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MARKETPLACE INNOVATORS
Marketplace Innovators • Marketplace Overview
• Key Drivers and Success Factors
• Financings and Valuations
• Maturity and Consolidation
3
Marketplaces: Defined Ho
rizon
tal
Vert
ical
A platform that facilitates transactions by matching providers of goods & services with end users of these goods & services. The platform provides the
infrastructure and rules that facilitate transactions between these parties.
1995 1999 2010 2000 2008 2007 2001 2005 1996 1997 1998 2002 2003 2004 2006 2011 2012 2013 2009
4
• 500M - Internet Users
• 1B - Smartphone Shipments
• $286B - eCommerce Sales
• GMV: • eBay -$5.5B • 1B –
eBay Listings
GMV: • Alibaba – $170B • Amazon – $95B • eBay – $75B
• $1T - eCommerce Sales
• 300K – Airbnb Listings
• 250M - Internet Users
• 36M - Internet Users
• 1B - Internet Users
• 9.5% - Internet Users
• 20.0% - Internet Users
• 200M - Smartphone Shipments
Marketplaces: Evolution
Webvan Files for
Bankruptcy iPhone Launch
1B App
D-loads
10B App
D-loads
WEB 2.0
• 2B - Internet Users
GMV: • Amazon – $11B • eBay – $34B
Marketplaces: Drivers
Mobile
Marketplaces
Collaborative Consumption
Technology Urbanization
• Increased need for simple, focused experience as screen size drives efficiency and unbundling
• Pervasive connectivity and computing within cloud-based infrastructure
• Payments & location based tech allow for new business models with seamless UX
• Analytics & automation enable platforms to match market participants, delivering uniquely curated services and experiences
• Platforms facilitate base level of trust required for online transactions to occur
• Online reputation becoming more credible indication of offline trustworthiness
• People migrating to urban, densely populated areas, encouraging collaboration and sharing economy
• Underutilized assets (cars, guest rooms, leisure) provide opportunity to be monetized
5
Marketplaces: Success Factors
6
7
Marketplaces: Disruptive Lending Case
Demand Supply
• As interest rates drop, capital suppliers seek increased returns while capital consumers refinance existed debt with cheaper capital
• Marketplace lending reduces infrastructure costs by operating virtually • Technology leverages validated analytical automation tools and real-time
system transparency
Refinancing 61%
Credit Card Payoff 22%
Use of Proceeds
Source: LendingClub Source: Federal Reserve
Other 17%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
$-
$1,000
$2,000
$3,000
$4,000
$5,000
$6,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Mill
ions
Loans Outstanding 2 YR Treasury Yield
8
Marketplaces: Verticalization
48% 67% 74% 78% 81% 87%
52% 33% 26% 22% 19% 13%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
<2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Vertical Horizontal
Vertical vs. Horizontal Invested Capital Global Internet & Mobile Penetration (%)
Source: International Telecommunications Union
Vertical-specific marketplaces provide a simple, focused solution for a specific purpose. As mobile traffic accelerates, vertical marketplaces have a distinct advantage in creating simple, streamlined solutions more suited to mobile
apps.
