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January 2009

Curriculum Vitae Prof. Iwan Jaya Azis Cornell University Office: - West Sibley Hall, Room 213 Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14853, USA Tel:607-255-4271; Fax: 607-255-1971

E-mail: [email protected] Homepages: http://www.iwanazis.net

http://www.johnson.cornell.edu/faculty/profiles/Azis/ http://www.crp.cornell.edu/people/profile.mgi?f=ija1&g=r

Home: 7 Lowell Pl, Ithaca, NY 14850, USA; ______________________________________________________________________________ EDUCATION PHd 1983 Cornell University, Ithaca, New York MSc 1982 Cornell University, Ithaca, New York B.A 1978 Faculty of Economics, University of Indonesia (FEUI) WORKING EXPERIENCE

1976-77 Teaching Assistant, Faculty of Economics University of Indonesia (FEUI) 1978-1982 Lecturer, Faculty of Economics University of Indonesia (FEUI) 1979-1982 Researcher, Institute for Economic & Social Research (LPEM), Faculty of Economics Univesity of Indonesia 1982 Visiting Lecturer, Cornell University 1983 Visiting Assistant Professor, Cornell University 1983-1993 Research Associate, Institute for Economic & Social Research (LPEM), Faculty of Economics Univesity of Indonesia 1984-1993 Chairman, Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics University of Indonesia (FEUI) 1984- 1993 Head, Department of Economics in the Graduate Faculty, University of Indonesia (FPSUI) 1986 Visiting Professor, International Institute for Studies and Training, MITI-Japan. 1987-1993 Director, Inter-University Center for Economics University of Indonesia (IUC-EC-UI) 1987-1989 Member, Research Department (LP3E) Indonesia's Chamber of Commerce 1990-2002 Economic Forecaster in the LINK World Econometric Group 1992: Committee Member, Working Group on the World Economic Outlook, 1993-2000, CDP-United Nations, Geneva. 1992 -2002: Adjunct Professor, Regional Science and City and Regional Planning, Cornell University 1996-2005: Professor, Faculty of Economics, University of Indonesia 2000 -2004: Visiting Professor, Johnson Graduate School of Management, Cornell University 1995/96 & 1997 Senior Consultant, Research Triangle Institute (RTI), North Carolina. 1999-January 2003: Visiting Scholar, Asian Development Bank Institute, Tokyo (for summer and winter semester)

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2001-2004 (each summer) and 2007 (September-December): Visiting Scholar, Asian Development Bank Institute, Tokyo 2003-now: Research Consultant, Indonesian Central Bank (Bank Indonesia)

2005-now: Adjunct Professor, Johnson Graduate School of Management, Cornell University 2003-now: Professor, Regional Science and CRP, Cornell University 2004 (winter): Visiting Professor, Australian National University 2004- January 2005: Visiting Professor, Gakushuin University, Tokyo-Japan 2005-now Director of Graduate Study, Regional Science, Cornell University 2006-now President, Regional Science and Economic Research Network (RSERN) 2007-now Graduate Committee of the Graduate School, Cornell University (member) FELLOWSHIPS, RESEARCH GRANTS AND RECOGNITION - US-State Department, International Student Leader Program (1975) - United Nations Center for Regional Development, Nagoya (Spring 1979) - The Ford Foundation, 1979 - The World Bank, 1981 - The USAID, 1982-1983 - Asia & Pacific Development Center, Kuala Lumpur, 1986 - Japan's Ministry of International Trade and Industry (MITI), Fall 1986 - Eisenhower Exchange Foundation, USA (Spring, 1989) - Netherlands Universities Foundation For International Cooperation (NUFFIC) and Erasmus University (Rotterdam), Spring 1990 - International Development Research Center, IDRC of Canada (1989-1990) - Salzburg Conference-USAID, Austria, 1993 - World Bank, through the Inter-University Center for Economics (1992-93) IPS & ISEAS, Singapore, July 1992 - Asian Development Bank Institute, Tokyo, for a research on modeling the sequence of the Asian financial crisis and counterfactual simulations (2000-2001). - Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Washington DC, for preparing a manuscript on the role of

institutions in a crisis (1999) - Asian Development Bank Institute, Tokyo, for a research on corporate behavior and macroeconomic vulnerability (2000-2002), for a research on linking financial crisis and poverty, on quantifying the perspectives of the IMF and alternative views on the Asian financial crisis, on current account and capital account liberalization (2001-2002), and on macroeconomic policy and poverty (2007)

