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Ipsos European Pulse March 2014 Contacts: [email protected] [email protected]

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In the wake of Ed Miliband’s recent speech on Europe, the latest Ipsos MORI European Pulse, tracking the sentiment of over 8,000 online citizens in ten European countries (Belgium, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, the Netherlands, Poland, Spain and Sweden), suggests that the most popular option among Britons is a long term policy of staying in the European Union but reducing its powers (mentioned by 40%), followed by leaving the EU (28%). This compares with 18% who want to leave things as they are, 8% who want to stay in the EU and increase its powers, and 5% who want to work for the formation of a single European government.

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Page 1: Ipsos MORI - Ipsos European Pulse

Ipsos European Pulse March 2014

Contacts:

[email protected]

[email protected]

Page 2: Ipsos MORI - Ipsos European Pulse

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Contents

1) Slide 4- Across the European Union: are things heading in the right direction or are

they on the wrong track?

2) Slide 8- The EU’s influence and impact on economic issues

3) Slide 21- The EU’s influence and impact on constitutional issues

4) Slide 26- The EU’s influence and impact on social issues

5) Slide 31- The future of the EU

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Technical note

• These are findings of research conducted by global research company Ipsos.

• Respondents aged 16-64 were interviewed via the Ipsos Global @dvisor Online Panel in Belgium, France,

Great Britain, Germany, Hungary, Italy, Poland, Spain and Sweden between February 4-18, 2014.

Approximately 1000+ individuals participated on a country by country basis with the exception of Belgium,

Hungary, Poland and Sweden where each have a sample approximately 500+.

• A further 1,017 were interviewed online in the Netherlands between 18-20 February 2014. This sample is

representative for the Dutch population which may vote (all Dutch aged 18+), and data are weighted by

age, sex, education, working status, region and previous national election behaviour.

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Across Europe: are things heading in the

right direction or are they on the wrong

track?

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Generally speaking, would you say things across the European Union are heading in the right direction or are they off on the wrong track?

Across Europe: are things going in the right direction or are they on

the wrong track?

% saying ‘heading in the right direction’

39%

39%

39% 33%

33%

23%

24% 23%

Less than 30%

30-35%

36%+

34%

35%

Country average: 32%

Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February

2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014

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Generally speaking, would you say things across the European Union are heading in the right direction or are they off on the wrong track?

% saying ‘on the wrong track’

61%

61%

61% 67%

67%

77%

76% 77%

60-64%

65-69%

70%+

66%

65%

Country average: 68%

Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February

2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute

Across Europe: are things going in the right direction or are they on

the wrong track?

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11

14

17

36

41

30

24

43

27

23

23

24

33

33

34

39

39

39

Italy

France

Spain

Sweden

Great Britain

Belgium

Poland

Germany

Hungary

Generally speaking, would you say things across the European Union/ in this country are heading in the right direction or are they off on the

wrong track?

How the direction of travel across Europe compares with your country’s

Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February

2014. *Question not asked in the Netherlands Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute

EU lead

+12

-4

+15

-8

+4

-3

+7

+9

+12

Across the EU In this country

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The EU’s influence and impact: economic

issues

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The EU’s influence and impact on the economy

81%

Somewhat/

very much

19% Not very

much/ not

at all

How much influence, if any, do you

think the European Union has over the

economy in your country?

41% Positive

59% Negative

And do you think the European Union

generally has a positive or negative

impact on the economy in your country?

Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February

2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute

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0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

% P

osit

ive i

mp

act

% Very much influence

PL

HU DE

SE NL

GB BE

ES

IT

AVG

FR

The EU’s influence and impact on the economy- by country

Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February

2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute

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The EU’s influence and impact on jobs

65%

Somewhat/

very much

35% Not very

much/ not

at all

How much influence, if any, do you

think the European Union has over jobs

in your country?

61% Positive

39% Negative

And do you think the European Union

generally has a positive or negative

impact on jobs in your country?

Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February

2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute

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The EU’s influence and impact on jobs- by country

Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February

2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

% P

osit

ive i

mp

act

% Very much influence

PL

HU

DE

SE NL

GB

BE ES

FR

AVG

IT

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The EU’s influence and impact on governments’ finances

75%

Somewhat/

very much

25% Not very

much/ not

at all

How much influence, if any, do you

think the European Union has over the

finances of the government in your

country?

