Oversaturation Misallocation @220gs

Misallocate – to assign mistakenly or  improperly

A very common solution that’s brought up in “oversaturation” conversations is to reduce the number of calendar events. Scaling back on the yearly schedule is a wonderful long term concept and one we’ll discuss further in articles to come.

The UFC can’t trim their schedule cold turkey; they have contractual obligations to fulfill. What they could benefit from is a short term tapering system; one that will serve as a bridge closing the gap from this era to the next.

Match making and card construction is complex; you might as well be coding computer programs. If that isn’t tough enough you have to take into account the impact of injuries on events. Come show time, the final product underwent countless changes behind the scenes it’s virtually an entirely different card!

With that being said, it’s not unreasonable to assume that bouts only weeks apart could be orchestrated in a more effective and potent sequence. There are lots of great fights coming up; Faber/Edgar, Rumble/DC, Weidman/Belfort, etc. There are also many fights that’ll leave you scratching your head wondering, “Who are these guys?”

When looking at a typical UFC monthly calendar; the first word that pops into my head is misallocation rather than “oversaturation”. Below are three protocols that comprise said short term taper:

Fight Pass Cards are to take place at TUF GYM; ranked matchups are prohibited

Ranked matchups are reserved strictly for Main Card slots

Unranked matchups are to be booked in Prelim Card slots

I know rankings are a tricky subject; we can all agree that everyone ranked in the top 15 should most certainly be there. In all honesty, debates boil down to placement and placement only.

In the pages to come, you’ll be provided with full fight cards, complete with personalized statistics, and the UFC’s official rankings as of 5/7/15. These stats give insight to card depth. For the convenience of

comparison, each mock card is located directly underneath the UFC’s official event.

As you take in this information please keep the following questions in mind:

- Would said mock cards provide an excellent showcase for the organization & its athletes?

- Would fans be treated to compelling fights on a consistent basis?

- Would the quality of televised fights improve?

- Would the proposed solution lead to better business: TV ratings/PPV buy rates?

For further discussion on formulas, rationale, fighter placement, etc. feel free to reach out via twitter @220gs

Enjoy! - GS

FIGHT PASS @ TUF GYM – 5/10/15

All unranked

LHW: Anthony Perosh vs. Sean O’Connell

LW: Jake Matthews vs. James Vick

FW: Hatsu Hioki vs. Dan Hooker

WW: Kyle Noke vs. Jonavin Webb

MW: Dan Kelly vs. Sam Alvey

SW: Bec Rawlings vs. Lisa Ellis

MW: Dylan Andrews vs. Brad Scott

SW: Alex Chambers vs. Kailin Curran

WW: Vik Grujic vs. Brendan O’Reilly

FLY: Alptekin Özkılıç vs. Ben Nguyen

5/10/15 – Fight Pass: 12 Bouts (24 fighters)

Weight Class # of ranked opponents = 3

3/24= .125% Card Strength = 13%

HW Stipe Miocic - 4 vs. Mark Hunt - 5MW Brad Tavares - 14 vs. Robert WhittakerLHW Anthony Perosh vs. Sean O'ConnellLW Jake Matthews vs. James Vick

Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass)FW Hatsu Hioki vs. Dan HookerWW Kyle Noke vs. Jonavin WebbMW Dan Kelly vs. Sam AlveySW Bec Rawlings vs. Lisa EllisMW Dylan Andrews vs. Brad ScottSW Alex Chambers vs. Kailin CurranWW Vik Grujic vs. Brendan O'ReillyFLY Alptekin Özkılıç vs. Ben Nguyen

5/16/15 – Fox Sports 1: 12 Bouts (24 fighters)

Weight Class# of ranked

opponents = 55/24=.208 Card Strength = 21%

FW Frankie Edgar - 2 vs. Urijah Faber – 3 (BW)

MW Gegard Mousasi - 7 vs. Costas Philippou - 12MW Mark Muñoz vs. Luke BarnattWW Hyun Gyu Lim vs. Neil Magny - 15FW Phillipe Nover vs. Yui Chul NamFW Mark Eddiva vs. Levan Makashvili

Preliminary Card (Fox Sports 1)LW Tae Hyun Bang vs. Jon TuckLW Zhang Lipeng vs. Kajan JohnsonWW Li Jingliang vs. Dhiego LimaBW Ning Guangyou vs. Royston Wee

Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass)FLY Roldan Sangcha-An vs. Jon Delos ReyesFLY Nolan Ticman vs. Yao Zhikui

FS1 – 5/16/15

Main Card

LW: Donald Cerrone #3 vs. John Makdessi (UR)

MW: Gegard Mousasi #7 vs. Costas Philippou #12

SW: Rose Namajunas #4 vs. Nina Ansaroff (UR)

WW: Dong Hyun Kim #8 vs. Josh Burkman (UR)

MW: Brad Tavares #14 vs. Robert Whittaker (UR)

WW: Hyun Gyu Lim (UR) vs. Neil Magny #15

Prelims (all unranked)

LW: Tae Hyun Bang vs. Jon Tuck

LW: Zhang Lipeng vs. Kajan Johnson

WW: Li Jingliang vs. Dhiego Lima

BW: Ning Guangyou vs. Royston Wee

FLY: Roldan Sangcha-An vs. Jon Delos Reyes

FLY: Nolan Ticman vs. Yao Zhikui

5/23/15 – PPV: 12 Bouts (24 fighters)

Weight class# of ranked opponents =

13 13/24= .541 Card Strength = 54%

LHW Anthony Johnson – 1 vs. Daniel Cormier - 3

MW Chris Weidman (c) vs. Vitor Belfort – 3

LW Donald Cerrone – 3 vs. John MakdessiHW Travis Browne - 3 vs. Andrei Arlovski - 7FLY Joseph Benavidez - 2 vs. John Moraga - 4

Preliminary Card (Fox Sports 1)

FLY John Dodson - 1 vs. Zach Makovsky - 8WW Dong Hyun Kim - 8 vs. Josh BurkmanMW Uriah Hall vs. Rafael NatalSW Rose Namajunas - 4 vs. Nina Ansaroff

Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass)

WW Mike Pyle vs. Colby CovingtonLW Islam Makhachev vs. Leo KuntzFLY Justin Scoggins vs. Josh Sampo

PPV – 5/23/15

Main Card

MW: Chris Weidman (C) vs. Vitor Belfort #3

V-LHW: Anthony Johnson #1 vs. Daniel Cormier #3

FW: Frankie Edgar #2 vs. Urijah Faber #3 (BW)

HW: Stipe Miocic #4 vs. Mark Hunt #5

FLY: Joseph Benavidez #2 vs. John Moraga #4

Prelims (all unranked)

MW: Mark Munoz vs. Luke Barnatt

MW: Uriah Hall vs. Rafael Natal

WW: Mike Pyle vs. Colby Covington

LW: Islam Makhachev vs. Leo Kuntz

FLY: Justin Scoggins vs. Josh Sampo

FW: Phillipe Nover vs. Yui Chul Nam

FW: Mark Eddiva vs. Levan Saakashvili

FS1 – 5/30/15

Main Card

HW – Travis Browne #3 vs. Andrei Arlovski #7

FW – John Dodson #1 vs. Zach Makovsky #8

WW – Thiago Alves #12 vs. Carlos Condit #4

FW –Nik Lentz #8 vs. Charles Olivera #9

FLY – Jussier Formiga #5 vs. Wilson Reis #13

Prelims (unranked)

LW – Norman Parke vs. Francisco Trinaldo

LHW – Francimar Barroso vs. Ryan Jimmo

LW – Yan Cabral vs. KJ Noons

WW – Wendell Olivera vs. TJ Waldburger

WW – Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos vs. Nicolas Dalby

WW – Luiz Dutra vs. Tom Breese

FW – Lucas Martins vs. Mirsad Bektic

5/30/15 – Fox Sports 1: 10 Bouts (20 fighters)

Weight class# of ranked opponents =

66/20=.3 Card Strength = 30%

WW Carlos Condit – 4 vs. Thiago Alves – 12FW Nik Lentz – 8 vs. Charles Oliveira – 9LW Norman Parke vs. Francisco TrinaldoLHW Francimar Barroso vs. Ryan JimmoLW Yan Cabral vs. KJ NoonsWW Wendell Oliveira vs. TJ WaldburgerWW Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos vs. Nicolas DalbyFLY Jussier Formiga - 5 vs. Wilson Reis - 13WW Luiz Dutra vs. Tom BreeseFW Lucas Martins vs. Mirsad Bektic