- World Bank-IFPRI, Washington DC, for a research on modeling the financial crisis (2000-2001). - Asian Development Bank Institute, Tokyo, for a research on current account and capital account liberalization (2001-2002) - Asian Development Bank Institute, Tokyo, - Institute for Advance Studies, United Nations University, for research on Sustainable Development Project (1999- 2001) - The Heritage Foundation, Washington D.C (1990-2002), International Expert - The Heritage Foundation, Washington D.C (2003-), U.S Experts - Ford Foundation and the New School University, New York, for research on “Globalization, Growth and Distribution” (2000-2002) - Asian Development Bank Institute, Tokyo, for a research on Modeling External Liberalization, (2001-2002) - Asian Development Bank Institute, Tokyo, Coordinator of a research on Sequencing Trade and Financial Liberalization in China, (2001-2002) - Center for International Development (CID), Harvard University, research on modeling financial crisis (2001) - Foundation for Sustainable National Income Research, The Hague, The Netherlands, (2003-) selected member of Committee of Recommendation - International Food Policy Research Institute (2003-2004), for a research on modeling the impact of macroeconomic policies on agricultural sector and socio-economic indicators -Initiative for Policy Dialogue, Columbia University and the DESA-United Nations (2004-) -Listed in the AcademicKeys “Who's Who in Business Higher Education”

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-United Nations Development Program (UNDP), The Impact of Higher Oil Price on the Macroeconomic and Poverty Conditions in Asia Pacific Countries (2005-2006) -Award: “Distinguished Scholar in Regional Science, Financial Economics, and Economic Modeling,” awarded during the 13th International Conference on Advances in Management (ICAM) at the Instituto Superior de Ciencias do Trabalho e da Empresa (ISCTE) Business School, Lisbon, Portugal, July 21, 2006. - Principal researcher, “Debt Management” sponsored by Initiates for Policy Dialogue, Columbia University, New York, 2006 -Award: best paper on “Regional Financial Arrangement,” in the IX Symposium on Decision Making, Vina del Mar, Chile, August 3-6, 2007. -Advisory role in the DIG research on” Financing Scheme for Housing for The Poor,” funded by Gates Foundation -Research and travel grant, Southeast Asian Program, Cornell University, 2006-7 -Advisor for the central bank project on “Construction of Financial Social Accounting Matrix,” (2006-2008) -Asian Development Bank Institute, for research on “Macroeconomic Policy and Poverty” (2007-2008) -United National Development Program (UNDP) for research on “Institutional Factors in Decentralization.” (2008-2009) MEMBERSHIP: - American Economic Association (1983-) - Indonesian Economists Association, (1978-) - East Asian Economic Association (1997-) - Eisenhower Foundation, ex-fellow - LINK World Econometric Group (1990-) - Pacific Economic Outlook - PECC (1991-2003) - International Symposium on the Analytic Hierarchy Process(1994-) - Pan-African Studies and Research Center in International Relations and Education for Development (1997-2002) - Peace Science Society (1996-) - University Seminar on Southeast Asia in World Affairs (1997-2001), Columbia University - Review of Urban and Regional Development Studies, Tokyo International University (editor) - Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies, Australian National University (international editor) - Journal of Education for Business (consulting editor) - Fernand Braudel Institute of World Economics, Sao Paolo, Brazil (since 1998) - Economists Allied for Arms Reduction – ECAAR (1997-). - Southeast Asia program, Cornell University, Executive Committee - Rural Development Research Consortium, University of California, Berkeley(2003-) -Foundation for Sustainable National Income Research, The Hague, The Netherlands, (2003-) -Bulletin of Monetary Economic and Banking, Advisory Board -UNCTAD’s Knowledge Network on Debt Management, Member -Indonesian Regional Science Association (IRSA), Advisory Board -Field of Public Affairs, CIPA-Cornell University, member -International Conference on Advances in Management (member) -Center for Local Government Innovation (CLGI), Board o Trustees (member) -Debt Network, United Nations Commission for Trade and Development (UNCTAD)-member -Asian Peace Science Network (APSN), founder -Regional Science and Economic Research Network (RSERN), President CONSULTING

