Mega Cebu - World Water Day 2016

Platform for Smart, Inclusive & Sustainable

City Region

March 22, 2016

WORLD WATER DAY 2016 Provincial Capitol, Cebu

Mega Cebu Vision & Roadmap for

Sustainable Urban Development 2050

Evelyn Nacario Castro RAFI – Eduardo Aboitiz Development Studies Center /

MCDCB Research, Program, and Organizational Development

CEBU, PHILIPPINES Founded in August 6, 1569 Island in Central Visayas 9 Cities & 45 Municipalities Capital: City of Cebu 365 miles south of Manila Population: 4.13 Million (2010)

QUALITY OF LIFE FOR ALL

4

CEBU We’re (very) far from number 1

CEBU

475/500

MANILA

266/500

Our standing in the world: Bottom 25

Source: Global Urban Competitiveness Report 2009-2010. Six indices measured: scale of green economic GDP;

green economic GDP per capita; green economic GDP per square kilometer; economic growth rate; number of

internationally recognized patent applications; multinational corporation index from the perspective of output.

PHILIPPINES: 9th in 9 in FDIs

Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat,

World Population Prospects: The 2007 Revision and World Urbanization available from http://esa.un.org/unup,

7

Philippines Percentage (%) urban/rural, 1950-2050. P

erc

en

tag

e

1990 urban growth reached 48.8%

http://esa.un.org/unup







By the middle of this century most regions of the developing world will be predominantly urban.

Experts predict - 70% of the world’s population set to live in crowded cities.

CEBU’s growing population, continuing in-migration of people to the city-region, and

economic growth further raise the demand for resources and services. In terms of water, this has increased the demand by at least 5.7% a year, for the past 10 years.

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

1995 2000 2007 2010 2030 2050

OutsideMETROCEBU(in million)

METRO1CEBU(in million)

TOTALCEBU(in million)

Increasing Population Increasing

Urbanization

2005 MCWD Water Demand Study

2007: 265,000 cubic meters




Demographics of the Study Area

The Big 4

has 69% of

population

on 38% of

Area

2.3 million persons in 2010, growing at 3.3% p.a. (vs 1.4% for Phils)

11

LGUs

Land Area

(km2)

Population Population Growth Rate (%/year)

2000 2007 2010 ’00-‘07 ’07-‘10

Cit

ies

Cebu 315 718,821 798,809 866,171 1.5 2.7

Lapu-Lapu 58 217,019 292,530 350,467 4.4 6.2

Mandaue 25 259,728 318,575 331,320 3.0 1.3

Talisay 40 148,110 179,359 200,772 2.8 3.8

Danao 107 98,781 109,354 119,252 1.5 2.9

Carcar 117 89,199 100,632 107,323 1.7 2.2

Naga 102 80,189 96,163 101,571 2.5 2.2

Mu

nic

ipal

itie

s

Compostela 54 31,446 39,167 42,574 3.2 2.8

Consolacion 147 62,296 87,544 106,649 5.0 6.8

Cordova 17 34,032 45,066 50,353 4.1 3.8

Liloan 46 64,970 92,181 100,500 5.1 2.9

Minglanilla 66 77,268 101,585 113,178 4.0 3.7

San Fernando 69 48,235 54,932 60,970 1.9 3.5

Metro Cebu 1,163 1,930,096 2,314,897 2,551,100 2.6 3.3

Philippines 343,448 76,506,928 88,566,732 92,337,852 2.1 1.4

Source: PS

METRO CEBU DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE

SPRAWL: Is this the

kind of growth we want?

Escondrillas Plan 1873

OF 136 CITIES: MOST WATER STRESSED

ONLY 2% FOREST COVER

INCREASING VOLUME OF WASTE and FLOODWATER

CEBU: Its Present Challenges

INCREASING TRAFFIC

Gap between supply and demand

MCWD only meets 43% of demand

• To ensure sustainability, there has to be a balance between recharge (of the resource) and extraction.

