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John Spina - Treasurer

walgreen Raymond James Institutional Investors Conference

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Page 1: walgreen Raymond James Institutional Investors Conference

John Spina - Treasurer

Page 2: walgreen Raymond James Institutional Investors Conference

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Certain statements and projections of future Certain statements and projections of future results made in this presentation constitute results made in this presentation constitute forward looking information that is based on forward looking information that is based on current market, competitive, and regulatory current market, competitive, and regulatory

expectations that involve risks and uncertainties. expectations that involve risks and uncertainties. Please see our Form 10K for a discussion of Please see our Form 10K for a discussion of

factors as they relate to forward looking factors as they relate to forward looking statements dated August 31, 2007. statements dated August 31, 2007.

Safe Harbor LanguageSafe Harbor Language

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1Q08 and FY07 Results1Q08 and FY07 Results

1Q081Q08•• Sales up 10.4% to $14.0 billionSales up 10.4% to $14.0 billion•• Earnings up 5.5% to $455.5 millionEarnings up 5.5% to $455.5 million

FY07FY07•• Sales up 13.4% to $53.8 billionSales up 13.4% to $53.8 billion•• Earnings up 16.6% to $2.0 billionEarnings up 16.6% to $2.0 billion

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GP$ and SG&A$ Growth (%YOY)GP$ and SG&A$ Growth (%YOY)

*Adjusted for Hurricane Katrina in 4Q05

Source: Company Data

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08

Gross Profit

SG&A*

16.7%

14.3%

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$0

$10,000

$20,000

$30,000

$40,000

$50,000

$60,000

$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

33 Years of Record Sales and EarningsSales CAGR: 12.8%Earnings CAGR: 18.5%Stock CAGR: 21.1%

Source: Company Data

1980-1982 1990-1991 2000-2001

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Sales 13.3% 15.4% 12.5% 12.3% 13.4%Rx Comp 13.2% 14.0% 9.8% 9.2% 9.5%Script Comp 6.4% 7.3% 6.7% 4.5% 5.7%FE Comp 1.7% 6.1% 5.5% 5.3% 5.8%Earnings 15.6% 15.9% 15.5% 12.3% 16.6%

FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07

Sales, Comp, and Earnings TrendsSales, Comp, and Earnings Trends

*Options expensed beginning in FY06Source: Company Data

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WAG CVS RAD

Rx Comp SalesRx Comp Sales

(Percent Increase)

Feb.0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

Dec. Jan.Nov.

Source: Walgreens, CVS and Rite Aid Press Releases

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0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

S O N D J F M A M J J A

Flu TrendFlu Trend

Source: SDI FAN

2006 - 2007

2007 - 2008

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Filling More ScriptsEfficiently & Profitably

Prescriptions Per Day by Channel

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

Ind. Mass Food Chainw/o

WAG

WAG

Source: IMS Health (Data based on Calendar 2007 )

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Pre-tax Earnings per Selling Square Foot

