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AUTHOR: Willi Schroll, strategiclabs Berlin – CONFERENCE: IoT Week – London 16th-20th June 2014 – DATE: 18th June 2014 – TRACK: Society – HASHTAG: #IoTweek – Please download the study "Connected Reality 2025" for free: http://de.slideshare.net/Z_punkt/z-punkt-studyconnectedreality2025englsingle OUTLINE of the presentation: I. Foresight perspective on IoT and related drivers II. IoT and the „Power of Social“ THESES Thesis I: Most of IoT has as much to do with social relationships as it does with technology Thesis II: Socio-centric analysis complementing the user‐centric standards Thesis III: Network theory and Social Capital theory are essential perspectives to build a framework for IoT development/UXD A dominant part of the slidedeck introduces the study "Connected Reality 2025". The Living Bridges Planet community (facebook group of 6.800) is intended as an exemplification of applied Social Capital theory. Since 2012 a "network of networks" has been – including frequent video chats, peer2peer learning, knowledge flow, the spreading and the re-accumulation of the social capital form trust. This dynamics illustrates the "power of social". Implications for IoT design and development are affecting the IoT research design and the assumptions / process design in product and service development. (See theses above) http://de.slideshare.net/Z_punkt/z-punkt-studyconnectedreality2025englsingle
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IoT and applied Social Capital Theory T h e e x a m p l e o f L i v i n g B r i d g e s P l a n e t
Willi Schroll, strategiclabs Berlin – #IoTweek – IoT Week – London 18th June 2014 – track: Society
What is foresight?
Foresight: A Birds eye‘s view – zoom in & out
Tracking all STEEP sectors ...
IntersecQons & interferences growing massively
Foresight
Technology Society
InnovaQon
Change TransformaQon
Foresight – Emerging Technologies
Technology Society
TransformaQon
... and Emerging Cultures
conflict zone
evoluQon zone entangled systems
I. Foresight perspec:ve on IoT and related drivers
Sources: http://www.computerweekly.com/news/2240212466/Google-bets-on-internet-of-things-with-Nest-acquistion – http://time.com/37842/facebook-oculus-rift/
2014
January February March
$ 3.2 billion
$ 2 billion
First big acquisi:ons in the new tech wave
Measurable acquisi:on ac:vi:es
Source: http://iotpedia.com/2014/01/28/latest-acquisitions-from-the-internet-of-things-space/ (January 2014)
Technology
Society
Economy
Table of content (1)
Analysis of technological key trends and innovaQon fields
Analysis of social drivers, life-‐ and workstyle trends
„Weak signal“ cases of today – to anQcipate a scenario of CONNECTED MARKETS 2025
Table of content (2)
CONNECTED BUSINESS 2025 transformaQonal drivers, key concepts and mindsets, impact compass for econo-‐mical branches
CONNECTED LIVING 2025 –scenario story, radical change, societal and poliQcal impact
The following selected „weak signal“ examples of today anQcipate some
aspects of Connected Markets in 2025
Tesco – Online pickup at local retailer – p.34
Fitbit FlexTM – The moQvaQon coach on your handlebars – p.36
Wi-‐Fi Bulb – The remote-‐controlled lightbulb – p.38
Zookal – Flying textbooks – p.40
Double – Omnipresence for all – p.42
MeMobility – En route to a seamless transport service – p.44
(1) Echelon – Intelligent streetlighQng in 500 towns (2) Big Belly Solar – The solar-‐powered compacQng rubbish bin p.46
Baxter – The intelligent manufacturing robot – p.48
Bitponics – The gardener in the Cloud – p.50
III. Challenges
Challenges Technological challenges
III. Challenges
dynaxity realQme
regulaQons
complexity
standards
safety & security
really big data
Image source: hgp://makerswarm.com/
With a broader definiQon of „connectedness“ the volume of objects might exceed even the trillion in 2025.
1 trillion connected things?