1989 & 1996: Macroeconomist/Consultant to the Asian Development Bank (ADB), on Macroeconomic Forecasting for “Asian Development Outlook,” Manila (January) 1989-1991: Member of the Consulting Team, Ministry of Industry, Republic of Indonesia 1992 Short-term Consultant for the Government of Columbia on "Impact of Increased Oil Revenues." 1995/96 & 1997: Senior Consultant, on "Strengthening Local Finance" for the Research Triangle Institute (RTI), North Carolina.

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1994: The World Bank and HIID, "Manejo De Una Bonanza Petrolera: Lecciones Para Colombia De La Experiencia De Indonesia", Santafe de Bogota 1997-2000: for the Asian Development Bank (ADB), for the preparation of Asian Development Outlook 1998: Expert Group Member, United Nations, DESA, New York, on “Implementation of the provisions of the Charter of the United Nations related to assistance to third States affected by the application of sanctions” 1998: Expert Group Member, United Nations, DESA, in cooperation with the Regional Commissions of the United Nations: “What Have We Learned One Year Into the Financial Crisis in Emerging-Market Economies?” 1999-2001: Sustainable Development, Institute for Advance Study, United Nations University, Tokyo 2004-2006: standing Peer Reviewer, World Bank’s Program on Indonesia’s Poverty Analysis 2003-2006: research program for Bank Indonesia (Indonesian Central Bank) 2005-2006: research program on the analysis of oil price impact (United Nations Development Program (UNDP)) 2005-2006: for the United Nations Development Program (UNDP) on the analysis of poverty impact of higher oil price in Asia Pacific Countries 2007-2008: research consultant, the central bank of Indonesia 2008: for the United Nations Development Program (UNDP) on the analysis of institutions in decentralization TEACHING AND RECENT RESEARCH ACTIVITIES:

Teach a course on “Economics of Financial Crises,” NBA595, Johnson Graduate School of Management, Cornell University

Teach a course on “Macroeconomics and International Trade,” NBA524, Johnson Graduate School of Management, Cornell University

Taught a course on “Contemporary Development of Southeast Asia,” NBA581, Johnson Graduate School of Management, Cornell University (on Spring 2000)

Teach a course on “Planning and Policy Analysis,” CRP732 or CRP609, City and Regional Planning, Cornell University

Project Leader, research on “Sustainable Development Framework,” funded by the Institute of Advanced Studies, UN University, Tokyo-Japan (2000-2002)

Principal Researcher, on “Modeling the Effects of Financial Crises on Income Distribution and Poverty,” IFPRI-World Bank-Washington DC (2002)

Principal Researcher, on “From Corporate Behavior to Macroeconomic Performance: Modeling the Evolution of Crisis,” on “Current Account and Capital Account Liberalization,” on “Sequencing External Liberalization in China,” on “Evaluation of the IMF Role in the Asian Financial Crisis,” and on “Macroeconomic Policy and Poverty,” all are sponsored by the Asian Development Bank Institute

Country’ Project Leader, research on “Globalization, Growth and Distribution: The Case of Indonesia” funded by the Ford Foundation and the New School University, New York (2001-2002).

Principal Researcher, “Promoting Growth and Development in Indonesia, A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis,” for IFPRI, Washington DC (Spring, 2004).