• If the recharge of the aquifer (groundwater source) is less than what is extracted, the result is MINING.

• MCWD only meets 43% of the demand

of 8 (out of 13) LGUs in Metro Cebu. The rest of the demand is answered by private wells and other commercial extractors.

A JICA study says that in 2025 if we will not conserve water, we would have MAJOR problems.

Water demand to double in 2030 • By year 2030, Cebu’s current demand of 165

million cubic meters a year is expected to double (330M a year).

• Cebu needs a coherent water resources management strategy, including a robust institutional platform to implement reforms.

• The capital cost of infrastructure improvements was estimated at P17.6 billion. The biggest spending was needed in the service area of the Metro Cebu Water District (MCWD) or P15.3 billion.

• Good governance is crucial in seeing the plan through with a tripartite governance structure composed of leaders from government, private sector/business and civil society.

Clear and Present Danger: Effects of Ground Water Over-Extraction

1986 USC WRC STUDY:

19,000 PRIVATE WELLS

IN METRO CEBU

2009 MCWD SURVEY:

15,000 PRIVATE WELLS

in MACTAN ISLAND ALONE

1995 AYALA LAND STUDY:

3.6 -7.4 X EXCEEDED SUSTAINABLE CAPACITY OF AQUIFERS

1st Green Line: 250 ppm 2nd Green Line: 50 ppm Blue: 50 – 250 ppm Green: 250 – 500 ppm Yellow: 500 – 10,000 ppm Red: Saltwater

INCREASING SALTWATER INTRUSION

CASE4 LAYER 10 YEAR 2010





20

11

20

35

Possible Future Scenario: Effects of Continuing and Unregulated

Over Extraction of Ground Water

If GROUNDWATER EXTRACTION continues

unregulated, about 25% of MCWD well fields in Talamban, Cebu City and Mandaue City will yield

saline water in 2025.

Flooding in Metro Cebu

OF 136 CITIES:

MOST WATER

STRESSED

ONLY 2% FOREST

COVER LEFT

QUADRUPLED WATER DEMAND in < 50 YEARS

CEBU: MOST WATER STRESSED

80% OF WATER SUPPLY

FROM GROUND WATER

WATER

Increasing Demand

Limited Supply

Compromised Water Quality

Weak Governance & Management

Framework

CEBU

Weak enforcement of environmental laws

There is a need to strengthen the IMPLEMENTATION & ENFORCEMENT

of these laws.

SMART MEGA-CITIES

and CITY REGIONS

Attract and retain investments and talent Handle more people and meet associated demands Recognize that the physical form and

structure are vital elements for its competitiveness, social cohesion, and environmental sustainability

CITY-REGION: Platform for Cooperation

CITIES turning into CITY-REGIONS will have more chances to

prosper at an accelerated pace than cities that are isolated in

their own regional spaces.

CITY-REGIONAL STRUCTURE that most closely approximate

urban economic areas can promote growth and performance

improvements. Institute for Public Policy Research, Centre for Cities

Yokohama, Japan

Dusseldorf, Germany

Iloilo River Esplanade

CITY REGIONS: HOW THINGS WORK ELSEWHERE

“Success is no accident. It is a planned journey to a destination of choice.” R.E. Aboitiz

Singapore “Concept Plan”

After 1945

Yokohama General Plan

2012 Minato-Mirai

1965

2012

Metro Cebu

2013

? Mega Cebu Vision 2050

CITY REGIONS: HOW THINGS WORK ELSEWHERE

“What is important is to have a clear vision of what you want to achieve and be

focused on continuously adapting and improving the solutions.” J. Lerner

Walkable | Bikeable | Transit-Ready | Proximate As dense as the market will bear Balance of Jobs | Housing | Retail | School | Programmed Open Space Housing for a diversity of Age | Income | Transect preference Public spaces that are Safe | Engaging | Accessible | Comfortable Buildings that are Resource Efficient | Healthy | Durable | Resilient

Smart Growth communities are: 1.Connected 2.Compact 3.Complete 4.Complex 5.Convivial 6.Conserving

Is Mega Cebu Up to the 6Cs Challenge?