Outperforming Other RetailersOutperforming Other Retailers

$0

$10

$20

$30

$40

$50

$60

Food Chain w/oWAG

Wal-Mart WAG

Source: SEC Filings

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WAG16%

Chainw/o WAG

31%

Chainw/o WAG

31%

Independent21%

Mass11%

Food14%

Mail7%WAG

11%

Chainw/o WAG

36%

Chainw/o WAG

36%

Independent23%

Mass10%

Food14%

Mail5%

2001 – 3.0 Billion 2006 – 3.4 Billion

Number of Scripts Filled by Community Pharmacies and Mail

A Bigger Piece of a Bigger PieA Bigger Piece of a Bigger Pie

Source: NACDS and IMS

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22.7%22.8%23.1%23.7%24.1%

13.3%13.7%13.9%

14.4%14.8%

5.9% 6.5% 6.9% 6.7%

7.0%

16.3%15.5%14.7%

13.8%13.0%

40.7%41.2%41.4%41.6%42.2%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

40.0%

45.0%

Q104

Q204

Q304

Q404

Q105

Q205

Q305

Q405

Q106

Q206

Q306

Q406

Q107

Q207

Q307

Q407

Q108

Q208

Q308

Q408

Independents

Food Stores

Mail

Walgreens

Chain/Mass w/o WAG

-50 Bps

+80 Bps

Chain/Mass w/o WAG

WAG

Growing Rx MarketshareGrowing Rx Marketshare

Source: IMS and Company Data

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0

5

10

15

20

25

The Boomer Wave is Rolling to ShoreThe Boomer Wave is Rolling to Shore

Drug Spend per YearPopulation in Millions, by Age Range

Source: U.S. Census Bureau and BLS

$97

$298

$612

$887

Under 25 25-45 45-65 Over 65

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Population GrowthPopulation Growth

20062006 20202020

65+ Population65+ Population(in millions)(in millions)

37,26037,260 54,63254,632

% of Total Population% of Total Population 12.4%12.4% 16.3%16.3%

GrowthGrowth -- 46.6%46.6%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

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-2.0%

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

WAG CVS RAD

Front-End Comp SalesFront-End Comp Sales

(Percent Increase)

Feb.Nov. Jan.Dec.

Source: Walgreens, CVS and Rite Aid Press Releases

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Fron

t End

Com

p %

Incr

ease

(Dec

reas

e)

Front End Comp Sales

-5.0%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%M

ar/A

pr-0

3

Jul-0

3

Oct

-03

Jan-

04

May

-04

Aug-

04

Nov

-04

Feb-

05

Jun-

05

Sep

-05

Dec

-05

Mar

/Apr

-06

Jul-0

6

Oct

-06

Jan-

07

May

-07

Aug-

07

Nov

-07

Feb-

08

Source: Company Data

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Growing Marketshare inthe Front of the Store

% Increase in Our Top 60 Categories

Food Drug Mass WMT WAG

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

12 Weeks Ending 1/26/08Source: ACNielsen

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Growing Marketshare inthe Front of the Store

% Increase in Our Top 60 Categories

12 Weeks Ending 1/26/08Source: ACNielsen

Food Drugw/o WAG

Mass WMT WAG

-4.0

-2.0

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

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Private Label: Goal of 20%Private Label: Goal of 20%

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From Any Home,To Any Walgreens…

…To Any Home!

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Ski Vacation

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Printer Cartridge RefillsPrinter Cartridge Refills

•• 3,000 stores3,000 stores•• Drop off at photo counterDrop off at photo counter•• Up to 60% cheaper than new Up to 60% cheaper than new

cartridgescartridges•• 100% satisfaction guarantee100% satisfaction guarantee•• EnvironmentallyEnvironmentally friendlyfriendly

Source: Company Data

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Leveraging Our Front-endLeveraging Our Front-end

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• Freestanding Stores

• 24-Hour Pharmacies

• One Hour Photo

• Drive-thru Rx

• Total Stores

1,036

427

1,438

880

2,358

1997 2007

5,058

1,648

5,709

5,016

5,997

A Decade of TransitionA Decade of Transition

Source: Company Data

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The Best Corners in AmericaThe Best Corners in America

We Will Control OurCorners for Over 50 Years!

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Store GrowthStore Growth

6,237

6,245

5,054

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000

5,500

6,000

6,500

Oct

-99

Feb-

00

Jun-

00

Oct

-00

Feb-

01

Jun-

01

Oct

-01

Feb-

02

Jun-

02

Oct

-02

Feb-

03

Jun-

03

Oct

-03

Feb-

04

Jun-

04

Oct

-04

Feb-

05

Jun-

05

Oct

-05

Feb-

06

Jun-

06

Oct

-06

Feb-

07

Jun-

07

Oct

-07

Feb-

08

CVS

WAG

Jean Coutu

Eckerd

RAD

Store Count - WAG vs. Our Competitors

Sources: Walgreens, CVS, Rite Aid, Eckerd and Jean Coutu Press Releases

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% Change, Number of Pharmacies, 2001–2006

Growth of CommunityPharmacy by Channel

Total Food Mass Ind. WAG

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Chain

56,948 10,163 7,438 17,482 5,58621,865

Source: NACDS

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% Change, Number of Pharmacies, 2001–2006

Growth of CommunityPharmacy by Channel

Total Chain Food Mass Ind. WAGw/o WAG

56,948 10,163 7,438 17,482 5,58616,279

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Fortune (September, 1935): “There are 58,400 drug stores in the U.S.”

