Future of Health CareFuture of Health Care

D J C tDr. James CantonCEO & ChairmanInstitute for Global FuturesGlobalFuturist comGlobalFuturist.com

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Institute for Glob

We Track TrendsWe Track Trends

• Founded 1990• Think TankThink Tank• Advise Organizations

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bal Futures

how to Prepare for the

Worldwide Clients

Key ThemesKey Themes•Globalization of healtGlobalization of healt

•Biotech/health Care convergence

H lth E h t•Health EnhancementLongevity Innovations

•New Era-Predictive HCareCare

th careth care

t &t &

Health

Emerging Health Care Drivers

Global Po

Global PopulatipOver the Pa

opulation

on has Doubled ast 45 Years

Global Po

By 2020, 95% of World’By 2020, 95% of WorldLive in Developing Natio

opulation

’s 8 Billion People wills 8 Billion People will ons

Aging Boomerstransform Ever

s will ry Market

By 2015: Most mdeveloping worlddeveloping world

mega-cities in d--Challenged Challenge

Shift from a DisShift from a Disto a Prevention-Cen

sease-Centricsease-Centric ntric Medical Model

Increased Geopppolitical Risksp

Innovations Will Come Faster

Future InnovatioEnhance Care QEnhance Care Q

ons will QualityQuality

Day in Life: HealtDay in Life: Healtth Care 2020th Care 2020

Consumer Se

• Self-Reliance• Personalization• Innovation• Innovation

lf-Care Trend

Radical InEnables CEnables C

New Tools & New Cho

nnovation ConsumersConsumers

ices in Consumer Health

The New Health EnhancHealth Enhanc

H lHeal

FitnessFitness

Sports

Consumercement Lifestylecement Lifestyle

th B tth Beauty

Consumers D

Real-TimeReal Time Feedback &

Actionable InfoActionable Info

Desire Control

Age Well – B

• Redefining AgingRedefining Aging• Longer Lifetimes• More Active & Healthy• More Active & Healthy

e Well Trend

y Lifestylesy Lifestyles

National ScienceNational ScienceReport: Converg

d th E hand the EnhancePerformancee o a ce

e Foundatione Foundation ent Tech

t f Hement of Human

Health Enhanceement

Health C

• PredictivePredictive

• Prevention

• Health Promotion

are 2010

Changing thParadParad

• Health Promotion

• Disease Prevention

Predictive• Predictive

he Health digmdigm

ModernModern

HospitalHospital

Current Health

$ Inefficiency Rules

$ Poor Quality

$$ Medical Errors

$ Poor Health Care IT S$ Poor Health Care IT S

h Care Waste

SystemsSystems

Health C

Health IT would save mimprove health care qua

Care 2010

oney and significantly ality.

SmartHealth IIT Revolution

HealthIT Tra

Health IT Trends

•Digital Transformation

•Quality Control

Culture Issues• Culture Issues

ansparency

IntranIntran

TeleMe

et ROIet ROI

dicine

Data VisualizatiData Visualizatiionion

NextGen InternetNextGen InternetMedical Delivery PlaMedical Delivery PlaMedical Delivery PlaMedical Delivery Plaatformatformatformatform

New DirectionNew DirectionNew DirectionNew Directionnsnsnsns

Mobile Health CCare Management

Wireless BroadbGlobal NetworksGlobal Networks

band: Pervasive s Game Changers---Game Changer

Always On NetwAlways-On Netwworksworks

Interactive TV TeleHealth HomDriving ChangeTeleHealth Homme Careme Care

Immersive Communications

Real-time Health IT Visualization

Real-time Health IT Visualization

Future MedicaFuture Medicaal Ops Centeral Ops Center

Broadband DiaBroadband Diaagnosticsagnostics

TeleMedicineTeleMedicineee

Real-time Bio ITT Visualization

Future Disease MManagement Portal

RealReal--Time PaTime PaRealReal--Time PaTime Patient Datatient Datatient Datatient Data

Personalized RePersonalized RePersonalized RePersonalized Reealeal--time Health Datatime Health Dataealeal--time Health Datatime Health Data

Wireless Health PWireless Health PWireless Health PWireless Health PPortalsPortalsPortalsPortals

Distributed RealDistributed Reall-Time Medicinel Time Medicine

Networked Diagg

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• Personalized BioData Tem

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Health Care that 1st Century

mplates

Smart ElectronSmart Electronnic Med Recordnic Med Record

To What Ends

• Curing disabilitiesCuring disabilities• Longevity • Intelligence • Emotional controlEmotional control• Aesthetic expression• Quality of life

Enhancement?

