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An overview of the successful reform program in Punjab proving that a rigorous focus on the successful delivery of aid can lift developing countries to the point of independence and growth.
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The Good News from Pakistan
Katelyn Donnelly
The Origins
5
“I am of the opinion that the boldest measures are the
safest”
Lord Nelson on the eve of the Battle of Copenhagen
The Elements
Elements of the roadmap
Data and targets
District administration
Teacher quality
The enrolment drive
Additional supporting programs
Punjab Education Foundation
Media campaign
Innovation Fund
9
We have pain in every bone in our bodies from working
so hard, but want the Roadmap to continue because... it is nation-
building.
An Executive District Officer (EDO)
The Routines
11
Government is driven by crises and events but it’s
routines that deliver results.Sir Michael Barber, Instruction to Deliver
5 Key Questions for Delivery
1. What are you trying to do? • Clear priorities• Specific, measurable goals
2. How are you trying to do it?
• Clear, practical plans which are used regularly and updated
3. How, at any given moment, will you know whether you are on track?
• Good, steady, close to real-time data on key indicators
• Monitoring routines (such as stocktake meetings) with all key players involved
4. If you are not on track, what are you going to do about it?
• Agreed actions, followed up, tested in practice and refined if necessary
• Always try something. Never neglect a problem once identified
5. Can we help? • Constant ambition, refusal to give up• Focus on the goals, no distractions• Maintaining the routines• Analysis and problem-solving where
required• Bringing to bear lessons from
elsewhere
The Routines
Reviewing Roadmap Actions
The Team on the Ground
The Stocktake
Absolute Discipline
Leadership Commitment
The Results
A new day is dawning on education in Punjab
More teachers attending than ever before
More schools with better basic facilities
Stronger administration focusing on improving quality
Higher enrolment and student attendance
1717
District administration visits% of schools visited by district administrators
The education system is now being effectively managed
SOURCE: PMIU
Oct.2012
Sep.2012
Aug.2012
Apr. 2012
Mar. 2012
Feb. 2012
Jan. 2012
Dec. 2011
Nov. 2011
Oct.2011
Aug.2011
Nov.2012
Target: 90%
18
Approaching 1,500,000 extra children age 5-16 enrolled in
school since 2011
67%
76%
The biggest challenge remains in rural areas and among girlsEnrolment for 5-9 year-olds
95%
96%
96%
95%
Urban Rural
Male
Female
Northern Districts
93%
92%
Urban Rural
Central Districts
92%
91%
Urban Rural
Southern Districts
SOURCE: Nielsen Household Survey December 2012
88% 76%
82%
19
In 2013, our focus will need to be on the South
Rahim Yar KhanDera Ghazi KhanMuzaffargarhBahawalpurPakpattanVehariLodhranKhanewalBhakkarMultanChiniotSahiwalLayyahSheikhupuraBahawalnagarJhangKhushabKasur
Rajanpur
MianwaliOkaraFaisalabadToba Tek SinghSargodhaLahoreHafizabadMandi BahauddinGujranwalaNarowalGujratSialkotRawalpindiAttockJehlumChakwal
Nankana Sahib
Rawalpindi
Gujrat
Jhelum
M.B. DinSialkot
NarowalGujranwalaHafizabad
LahoreFaisalabad
Bahawalnagar
Pakpattan
Okara
SahiwalKhanewalD.G. Khan
Multan
Muzaff-argarh
Lodhran
Vehari
Bahawalpur
Rahimyar Khan
Rajanpur
Layyah
Jhang
SargodhaKhushab
Bhakkar
Mianwali
Chakwal
Attock
ShekhupuraNankana Sahib
Chiniot
T.T. Singh
Kasur
Enrolment of 5-9 year-olds, Percent
Above 90%
85-90% Below 80%
80-84%
SOURCE: Nielsen Household Survey December 2012 20
2121
% of students attending school each day
Student attendance has reached a new high, above the 2013 target
86.8
Apr.2012
May 2012
Sep.2012
87.9 88.489.3
Nov.2012
Dec.2012
Oct. 2012
92.1
83.3
Sep. 2011
79.0
Baseline
82.8
85.4
Mar. 2012
86.3
Feb.2012
86.7
Jan.2012
87.3
Dec. 2011
87.1
Nov. 2011
83.2
Oct. 2011
Target trajectory
SOURCE: PMIU
March 2013 target: 90%
22
