW WILL WE GET THERE?
HOW WILL WE GET THERE?HOW WILL WE GET THERE?