Researcher, “Managing Sovereign Debt” sponsored by the Initiative for Policy Dialogue, Columbia University and the United Nations, coordinated by Joseph Stiglitz and Ocampo

Principal Researcher, “ The Impact of Higher Oil Price on the Macroeconomic and Poverty Conditions in Asia Pacific Countries” (for UNDP, 2005-2006)

Principal Researcher,” Policy and Institutions in Decentralization,” (for Bank Indonesia and Central Bureau of Statistics, 2006-2008)

Researcher, “Ten Years after the Crisis,” for Asia Panel, Brookings Institute, Washington DC, April 2007 Research adviser, “Cornell Impact Study,” for Cornell University, 2008-now Principal researcher, “Macroeconomic Policy and Poverty,” sponsored by the Asian Development Bank

Institute, 2007-2008 Principal Researcher, “Institutional Factors in Decentralization,” (for UNDP, 2008-2009)

BOOKS: "Interregional Interaction: The Case of Capital Movement," Pembimbing Masa, 1985 (coed), "Indonesian Economy: Problems and Prospect 1986/87" (in Indonesian), UI-Press 1986

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(coed), "Indonesian Economy: Problems and Prospect 1986/87" (in Indonesian), UI-Press, 1987 (coed), "Indonesian Economy: Overview and Prospect 1987/88" (in Indonesian), UI-Press, 1988 (coed), "Indonesian Economy: Problems and Prospect 1989/90," (in Indonesian), UI-Press, 1989 (coed), "Indonesian Economic Prospect 1990-1991 and the Human Resource Development" (in Indonesian), LP-FEUI, 1990 (coed), "Topics in Economic Concepts" (in Indonesian), LP-FEUI, 1990. (coed), "Short-term Prospect of Indonesian Economy and the Sources of Finance" (in Indonesian), Gramedia, 1992. (coed), "Spatial Development in Indonesia: Review and Prospects," Avebury London, 1992. (coed), "The Thinking, Implementation, and Pioneering of Economic Development" (in Indonesian), Gramedia 1992. "Regional Economics and Its Applications in Indonesia" (in Indonesian), compilation of the author's papers, compiled by Marsudi Djojodipuro, 1994. "Indonesia's Economic Democracy" (in Indonesian), author's papers compiled by Siahaan, H.M & Tjahjo Purnomo W, in The Nature of Indonesia's Economic Democracy, Yayasan Keluarga Bhakti Surabaya, 1993 "Indonesian Economy: Policy Dynamics in 1990s," published by USINDO, Washington D.C, 1997 (with Walter Isard et.al), “Methods of Interregional and Regional Analysis,” Ashgate, Aldershot, U.K. and Brookfield, 1998 “Crisis Management and Regional Cooperation,' Elsevier Ltd, Oxford, United Kingdom (forthcoming) “Elements of Financial Crisis,” World Scientific (forthcoming) RESEARCH REPORTS AND CONFERENCE PAPERS/PRESENTATION. 1978 Long Term Perspective of the Indonesian Economy 2000 (in Indonesian), in LPEM-FEUI Research Report for the Ministry of Research and Technology. Indonesian Economic Perspective During 1977-1987, in LPEM-FEUI Research Report for UNILEVER 1979 Construction Sector in Repelita III 1979/1980 - 1983/1984 (in Indonesian), LPEM-FEUI Research Report For The Ministry of Public Works Highlights of the Indonesian Economy, Paper Presented in the "Asian Dialogue - Second Odawara Symposium, Japan 1982 Interregional Capital Movement: A Simple Model, Paper Presented in the "North Eastern Regional Science Conference", SUNY-USA