A further 1,000,000 children attending school everyday since the Roadmap began
2323
32 districts are on or above trajectory1. STUDENT ATTENDANCE
SOURCE: PMIU
Dec 2012 – student attendance vs. trajectoriesDistrict Performance Target Delta
GreenNankana Sahib
Gujrat
Sargodha
Faisalabad
T.T. Singh
Jhang
Rawalpindi
Sheikhupura
Lahore
Okara
Multan
Khanewal
Bahawalpur
Chakwal
Chiniot
Hafizabad
Sahiwal
Kasur
Narowal
Lodhran
Muzaffargarh
Rahimyar Khan
Mianwali
Amber Green
Gujranwala
Layyah
Bhakkar
Rajanpur
Bahawalnagar
Jhelum
Pakpattan
D.G. Khan
Mandi Baha Ud Din
Khushab
Sialkot
Attock
Vehari
92.0
94.5
94.4
94.4
95.1
93.9
93.9
93.6
93.4
94.8
92.5
93.0
92.3
93.8
91.8
91.7
92.3
91.2
89.7
91.7
88.3
88.5
89.7
89.4
88.6
89.1
78.5
94.7
94.4
90.4
85.5
93.7
93.2
92.6
92.4
91.7
86.3
90
90
90
90.9
90
90
90
90
92
89.7
90.4
90.2
91.8
90
90
90.7
90
88.9
90
87.1
87.6
89.4
90
89.3
90
Amber Red
84.3
90
90
86.2
81.4
90
90
90
90
90
On or above trajectory
Significantly off track
Close to trajectory
Made some progress notclose to trajectory
Bahawalpur
Rajanpur
Bahawalnagar
D.G. Khan
Rahimyar Khan
Rawalpindi
Bhakkar
Layyah
Jhelum
Attock
Muzaff-argarh
Khushab
Chakwal
Gujrat
Jhang
M.B . Din
Chiniot
Sahiwal
Lodhran
Vehari
Khanewal
T.TSingh
Okara
Kasur
NarowalSialkot
GujranwalaHafizabad
Sheikhupura
Lahore
Pakpattan
Multan
Faisalabad
NankanaSahib
Sargodha
Mianwali
2424
Availability and functioning of facilities% functioning electricity, drinking water, toilet and boundary walls
Facilities is at a new high, 1.1% short of the 2013 target
Target trajectory
SOURCE: PMIU
Dec.2012
90.9
Nov.2012
85.2
Jan.2012
84.4
Dec.2011
83.5
Nov.2011
81.0
Oct.2011
78.2
Sep.2011
75.1
Baseline
90.4
Oct.2012
89.4
Sept. 2012
89.7
May 2012
87.8
Apr. 2012
87.0
Mar. 2012
86.1
Feb.2012
68.9
March 2013 target: 92%
25
Around 3,000,000 children have benefited from these
additional facilities
2626
Teacher presence% of teachers present at time of inspection
Teacher presence is at a new high, above the 2013 target
Target trajectory
SOURCE: PMIU
90.2
89.2
Oct.2012
87.2
Dec.2012
Sep.2012
Jan. 2012
88.3
Dec. 2011
86.5
Nov. 2011
84.7
Oct. 2011
83.2
Sep. 2011
84.7
Baseline
87.3
88.6
86.0
80.7
May 2012
88.2
Apr. 2012
1.1
87.5
Mar.2012
92.1
91.0
Nov.2012
Feb.2012
March 2013 target: 90%
27
37,000 extra teachers attend school every day
28
… teaching using activities
… asking questions to check learning
… using a lesson plan
Percentage of teachers in sample who were …
The teacher quality pilots had a major impact in one month
+39
OctSept
+31
OctSept
+27
OctSept
NOTE: The above are just three of the twelve indicators used to evaluate and mentor teachers during the pilot
29
In April every child in Punjab will receive new textbooks in line with the 2006 national curriculum
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20122 5 12 18
40
140
Number of children receiving vouchers‘000s
The Roadmap has resulted in a large increase in the number of children from poor families receiving vouchers
The Lessons
The twelve lessons of the Punjab Roadmap
To boldly go The brutal facts Never relent
Lesson 1: Be ambitious
Lesson 2: Set clear goals
Lesson 3: Prepare, plan and get on with it; you can refine it as you go
Lesson 4: Establish routines that work
Lesson 5: The conversation must be honest
Lesson 6: Know what’s really happeningLesson 7: Refine constantly but don’t compromise
Lesson 8: Create momentum
Lesson 9: Persist
Lesson 10: Build a guiding coalition
Lesson 11: Focus on the change that’s needed…Work back from there to the moneyLesson 12: When all else fails in Pakistan, you can always talk about cricket
33
We must lay the groundwork for a new kind of knowledge,
what some have called a ‘science of delivery’, that countries will use to meet
the demands of their people
Jim Yong Kim, President of the World Bank
The Next Steps
35
The visionary leaders in countries such as Pakistan …
want their province or country to succeed and
ultimately to do so without any dependence on aid.
