Transcript
Page 1: Qantas Investor Day · Qantas Investor Day Colin Storrie CFO Qantas Overview ... Financial Risk Management - Fuel & FX [Disciplined and consistent approach to hedging [Utilise correlations

Qantas Investor Day

Alan Joyce

CEO Qantas

Investor Day Overview

Strategy review

Meet the Executive Team

Business updates

Page 2: Qantas Investor Day · Qantas Investor Day Colin Storrie CFO Qantas Overview ... Financial Risk Management - Fuel & FX [Disciplined and consistent approach to hedging [Utilise correlations

The GFC - Decisive Action

Flying operations

Capital expenditure

Cash flow

Cost base

Management structure

Executive Team

Page 3: Qantas Investor Day · Qantas Investor Day Colin Storrie CFO Qantas Overview ... Financial Risk Management - Fuel & FX [Disciplined and consistent approach to hedging [Utilise correlations

Our Goals

Key Priorities

Maximising power of two brand strategy

Improving the international business

Building on a profit maximising 65% domestic market share

Optimising portfolio businesses and investments

Page 4: Qantas Investor Day · Qantas Investor Day Colin Storrie CFO Qantas Overview ... Financial Risk Management - Fuel & FX [Disciplined and consistent approach to hedging [Utilise correlations

Qantas Investor Day

Colin Storrie

CFO Qantas

Overview

Recap of FY09 financial management

Sustainable returns to shareholders

Two brand strategy - getting the balance right

Capital expenditure

Financial risk management

Giving investors more

Page 5: Qantas Investor Day · Qantas Investor Day Colin Storrie CFO Qantas Overview ... Financial Risk Management - Fuel & FX [Disciplined and consistent approach to hedging [Utilise correlations

Recap FY09 - Financial

Full year profit before tax of $181 million

Operating cash flow $1.1 billion

Increase in net cash of $1.0 billion to $3.6 billion

Deferral and cancellation of US$7.9 billion capex1

Aircraft funding in place to October 2010

Investment grade credit rating

1. Based on list prices

Sustainable Returns to Shareholders

Stronger links between capital allocation and value creation

Integrated decision making framework

Financial planning and strategic planning

Investment evaluation and capital allocation

Reporting and performance measurement

Shareholder communications

Page 6: Qantas Investor Day · Qantas Investor Day Colin Storrie CFO Qantas Overview ... Financial Risk Management - Fuel & FX [Disciplined and consistent approach to hedging [Utilise correlations

Getting the Balance Right

Capacity allocation decisions made at Group level

Network requirements assessed at flying segment level

Executive short term incentive plans linked to Group performance, not just flying segment

Capital allocation based on expected returns

Capital Expenditure

B737-800

A380-800

A330-200

A320 family

Q400

3 5

2 1

9 8

3 6

6

$1.7bn $2.7bn

FY10 FY11

0

Annual spend including non-aircraft capexCapex

Page 7: Qantas Investor Day · Qantas Investor Day Colin Storrie CFO Qantas Overview ... Financial Risk Management - Fuel & FX [Disciplined and consistent approach to hedging [Utilise correlations

Financial Risk Management - FX

Remainder of FY10 operational FX is 70% hedged at a worst case rate of around AUD0.7200

Half of this hedging is in outright options

FOREIGN CURRENCY EXPOSURE

GBPEURNZDJPYHKD&CNYOtherUSAUDAUD

Foreign currency net

receipts

Net USD cost base

AUD residual

Financial Risk Management - Fuel & FX

Disciplined and consistent approach to hedging

Utilise correlations between fuel and FX markets

Relationship is statistically significant but has risks

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

Jan-05 Jun-05 Dec-05 Jun-06 Nov-06 May-07 Nov-07 May-08 Oct-08 Apr-09 Oct-09

USD

per

bar

rel

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1.0

AU

D/U

SD

Crude (LHS) AUD/USD (RHS)

Crude Prices Versus AUD/USD Rates

Page 8: Qantas Investor Day · Qantas Investor Day Colin Storrie CFO Qantas Overview ... Financial Risk Management - Fuel & FX [Disciplined and consistent approach to hedging [Utilise correlations

Giving Investors More

More comprehensive information

Qantas Data Book

QFF information sessions

Qantas Investor Day

Qantas Operations

Lyell Strambi

Group Executive

Qantas Operations

Page 9: Qantas Investor Day · Qantas Investor Day Colin Storrie CFO Qantas Overview ... Financial Risk Management - Fuel & FX [Disciplined and consistent approach to hedging [Utilise correlations