0%5%
10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Internet Mobile
Horizontal Formation Vertical Formation
Source: Public & SVBA Proprietary Data
$3.0
$3.1
$3.2 $3.7 $4.0
$4.5
$4.9
$2.0
$5.0 $6.0
$6.7
$8.2
$0.0$1.0$2.0$3.0$4.0$5.0$6.0$7.0$8.0$9.0
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Series A (Internet Index) Series A (Marketplaces)
9
Marketplaces: Burn Capital Se
ries A
Size
Com
paris
on
Scale to Capture Network Effects
$8.2 $10.0 $12.0 $15.0 $15.0
$18.0
$17.5 $17.0 $13.7
$19.4
$36.0 $30.0
$0.0
$10.0
$20.0
$30.0
$40.0
$50.0
$60.0
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Series C (Internet Index) Series C (Marketplaces)
“Marketplace platforms are neither easy to start nor easy to scale” – Foundation Capital
Serie
s C S
ize C
ompa
rison
Build a Two-Sided Network
Marketplaces have been raising greater amounts of capital both in getting started and when scaling, and despite larger rounds, they raise capital more
quickly and as often as less capital intensive start-ups
Series A B C
Days Marketplaces Internet Index
400 460
540 580
A B C Round
Source: Public & SVBA Proprietary Data
Marketplaces: Monopoly
10
Winner Takes (Almost) All
Post
Mon
ey /
Inve
sted
Cap
ital
x
5x
10x
15x
20x
25x
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
A majority of vertical marketplace financings are around 2x-4x of invested capital. Yet, as market leaders emerge, these leaders raise significantly more
capital at much higher valuations of 8x-15x, more than quadruple invested capital multiples of smaller followers. Network effects within the specialized
nature of vertical marketplaces create this “winner take all” dynamic
Mkt. Leaders
Followers
Source: Public & SVBA Proprietary Data
Marketplaces: Maturing
11
As clear winners establish themselves, there is less opportunity to disrupt larger established verticals, so investment into growth stage companies
increases for those with developed networks
Series B and C rounds represented 60% of rounds in 2014
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Seed Series A Series B Series C n = 140 Perc
enta
ge o
f tot
al fi
nanc
ing
roun
ds
Increasing later stage rounds
Source: Public & SVBA Proprietary Data
12
Marketplaces: Saturation & Consolidation
Total Invested Capital ($MM’s)
$0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 $1,400 $1,600 $1,800 $2,000 $2,200
Logistics
Education
Real Estate
Retail
Services
Hospitality
Financial
Food Delivery
Transportation
Seed
Series A
Series B
Series C
Series D+
65% of acquisitions occur within 2 years of raising the first round and have raised less than $20M.
As verticals declare winners, consolidate vertically, and finance for growth, cross-vertical consolidation of adjacent vertical markets is around the corner
Sectors are increasingly saturated with capital
n = 140
Source: Public & SVBA Proprietary Data
13
Marketplaces: Vertical Expansion Case
Localized delivery struggled as the costs of infrastructure limited applications of the model, but the technology advances providing for leverage of
underutilized capacity assets significantly decreases the cost of localization, below that of established global infrastructure
$18b
$50b
14
Marketplaces: Conclusions
1 Enabled by advancing enablement technology, digital social footprints and smart mobile proliferation, marketplaces are only now fulfilling the vertical economies of scale anticipated in the dotcom boom
2 Compared to other internet business models, marketplaces consume significantly more capital at a more rapid pace to establish the network effect required to drive market leadership to reap the outsized returns provided to the winners
3 Digital marketplaces continue to rapidly disrupt traditional markets burdened with significant transactional friction, increasing the direct-to-consumer opportunities for suppliers derived from user-centric massive scale platforms
4 As marketplaces reach critical mass in targeted verticals, expansion into adjacent market verticals will create consolidation opportunities in the coming decade as experienced in horizontal markets over the past two decades
5 While the vast majority of M&A activity are smaller core intra-vertical talent and technology acquisitions, vertical market economies of scale within specialized scope will deliver multiple $50B+ companies in the next 3-7 years.
15
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This material, including without limitation the statistical information herein, is provided for informational purposes only. The material is based in part upon information from third-party sources that we believe to be reliable, but which has not been independently verified by SVB Financial Group and, as such, we do not represent that the information is accurate or complete. The information should not be viewed as tax, investment, legal or other advice nor is it to be relied on in making an investment or other decisions. You should obtain relevant and specific professional advice before making any investment decision. Nothing relating to the material should be construed as a solicitation or offer to acquire or dispose of any investment or transaction. Companies mentioned herein may or may not be clients of SVB Analytics or SVB Financial Group.
©2014 SVB Financial Group. All rights reserved. Member Federal Reserve System. SVB>, SVB>Find a way, SVB Financial Group, and Silicon Valley Bank are registered trademarks. SVB Analytics is a member of SVB Financial Group and a non-bank affiliate of Silicon Valley Bank. Products and services offered by SVB Analytics are not FDIC insured and are not deposits or other obligations of Silicon Valley Bank. SVB Analytics does not provide tax or legal advice. Please consult your tax or legal advisors for such guidance. Rev. 06-17-13