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Food Security to 2050: Action Issues
Per Pinstrup-Andersen
University of AdelaideFebruary 13, 2012
RhetoricDeclarationsPlansTargets
Action
Action Issue 1
What is “Food Security”?
Progress Towards Meeting the WFS Goal Globally
848
923
1020
863842
421400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
1100
Mill
ions
Data
91-04
WFS
925
Source: FAO 2006
Progress Towards Meeting the MDG Globally
20%18%
16% 16% 17% 18% 17%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%19
90-9
2
1995
-97
2000
-02
2005
-07
2008
2009
2010
Action Issue 2
Speed up eradication of food insecurity and malnutrition.
The Triple Burden of Malnutrition
1. Energy and protein deficiencies: Hunger
2. Specific nutrient deficiencies: Hidden Hunger
3. Excessive net energy intake: Overweight & Obesity
Action Issue 3
Incorporate nutrition goals into food system policies and
programs.
Action Issue 4
Use nutrition impact as indicator of success in
economic policy.
Action Issue 5
Manage food price volatility.
Maize Weekly Price Minus12-Month Moving Average
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
Rice Weekly Price Minus12-Month Moving Average
-150
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Wheat Weekly Price Minus12-Month Moving Average
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
1998 1999 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Volatility in Weather Patterns
Drought Flooding Strong Winds
Production Volatility
Irregular RainfallPatterns
Action Issue 6
Adapt the food system to climate change.
Priority Action (1)
Agricultural research Risk management Production systemsWater management
Production Volatility
Supply Responses
Government Policy
Market Information
Speculation
Government Policies
Energy Prices
Demand Changes
Price Volatility
Action Issue 7
Manage amplifying factors.
Priority Action (2)
Infrastructure Institutional innovation Domestic and international markets Protect the effectiveness of price signals Promote effective price transmission Compensatory measures Alternative energy sources
Action Issue 8
Expand food production to meet future demand.
Priority Action (3)
Specific policy interventions context specific Likely to include: Infrastructure investments Institutional innovation Input and output market developmentPre- and post harvest focused researchFacilitation of small-scale agri-business
Action Issue 9
Sustainable intensification.
Environmental Kuznets Curve
Hypothetical Relationships Between Income and Deforestation/Soil Mining
Action Issue 10
Full costing
Hypothetical Relationships Between Income and Deforestation/Soil Mining