BioBio--Profile Profile BioBio--Profile Profile James CantonJames Canton#83874FJER4#83874FJER4James CantonJames Canton#83874FJER4#83874FJER4#83874FJER4#83874FJER4#83874FJER4#83874FJER4

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Human EnhanHuman EnhanHuman EnhanHuman Enhanncementncementncementncement

Post-Genomic

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T karket Take preventive

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ithms/

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ithms/formatics

robabilityf disease

gmedical intervention

Lifestyle modification

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Longer Lives

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PoDiseaseDisease

ProgressionProgression

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ost treatment testing

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ognosis

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Source: Millennium Predictive Medicine; Start-up 2000

Post Genomic Mon Consumerson Consumers

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Medicine’s Impact

erment

ment

dicine is

Conquering DiseAtomic Scale: DAtomic Scale: D

• From InSilico Biology, to MIntracellular NanoBiology

• The Evolution of Applied N

ease at the Designed CareDesigned Care

Molecular Delivery, to

NanoMedicine

New DirectionNew DirectionNew DirectionNew Directionnsnsnsns

Drugs of the Fut

•Globalization•Globalization

• Biomemetic

•AgPharma

•On-Demand

•Hybrid Pharma/DevicePharma/Device

ture

New DirectionNew DirectionNew DirectionNew Directionnsnsnsns

Silencing DiseSilencing DiseSilencing DiseSilencing Diseease Genesease Genesease Genesease Genes

New DirectionNew DirectionNew DirectionNew Directionnsnsnsns

Imagine the Posssibilities

Imagine the Posssibilities

Designed EvolutionPersonalized GenePersonalized Gene

n: NBIC Devices, eticsetics

NanoBioNeuro-De

Enhancement of a ce e oHumanPerformance

evices

Personal Bio-deteDiagnostics FuturDiagnostics Futur

• Biochip Implants • Proactive Diagnostics - Direct User InProactive Diagnostics - Direct User In• Dynamic NanoBio Enhanced Immune• Molecular Sensors / Nanobiological S

ection / Predictive resres

nterfacenterfacee Systemystem Integration

Enhancementt Med Devices

Source: IMS Health, 2005

NanoNano--BioMimBioMimNanoNano BioMimBioMimeticetic--VirusViruseticetic VirusVirus

New DirectionNew DirectionNew DirectionNew Directionnsnsnsns

ReprogrammiReprogrammiReprogrammiReprogramming Cancer Genesng Cancer Genesng Cancer Genesng Cancer Genes

BioBio--SyntheticSyntheticBioBio Synthetic Synthetic CellsCellsCellsCells

Nano: New Drivver of Innovation

NanobiologyNanobiology

Molecular Enginnes of Creation

NanoBiology Megy

• Designer Drugs on-Demg g• Smart Materials, Devic• NanoEnhanced Immun

eets Medicine

mandes

ne Systems

Disease Begins at the Atomic

Artificial Life NetwArtificial Life NetwOn-Demand Digi

works:works:tal Brains

New Drug DiscoNew Drug Discooveryovery

Nanotech: TNanotech: TAuto-immune

The Next ITThe Next ITEnhancers

Restoring MeNanotech: TNanotech: TRestoring MemoryThe Next ITThe Next ITmory

NanoBiology

Smart Cancer TNanodelivery

Presence in TumorPresence in Tumor

• Senses Tumor Cells for Defects

• Selects Therapeutic Agents BasTumor Characteristics

• Non-invasive External Trigger Releases Therapeutics

•Synergy is predictive

• Identifies Residual Tumor cells• Identifies Residual Tumor cells

Therapeutic

s

sed on

Health BotsHealth BotsHealth BotsHealth Bots

Medroids Medroids

SummSummmarymaryyy

Medical Androidds Emerge

Robots & HumansRobots & Humans

Jcanton@futuregJcanton@futureg

s: Co-Evolutions: Co Evolution

guru comguru.com

SummarySummary

Emerging New era in H

Personalized, Predictiv

Fast innovations key dqualityq y

Drugs of the future wilglobalization

Health Care

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driver of health

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