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30th Efma Convention: L d hi i t il fiLeadership in retail finance13 p.m. & 14 March 2008 - Paris
Roberto NicastroDeputy Chief Executive OfficerUnicredit GroupUnicredit Group
EFMA: BUILDING THE FIRST TRULY EUROPEANEFMA: BUILDING THE FIRST TRULY EUROPEAN FINANCIAL SERVICES GROUP OVERCOMING THE HURDLES OF EUROPE’S FRAGMENTATION THROUGH CROSS-BORDER MARKET SEGMENTATION
EFMA 30th Convention
Roberto Nicastro Deputy CEO Unicredit Group
Paris, 14 March 2008
Unicredit saw an exceptional growth, pursuing a diversification path that led to a strong internationalization
TOTALREVENUES
(€ bn)
EMPLOYEES BRANCHES
p g
1993 PRIVATISATION: Credito Italiano first Italian State-owned bank to be privatised 17,158 8142,2
1998 – 2000 UNICREDITO CREATION AND INTEGRATION: merger and integration of 7 Italian banks
65,047 3,9319,3
2001 – 2003 REORGANISATION BY CLIENT SEGMENT: 3 segment banks established 69,062 4,56310,5
2005 – 2006HVB GROUP MERGER AND INTEGRATION: new Group full divisionalisation; mergers of Group banks in CEE countries
132,480(1) 7,26923,5(2)
2007Expected
CAPITALIA MERGER: strengthening position in Italy
NEW ACQUISITIONS IN CEE: announcement of two 29,9 169,816(3) 9,633
3
Expectednew deals in Ukraine and Kazakhstan
(1) KFS Group consolidated proportionally(2) IFRS(3) Full Time Equivalents, with KFS at 100%
Unicredit now ranks among world wide top players
Market Cap in Eurozone (Euro bn)1 Market Cap World Wide (Euro bn)1
UniCredit
SCH
64.7
70.8
CCB
ICBC
119.9
181.0
BBVA
BNP Paribas
IntesaSP
49 5
56.8
59.7
B k f Chi
BoA
HSBC
110.3
113.5
Deutsche Bank
ING
BBVA
46.8
38.5
49.5
Citigroup
JP Morgan Chase
Bank of China 105.1
91.8
84.2
Credit Agricole
Fortis
Soc Generale
30.7
36.6
30.8 UniCredit
Mitsubishi UFJ
SCH
64.9
70.8
64.7g
4
1) As of 21 January 2008 - Source: Thomson Financial
With a unique broad foothold in Europe
0,5-1%1%-3%
5
1% 3%3%-10%
>10%
This generated some complexity
UNPARALLELED EUROPEAN FRANCHISE
B ki ti i 23 t i (1)
FOUR CORE MARKETS
Banking operations in 23 countries(1)
More than ~40 million customersAbout 10,000 branches
FOUR CORE MARKETS
Italy: #2, ~16% market share(2)
Germany: #3, ~5% market share(2)
Austria: #1, ~19% market share(2)
SPREAD REVENUE PORTFOLIO
GLOBAL PRODUCT FACTORIES
MIB: a strong regional player with leading position in CEE
CEE: the biggest investor in the regionSPREAD REVENUE PORTFOLIO Other 8%
CEE 18%
Total Revenues
MIB: a strong regional player with leading position in CEE (#2 ECM and M&A in 2006)Pioneer, a global player: AuM(3) ~290 bnLeasing: European leader as for new production(4)
Credit cards: a strong platform with ~11 mln credit cards issued, ( f hi h 6 5 l i CEE(5)) #5 i E d #1 i T k
Austria 10%
Italy 47%
Germany 17% (of which 6.5 mln in CEE(5)), #5 in Europe and #1 in TurkeyGermany 17%
NOTE: Year-end 2006 data, referred to UniCredit + Capitalia + ATF +USB Groups (combined pro forma)
6
ATF +USB Groups (combined pro-forma) Source: UniCredit, Capitalia, ATF, USB 2006 data
(1) Including ATF(2) Market shares and rankings calculated on customer loans, considering only loans to domestic customers for Germany(3) As of March 07, including Pioneer Austria and Capitalia. (4) After merger with Capitalia, almost ex-aequo with Lombard Finance(5) Cards already activated
Cross border financial companies face a common scenario
Different evolution of Wholesale vs Retail (Wholesale with quick globalization, Retail slower but moving forward)
