37
#CCS15 Achieving Your Promo5onal Objec5ves with Science, Forecas5ng, and Analy5cs

Achieving Your Promotional Objectives with Science, Forecasting, and Analytics

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Achieving Your Promotional Objectives with Science, Forecasting, and Analytics

#CCS15  

Achieving  Your  Promo5onal  Objec5ves  with  Science,  Forecas5ng,  and  Analy5cs  

Page 2: Achieving Your Promotional Objectives with Science, Forecasting, and Analytics

Welcome  Webinar  ACendees  

Page 3: Achieving Your Promotional Objectives with Science, Forecasting, and Analytics

#CCS15  

Follow  this  Webinar  on  TwiCer!  

#CCS15 @ConnectConsumer

@RTouchPoints

@REVIONICS

Page 4: Achieving Your Promotional Objectives with Science, Forecasting, and Analytics

#CCS15  

About  Retail  TouchPoints  ü  Launched in 2007

ü  Over 30,000 subscribers

ü  To provide executives with

relevant, insightful content across

a variety of digital medium

Page 5: Achieving Your Promotional Objectives with Science, Forecasting, and Analytics

#CCS15  

Panelists   Debbie Hauss Editor-In-Chief

Retail TouchPoints

Aditya Rastogi Senior Manager Of Global Services

Revionics

Diana Mitten Product Director

Revionics

Page 6: Achieving Your Promotional Objectives with Science, Forecasting, and Analytics

#CCS15  

Organiza5onal  Silos    Are  Coming  Down  

Page 7: Achieving Your Promotional Objectives with Science, Forecasting, and Analytics

#CCS15  

The  Need  For    Enterprise-­‐Wide  Visibility  

61%  of  retailers  are  banking  on  both  enterprise-­‐wide  customer  and  inventory  visibility  to    improve  overall  business  processes. And  while  59%  believe  they  should  have  a  single  customer  interacDon  plaEorm  that  crosses  channels,  as  many  as  27%  had  no  plans  to  implement  this  soluDon  within  the  next  year. -­‐Retail  Systems  Research,  August  2014

Page 8: Achieving Your Promotional Objectives with Science, Forecasting, and Analytics

#CCS15  

Improving  Analy5cs  To    Improve  Decision-­‐Making  

“What's  different  now  is  that  retailers  are  tooling  up  to  have  visibility  of  prices  their  compeDtors  are  charging,  and  with  beNer  analyDcs  they're  geOng  smarter  about  which  prices  to  match,  go  below  or  stay  above.” -­‐Greg  Girard,  IDC  Retail  Insights

Page 9: Achieving Your Promotional Objectives with Science, Forecasting, and Analytics

#CCS15  

Analy5cs  At  Work  What  types  of  analy5cs  do  you  currently  use?  

Page 10: Achieving Your Promotional Objectives with Science, Forecasting, and Analytics

#CCS15  

   Importance  Of    

Promo5onal  Effec5veness  

The  majority  (74%)  of  online  retailers  sDll  promote  irrelevant  items  to  shoppers  via  email. -­‐2014  Report:  Customer  RelaBonships:  The  DaBng  Game

Page 11: Achieving Your Promotional Objectives with Science, Forecasting, and Analytics

Confidential ©2015 Revionics, Inc.

Achieving Your Promotional Objectives with Science, Forecasting, and Analytics Diana Mitten, Product Director

Aditya Rastogi, Senior Manager Global Science Services

Page 12: Achieving Your Promotional Objectives with Science, Forecasting, and Analytics

Confidential ©2015 Revionics, Inc.

Organiza5on  Silos  Coming  Down    

Increasing  Marke5ng  Spend  

Promo  ROI   Increasing  Technology  Investment  

New Trends are Emerging

$  

Page 13: Achieving Your Promotional Objectives with Science, Forecasting, and Analytics

Confidential ©2015 Revionics, Inc. 13  

Challenges Facing Retailers

Disjointed  Promo5onal  Planning  

Unproduc5ve    use  of    

Resources  

Mix  of  Vehicles,  Products  &  Offer  

Investment    Visibility  

Page 14: Achieving Your Promotional Objectives with Science, Forecasting, and Analytics

Confidential ©2015 Revionics, Inc.