35% Positive

65% Negative

And do you think the European Union

generally has a positive or negative

impact on the finances of the

government in your country?

Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February

2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute

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0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

The EU’s influence and impact on governments’ finances- by

country

Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February

2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute

% P

osit

ive i

mp

act

% Very much influence

PL

HU

DE SE

NL

GB

BE

ES

FR

AVG

IT

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Please indicate whether you agree or disagree with the following statement: my country’s economy has been damaged by EU pressure on Eurozone member

governments to cut their spending

The impact of EU-mandated austerity

% who agree

50%

63%

55% 64%

49%

75%

75% 70%

50% or less

51-59%

61%-69%

69%

77%

Country average: 65%

Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February

2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute

70%+

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The EU’s influence and impact on personal taxes

58%

Somewhat/

very much

42% Not very

much/ not

at all

How much influence, if any, do you

think the European Union has over

personal taxes in your country?

32% Positive

68% Negative

And do you think the European Union

generally has a positive or negative

impact on personal taxes in your

country?

Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February

2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute

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0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

0 10 20 30 40 50

The EU’s influence and impact on personal taxes- by country

Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February

2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute

% P

osit

ive i

mp

act

% Very much influence

PL HU

DE

SE

NL

GB

BE

ES

FR

AVG

IT

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Please indicate if you agree or disagree with the following statement: the standard of living for me and my family is higher now

than it would have been if my country had not joined the European Union

Has the EU helped support living standards?

Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February

2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute

4

8

8

7

6

9

8

10

7

13

8

24

21

24

26

28

26

29

28

32

31

27

50

34

41

46

43

42

34

41

46

29

40

21

37

27

22

22

23

29

21

15

27

25

Sweden

Italy

Spain

Germany

Netherlands

France

Hungary

Belgium

Great Britain

Poland

Average

Somewhat

disagree

Somewhat

agree Disagree very

much

Agree very

much

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The EU’s influence and impact on agriculture

79%

Somewhat/

very much

21% Not very

much/ not

at all

How much influence, if any, do you

think the European Union has over

agriculture in your country?

40% Positive

60% Negative

And do you think the European Union

generally has a positive or negative

impact on agriculture in your country?

Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February

2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute

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The EU’s influence and impact on agriculture- by country

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

% P

osit

ive i

mp

act

% Very much influence

PL

HU

SE

DE GB

BE ES

FR

AVG

IT

NL

Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February

2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute

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The EU’s influence and impact:

constitutional issues

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The EU’s influence and impact on laws and regulations

79%

Somewhat/

very much

21% Not very

much/ not

at all

How much influence, if any, do you

think the European Union has over laws

and regulations in your country?

41% Positive

59% Negative

And do you think the European Union

generally has a positive or negative

impact on laws and regulations in your

country?

Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February

2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute

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0

10

20

30

40

50

60

0 10 20 30 40 50

The EU’s influence and impact on laws and regulations- by

country

Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February

2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute

% P

osit

ive i

mp

act

% Very much influence

PL

HU

DE

SE

NL

GB

BE

ES

FR

AVG

IT

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The EU’s influence and impact on countries’ decision-making

75%

Somewhat/

very much

25% Not very

much/ not

at all

How much influence, if any, do you think the

European Union has over the ability of your

government and its elected officials to make

decisions that are in the best interest of your

country?

36% Positive

64% Negative

And do you think the European Union generally

has a positive or negative impact on the

ability of your government and its elected

officials to make decisions that are in the

best interest of your country?

Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February

2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute

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0

10

20

30

40

50

60

0 10 20 30 40 50

The EU’s influence and impact on countries’ decision-making-

by country

Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February

2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute

% P

osit

ive i

mp

act

% Very much influence

PL

HU

DE

SE NL

GB

BE

ES

FR

AVG

IT

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The EU’s influence and impact: social

issues

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The EU’s influence and impact on people’s daily lives

59%

Somewhat/

very much

41% Not very

much/ not

at all

How much influence, if any, do you

think the European Union has over

people’s daily lives in your country?