European banking market split in two blocksEuropean banking market split in two blocks− Private Banks, strongly performance oriented− Cooperative/State owned banks
Economies of scale and scope driving cross-border M&A frenzy but complexity and political sensitiveness playing a relevant rolecomplexity and political sensitiveness playing a relevant role
Consumer and Corporate needs are in convergence− However regulations and taxations (more than culture) still
generating fragmentation
7
Similar trends are hitting all Countries
Eurozone banks’ unit margins
Continuing population ageing
80
Dependency Ratio (over 65/15-64)
40
50
60
70
80
JapanUnited StatesEuro area
Customer dis-trust vs banks
0
10
20
30
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
MIFID directiveConsumer LendingMortgage
Consumer protection focus
8
MortgageSEPABanking fees cancellations by regulators
Source: Unicredit Research on ECB Data
Similar trends are hitting all Countries
787570655860
80
100 Online Banking Users: US(million)
I i f t 5849
33312818
110
20
40
60
1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009E
Increasing usage of remotechannels
1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009E
77
66
85 Average Satisfaction Eu(TRIM Index)
45
65
Mei
da
nanc
e IT
taile
r
Telc
o
Aut
o
ealth
rave
l
Recent funding cost increase
100
110Euro Area, spread emissioni bancarie (A+/A) egovernative, (10 anni)
Euro area, spread banking issues (A/A+)d t i 10
M
Fin
Ret T H T
70
80
90
governative, (10 anni)and government issues, 10 years
Strong pressure on margins(eg mortgage)
9Source: BCG study, 40
50
60
2-Jun-07 12-Jul-07 21-Aug-07 30-Sep-07 9-Nov-07 19-Dec-07 28-Jan-08
( g g g )
Unicredit Group has taken a clear route
Specialize around customers (Divisional model) across border
Cluster governance by strategic focus area
Exploit global product factoriesExploit global product factories
Build identity across the borders
10
UCG model: focus on custome centric “Divisions” across borders empowered by Global Factoriesp y
§ CFOCROSTRATEGIC HR
§§
Poland’s CEE Global BankingWealthR t il Markets CEE Global Banking Services
Corporate WealthManagementRetail
Unicredit Financing
Asset Management
Divisional model in place, with focus on customers
Asset Management
…
Commercial Banking run by Division across Italy, Germany and AustriaGrowth markets (Poland and CEE) locally focused to capture high growth opportunitiesGlobal businesses (AM, Unicredit Financing, …) run on a global basis
Divisions fully responsible for definition of strategy targets and execution guidelines
11
Divisions fully responsible for definition of strategy, targets and execution guidelinesRegional Entities contribute to strategy definition, and responsible for execution as well as achievement of targets
UCG Retail built common service models for each customer segment across borders …g
AffluentAffluentAffluent Customers
Individuals with more than 100K € I.A.1
Affluent Customers
Individuals with more than 100K € I.A.1
FIRST: best in class advisory model aimed at creating mid-term value2 customer sub-segments
FIRST: best in class advisory model aimed at creating mid-term value2 customer sub-segments
than 100K € I.A.1than 100K € I.A.1
Mass MarketMass
Market Si lifi d ff lif l b d d iSi lifi d ff lif l b d d iMarket
Individuals with more than 100K € I.A.
Market
Individuals with more than 100K € I.A.