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1983 A Model of Interregional Capital Movement, Paper Presented in the "8th Pacific Regional Science Conference, Tokyo-Japan Priority Ranking for Decision Making: A Model (in Indonesian), Paper Presented in the Training for Scientific Press and Press Profession - University of Indonesia 1985 Baseline: South Sumatera (in Indonesian), LPEM-FEUI Project Leader for Bank of Indonesia A Study on Interregional Capital Movement (in Indonesian), Paper Presented in the Seminar for Senior Researchers, Ministry of Education and Culture A Note on The Approach For NUDS Scenarios, A Recommendation for the "National and Urban Development Strategy", UNDP-Ministry of Public Works Interregional Disparity of Development in Indonesia: Jawa Versus Non-Jawa (in Indonesian), Paper Presented in the Bogor Institute of Agriculture (IPB) 1986 Features of Science, Scientists and the Postulation of Theory in A Scientific Research Program (in Indonesian), Paper Presented in A Seminar on Student's Leadership, FEUI A Note on The Regional Development Strategy (in Indonesian), Paper Presented in the National Symposium of LSM. Impact Study of Trans-Sumatera Highway, LPEM-FEUI Project Leader for The Overseas Economic Cooperation & Fund (OECF) and The Mitsubishi Research Institute (MRI), Japan Industrialization in Indonesia: Stages and Spatial Configuration (in Indonesian), Paper Presented in the FEUI Seminar,September 27. Measures of Interdependence: An Application to Japan-Indonesia Trade Relation, Institute for International Training & Studies, Japan. Spatial Economics and Its Relevance in the Development Planning (in Indonesian), A Keynote Speech at the University of Indonesia (commemoration of the university's anniversary). Regional Dimension and The Comparative Advantage in The Manufacturing Sectors (in Indonesian), Paper Presented at the Faculty of Economics 35th Anniversary, Hotel Indonesia 1987 (with M Arsyad Anwar), The Second Phase Import Substitution in Indonesia, in Lo, Fu-chen and Akrasanee, Narongchai, Asean Cooperation in Second Phase Import Substitution, Asian and Pacific Development Center Economic Consideration in the Development With Environmental Consideration (in Indonesian), Paper Presented For the Commemoration of the World's Environment Day, Ministry of Environment and Population A Comment on "The Utilization of Domestic Resource Finance" (in Indonesian), Paper Presented in the Seminar Organized by The Islamic Student Organization, Jakarta

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The Progress of Economics Viewed From The Development of Theories and Quantitative Approach (in Indonesian), Paper Presented in the 10th Congress of the Indonesian Economists' Association (ISEI), Bali Japan in The Indonesian and Asean Economies, Paper Presented in the "Asean Round Table", Jetro-Tokyo Japan 1988 A Study for the Preparation of Repelita V of Riau Province (in Indonesian), LPEM-FEUI Project Leader for The Planning and Development Board of Riau Methodological Concept for Evaluation and Formulation of Regional Development Plan : The Case of East Kalimantan, (in Indonesian), Paper Presented in the Seminar for the Regional Government Staffs of East Kalimantan Regional Development Planning: An Approach (in Indonesian), Paper Presented for A Seminar Organized by The Indonesian Economists' Association (ISEI) of West Jawa, Bandung Regional Impact of Recent Policy Shift in Indonesia, Paper Presented for A Meeting on "Regional Development in Asean", Phuket-Thailand The Progress of Industrial Sector and The Efficiency Objective: National and Regional Analysis Based On Input-Output Table. Industrial Survey and Export Document (in Indonesian), Paper Presented in the Symposium of Planning, Institute of Technology, Bandung (ITB) Interregional Disparity and The Role of Inpres Program, Paper Presented in the First Convention of The East Asian Economic Association, Kyoto-Japan Asean Economic Cooperation: Performance and Prospect, Paper Presented in the 6th Conference of Asean Federation of Accountants, Manila-Philippines Indonesian Economy: A Sketch of Important Factors and The Current Economic Rationalization, Paper Presented in the 6th Conference of Asean Federation of Accountants, Manila-Philippines 1989 Indonesian Economic Reforms and Future Prospect, (in Indonesian), Paper Presented in the IAI-ISEI (Indonesian Economist Association-Surabaya), January Regional Finance and Development: The Role of Regional Government Apparatus Within the Context of Recent Trend in the National Economy, (in Indonesian), Paper Presented in the Regional Finance Workshop II, Organized by The Ministry of Finance in Bali (January) Outlook for the Indonesian Economy 1988-1990, Paper Presented in the Asian Economic Outlook 1990, ADB-Manila (January) Industrial Development in Indonesia and Japan's Role in the Indonesian and Asean Economies, Paper Presented at "Asean-Japan Inter-Cultural Workshop", Bangkok-Thailand (organized by Mahidol University and Gakushuin University) ,March 13-16. (with Suhadi Mangkusuwondo), Outlook For The Indonesian Economy 1990, Paper Presented in the "Pacific Economic Outlook and Structural Issues" Conference, East West Center-Hawai, March 21-23. Interregional Allocation of Resources in Indonesia: Is There Any Systematic Planning?, Paper Presented at The Pacific Regional Science Conference, Singapore, July 3-6th

