Climate Change: Priorities and Concerns for Sri Lanka

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    16-Jan-2017

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ClimateChange:Priori0esandConcernsforSriLankaAsokaAbeygunawardanaChairmanStrategicEnterpriseManagementAgencyGHGemissions(GtCO2e/yr)120100Baseline8060402C20 (>66%chance)01990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2100+7C+6C+5C+4C+3C+2C+1C+/-02020:~52GtCO2e2030:~42GtCO2e2010:47.5GtCO2eEs0matedglobalwarmingby2100(Crel.1850-1900)What are we aiming for? Staying within the 2oC target 2CpathwaysGlobaltotalemissions:42GtCO2e(range:31-44)BaselineGlobaltotalemissions:65GtCO2e(range:60-70)CurrentpolicytrajectoryGlobaltotalemissions:60GtCO2e(range:58-62)Uncondi0onalINDCcaseGlobaltotalemissions:56GtCO2e(range:54-59)Condi0onalINDCcaseGlobaltotalemissions:54GtCO2e(range:52-57)Uncond.INDCcase1214Cond.INDCcase3.4cmTheGapINDC contributions and the emissions gap WhatdoINDCscontribute? Gapisintheorderof12to14GtCO2e/yrWillthisbesufficienttostaybelow2C? GlobalaveragetemperatureincreasewillbeintherangeofLONG TERM GENERATION EXPANSION PLAN 2015-2034 CEYLON ELECTRICITY BOARD Transmission and Generation Planning Branch Transmission Division Ceylon Electricity Board Sri Lanka July 2015 For50Years050001000015000200002500030000350004000020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026202720282029203020312032Energy(GWh)CEBGenar0onPlan-BaseCase-2013-2032OilCoalNCRENewMajorHydroExisXngMajorHydroSource:CEBCEBPlan IwillpreparethegroundworkforthecountrytofulfilthebasicenergyrequirementsofthepeoplethroughrenewableenergysourcessuchasDendro(biomass)power,windpower,solarpower,oceanenergyetc.IwillspeciallytakeacXontobuilddendropowerstaXonsthroughoutthecountrysothatelectricityconsumersmoneythathithertodrainedtothepocketsofthecoalandoilmafiawillflowtotheruralpeasantry.ThusIwillmakepowergeneraXonachiefmeansofraisingthelivingstandardsofthepeasantry.IwillintroducesystemsandestablishinfrastructureforenergyconservaXonandusenewefficienttechnologyforthepurpose.Housesandbuildingswillbedesignedforensuringlowcarbonlifestyles.Iwillacttodesignasystemwithminimumtransportrequirementsintownandcountryplanning.050001000015000200002500030000350004000020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026202720282029203020312032Energy(GWh)CEBGenar0onPlan-BaseCase-2013-2032OilCoalNCRENewMajorHydroExisXngMajorHydroSource:CEBCEBvsGovt.PolicyREDSM

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