Source: NACDS

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Abilene, TXAlbuquerque, NMAmarillo, TXAppleton, WIAustin, TXBaton Rouge, LABeaumont, TXBenton Harbor, MIBloomington-Normal, ILBoulder-Longmont, COBrazoria, TXBryan-College Station, TXCasper, WYCape-Coral-Fort Myers, FLChicago, ILCincinnati, OHClarksville, TN - Hopkinsville, KYColorado Springs, COColumbus, GADallas-Fort Worth, TXDayton, OHDecatur, ILDeltona-Daytona Beach, FLDenver, CODes Moines, IADothan, ALDover, DEDuluth-Superior, MNEau Claire, WIEl Paso, TXEnid, OK

Where We Are Number One (121 Markets)Where We Are Number One (121 Markets)Fort Collins, COFort Lauderdale, FLFort Wayne, INFt. Walton Beach, FLGalveston, TXGary-Hammond, INGrand Rapids, MIGreeley, COGreen Bay, WIGreenville, NCHamilton, OHHouston, TXHuntsville, ALJackson, MSJackson, TNJacksonville, FLJanesville, WIJonesboro, ARKalamazoo, MIKankakee, ILKenosha, WIKnoxville, TNLa Crosse, WILafayette, LALake Charles, LALakeland, FLLas Cruces, NMLas Vegas, NVLawrence, KSLawton, OKLincoln, NE

Little Rock, ARLouisville, KYLubbock, TXMadison, WIMemphis, TNMerced, CAMiami, FLMilwaukee, WIMinneapolis, MNMobile, ALMuncie, INNaples, FLNashville, TNNew Orleans, LAOakland, CAOcala, FLOdessa-Midland, TXOklahoma City, OKOlympia, WAOmaha, NEOrlando, FLPalm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FLPeoria, ILPhoenix, AZPocatello, IDPort St. Lucie-Ft. Pierce, FLPortland, ORPueblo, COPunta Gorda, FLRacine, WIRock Island, IL – Davenport, IA

Rockford, ILSalt Lake City, UTSan Angelo, TXSan Antonio, TXSan Francisco, CA Santa Fe, NMSarasota, FLSeattle, WASheboygan, WISioux City, IASpokane, WASpringfield, ILSpringfield, MOSt. Cloud, MNSt. Joseph, MOSt. Louis, MOTacoma, WATampa-St. Petersburg, FLTexarkana, TXTopeka, KSTucson, AZVictoria, TXWest Palm Beach, FLWichita Falls, TXWichita, KSWilmington, DEYuba City, CAYuma, AZ

Source: Company Data

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Growing Market PresenceGrowing Market Presence

•• Retail pharmacy acquisitionsRetail pharmacy acquisitions–– Rite Aid files (Las Vegas; 27 locations closed)Rite Aid files (Las Vegas; 27 locations closed)–– El El AmalAmal (Puerto Rico; 20 locations acquired)(Puerto Rico; 20 locations acquired)

•• Industry consolidationIndustry consolidation–– IndependentsIndependents–– FredFred’’s (closing approx. 10% of existing locations)s (closing approx. 10% of existing locations)

•• ROIC ImprovingROIC Improving•• Consistent FE & Rx productivityConsistent FE & Rx productivity

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Consistent Front-End ProductivityConsistent Front-End Productivity

20062006 $2,092$2,092

20052005 $2,551$2,551 $2,076$2,076

20042004 $2,748$2,748 $2,431$2,431 $2,030$2,030

20032003 $3,015$3,015 $2,743$2,743 $2,411$2,411 $2,032$2,032

20022002 $3,224$3,224 $2,958$2,958 $2,693$2,693 $2,422$2,422 $2,002$2,002

AverageAverage $3,224$3,224 $2,985$2,985 $2,728$2,728 $2,452$2,452 $2,045$2,045

Year 5Year 5 Year 4Year 4 Year 3Year 3 Year 2Year 2 Year 1Year 1

Front-End Sales/Store by Class Year

Notes: Data based on net new drugstores, excluding acquired stores and stores converting to or from a 24-hour format