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Multisectoral Framework, Industrial Location and Central-Regional Transfer in the Migration Trend to Urban Area, Paper Presented at The Seminar on Urbanization in Large Developing Countries, organized by International Union for the Scientific Study of Population (IUSSP), September 28 - October 1, 1989, Ahmedabad, India Indonesia's Macroeconometric Model For A Short Term Projection, Paper Presented at the Conference on "The Asean Trade Link Model", Asia-Pacific Development Center (APDC), 17 - 21 November, Manila External-Oriented Strategy and the Employment Effect, Paper Presented at the Conference on the Future of Asia Pacific Economies (FAPE III), Asia Pacific Development Center (APDC) and Thailand Development Research Institute (TDRI), November 8 - 10. (with Mari Pangestu),Economic Outlook for Indonesia, Paper Presented at the Second Workshop on Asian Economic Outlook, Asian Development Bank, Manila, 13 - 16 November, 1989 AHP: The Saaty Prioritization Model, Paper for an internal discussion at the National Security Council, September 7. The Choice of Policies & Strategies That Can be Evaluated From the Moral Aspects of Development: The Case of Indonesia, Paper presented at the "International Conference on Asian Economic & Culture: The Globalization & Ethics of Economy", Institute of Moralogy, Chiba-Japan, December 1-3. 1990 World Economic Development And Asean Economic Prospect (in Indonesian), Paper Presented at the Seminar on "South-East Asian Economic and Political Prospect", organized by Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Science, University of Indonesia, February 14. Notes on the Revised Version of IUC-EC-UI & LPEM-FEUI Econometric Model, A Mimeo for Discussion on the Indonesian Economic Outlook, Prepared for the "Pacific Economic Outlook." March, LPEM-FEUI, Jakarta. (with Suhadi Mangkusuwondo), Indonesia: Economic Outlook For 1990-1991, paper presented at the Meeting of "Pacific Economic Outlook", Osaka-Japan, March. Indonesian Economic Outlook 1989-1991, paper presented at the "Pacific Economic Outlook" meeting in Osaka-Japan, March 27-30,1990. Resource and Environmental Economics Within Sustainable Development, paper presented at the AISEC's Seminar on "Sustainable Development", March, Wisma Tugu, Jakarta. Trend and The Projection of Indonesian Economy Throughout 1991, paper prepared for a Discussion in Faculty of Economics, University of Indonesia, March. Indonesian Economy: Past Structural Change and Future Prospect (in Indonesian), Scientific Speech to the University of Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta (UMY), March, Yogyakarta. The Relevance of Environmental Economics in Sustainable Development, paper presented at the Second Convention of "East Asian Economist Association", Bandung (August 27-28). National Growth and Development Policy: Performance, Impacts and Reassessment, Paper Presented for the First PRSCO Summer Institute and International Conference on "Public Private Partnership for Urban, Regional and Economic Development in the Pacific Rim, at Institute of Technology Bandung (ITB), July 9-13.