Integrated Airline

Simplified structure

Faster decision making

Remove duplicate corporate

functions

Focus on costs

Integrated management

Q Future

Program to position Qantas for profitable growth

Transformational change

$1.5bn margin improvement targeted

33 initiatives

Initiatives span across the business

Page 10: Qantas Investor Day · Qantas Investor Day Colin Storrie CFO Qantas Overview ... Financial Risk Management - Fuel & FX [Disciplined and consistent approach to hedging [Utilise correlations

Right Aircraft

B787

A380-800

A330-200

20 12

7 0

25 25

Order

s

B737-800 69 30

4

6

0

41

Rights

to

Purch

ase

Delive

red

Q400 21 24 16

Qantas Fleet Renewal

Customer Service – On Time

Domestic on time departures – Qantas leads 10 of last 12 Months

Source: BITRE

Sep 09Aug 09July 09Jun 09May 09Apr 09Mar 09Feb 09Jan 09Dec 08Nov 08 Oct 09

Page 11: Qantas Investor Day · Qantas Investor Day Colin Storrie CFO Qantas Overview ... Financial Risk Management - Fuel & FX [Disciplined and consistent approach to hedging [Utilise correlations

Operational Efficiency

Aircraft utilisation

Fleet configuration

Labour supply and productivity

Facility optimisation

Right skill, right place

Automation

Strategic sourcing

Equipment optimisation

QFuture

Safety and Environment

Rob Kella

Chief Risk Officer

Page 12: Qantas Investor Day · Qantas Investor Day Colin Storrie CFO Qantas Overview ... Financial Risk Management - Fuel & FX [Disciplined and consistent approach to hedging [Utilise correlations

Safety Perceptions

Domestic Market - Perception as a Safe Airline

70%

63%

83%81%

66%

82%

89%85%

83%74%76%

79%

Oct

-08

Nov

-08

Dec

-08

Jan-

09

Feb-

09

Mar

-09

Apr

-09

May

-09

Jun-

09

Jul-0

9

Aug

-09

Sep-

09

Oct

-09

Our First Priority

Safety policies, systems and procedures reflect this

commitment

CASA approval of safety management system

World class aviation safety practices

Reduced workplace injury frequency rates

Focus on injury prevention

Page 13: Qantas Investor Day · Qantas Investor Day Colin Storrie CFO Qantas Overview ... Financial Risk Management - Fuel & FX [Disciplined and consistent approach to hedging [Utilise correlations

Environment

Strong focus on fuel conservation

Investing in fuel efficient aircraft

Working with AsA to improve air traffic management

Involvement in efforts to develop sustainable aviation fuel

Preparing for carbon trading readiness

Australian FY09 CO2-e emissions of 4.2 million tonnes

Inclusion in sustainability indices

Customer Service Excellence

Lesley Grant

Executive Manager

Customer and Marketing

Page 14: Qantas Investor Day · Qantas Investor Day Colin Storrie CFO Qantas Overview ... Financial Risk Management - Fuel & FX [Disciplined and consistent approach to hedging [Utilise correlations

Next Generation Premium Airline

An exceptional baseline experience for all customers

Extraordinary experience for high value flyers

Recognised advocacy leader

Excellence in product and service design

Lower cost to serve

A strong, profitable growth story

Key Strategic Priorities

Establish a deep understanding of customers, their needs and choice drivers

Deliver consistently across the customer experience

Evolve the brand position to reconnect and establish relevance

Improve marketing effectiveness across existing and emerging channels

Better leverage the Qantas Frequent Flyer program

Page 15: Qantas Investor Day · Qantas Investor Day Colin Storrie CFO Qantas Overview ... Financial Risk Management - Fuel & FX [Disciplined and consistent approach to hedging [Utilise correlations

Product and Service Innovation

A380, B738

First Lounges

Premium Economy

Airport of the Future

Connectivity

Centre of Service Excellence

eXceptional - customer service training

Reconfigurations

Retention of First cabins on key markets

Right sizing First and Business cabins to demand

Upgrade of product on B7441

1. Where B744 is part of long-term fleet plan

Page 16: Qantas Investor Day · Qantas Investor Day Colin Storrie CFO Qantas Overview ... Financial Risk Management - Fuel & FX [Disciplined and consistent approach to hedging [Utilise correlations

