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Testing for Understanding SEO Michael Briggs

Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

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Page 1: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

Testing for Understanding SEO

Michael Briggs

Page 2: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

My Mate Nick

Page 3: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

My Mate Nick

“We used to Be Mavericks”

Page 4: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

Not Like This!!!

Page 5: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

We used to Spam at Scale

Page 6: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

We used to Spam Creatively

Page 7: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs
Page 8: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

Loser

Page 9: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

Liar

Page 10: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

Fake

Page 11: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

Phoney

Page 12: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

How we solve this?

• Scientific Method

• Build -> Measure -> Learn

• The accidental test

Page 13: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

Scientific Method

Lets see how accurately I can get to an answer

Page 14: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

Is Google Flights Hiving Off Traffic

Page 15: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

It Must Be

Page 16: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

Problem

• Obviously isn’t good enough

• I work for a billion dollar plus company

• Your clients probably need more as they work in the same way

• Need to get to a definitive answer– Or die trying

Page 17: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

The Scientific Method

Page 18: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

Google Flights Problems

• I hadn’t chosen to do the test

Page 19: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

Google Flights Problems

• I hadn’t chosen to do the test

• Google was running the test

Page 20: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

Google Flights Problems

• I hadn’t chosen to do the test

• Google was running the test

• Need to then fill in the blanks

Page 21: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

Google Flights Problems

• I hadn’t chosen to do the test

• Google was running the test

• Need to then fill in the blanks

• Was looking backwards

Page 22: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

The Real World Hypothesis

Google Flights launched and it’s changed the search landscape and is affecting my CTR

from Organic

Page 23: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

My Real Thoughts on the Matter

Google Flights launched and it’s hiving off traffic because Google are a new

technological overlord.

If we don’t stop them they will take over the world.

Page 24: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

Meh

• Problem

– Search Volumes are growing (and inaccurate)

–Google Webmaster Tools (I am not ever calling it a “search console”) is awful

– There is a wealth of data

–Where can I find something useful

–Where should I be looking

Page 25: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

Hypothesis Development

• New Hypothesis– Google flights launched and it is hiving off traffic. If click through rate changes and

positions stay stable then there is a correlation between the launch of Google flights

Page 26: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

Hypothesis Development

• New Hypothesis– Google flights launched and it is hiving off traffic. If click through rate changes and

positions stay stable then there is a correlation between the launch of Google flights

– If I have stable variables I can remove these from analysis

• I know on term set X my positions haven’t changed

– I’m lucky we’ve been number one for a range of things for a while

– And find the variables that change

• Traffic by device

• Search volume by device (error factor)

• Implied variable of CTR

Page 27: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

The Graph

Page 28: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

Problems

• Not enough data on the keyword set– Longtail

– Google Keyword Tool is crap

– Data gap

• There were multiple changes on the historical data set– Hummingbird

– SEM Changes - Ad extensions

– Listing had go site links added to it

– Site in position two changed

• Positional Data from rank tracking isn’t accurate– Personalisation

Page 29: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

Conclusion

Page 30: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

Forward Looking Test

I think, therefore I’ll test, so I know

Page 31: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

Build Measure Learn

Build

Measure Learn

Page 32: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

Forward Looking

• I think this to be true

• I will create a hypothesis

• I will test it

• I will make a conclusion (hopefully)

Page 33: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

Accepted Truth

Page 34: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

Unique Content

• Hypothesis

–If I add unique content to a page it will make me rank better in Google because Google loves unique content therefore I need unique content.

Page 35: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

How do I build this as a significant test

• Take two sets of pages

–Test

–Control

• Change content on the test

• Measure the difference in the normalised traffic

Page 36: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

Worlds Most Boring Graph

Page 37: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

Test Results

Page 38: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

Conclusion

Page 39: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

Why

• Content writers weren’t good enough?

• Google is a liar and we’ve been lied to?

• The signal balance had changed in a way we didn’t understand?

• Something else?

Page 40: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

Why

• Content writers weren’t good enough?

–Build new hypothesis

• Google is a liar and we’ve been lied to?

• The signal balance had changed in a way we didn’t understand?

• Something else?

Page 41: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

We Rebuilt The Content

Page 42: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

Test Outcome

Unique Content only helps if someone who knows wtf they are doing actually read the content and makes sure it is in the form it is meant to be in and is properly optimised.

Unique content isn’t enough.

Page 43: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

The Accidental Test

Fail Forward

Page 44: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

Web Engineering

Page 45: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

What it really can look like

Page 46: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

Sometimes it looks like this!

Page 47: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

SEO’s Regress to This

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Because Overnight

Page 49: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

What this meant was some days of hell!

Page 50: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

Failure is Always an Option

Page 51: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs
Page 52: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

Direct got Similar Hit

90% of Direct Traffic on pages examined was really Organic

Page 53: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

• Fail Hard

• Fail Fast

• Fail Frequently

• Learn from every failure

#failForward

Page 54: Seojocktoberfest - testing for understanding seo - Michael Briggs

Thanks

[email protected]