Class Year is calculated on a Calendar Year basis; includes only stores open at least 12 months as of 10/1/2007

Source: Company Data

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Consistent Pharmacy ProductivityConsistent Pharmacy Productivity

20062006 125125

20052005 181181 118118

20042004 213213 177177 121121

20032003 252252 226226 190190 129129

20022002 266266 243243 218218 184184 124124

AverageAverage 266266 247247 219219 183183 123123

Year 5Year 5 Year 4Year 4 Year 3Year 3 Year 2Year 2 Year 1Year 1

Prescriptions/Day/Store by Class Year

Notes: Data based on net new drugstores, excluding acquired stores and stores converting to or from a 24-hour format

Class Year is calculated on a Calendar Year basis; includes only stores open at least 12 months as of 10/1/2007

Source: Company Data

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ROIC ImprovingROIC Improving

20032003 20042004 20052005 20062006 20072007

NOPATNOPAT $1,465$1,465 $1,687$1,687 $1,938$1,938 $2,154$2,154 $2,514$2,514

Average Average Invested Invested CapitalCapital

$15,221$15,221 $17,341$17,341 $19,412$19,412 $21,501$21,501 $23,896$23,896

ROIC*ROIC* 9.6%9.6% 9.7%9.7% 10.0%10.0% 10.0%10.0% 10.5%10.5%NOPAT = Net Operating Profit After TaxROIC = Return on Average Invested Capital

*Source of methodology: McKinsey & Company, Inc. & Copeland, T., et. al. (2000). Valuation: Measuring and Managing the Value of Companies. New York: Wiley.

Source: Company Data

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Over $2.0 Billion in CapExOver $2.0 Billion in CapEx

Stores

Other

Technology

Distribution

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Net New StoresNet New Stores

162 191

272344 355 363 353 361 372

476

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 08'Est.

09'Est.

2010

475536

500+

Source: Company Data

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Sales Area Square Footage GrowthSales Area Square Footage Growth

9.2%8.6%

9.5%

11.6%

13.5%

15.2%

12.3%

8.2%8.7%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 08' 09' 2010

8.2%

9.8%

8.8%

Est Est

8.0%

Source: Company Data

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In-Store ClinicsIn-Store Clinics

•• Acquired Take Care Health Systems in MayAcquired Take Care Health Systems in May•• Staffed by certified nurse practitionersStaffed by certified nurse practitioners•• Open 7 days a weekOpen 7 days a week•• Treat common acute ailments including: colds, Treat common acute ailments including: colds,

flu, ear infections, and pink eyeflu, ear infections, and pink eye•• Open in 15 cities across 12 statesOpen in 15 cities across 12 states•• Over 145 currently operatingOver 145 currently operating•• 400 by December 2008400 by December 2008

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Pharmacy Benefit Management

Home Care

Specialty PharmacyClinic Pharmacy

Retail Pharmacy

AssistedLiving

Mail Service

Expand Into Additional Sectors of Pharmacy and Healthcare

Expand Into Additional Sectors of Pharmacy and Healthcare

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Investing in Our FutureInvesting in Our Future

•• Store GrowthStore Growth–– 550 total, 475 net550 total, 475 net

•• Leverage the convenient store locationLeverage the convenient store location–– Take Care, Printer Cartridges, DHL, CafTake Care, Printer Cartridges, DHL, Caféé WW

•• Leverage pharmacy servicesLeverage pharmacy services–– Option Care, Option Care, FamilymedsFamilymeds, , MedmarkMedmark

•• Acquisitions that strengthen the retail base Acquisitions that strengthen the retail base andandhealthcare serviceshealthcare services

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Age of the Company

Median Store Age

Average Manager Tenure

Average DM Tenure

Average Store Ops VP Tenure

Old, New, and ExperiencedOld, New, and Experienced

Source: Company Data