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Arkansas Forest Economics AFA Teacher Conservation Tour June 24, 2016, Monticello, Arkansas Matthew Pelkki Associate Director, Arkansas Forest Resources Center George H. Clippert Endowed Professor of Forestry School of Forestry and Natural Resources University of Arkansas at Monticello

Forest Economics TCT 2016

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Page 1: Forest Economics TCT 2016

Arkansas Forest Economics

AFA Teacher Conservation TourJune 24, 2016, Monticello, Arkansas

Matthew PelkkiAssociate Director, Arkansas Forest Resources Center

George H. Clippert Endowed Professor of ForestrySchool of Forestry and Natural Resources

University of Arkansas at Monticello

Page 2: Forest Economics TCT 2016

OutlineEconomic impact of forest

industries in Arkansas

Biofuels / bioenergy

New forest products

Carbon credits in forestry

Page 3: Forest Economics TCT 2016

Economic impact of forest industries in ArkansasArkansas Forest EconomicsAFA Teacher Conservation TourJune 24, 2016, Monticello, Arkansas

Page 4: Forest Economics TCT 2016

Direct employment of 28,057

Average labor compensation of $51,939 annually (133% of state avg.)

Direct contribution of $2.9 billion to GSP

Arkansas’s Forest Industry Economy – 2014 (latest data)

Page 5: Forest Economics TCT 2016

~ 70,000 jobs in Arkansas

~ $3.6 billion in wages

~Value added of $6.3 billion

Economic Multipliers and total impact

Page 6: Forest Economics TCT 2016

Tax contribution by Arkansas’s Wood manufacturing IndustriesState and local taxes:

$400 million

Federal Taxes: $700 million

Page 7: Forest Economics TCT 2016

Sustainable timber supply?

1978 2015Hardwoods323,925,06

557%

Softwoods247,516,91

643%

Hardwoods532,821,33

159%

Softwoods366,783,43

941%

Surplus of nearly 15 million tons every year today!

Page 8: Forest Economics TCT 2016

Biofuels / bioenergyArkansas Forest EconomicsAFA Teacher Conservation TourJune 24, 2016, Monticello, Arkansas

Page 9: Forest Economics TCT 2016

Wood pellets

Page 10: Forest Economics TCT 2016

Let’s start an experiment with two kinds of wood pellets…..

Page 11: Forest Economics TCT 2016

Coal15.614

16%

Natural Gas28.319

29%Petroleum

35.37336%

Nuclear8.3389%

Renewable9.67510%

Primary Energy Use by Sector 2015Total USA = 97.5 quadrillion Btu

Page 12: Forest Economics TCT 2016

Hydro-elec-tric

238925% Geo-thermal

2242%

Solar5506%

Wind181619%

Biomass469649%

Renewable Energy Consumption in the USA 2015

Values are in trillions of BTUs

Page 13: Forest Economics TCT 2016

Biofuels200743%

Waste49611%

Wood217046%

Biomass Energy Con-sumption in USA, 2015

Values are in trillions of BTUs

Page 14: Forest Economics TCT 2016

Wood vs. other renewable energy sources in USA Wood represents

about 2% of our total energy consumption

Wood is 85% of hydro-electric energy

Wood is 135% of wind energy

Wood is 711% of solar energy

Page 15: Forest Economics TCT 2016

How is wood energy used in the USA? 25% used in residential heating

About 10% of US households use wood for heating

75% used for industrial generation by wood products industry This represents about 65% of total

energy used by industry The other 35% of energy is fossil-fuel

based

Page 16: Forest Economics TCT 2016

Bioenergy or biofuels from wood?

Bioenergy from woody biomass is a proven technology – combustion of wood powering combined heat and power (CHP) facilities

Biofuels relies on conversion of wood into some liquid transportation fuel Enzymatic conversion (ethanol) Thermo-chemical conversion

(gasification/pyrolysis) Technological difficulties

Page 17: Forest Economics TCT 2016
Page 18: Forest Economics TCT 2016

In wood industry, CHP works!