Organiza5on  Silos  Coming  Down    

Increasing  Marke5ng  Spend  

Promo  ROI   Increasing  Technology  Investment  

Op5mized  Solu5on  Drives  Streamlined  

Promo5onal  Planning  

Using  Technology  to  Guide  Op5mal  Mix  of  Marke5ng  Vehicles  

Analyzing  Promo5onal  Effec5veness  &  Con5nuously  Increasing  ROI  

Selec5ng  the  Right  Technology  to  Meet  

All  Your  Needs  

$  1   2   3   4  

Overcoming Those Challenges

Page 15: Achieving Your Promotional Objectives with Science, Forecasting, and Analytics

Confidential ©2015 Revionics, Inc. 15  

Challenge - Collaboration Easier Said Than Done

Marke5ng  

Merchants  

Execu5ves  

Crea5ve  

Financial  

Supply  Chain  

• Multiple departments involved

•  Individual strategies

• Disjointed workflows

• Repetitive data entry

• Unshared decision points

Page 16: Achieving Your Promotional Objectives with Science, Forecasting, and Analytics

Confidential ©2015 Revionics, Inc. 16  

Promotional Processes are Complex

Page 17: Achieving Your Promotional Objectives with Science, Forecasting, and Analytics

Confidential ©2015 Revionics, Inc.

Process  

17  

People  System  

Technology  

Shape the Future State Process Op5mal  Promo5on  Planning  &  Execu5on  

Page 18: Achieving Your Promotional Objectives with Science, Forecasting, and Analytics

Confidential ©2015 Revionics, Inc.

8-­‐13  Weeks  Before  Promo  Go  Live  

Decision  Making  in  Each  Silo  • Unshared  decision  Data  • MulFple  Revisions  and  Rework  • EmoFons  and  Opinions  

Data  Entry  in  Different  Systems  

6-­‐8  Weeks  Before  Promo  Go  Live  

CollaboraFve  PlaOorm  • Decision  support  tools  • InformaFon  sharing  • Approval  Workflows  • Science  meets  Art:  supported  by  facts  

Data  IntegraFon  across  systems    

18  

Process Transformation Drives Results

Page 19: Achieving Your Promotional Objectives with Science, Forecasting, and Analytics

Confidential ©2015 Revionics, Inc.

Op5mized  Solu5on  Drives  Streamlined  

Promo5onal  Planning  

Using  Technology  to  Guide  Op5mal  Mix  of  Marke5ng  Vehicles  

Analyzing  Promo5onal  Effec5veness  &  Con5nuously  Increasing  ROI  

Selec5ng  the  Right  Technology  to  Meet  

All  Your  Needs  

1   2   3   4  

Key Factors to Success

Page 20: Achieving Your Promotional Objectives with Science, Forecasting, and Analytics

Confidential ©2015 Revionics, Inc.

• Circular? • End Cap? • Email? • Store Displays? • Broadcasts? • Social?

Challenge – Optimizing the Marketing Mix

Page 21: Achieving Your Promotional Objectives with Science, Forecasting, and Analytics

Confidential ©2015 Revionics, Inc.

• Advancements in technology • Capabilities way beyond spreadsheets

21  

Step Away From the Spreadsheet

Page 22: Achieving Your Promotional Objectives with Science, Forecasting, and Analytics

Confidential ©2015 Revionics, Inc. 22  

Vehicle/Tactic Lift Projections

17.2%  

26.2%  

15.9%  

18.6%  

21.0%  

29.7%  

17.7%  

17.4%  

14.1%  

•  Lift Insights – Compare

options in a new light

•  Reduce email circulation

– Twice a week to targeted promotions

Insights Into the Right Mix

Page 23: Achieving Your Promotional Objectives with Science, Forecasting, and Analytics

Confidential ©2015 Revionics, Inc.

Right Products for Right Promotions

Promo/  TPR   Promo/  Ad   Profit   EDLP  

Elas5ci5es  Reg  ElasFcity   Promo  ElasFcity  

• Variations in product behavior – Regular vs. Promo Elasticity

• Select effective promotional strategy – More bang for the buck

• Breakdown of items by promotion types

Increm

ental  

Prom

oFon

al  Respo

nse  

Page 24: Achieving Your Promotional Objectives with Science, Forecasting, and Analytics

Confidential ©2015 Revionics, Inc.

Op5mized  Solu5on  Drives  Streamlined  

Promo5onal  Planning  

Using  Technology  to  Guide  Op5mal  Mix  of  Marke5ng  Vehicles  

Analyzing  Promo5onal  Effec5veness  &  Con5nuously  Increasing  ROI  

Selec5ng  the  Right  Technology  to  Meet  

All  Your  Needs  

1   2   3   4  

Key Factors to Success

Page 25: Achieving Your Promotional Objectives with Science, Forecasting, and Analytics

Confidential ©2015 Revionics, Inc.

