www.jrc.ec.europa.eu

Serving society Stimulating innovation Supporting legislation

EU Disaster Risk Management Knowledge Centre

Science Policy Partnerships

Disaster Risk Management at EU level

•  Union Civil Protection Mechanism (Decision No 1313/2013/EU) §  The European Union should promote

solidarity and §  should support, complement, and

facilitate the coordination of Member States' actions in the field of civil protection

§  with a view to improving the effectiveness of systems for preventing, preparing for and responding to natural and man-made disasters

•  Stakeholders §  Member States, scientific institutions,

response institutions, policy institutions

UN

EU

Member State

Region

Province

Municipality

2 8 June 2015

EU Added Value in DRM and DRR

Response

Measuring Impact

Planning Prevention

Early warning

3 8 June 2015

Emergency Response Coordination Centre (ERCC)

EU / Global early warning and

monitoring systems

Disaster Risk Management

Capacity Guidelines

EU Voluntary Pool

Damage and Loss Data Collection Compensation (Solidarity Fund)

Flood Risk Management

National Risk Assessments

JRC scientific support

Response

Measuring Impact

Planning Prevention

Early warning

4 8 June 2015

European Crisis Management Laboratory (ECML) ERCC Portal (communication, collaboration)

GDACS (global disaster alerts) EFAS (floods)

EFFIS (forest fires) EDO (droughts)

Tsunami and storm surges

Damage and Loss Data standards

EU-wide scenarios Pan-European multi-hazard probabilistic risk assessment Indicator-based risk assessment Reference data (urban)

EUROCODES Flood Directive

Risk metrics – informing policy

•  INFORM – Index for Risk Management

§  Risk for Humanitarian Crises and Disasters

•  Policies §  Disaster Risk Reduction (EU Civil

Protection Mechanism, Sendai) §  Humanitarian Response (WHS) §  Risk-aware Development (SDG)

•  Partners §  UN agencies §  Development banks §  Donors: UK, Germany, US

•  GCRI – Global Conflict Risk Index

§  Risk for internal conflict in next 4 years

•  Policies §  Peace and Stability (EEAS) •  Political & Security Committee

§  Responsible mining (TRADE)

•  Partners §  Academics: PRIO (NO), HIIK (DE),

PITF (US), UCL (UK), ETHZ (CH) §  OSCE, UN, WB, AU

5 8 June 2015

Risk metrics – methodologies

Composite indicator •  50 indicators •  3 dimensions, 6 categories •  “Theory” driven: expertise

Statistical Regression model •  26 indicators •  5 risk areas, 3 conflict types •  Data driven: quantitative output

6 8 June 2015

INFORM – Concrete product

November 2014 – Launch of global INFORM

7 8 June 2015

INFORM – Process of learning

Growing partnership: trust, ownership, balance

8 8 June 2015

INFORM – Latest improvements

Developments •  Updated indicators

§  Remittances, DRR funding, displaced from disasters

•  Probabilistic hazard data •  Statistical improvements

§  Fixed thresholds for risk categories

Further research •  Case loads: from relative risk to

absolute risk (number of people) •  Seasonal risk (with WFP, FAO) •  Calibration of INFORM (with

OCHA)

9 8 June 2015

Hazard: probabilistic (GAR2015) [UNISDR]

Conflict (GCRI)

[*]

Aid (remittances)

[*]

Uprooted (IDP)

[IDMC]

Road density (OSM) [OSM]

Food Sec [FAO,WFP]

INFORM – Regional and national pilots

INFORM as Product INFORM as Process

10 8 June 2015

Global Flood Partnership

•  Multiple scientific communities •  Science / Users (Pub/Private)

•  Community development §  2011: working group (JRC)

… §  2014: informal partnership §  2015: formal partnership

•  Concrete output §  Data access §  Ensemble risk map §  Global Flood Observatory §  Funding

11 8 June 2015

GFP Global Flood Risk

12 8 June 2015

GFP Flood Observatory

•  Daily update of floods in the world §  Operational value

•  Unique flood identifier §  Connecting information across

communities •  Risk models •  Satellite mapping •  Response actions

13 8 June 2015

Global Flood Partnership

14 8 June 2015

Research & Development

Integration, Global to

local, Assimilation, Climate risk, Tailored

services, Impact

Flood Toolbox

Data, models, services

Flood Observatory

Operational advice with data, models, services

International aid and development

organisations

National flood disaster

management authorities

Flood Record

Losses, hydrological data, maps

Training

Capacity building and maintaining

improve

run 10 day forecast

Maps Impact

integrate

participate

maintain

build

risk

mainstream

User Forum

User conference, feedback loop

European Network of Crisis Management Labs (ENCML)

15 8 June 2015

•  Objective: Experimenting with crisis management technology

§  Generating convincing evidence for users

§  Realistic setting §  Identifying challenges •  Further research •  Bringing to market •  Learning and awareness

•  Link to FP7 project

•  Crisis management technology §  Hardware, software, mobile §  HQ, field

•  Standard Operating Procedures

Putting it all together

•  Challenges with R&D projects: exploitation §  Many projects, few outcomes §  Participation of users is fragmented

•  Challenges with networks: missing the big picture §  Many parallel networks, little

interaction §  Large effort to build and maintain

community

•  Challenges with data and technology: ownership and trust §  Local relevance §  Cost/benefit

16 8 June 2015

Operations Policy

R&D Project Results

Networks of networks

Subsidiarity in data and methods

17 8 June 2015

DRMKC: timeline

Timeline •  Sep 2014 – Concept •  Mar 2015 – Launch at Sendai

WCDRR •  Sep 2015 – Work plan / web site •  Oct/Nov 2015 – DRMKC Science

Advice Seminar •  Jan 2016 – Start operations

Goal •  Long term initiative •  Reference point for public

administration, industries and citizens

Steering committee •  ECHO, RTD, JRC, ENTR •  Member States

Annual Seminar •  Oct/Nov 2015 (tbc), London, UK

Priorities •  Consolidate existing networks •  Pilot EU-wide science advice for

major disasters •  Repository of FP7/H2020 results •  Community of Users •  Network of CM Labs •  Helpdesk for national risk

assessments 18 8 June 2015