Simplified offer, life cycle based advisory7 customer sub-segmentsSimplified offer, life cycle based advisory7 customer sub-segments
Small BusinessSmall Business Business Class: integrated company-entreprenour advisory model, remote Business Class: integrated company-entreprenour advisory model, remote
Companies with less than 3Mn € turnoverCompanies with less than 3Mn € turnover
advisory for very small companies4 customer sub-segmentsadvisory for very small companies4 customer sub-segments
12
… thanks to structured exchange of innovations and best practices generated in different Countriesp g
Structured Best Practice
Sharing
Joint Initiatives
Best PracticeReplication
Initial Information
Sharing SharingSharing
•Ad hoc •Local projects •Joint multi- •Best practice workshops
•Document sharing
•Cross Border
based on recognized cross-border best-practices
country projects
•Common service models
database•Prioritization of realignment
•Continuous C oss o deCompetence Center Roles
best p act ces•Teams to include experts from other
se ce ode sdefinition
•Creation of products equal in all Countries
Co t uousinnovation screening and sharing
other Countries
in all Countries
E bl IT l tf t li d
13
Enabler: common IT platforms, centralized governance
Few examples of UGC Retail cross-Country initiatives
Unique “Business Class” service model for Small Business all over the CountriesRemote advisory model for micro-businessCommon CRM models integrating best-of-breed innovations of all CountriesCross Border Credit: extension guarantee for daugther companies in foreign Countries where UCG is present Mirrored accounts with instant balances updates between CountriesMirrored accounts with instant balances updates between CountriesCurrent accounts benefits packageJoint best of breed cross-border IT platform, by integrating best practices present in all Countries – expected beginning 2010
14
The governance is clustered into strategically differentiated areas: the Retail example
Integrate quicly and flawlessly Capitalia network:
p
Retail Italy
Become 5,000 branches entity in Italy with more than 20% MS
Continue to pursue customer base enlargement
Realize integration synergies
Complete turnaround and relaunch growth and people motivation:
Complete turnaround of unprofitable Mass Market and Small Business segmentsRetail Business segments
Grow with selectivity, become the best bank in serving Affluent segment
Germany&Austria
Keep cost of risk under tight control
15
Global Platforms to Exploit Specialization Excellence: Unicredit Consumer Financing
The Ambition: Tier 1 European player by 2011
20 25 b € t k t 10 b ( k t h f 6 8%)
g
20 - 25 bn € stock vs current 10 bn (market share of 6-8%)
~3 bn € revenues, growth pace over 2x market
7 UCG core European markets
N° 3 in PBT in the European CF league tableN 3 in PBT in the European CF league table
~ 2 bn € discounted EVA value creation for the Group
Th St t lid t d ti
Leverage existing sizeable UCG Retail distribution
Develop selectively alternative channels to accelerate
The Strategy: consolidate and grow captive business and develop new client acquisition
Develop selectively alternative channels to accelerate new clients acquisition (global partnerships, third party networks, direct channels, in branch corners)
Develop world wide best in class Credit Risk organization, processes and toolsprocesses and tools
Dedicated IT unit to speed up expansion
Build top notch capabilities: global talents recruiting and dedicated international expamsion teams
16
p
Global Platforms to Exploit Specialization Excellence: Pioneer Investments
Over Euro ~290 bn AUM(1)
Pioneer data as at the end of December 2006, where not specified
London
AUM(1)
~5 bn in alternative AUM
New YorkBoston
Miami
Dublin
MadridParis Munich
Hong Kong
WarsawPrague
Geneva
Beijing
Tel Aviv
~ 300 investment professionals worldwide
Miami
Singapore
Hong KongMilan
Geneva
2,127 employees worldwide (as at December 31, 2006)
Buenos Aires SydneyDistribution across 22 countries worldwide
17(1) Including Pioneer Austria
The glue is a common identity and a culture based on customer service
STATUSNEW BRANDSlovak Rep.
Q4/07
Ukraine
Bulgaria
Czech Rep.
Build a recognizable brand in the
Q4/07
Croatia
SerbiaMontenegro
BIH
region
Differentiate from competitors leveraging on extensive network
Hungary
Baltic area
gRomania
g gstrength
Support customer acquisition
Q4/07
Q3/07
Final decision to be taken
Russia
Slovenia
Poland
Focus on business sustainabilityand customer satisfaction
Turkey
Germany
Austria New brand launched
18
Italy
Few challenges exist to complete the path to become a truly European bankp
Local regulators prove somehow shy at accepting cross-border governance models, one have to pioneer solutions and strive for acceptanceacceptance
MIFID and other Eu regulations aims in principle to protect customers. But local regulators apply different interpretation and adoption time− Multi-country players have to deal with an un-needed complexity –
which customers behaviours differences itself wouldn’t requirewhich customers behaviours differences itself wouldn t require
Pressure to reduce / eliminate prices by regulators is often made in f i ith th C t i ith t t ki i t tname of comparison with other Countries without taking into account
differences in customer behaviour and sophistication
19