Wood burned to generate steam

High pressure steam drives electrical turbines

Low pressure steam dries wood and paper

Page 19: Forest Economics TCT 2016

An Arkansas exampleGeorgia-Pacific Paper

Mill at Crossett, AR75% of electrical needs

generated internally100% of steam

(heating) needs generated internally

Still, daily Entergy bill averages $30,000 for electricity

Page 20: Forest Economics TCT 2016

What do our wood pellets look like now?

Page 21: Forest Economics TCT 2016

New forest productsArkansas Forest EconomicsAFA Teacher Conservation TourJune 24, 2016, Monticello, Arkansas

Page 22: Forest Economics TCT 2016

“New” forest products opportunities

Page 23: Forest Economics TCT 2016

Multi story wood buildings

Page 24: Forest Economics TCT 2016

New architectural designs

Page 25: Forest Economics TCT 2016

Wood plastic composites

Page 26: Forest Economics TCT 2016

Nano technology from wood

Cellulose film

Filtration and selectively permeable membranes

New printing technologies – smart paper surfaces

Page 27: Forest Economics TCT 2016

=New medicines

Page 28: Forest Economics TCT 2016

Carbon credits in forestryArkansas Forest EconomicsAFA Teacher Conservation TourJune 24, 2016, Monticello, Arkansas

Page 30: Forest Economics TCT 2016
Page 31: Forest Economics TCT 2016

Where do trees and forests sequester carbon?Living biomass

Shrubs and other vegetation

Forest floor carbon

Soil carbon

Page 32: Forest Economics TCT 2016

More carbon sequestration in wood products

Page 33: Forest Economics TCT 2016

Major issues for carbon markets

Carbon trading pools

AdditivityReserve poolContract lengthLeakage

Page 34: Forest Economics TCT 2016

An example of how a landowner can get paid for sequestering carbon in their growing forest

Page 35: Forest Economics TCT 2016

Getting greenbacks from greenhouse gases

1. A qualified forest

2. Measure currentcarbon sequestration

3. Landowner signs contract with carbon

broker

4. Carbon broker produces CFI contract and

sells it on carbon

exchange

5. Landowner receives payment

for sale of CFI(less commissions and

fees)

Page 36: Forest Economics TCT 2016

Carbon sequestration rates for forests

Age Loblolly-shortleaf

Oak-hickory

1-5 2.33 1.706-10 2.37 2.2011-15 2.12 2.3316-20 1.91 1.9921-25 1.99 2.0126-30 1.82 1.83

Metric tons of carbon dioxide per acre per year sequestered in the southeast United States

Page 37: Forest Economics TCT 2016

The situation….A landowner has a 100-acre

stand of pine trees that was just planted and is 1-year old.

The landowner will let the pine trees grow for 15 years and then harvest them

The value of carbon (dioxide) is $3.00 per metric ton

What is the value of the carbon sequestration?

Page 38: Forest Economics TCT 2016

Using the table of CO2 sequestration

YearCO2

Sequestered per acre

Price of CO2 Value per acre

Value on 100 acres

1 2.33 $3.00 $6.99 $699.00 2 2.33 $3.00 $6.99 $699.00 3 2.33 $3.00 $6.99 $699.00 4 2.33 $3.00 $6.99 $699.00 5 2.33 $3.00 $6.99 $699.00 6 2.37 $3.00 $7.11 $711.00 7 2.37 $3.00 $7.11 $711.00 8 2.37 $3.00 $7.11 $711.00 9 2.37 $3.00 $7.11 $711.00

10 2.37 $3.00 $7.11 $711.00 11 2.12 $3.00 $6.36 $636.00 12 2.12 $3.00 $6.36 $636.00 13 2.12 $3.00 $6.36 $636.00 14 2.12 $3.00 $6.36 $636.00 15 2.12 $3.00 $6.36 $636.00

Total $10,230.00

Page 39: Forest Economics TCT 2016

What happens to the carbon in trees that are harvested?

A lot remains in logging slash, stumps, and roots and eventually decays (about 50% of a tree)

About 50% of the logs are bark and wood waste that are burned for energy

About 25% of tree biomass becomes paper, lumber, and other wood products

For lumber, about 10% of it remains in wood after 100 years.

Page 40: Forest Economics TCT 2016