Qantas Commercial and Freight

Rob Gurney Group Executive

Qantas Commercial

Best for Business

Network, product, service and brand assets

Value enhancing partnerships with corporate clients

Proactive SME acquisition program

Leading loyalty program

Premium business facilities

Utilising alliance partner networks

Consistent leadership in on time performance

Page 17: Qantas Investor Day · Qantas Investor Day Colin Storrie CFO Qantas Overview ... Financial Risk Management - Fuel & FX [Disciplined and consistent approach to hedging [Utilise correlations

Small to Medium Sized Businesses (SME)

Strong base with opportunity to grow

Strong suite of products

Customer segmentation insights

Enhanced customer offering

Corporate and Government

Aggressively competing for share of Corporate & Government

Business

Whole Of Australian Government

Separate domestic and international tenders

Panel approach to appointing airlines

Government evaluation underway

Announcement scheduled late Dec 2009

Page 18: Qantas Investor Day · Qantas Investor Day Colin Storrie CFO Qantas Overview ... Financial Risk Management - Fuel & FX [Disciplined and consistent approach to hedging [Utilise correlations

Drive Improvement in Contribution Margin

Leverage strong channel management

Transition of direct channels into profit centres

Maximise ancillary revenue and cost recovery opportunities

Strategic alignment with distribution partners

qantas.com

Developing an integrated premium travel site with appeal to a

global audience

qantas.com available in over 30 countries and 7 languages

Proven market reach with 8 million visits per month

Integrated sale of ancillary products

Growth of servicing and customer communications

Active in social media

Frequent Flyer business supported through full account

management and ability to redeem flights and other product

Page 19: Qantas Investor Day · Qantas Investor Day Colin Storrie CFO Qantas Overview ... Financial Risk Management - Fuel & FX [Disciplined and consistent approach to hedging [Utilise correlations

-10.9%

-12.4%

-13.4%

-13.8%

-14.5%

-14.7%

-23.0%

British Airways

Qantas Group

Qantas

Lufthansa

American Airlines

United Airlines

Singapore Airlines

Qantas Yield per ASK Performance

Period = Jul-Sep09, except for BA (Apr-Sep09)

Qantas September Quarter yield performance

Based on publicly available information

Yield Recovery

Rebuild yield as demand recovers

Recalibration of pricing structures

Effective capacity management

Key account retention

Page 20: Qantas Investor Day · Qantas Investor Day Colin Storrie CFO Qantas Overview ... Financial Risk Management - Fuel & FX [Disciplined and consistent approach to hedging [Utilise correlations

International Competition

-12 -13 -14 -14 -17

10 7 7 8 11

-2.8 -2.9-3.3

-2.5

+1.9+1.5

+2.1

+1.2

+4.1

0.6

April May June July August

Qantas Capacity VLY Other Carriers Capacity VLY

Qantas Seat Factor VLY Other Carriers Seat Factor VLY

Prudent capacity managementImproved Qantas seat factor

Mixed policies and resultsOther airlines adverse seat factor

International Network

Prudent capacity adjustments to mitigate GFC

A380 rollout on key routes

Maintained footprint & frequency to meet needs of business

customers

Building integrated network with Jetstar brands

Deepen Alliance partnerships to support network growth

Page 21: Qantas Investor Day · Qantas Investor Day Colin Storrie CFO Qantas Overview ... Financial Risk Management - Fuel & FX [Disciplined and consistent approach to hedging [Utilise correlations

International Network Competitive Environment

UK/Europe

USA

Asia

Domestic

Effective deployment of two brand strategy to defend share

Virgin Blue reduced capacity SYD/MEL

Network growth opportunities as demand returns

Well placed for economic recovery

Page 22: Qantas Investor Day · Qantas Investor Day Colin Storrie CFO Qantas Overview ... Financial Risk Management - Fuel & FX [Disciplined and consistent approach to hedging [Utilise correlations

Qantas Freight Enterprises

Structure

Managing through the downturn

Maximising returns from core assets

Freight environment

Structure

• Belly space (QA and JQ)

• Freighters (leased)

• Terminals• Express

Freighters• Jets Transport

• DPEX (Asia)• Jupiter Air

Oceania (Aust)

• AaE• Star Track

Express

Air Freight

AirFreight

International Express

InternationalExpress

Domestic Express (JVs)

DomesticExpress (JVs)