Source: S. Antonio, DPZ

How can we make Cebu: Smart

Inclusive Sustainable & Resilient

31

MCDCB Metro Cebu Development and Coordinating Board

What gets planned, gets done. Peter Drucker

Genesis

April 2011

Milestones May 2011 – June 2015

On-Going July 2015 - present

Way Forward Present – Dec. 2016

Where we

began

What has

been done

What is

going on

What we

plan to do

Immediate Organize & strengthen 1

2

3

Intermediate & Continuing Build on the foundation

Mid-to-Long Term Engage stakeholders and partners towards a common agenda & vision

13 cities and municipalities in 1 province

covering Metro Cebu as subscribed to by the

Metro Cebu Development and Coordinating Board

(MCDCB)

20% of Total Area 67 % of

Population

DREAM DECIDE IMPLEMENT

MEGA CEBU 101: BASICS OF ENGAGEMENT

Communicate ● Educate ● Engage

City-Region Collaboration

Research & Planning

Development Framework

Key Concepts & Strategies

DENR – Environment al

Management Bureau

(EMB) Department of Environment

& Natural Resources

MEGA CEBU

Our shared IDENTITY Our common GROUND Our collective FUTURE

Department of

Public Works & Highways

GOVERNOR Chairperson

PRIVATE SECTOR / CIVIL SOCIETY

Co-Chairperson

MAYOR Co-Chairperson

MCDCB

RPOD - PMO

Chair, Committee on Integrated Development & Planning

Chair, Committee on

Environment & Public Safety

RDC 7

NEDA 7

Chair, Committee on Human

Resources, Assets & Partnerships

Chair, Committee on ICT

& Knowledge Management

NEDA Secretariat

MCDCB RPOD EXECOM

RDC Res. 10 (S.2011)

RDC Res. 26 (S 2012)

MCDCB Organizational

Structure

FABCOM 1

Integrated Development &

Planning

Integrated Development & Spatial Planning: • Urban & Land Use Planning • Urban Renewal, Shelter & Informal Settlements • Climate Change Adaptation & Disaster Risk Reduction

Infrastructure & Utilities: • Road Improvement & Infrastructure Development • Flood Control, Drainage & Sewerage • Pollution Control & Solid Waste Disposal & Management

Transport & Traffic Management

Institutional Development

Environment & Public Safety

Environment & Health: • Coastal Resources, Water, & Watershed Management • Health, Sanitation & Environmental Management

Public Safety & Security

FABCOM 2

HR, Assets & Partnerships

Human Resources & Asset Development

Resource Mobilization & Partnership Development

FABCOM 3

ICT & Knowledge

Management

Information & Communications Technology & Knowledge Management

FABCOM 4

MCDCB RPOD Focus Area Based Committees & Sub-Committees

Mega Cebu City Region

Vision-Brand Shared Identity

Planning Evidence &

Expertise

• Board, Leadership, Membership

• RPOD / RPOD PMO

• FABComs / SubComs / TWG

• Public (special interest, select stakeholder groups, general)

