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In the wake of Ed Miliband’s recent speech on Europe, the latest Ipsos MORI European Pulse, tracking the sentiment of over 8,000 online citizens in ten European countries (Belgium, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, the Netherlands, Poland, Spain and Sweden), suggests that the most popular option among Britons is a long term policy of staying in the European Union but reducing its powers (mentioned by 40%), followed by leaving the EU (28%). This compares with 18% who want to leave things as they are, 8% who want to stay in the EU and increase its powers, and 5% who want to work for the formation of a single European government.
Citation preview
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
Contents
1) Slide 4- Across the European Union: are things heading in the right direction or are
they on the wrong track?
2) Slide 8- The EU’s influence and impact on economic issues
3) Slide 21- The EU’s influence and impact on constitutional issues
4) Slide 26- The EU’s influence and impact on social issues
5) Slide 31- The future of the EU
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
Technical note
• These are findings of research conducted by global research company Ipsos.
• Respondents aged 16-64 were interviewed via the Ipsos Global @dvisor Online Panel in Belgium, France,
Great Britain, Germany, Hungary, Italy, Poland, Spain and Sweden between February 4-18, 2014.
Approximately 1000+ individuals participated on a country by country basis with the exception of Belgium,
Hungary, Poland and Sweden where each have a sample approximately 500+.
• A further 1,017 were interviewed online in the Netherlands between 18-20 February 2014. This sample is
representative for the Dutch population which may vote (all Dutch aged 18+), and data are weighted by
age, sex, education, working status, region and previous national election behaviour.
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
Across Europe: are things heading in the
right direction or are they on the wrong
track?
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
Generally speaking, would you say things across the European Union are heading in the right direction or are they off on the wrong track?
Across Europe: are things going in the right direction or are they on
the wrong track?
% saying ‘heading in the right direction’
39%
39%
39% 33%
33%
23%
24% 23%
Less than 30%
30-35%
36%+
34%
35%
Country average: 32%
Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February
2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
Generally speaking, would you say things across the European Union are heading in the right direction or are they off on the wrong track?
% saying ‘on the wrong track’
61%
61%
61% 67%
67%
77%
76% 77%
60-64%
65-69%
70%+
66%
65%
Country average: 68%
Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February
2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute
Across Europe: are things going in the right direction or are they on
the wrong track?
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
11
14
17
36
41
30
24
43
27
23
23
24
33
33
34
39
39
39
Italy
France
Spain
Sweden
Great Britain
Belgium
Poland
Germany
Hungary
Generally speaking, would you say things across the European Union/ in this country are heading in the right direction or are they off on the
wrong track?
How the direction of travel across Europe compares with your country’s
Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February
2014. *Question not asked in the Netherlands Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute
EU lead
+12
-4
+15
-8
+4
-3
+7
+9
+12
Across the EU In this country
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
The EU’s influence and impact: economic
issues
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
The EU’s influence and impact on the economy
81%
Somewhat/
very much
19% Not very
much/ not
at all
How much influence, if any, do you
think the European Union has over the
economy in your country?
41% Positive
59% Negative
And do you think the European Union
generally has a positive or negative
impact on the economy in your country?
Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February
2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
% P
osit
ive i
mp
act
% Very much influence
PL
HU DE
SE NL
GB BE
ES
IT
AVG
FR
The EU’s influence and impact on the economy- by country
Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February
2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
The EU’s influence and impact on jobs
65%
Somewhat/
very much
35% Not very
much/ not
at all
How much influence, if any, do you
think the European Union has over jobs
in your country?
61% Positive
39% Negative
And do you think the European Union
generally has a positive or negative
impact on jobs in your country?
Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February
2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
The EU’s influence and impact on jobs- by country
Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February
2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
% P
osit
ive i
mp
act
% Very much influence
PL
HU
DE
SE NL
GB
BE ES
FR
AVG
IT
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
The EU’s influence and impact on governments’ finances
75%
Somewhat/
very much
25% Not very
much/ not
at all
How much influence, if any, do you
think the European Union has over the
finances of the government in your
country?
35% Positive
65% Negative
And do you think the European Union
generally has a positive or negative
impact on the finances of the
government in your country?
Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February
2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
The EU’s influence and impact on governments’ finances- by
country
Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February
2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute
% P
osit
ive i
mp
act
% Very much influence
PL
HU
DE SE
NL
GB
BE
ES
FR
AVG
IT
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
Please indicate whether you agree or disagree with the following statement: my country’s economy has been damaged by EU pressure on Eurozone member
governments to cut their spending
The impact of EU-mandated austerity
% who agree
50%
63%
55% 64%
49%
75%
75% 70%
50% or less
51-59%
61%-69%
69%
77%
Country average: 65%
Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February
2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute
70%+
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
The EU’s influence and impact on personal taxes
58%
Somewhat/
very much
42% Not very
much/ not
at all
How much influence, if any, do you
think the European Union has over
personal taxes in your country?
32% Positive
68% Negative
And do you think the European Union
generally has a positive or negative
impact on personal taxes in your
country?
Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February
2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
0 10 20 30 40 50
The EU’s influence and impact on personal taxes- by country
Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February
2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute
% P
osit
ive i
mp
act
% Very much influence
PL HU
DE
SE
NL
GB
BE
ES
FR
AVG
IT
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
Please indicate if you agree or disagree with the following statement: the standard of living for me and my family is higher now
than it would have been if my country had not joined the European Union
Has the EU helped support living standards?
Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February
2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute
4
8
8
7
6
9
8
10
7
13
8
24
21
24
26
28
26
29
28
32
31
27
50
34
41
46
43
42
34
41
46
29
40
21
37
27
22
22
23
29
21
15
27
25
Sweden
Italy
Spain
Germany
Netherlands
France
Hungary
Belgium
Great Britain
Poland
Average
Somewhat
disagree
Somewhat
agree Disagree very
much
Agree very
much
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
The EU’s influence and impact on agriculture
79%
Somewhat/
very much
21% Not very
much/ not
at all
How much influence, if any, do you
think the European Union has over
agriculture in your country?
40% Positive
60% Negative
And do you think the European Union
generally has a positive or negative
impact on agriculture in your country?
Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February
2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
The EU’s influence and impact on agriculture- by country
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
% P
osit
ive i
mp
act
% Very much influence
PL
HU
SE
DE GB
BE ES
FR
AVG
IT
NL
Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February
2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
The EU’s influence and impact:
constitutional issues
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
The EU’s influence and impact on laws and regulations
79%
Somewhat/
very much
21% Not very
much/ not
at all
How much influence, if any, do you
think the European Union has over laws
and regulations in your country?
41% Positive
59% Negative
And do you think the European Union
generally has a positive or negative
impact on laws and regulations in your
country?
Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February
2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
0 10 20 30 40 50
The EU’s influence and impact on laws and regulations- by
country
Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February
2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute
% P
osit
ive i
mp
act
% Very much influence
PL
HU
DE
SE
NL
GB
BE
ES
FR
AVG
IT
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
The EU’s influence and impact on countries’ decision-making
75%
Somewhat/
very much
25% Not very
much/ not
at all
How much influence, if any, do you think the
European Union has over the ability of your
government and its elected officials to make
decisions that are in the best interest of your
country?
36% Positive
64% Negative
And do you think the European Union generally
has a positive or negative impact on the
ability of your government and its elected
officials to make decisions that are in the
best interest of your country?
Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February
2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
0 10 20 30 40 50
The EU’s influence and impact on countries’ decision-making-
by country
Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February
2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute
% P
osit
ive i
mp
act
% Very much influence
PL
HU
DE
SE NL
GB
BE
ES
FR
AVG
IT
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
The EU’s influence and impact: social
issues
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
The EU’s influence and impact on people’s daily lives
59%
Somewhat/
very much
41% Not very
much/ not
at all
How much influence, if any, do you
think the European Union has over
people’s daily lives in your country?
43% Positive
57% Negative
And do you think the European Union
generally has a positive or negative
impact on people’s daily lives in your
country?
Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February
2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
The EU’s influence and impact on people’s daily lives- by
country
Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February
2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute
% P
osit
ive i
mp
act
% Very much influence
PL
HU DE
SE
NL
GB BE ES
FR
AVG
IT
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
The EU’s influence and impact on immigration
74%
Somewhat/
very much
26% Not very
much/ not
at all
How much influence, if any, do you
think the European Union has over
immigration in your country?
41% Positive
59% Negative
And do you think the European Union
generally has a positive or negative
impact on immigration in your country?
Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February
2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
The EU’s influence and impact on immigration- by country
Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February
2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute
% P
osit
ive i
mp
act
% Very much influence
PL
HU
DE
SE
NL GB
BE
ES
FR
AVG
IT
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
The future of the European Union
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
19%
34%
11%
19%
18%
Stay in the European Union
and try to reduce the
European Union’s powers Leave things as they are
Stay in the European Union
and try to increase
European Union’s powers
Work for the formation of a single
European government Leave the European Union
Please indicate what you think the long-term policy of your country should be:
More or less power for the EU?
Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February
2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
Please indicate what you think the long-term policy of your country should be:
The future of the EU - by country
Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February
2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute
18
23
28
25
22
17
27
21
9
5
5
19
31
21
23
26
24
13
17
10
12
8
11
4
4
11
7
15
16
7
13
14
18
34
25
25
27
33
34
29
36
47
43
40
19
17
21
14
12
11
16
19
21
26
28
Average
Hungary
Italy
Germany
Spain
Poland
Belgium
France
Netherlands
Sweden
Great Britain
% Work for the formation of asingle European government
% Stay in the EU and try toincrease the EU's powers
% Leave things as they are
% Stay in theEU and try to reducethe EU's powers
% Leave the European Union
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
Please indicate if you agree or disagree with the following statement: the next European elections in my country will be won by
anti-European movements
Prospects for anti-European movements in May
Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February
2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute
Agree Disagree
60%
40%
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5
6
6
6
5
7
11
10
12
13
8
23
27
27
29
31
30
35
46
45
47
34
51
48
50
43
50
46
41
38
35
32
43
20
20
17
22
14
16
13
5
8
8
14
Hungary
Spain
Belgium
Poland
Germany
France
Italy
Great Britain
Netherlands
Sweden
Average
Please indicate if you agree or disagree with the following statement: the next European elections in my country will be won by
anti-European movements
Prospects for anti-European movements in May- by
country
Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February
2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute
Somewhat
disagree
Somewhat
agree Disagree very
much
Agree very
much
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
Please indicate if you agree or disagree with the following statement: The European Union gives an unfair advantage to richer
European countries over poor European countries
Do richer European countries have an advantage?
Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February
2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute
56% Agree
44% Disagree
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
73%
Spain
39%
Germany
71%
Italy
43%
Netherlands
64%
Poland
45%
Sweden
58%
France
53%
Great Britain
56%
Belgium
55%
Hungary
Please indicate if you agree or disagree with the following statement: The European Union gives an unfair advantage to richer
European countries over poor European countries
Do richer European countries have an advantage? By country
% who agree
by country
Base: 7,028 adults aged 16-64 across Belgium, France, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Sweden, 4th-18th February
2014. 1,017 adults 18+ in the Netherlands, 18th-20th February 2014 Source: Ipsos Social Research Institute
Version 1 | Public © Ipsos MORI
About Ipsos
• Ipsos is an independent market research company controlled and managed by
research professionals. Founded in France in 1975, Ipsos has grown into a worldwide
research group with a strong presence in all key markets. In October 2011 Ipsos
completed the acquisition of Synovate. The combination forms the world’s third largest
market research company.
• With offices in 85 countries, Ipsos delivers insightful expertise across six research
specializations: advertising, customer loyalty, marketing, media, public affairs
research, and survey management.
• Ipsos researchers assess market potential and interpret market trends. They develop
and build brands. They help clients build long-term relationships with their customers.
They test advertising and study audience responses to various media and they
measure public opinion around the globe.
• Ipsos has been listed on the Paris Stock Exchange since 1999 and generated global
revenues of €1,789 billion (2.300 billion USD) in 2012.
• Visit www.ipsos.com to learn more about Ipsos’ offerings and capabilities.