Qantas Freight Enterprises

Qantas FreightEnterprises

Page 23: Qantas Investor Day · Qantas Investor Day Colin Storrie CFO Qantas Overview ... Financial Risk Management - Fuel & FX [Disciplined and consistent approach to hedging [Utilise correlations

Managing Through the Downturn

Focus on maximising value from existing assets

Key management priorities

Growing international bellyspace revenue

Improving B747 freighter margins

Maximising Returns from Core Assets

Long term freight footprint aimed at ensuring optimal return

from core airline assets and positions

Bellyspace and airside property

Freighters to supplement bellyspace

Realising the full value of existing time definite joint

ventures

Page 24: Qantas Investor Day · Qantas Investor Day Colin Storrie CFO Qantas Overview ... Financial Risk Management - Fuel & FX [Disciplined and consistent approach to hedging [Utilise correlations

Freight Environment

Increasing activity noted since start of financial year

Demand for ad hoc freighter work

RFTKs however remain below last year to date

Yield improvement remains challenging however progressing

positively

Joint Ventures (AaE & STE) performing ahead of expectation

Jetstar

David Koczkar

Executive Manager Commercial

Simon Westaway

Head of Corporate Relations

Page 25: Qantas Investor Day · Qantas Investor Day Colin Storrie CFO Qantas Overview ... Financial Risk Management - Fuel & FX [Disciplined and consistent approach to hedging [Utilise correlations

The Qantas Two Brand Strategy

Qantas - Best premium airline

Jetstar - Best low fares airline

Low fares leadership

Continual cost reduction

Building hassle-free product and service offering

Continued innovation through technology

Growth in ancillary revenue streams

Investment in people

Recap FY09 - Financial(Jetstar, Jetstar Asia, Jetstar Pacific)

Record PBT $137 million – increase of 18%

Revenue $1.85 billion – increase of 18%

13.9 million passengers1 – increase of 18.8%

14% increase in capacity

Largest low cost carrier in Asia in 20092

1. Excluding Jetstar Pacific

2. Based on revenue

Page 26: Qantas Investor Day · Qantas Investor Day Colin Storrie CFO Qantas Overview ... Financial Risk Management - Fuel & FX [Disciplined and consistent approach to hedging [Utilise correlations

Growth in Australian Domestic Market

8.1 million domestic passengers in FY09

17.4% market share1 in FY09 up from 15.2% in FY08

1. By ASK

8 new Jetstar

routes launched

in 2009

Successful Expansion in Japan and NZ

Transfer of Japan routes generated significant PBT turnaround

Largest airline between Japan and Australia (21 services pw)

Protecting group slots in Tokyo

Top 100 brand in Japan

New Zealand domestic operation launched in June 2009

Positive contribution in first full month

Ongoing sustainable performance and strong seat factors

On time performance improved 79%, 76%, 85% (Jul - Sep)

Actively assessing growth options

Page 27: Qantas Investor Day · Qantas Investor Day Colin Storrie CFO Qantas Overview ... Financial Risk Management - Fuel & FX [Disciplined and consistent approach to hedging [Utilise correlations

Growth in Asia

Alignment between Jetstar and Jetstar Asia – important foundation

Operating synergies of SGD20m per annum

19 destinations ex-Singapore

Significant achievements in Jetstar Pacific

34% growth in passenger numbers year-to-date

Costs reduced by 29%

Increased market share from 14% to 23%

Committed to growth in Asia

46% growth in Singapore over next 12 months

Entry into mainland China (Dec 2009 – Haikou)

Fleet of 10 A320s by Jun 2010

Growing Asian Footprint

Page 28: Qantas Investor Day · Qantas Investor Day Colin Storrie CFO Qantas Overview ... Financial Risk Management - Fuel & FX [Disciplined and consistent approach to hedging [Utilise correlations

Fleet Growth

A320 family deliveries advanced to provide FY10 growth

3 incremental aircraft for Singapore business

4 incremental aircraft for Australian/New Zealand businesses

2 new aircraft to replace existing older aircraft

4 to 5 additional A330-200s for Jetstar International growth

Technology and Innovation

Streamlining airport experience

Self-check more than 50%

Introduction of SMS boarding passes – trials late 2009

Launch of Jetstar MasterCard

JetSaver Light

Price leadership – Low Fares Finder at Jetstar.com

Bookings via mobile phone at Jetstar.com

Expansion of distribution channels – interline partners,

payment options


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