• Multi-level / Multi-sectoral / Multi-modal Consultations

• Data / Info Collection, Formulation

• Synthesis, Integration, Cascade, Alignment

• Expertise

• Data / Info Gathering & Analysis

• Physical Planning

• Spatial Planning

• Sector Development Planning

• Expertise

MEGA CEBU 101: PERSPECTIVES & COMPONENTS

Change of Mindset

10 AREAS OF COOPERATION

1) Integrated development, urban and land use planning and zoning

2) Transport and traffic management

3) Pollution control and solid waste disposal & management

4) Flood control, drainage and sewerage system

5) Public safety and security

6) Road improvement and infrastructure development

7) Urban renewal and shelter

8) Coastal resources and watershed management

9) Climate change adaptation and disaster risk reduction

10) Health & sanitation and environmental management

SIX ATTRIBUTES

Cultural & Historic

Innovative, Creative & Competitive

Inclusive, Equitable & Livable

Interconnected & Compact

Green

Integrated, Coordinated & Participative

MEGA CEBU

MEGA CEBU

COMPETITIVENESS

LIVABILITY

MOBILITY

METROPOLITAN MANAGEMENT

CEBU

45

Roadmap Study for Sustainable Urban Development of Metro Cebu

4 STRATEGIES

7 SUB-ROADMAPS

1 Metropolitan

Competitiveness

Enhancement

Competitiveness

2 Urban Structure and

Land Use

Mobility 3 Urban Transport and

Highway Network

4 Water Supply and

Disposal

Management

Livability

5 Solid Waste

Management

Metropolitan

Management

6 Smart SRP

Development

7 Metropolitan

Administration

An Overall

Roadmap

integrating 7

sub-roadmaps

Target Features for the Roadmap

47

Present Future (2030, 2050) Roadmap

Population 2.55 million in 2010 4.99 million in 2050 Approx. 8,000 ha land will be converted for new housing areas

Employment 1.1 million in 2010 2.1 million in 2050

1.0 million new job creation with 4,000 ha land for new commercial, business and industrial activities

Trunk Road 2-4 lanes without alternative roads

Over 4-lane roads with alternative routes

Urban fringe highway network (95 km in total) and others

Road Congestion

Serious in peak hours Shall be mitigated Integrated road traffic management and bottleneck clearance

People Movement

Dominated by jeepneys (35%) and motorcycles (22%)

More public transport users of rail systems 20%)

LRT/MRT network (116 km and 63 stations in total)

Water Supply 227,000m3 in 2013 797,000 m3 in 2050 Development of 3 dams with control of underground water exploitation

Septage/ Sewerage

Almost no service

Septage Services by 2030, then sewerage services by 2050

7 septage plants and 10 sewerage plants

Flood Control Many prone areas No floods Formulation of a Comprehensive River Management Program

Smart Energy Very few application Smart city Introduction of smart energy technologies to SRP

CENTRAL URBAN CORE

NORTH GROWTH AREA

SOUTH GROWTH AREA

SMART CITIES & TOWNS

Economic Development

Ecological Security

Equitable Growth

Metro Cebu Roadmap Projects

Anchor Programs: key programs to be implemented by MCDCB,

LGUs, and respective National Government Agencies during the

roadmap period until 2050.

Flagship Projects: projects recommended for immediate action

for further substantiation in 2015~2017, and targeted for completion by

2020.

Flagship Projects

Anchor Programs

Overall Roadmap Projects

MCDCB

Communicates Educates Engages

Culture of City-Region

Collaboration

Discipline of Research &

Planning

Framework of Smart, Inclusive & Sustainable Development



Genesis

April 2011

Milestones May 2011 – June 2015

On-Going July 2015 - present

Way Forward Present – Dec. 2016

Where we

began

What has

been done

What is

going on

What we

plan to do


2

3



Our Future: Mega Cebu

A vibrant, equitable, sustainable and competitive environment that embraces

Cebu’s creativity and its cultural, historical and natural resources,

with strong citizen participation and responsive governance.

Our Future: Mega Cebu

Competitiveness

Livability Mobility

Metro Management

Our Present Cebu

HOW STAKEHOLDERS CAN BE INVOLVED:

ADOPT the Mega Cebu 2050

VISION

ALIGN with the

3 + 1 Development

STRATEGY

SUPPORT Roadmap

Development and

PROGRAMS

SUPPORT

Institutionalization


2

3



Success is no accident. It is a planned journey to a destination

of choice.

Roberto E. Aboitiz

Government & Nonprofit

Mega Cebu - World Water Day 2016