43% Positive

57% Negative

And do you think the European Union

generally has a positive or negative

impact on people’s daily lives in your

country?

Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February

2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute

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0

10

20

30

40

50

60

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

The EU’s influence and impact on people’s daily lives- by

country

Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February

2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute

% P

osit

ive i

mp

act

% Very much influence

PL

HU DE

SE

NL

GB BE ES

FR

AVG

IT

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The EU’s influence and impact on immigration

74%

Somewhat/

very much

26% Not very

much/ not

at all

How much influence, if any, do you

think the European Union has over

immigration in your country?

41% Positive

59% Negative

And do you think the European Union

generally has a positive or negative

impact on immigration in your country?

Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February

2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute

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0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

The EU’s influence and impact on immigration- by country

Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February

2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute

% P

osit

ive i

mp

act

% Very much influence

PL

HU

DE

SE

NL GB

BE

ES

FR

AVG

IT

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The future of the European Union

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19%

34%

11%

19%

18%

Stay in the European Union

and try to reduce the

European Union’s powers Leave things as they are

Stay in the European Union

and try to increase

European Union’s powers

Work for the formation of a single

European government Leave the European Union

Please indicate what you think the long-term policy of your country should be:

More or less power for the EU?

Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February

2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute

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Please indicate what you think the long-term policy of your country should be:

The future of the EU - by country

Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February

2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute

18

23

28

25

22

17

27

21

9

5

5

19

31

21

23

26

24

13

17

10

12

8

11

4

4

11

7

15

16

7

13

14

18

34

25

25

27

33

34

29

36

47

43

40

19

17

21

14

12

11

16

19

21

26

28

Average

Hungary

Italy

Germany

Spain

Poland

Belgium

France

Netherlands

Sweden

Great Britain

% Work for the formation of asingle European government

% Stay in the EU and try toincrease the EU's powers

% Leave things as they are

% Stay in theEU and try to reducethe EU's powers

% Leave the European Union

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Please indicate if you agree or disagree with the following statement: the next European elections in my country will be won by

anti-European movements

Prospects for anti-European movements in May

Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February

2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute

Agree Disagree

60%

40%

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5

6

6

6

5

7

11

10

12

13

8

23

27

27

29

31

30

35

46

45

47

34

51

48

50

43

50

46

41

38

35

32

43

20

20

17

22

14

16

13

5

8

8

14

Hungary

Spain

Belgium

Poland

Germany

France

Italy

Great Britain

Netherlands

Sweden

Average

Please indicate if you agree or disagree with the following statement: the next European elections in my country will be won by

anti-European movements

Prospects for anti-European movements in May- by

country

Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February

2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute

Somewhat

disagree

Somewhat

agree Disagree very

much

Agree very

much

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Please indicate if you agree or disagree with the following statement: The European Union gives an unfair advantage to richer

European countries over poor European countries

Do richer European countries have an advantage?

Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February

2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute

56% Agree

44% Disagree

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73%

Spain

39%

Germany

71%

Italy

43%

Netherlands

64%

Poland

45%

Sweden

58%

France

53%

Great Britain

56%

Belgium

55%

Hungary

Please indicate if you agree or disagree with the following statement: The European Union gives an unfair advantage to richer

European countries over poor European countries

Do richer European countries have an advantage? By country

% who agree

by country

Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February

2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute

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About Ipsos

• Ipsos is an independent market research company controlled and managed by

research professionals. Founded in France in 1975, Ipsos has grown into a worldwide

research group with a strong presence in all key markets. In October 2011 Ipsos

completed the acquisition of Synovate. The combination forms the world’s third largest

market research company.

• With offices in 85 countries, Ipsos delivers insightful expertise across six research

specializations: advertising, customer loyalty, marketing, media, public affairs

research, and survey management.

• Ipsos researchers assess market potential and interpret market trends. They develop

and build brands. They help clients build long-term relationships with their customers.

They test advertising and study audience responses to various media and they

measure public opinion around the globe.

• Ipsos has been listed on the Paris Stock Exchange since 1999 and generated global

revenues of €1,789 billion (2.300 billion USD) in 2012.

• Visit www.ipsos.com to learn more about Ipsos’ offerings and capabilities.