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Raution Credit Crisis 633 V.3

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Page 1: Raution Credit Crisis 633 V.3
Page 2: Raution Credit Crisis 633 V.3

Credit Crisis 2007-2008 Credit Crisis 2007-2008

By: Raution JaiswalWillamette University(Atkinson Graduate School of Management)

Page 3: Raution Credit Crisis 633 V.3

Eventful 2008Eventful 2008March - Bear Stearns: Sale to

JPMorgan @ $10; $29bn loan from Fed

July - Fannie Mae / Freddie Mac $200bn commitment

September - Lehman Brothers Holdings Files for bankruptcy sold to Barclays

September - Merrill Lynch sold to Bank of America for $50bn.

September - AIG: Treasury provides $85bn

September - Washington Mutual failed and sells branch system to JPMorgan for $1.9bn.

Page 4: Raution Credit Crisis 633 V.3

How are financial sector stocks doing?How are financial sector stocks doing?

XLF Financial Sector SPDR ETF

DJIA

Page 5: Raution Credit Crisis 633 V.3

Changing LandscapeChanging Landscape

+ +

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New bank holding companies

Page 6: Raution Credit Crisis 633 V.3

Chain ReactionChain Reaction

Page 7: Raution Credit Crisis 633 V.3

Who to blame?Who to blame?

Page 8: Raution Credit Crisis 633 V.3

Heroes & VillainsHeroes & Villains

Homeowners

Mortgage Brokers

Commercial & Investment Banks

Securities Underwriters

Credit Rating Agencies

Corporate Investors

Corporate Shareowners

Regulators

Lack of Prudence at All Levels

Page 9: Raution Credit Crisis 633 V.3

IssuesIssues

Moral hazardConflicts of InterestRegulationFinancial engineering

Page 10: Raution Credit Crisis 633 V.3

Top 8 lessons from the credit crisisTop 8 lessons from the credit crisis

1. Economy is essentially not predictable and understandable

2. Risk needs respect

3. Models have their limits

4. Regulation has its limits too

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5. (Il)liquidity is the ultimate killer

6. Monetary policy-single focus is price stability

7. Accounting can change everything

8. The double edged sword of leverage

Top 8 lessons from the credit crisisTop 8 lessons from the credit crisis

Page 12: Raution Credit Crisis 633 V.3

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