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Massvely Open Online Courses Beyond the Hype Charles Severance University of Michigan School of Information http://www.dr-chuck.com/ @drchuck

Massively Open Online Courses - Beyond the Hype

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I gave this talk June 26, 2013 at the Australian Moodle Moot in Melbourne, AUstralia.

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Page 1: Massively Open Online Courses - Beyond the Hype

Massvely Open Online Courses Beyond the Hype

Charles SeveranceUniversity of MichiganSchool of Information

http://www.dr-chuck.com/@drchuck

Page 2: Massively Open Online Courses - Beyond the Hype

I am not speaking for the University of Michigan, I am not speaking for Blackboard,

Inc., and I am not speaking for the IMS Global Learning Consortium.

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online.dr-chuck.com

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online.dr-chuck.com

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June 2010 - Goshen

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July 2012 - Los Angeles

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https://moodle.org/dev/

....

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Internet: TCI Show 08http://www.vimeo.com/4275919

1:22

0:52

1995

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1997

Sync-O-Maticwww.syncomat.com

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2000 http://www-personal.umich.edu/~csev/csev/projects/cb2k/index.htm

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2001

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2004

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The Future of my Sad Story (?)

•  2005 - Sakai completes and is installed at 20 universities :)

•  2006 - I take a few months, reinvent ClipBoard and integrate it into Sakai so people can *finally* truly use it

•  2007 - Hundreds of people try my idea and it turns out it was a bad idea - so I invent something else…

•  Moral: I have been waiting 10 years, and changed three jobs to find a framework to deploy my idea so people could use it. Turns out the only way it was going to happen was to help build it myself.

2004

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February 2007 - I quit Sakai in anger before I am fired in anger

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October 2006 - Dallas

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• In 2006 Richard N. Katz was retiring as the President of Educause

• He made a video with a series of bold predictions about the changes that we would see in the world of education over the next 14 years

09:502006

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• Pick a Question - Discuss

• For the predictions that were accurate - why did get get it right?

• For the predictions that were wrong, why did he get them wrong?

09:502006-2012

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Syncomatic -1996

Clipboard - 2002

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Nuthin' But Net

Internet: TCI

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Post-War (1940s)• Alumni of the US and UK codebreaking efforts

and other started building general purpose computers

• Manchester Baby

• Ferranti Mark I

• Harvard Mark I

• US Army ENIAC

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/b/bb/SSEM_Manchester_museum.jpghttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Classic_shot_of_the_ENIAC.jpgFour weeks

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Layered Network Model

• A layered approach allows the problem of designing a network to be broken into more manageable sub problems

• Best-known model: TCP/IP—the “Internet Protocol Suite”

• There was also a 7 layer OSI: Open System Interconnection Model

Application LayerWeb, E-Mail, File Transfer

Transport Layer (TCP)Reliable Connections

Internetwork Layer (IP)Simple, Unreliable

Link Layer (Ethernet, WiFi)Physical Connections

Three weeks

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Eat More Ovaltine

Eat More OvaltineSanta SHA-1 a79540

Eat More Ovaltinea79540

Eat More Ovaltinea79540

Eat More OvaltineSanta SHA-1 a79540

Eat More Ovaltine a79540Match! :)

http://www.dr-chuck.com/sha1.phpTwo weeks

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A Bit of Data...

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July 2012

Feb 2013

Jun 2013

Oct 2013

https://www.coursera.org/course/insidetheinternet

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Demographic Data (n=6495)

• English / Non-English Speaker

• 2908 - Yes 3487 - No

• First online class

• 2052 - Yes 4377 - No

Data from Feb 2013 session

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Demographic Data (n=6495)

• Pursuing a Statement of Accompishment?