Example: The „Cogni:ve cams“ assump:on
SoK connec:vity Cheap „cogniQve cams“ recognize and track objects and states
Collage; image source: hgp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:DeskUnion_Coworking_Glasgow.jpg (2014-‐04-‐12)
III. Challenges
Challenges Examples with a social context
Security at home
Source: hgp://www.laQmes.com/business/technology/la-‐fi-‐tn-‐refrigerator-‐hacked-‐internet-‐of-‐things-‐cyber-‐agack-‐20140116,0,5757808.story
Infrastructural security
Source: hgp://www.wired.com/2013/07/securing-‐the-‐internet-‐of-‐things/ – Image source: hgp://it.wikipedia.org/wiki/HAL_9000
“The Call to Ac7on: The Internet of Things is s7ll in its infancy and the security community has a chance to build in new approaches to security if we get started now ...” Bruce Sterling
Job market
Source: hgp://www.salon.com/2014/01/17/robots_are_stealing_your_job_how_technology_threatens_to_wipe_out_the_middle_class/
Business model challenge
Sources: The Zero Marginal Cost Society: The Internet of Things, the CollaboraQve Commons, and the Eclipse of Capitalism: Jeremy Rioin hgp://www.amazon.com/Zero-‐Marginal-‐Cost-‐Society-‐CollaboraQve/dp/1137278463/ – the quote is from: The Internet of Things: Monopoly Capitalism vs. CollaboraQve Commons | Jeremy Rioin hgp://www.huffingtonpost.com/jeremy-‐rioin/internet-‐of-‐things_b_5104072.html
„In this new world, social capital is as important as financial capital, access trumps ownership, sustainability supersedes consumerism, coopera7on ousts compe77on“ Jeremy Rioin
System challenge?
Sources: How the "Internet of Things" is killing capitalism hgp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0_fq2Y8TfRg
Jeremy Rioin on YouTube: How the "Internet of Things" is killing capitalism
Power shiK to machines?
The power shiw to algorithms and machines might result even in new unknown risk types.
Image source: hgp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:EEG_Recording_Cap.jpg
III. Challenges
Challenges = also a new opportunity,
a new market in IoT
III. Challenges Collabora:ve economy + IoT
III. Challenges Smart green economy + IoT
•
beyond lew and right
Maker culture, crowdfunding & open innova:on
III. Challenges Development has to take into account ... the user
We already know!
III. Challenges Inconvenient truth: Development & design
have to be socio-‐centric
from the very beginning – think of defini7on of
iot/„things“
II. IoT and the
„Power of Social“
Social Capital Theory* =
One perfect example for the power of applied social capital persepc:ve
(it works)
*according to sociologist Robert Putnam
Living Bridges Planet is an
acQon and learning plazorm
Bert-Ola Bergstrand
• Started March 2012 • Network of networks • About 50 events • 6.800+ members • Sustainability + supporQveness • CreaQng social capital, visibility
Thesis I: Most of IoT has as much to do with social relaQonships as it does with technology
We should start to see with both eyes at once!
Thesis II: Socio-‐centric analysis complemenQng the user-‐centric standards
Thesis III: Network theory and Social Capital theory are essenQal perspecQves to build a framework for iot development/UXD
visibility
connec:on flow
apprecia:on
inspira:on
value flow
mo:va:on
belonging
fun
trust support
flow
RecommendaQon: IntegraQng Social Capital pespecQve into
user research and development of IoT products &
services
knowledge flow aYen:on
beyond lew and right
Contact Willi Schroll hgp://about.me/wschroll hgp://strategiclabs.de hgp://socialforesight.net schroll [at] strategiclabs.de
(hgp://livingbridgesplanet.wordpress.com)
Download „Connected Reality 2025“ English and German, two opQonal formats.
English version – DIN A4 upright: hgp://de.slideshare.net/Z_punkt/z-‐punkt-‐studyconnectedreality2025englsingle More versions: hgp://www.z-‐punkt.de/connected-‐reality2025-‐en.html
Sources Pleases find the sources, including images sources, in the study menQoned above (free pdf download)
18th June 2014 – Track: Society – 2pm-‐5:30pm
Bridging the World -‐ Learning by Connec:ng
IoT and applied Social Capital Theory – the example of Living Bridges Planet
Willi Schroll, strategiclabs, Eric Lynn, cultureQs (Living Bridges Planet Community)
Barriers in Home Automa:on and how to un-‐stuck (Impulse from Jürgen Wege, AALIOT)
Panel
IoTPeople – The community to connect technological and social innovators -‐ Kim Balle, Ina Lauth et al. -‐ IoTPeople Community
IoT and rela:onship dynamics (Jolocom) – Vision and status of Jolocom sowware development –-‐ Joachim Lohkamp, founder Jolocom, ChrisQan Hildebrand, partner