• Am I promoting the right products? • Am I using the right vehicles? • Am I selecting the right offer? • Am I negotiating optimal vendor deals? • Am I promoting to the right audience?

25  

Am I Building the Right Promotions?

Page 26: Achieving Your Promotional Objectives with Science, Forecasting, and Analytics

Confidential ©2015 Revionics, Inc.

In-­‐flight  promo5on  

Forecast  to  actual  

Affinity  &  cannibaliza5on  

Pre  &  post  Analysis  

26  

•  Adjust to the Market Changes

•  Understand Cross-Item Impacts

•  Forecast Accuracy

•  Analyze Promotional Lifts

Analytics for Measuring Effectiveness

Page 27: Achieving Your Promotional Objectives with Science, Forecasting, and Analytics

Confidential ©2015 Revionics, Inc. 27  

Forecast  vs.  Actuals   Accuracy  Metrics  •  Forecast Analysis

– Understand Cause for change

• Continuous Learning – Rectify execution

issues

Analysis Provides Actionable Insights

Page 28: Achieving Your Promotional Objectives with Science, Forecasting, and Analytics

Confidential ©2015 Revionics, Inc.

Op5mized  Solu5on  Drives  Streamlined  

Promo5onal  Planning  

Using  Technology  to  Guide  Op5mal  Mix  of  Marke5ng  Vehicles  

Analyzing  Promo5onal  Effec5veness  &  Con5nuously  Increasing  ROI  

Selec5ng  the  Right  Technology  to  Meet  

All  Your  Needs  

1   2   3   4  

Key Factors to Success

Page 29: Achieving Your Promotional Objectives with Science, Forecasting, and Analytics

Confidential ©2015 Revionics, Inc.

• Finding the right solution – Support end-to-end planning? – Provide transparency? – Easy to use?

29  

Will the Right Optimization Solution Please Step Forward?

Page 30: Achieving Your Promotional Objectives with Science, Forecasting, and Analytics

Confidential ©2015 Revionics, Inc. 30  

What to Look For

• What to look for – Workflow – Flexibility – Strategy – Vehicle mix – Vendor deals – Offers

Page 31: Achieving Your Promotional Objectives with Science, Forecasting, and Analytics

Confidential ©2015 Revionics, Inc. 31  

Identifying Promotional Objectives

Market  Share   Profit   Traffic   Halo/Affinity  

Page 32: Achieving Your Promotional Objectives with Science, Forecasting, and Analytics

Confidential ©2015 Revionics, Inc.

Making Informed Decisions Choosing Direction

•  Simulation of alternatives

•  Determine the direction for optimization

•  Resulted increase in

•  Revenue and Profit

32  

Page 33: Achieving Your Promotional Objectives with Science, Forecasting, and Analytics

Confidential ©2015 Revionics, Inc. 33  

Where to Start

Page 34: Achieving Your Promotional Objectives with Science, Forecasting, and Analytics

Confidential ©2015 Revionics, Inc. 34  

What’s the Problem & What’s the Goal

•  Inefficient  PromoFon  Planning  •  Manual  PracFces  •  Rerunning  LY  PromoFons  •  ExisFng  Value  Measurement  

•  Increasing:  •  Market  Share  •  Profit  •  Traffic  •  Halo/Affinity  

Page 35: Achieving Your Promotional Objectives with Science, Forecasting, and Analytics

Confidential ©2015 Revionics, Inc.

• 6% margin$ increase • 3% in Revenue & Units

(Market Share)

• Factors for Success – Collaborations across

teams – Setting direction and

driving towards objectives

35  

Benefits of an Optimized Solution

3.7%  

3.1%  

6.0%  

Unit  Lic  

Revenue  Lic  

Profit  Lic  

Page 36: Achieving Your Promotional Objectives with Science, Forecasting, and Analytics

#CCS15  

Q  &A  //  Panelists   Debbie Hauss Editor-In-Chief

Retail TouchPoints

Aditya Rastogi Senior Manager Of Global Services

Revionics

Diana Mitten Product Director

Revionics

Page 37: Achieving Your Promotional Objectives with Science, Forecasting, and Analytics

#CCS15  

Next  Session  

www3.retailtouchpoints.com/ccs15