• 3239 - Yes 3210 - No - just learning

• Gender

• About 2/3 male

• University of Michigan Student

• 196 - Yes 6230 - No

Data from Feb 2013 session

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0"

500"

1000"

1500"

2000"

2500"

Under"18" 18,24" 25,34" 35,44" 45,54" 55+"

Age

n=6495

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Some%HS%3%%

HS%11%%

Some%College%15%%

Assoc(2%yr)%7%%BS/BA%(4%yr)%

34%%

Masters%24%%

Doctoral%3%%

Prof.%(MD,JD)%3%%

Education n=6495

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Location

http://www.dr-chuck.com/coursera/insidetheinternet/2012-001/maps/where.html

n=4701

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0"

2000"

4000"

6000"

8000"

10000"

12000"

14000"

16000"

1" 2" 3" 4" 5" 6" 7" 8" 9" Final"

Lecture"001"

Quiz"001"

Lecture"002"

Quiz"002"

History Technology Security

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Increasing difficulty...

• Week 1: What was the mistake made by the German Enigma operators that allowed Alan Turing to craft a strategy to break coded German messages?

• Week 5: When do wireless devices receive their serial numbers (i.e. MAC or Ethernet addresses)?

• Week 8: How does your computer typically know the public key of a certificate authority during secure communications?

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My Thoughts on #IHTS

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Be an Introductory Course

• We need low-stakes "freshman" courses in Coursera

• How to behave

• How to use the software

• How to write

• Figure out technical issues

• How to learn from others and help others learn....

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Be an Open Learning Community

• Open Source works well when there is a "Benevolent Dictator"

• There needs to be real and enforced rules - but as few as possible

• Those in power must not hide behind their power and must share their power with those who show the right behavior

• Must make valued behaviors "infectious" / "amplified"

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Teach the Teachers

• I don't beleive that all students in the world should consider me their teacher in this space

• I wrote a "book"- I want others to adopt it and re-mix it

• Related to making a "learning community"

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Community Teaching Assistants

• Volunteer students from prior sessions

• Culture forms very rapidly

• Questions answered quickly

Mauro - Italy

Mazen - EgyptMegan - UK Susan - PA Karen - NC

Sue - CA

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If we want we can also communicate in our own language in this thread.

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http://youtu.be/GD9RSoVDKkw

New York NY, Los Angeles CA, Ann Arbor MI, Wilmington, NC,

Chicago IL, Washington, DC, Memphis, TN, Seattle WA, Seoul, Barcelona, London, Amsterdam,

Melbourne, Perth (soon)

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• Back to the future

• Lets revisit the predictions that Richard M. Katz made for the 2013-2020 period...

09:502006

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My Thoughts on MOOCs...

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Is this New?

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July 2012

Feb 2013

Jun 2013

Oct 2013

Is there a business model?

Coursera is approaching 4 Million Students - Just over a year

4 million users x 5% = 200,000 paying200,000 x $50 = $10,000,000 $2,500,000 to universities $500,000 to faculty

7,000 active students, 407 signature track407 * $40 = $16,280$16,280 x 5% = $814

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What happenned to Open Educational Resources?

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http://mfeldstein.com/emerging_student_patterns_in_moocs_graphical_view/

Is this a failure of MOOCs or

simply our first encounter with

real Personalized Learning or Self

Directed Learning?

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Teaching or Measuring?

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The End of Higher

Education?

http://cliparts101.com

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IBM RS-6000

The End of the Mainframe

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http://www.insidehighered.com/news/2013/05/14/georgia-tech-and-udacity-roll-out-massive-new-low-cost-degree-program

What will change?

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http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/B._F._Skinner

What about the students?

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How can we improve

education?

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http://code.edx.org/

We can get involved

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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VY-Ogkc7Mnw

It won't be easy..

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A Few Predictions

• Online "continuation" Masters degrees have a limited lifetime

• For-profit undergraduate online programs will become very niche

• Residential schools must leverage being together - do more

• Remedial / preparation / just in time / continuing ed / professional development - wil be free an high quality

• Truly democratizing education will happen - but require re-commitment to open educatonal resources and remixable resources

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Thank you.

https://www.coursera.org/course/insidetheinternet