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Review on Regional Development in Indonesia: The Concern of Equity and Foreign Exchange Accumulation, Paper Presented at the Workshop on Spatial Development in Indonesia: Review & Prospects, Inter-University Center for Economics, University of Indonesia (IUC-EC-UI), July 16-17; also published by REDECON, for International Energy Seminar (Suspi Migas X). Sustainable Economic Planning: The Case of Indonesia, Paper Presented at the International Conference of the Society for International Development (SID). (with Arsyad Anwar, Mari Pangestu and Hadi Susastro), The Indonesian Economy: Problems and Prospects, Paper Presented at the Second Convention of "East Asian Economist Association", Bandung (August 27-28). Standard Model and the Critique of Ratex For Simulation Study on External Condition in Indonesia (in Indonesian), in "Bunga Rampai Konsep Pembangunan Ekonomi", Lembaga Penerbit FEUI. The Impact of Globalization On the Indonesian Economy (in Indonesian), Paper Presented at the in-house Seminar of Bank Niaga. The Economy of Asia Pacific and Indonesia (in Indonesian), Paper Presented at the Seminar on the Occasion of the 40th Anniversary of FEUI. Asia-Pacific Economic Era: Economic Reforms and Its Role As An Engine of Growth in the World Economy, paper presented at the Dialogue for The Jakarta Stock Exchange Fair. Indonesian Economy: Recent Trends and the Forecast Throughout 1992, Paper Presented at the Asian Economic Outlook and World Project Link Conference, Asian Development Bank, Manila. Industrial Development and Restructuring in Indonesia, LPEM-FEUI Research Report for the World Bank. Indonesian Economic Transformation and Future Prognosis (in Indonesian), Paper for the National Symposium for Moslem Scholars, Malang. A Comparative Evaluation of the Regional Development Experience in Indonesia, IUC-EC-UI Research Report for IDRC. 1991 Globalization and Indonesia's Industrial Development, paper presented at the Indofood seminar. Indonesia: Economic Overview and the Forecast Throughout 1992, paper for the in-house training of Bank Bali. Recent Trends on TMP, Inflation, Non-oil Exports and Forecast for the Indonesian Economy, paper for a seminar in University of Airlangga. (with Suhadi Mangkusuwondo) Indonesia: Economic Outlook For 1991 and 1992, paper presented at the PECC Pacific Economic Outlook. meeting in Osaka, Japan, 17-18 March 1991. Short-term and Fundamental Problems to be Considered in the Making of Industrial Policy and Strategy (in Indonesian), a memo for the Minister of Industry, April. Correcting The Standard Measures of Economic Progress for Environmental Degradation: In Pursuit of Sustainable Development, paper presented at the conference on "Ecology, Economics and Sustainable Development" organized by SPES. Asean in the New Era of Globalization and the World Trends, paper presented at the seminar in Penang, Malaysia, organized by University Sains Malaysia (USM).

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Trends of Globalization, Asia-Pacific Economies and the Impacts Upon Indonesia (in Indonesian), paper presented at the seminar organized by University of Riau. Some Notes on the Need for Regional Development Planning (in Indonesian), a mimeo for IUC-EC-UI. Economic Growth and Environmental Degradation: In Pursuit of Alternative Approaches and Measurements, Paper for International Seminar on Energy, SUSPI-Migas, Surabaya. The Financial Angle of Regional Development Planning, paper for Diklat-LPEM-FEUI. Recent Trends and the 1991-1995 Forecast of Indonesian Economy, paper presented at the "Asean Tourism Workshop", Jakarta June 19. Model Structure For Indonesia: A Brief Note On The IUC-EC-UI Model, Paper Presented at the Workshop on Asean Econometric Link Model, PIDS, Manila, July 15. (with T. John Kim) Economic and Financial Evaluation of Road Transport Systems For Promoting Exports from Jawa, A Summary Report of IUC-EC-UI, July. Equity and Interregional Patterns of Private Investments (in Indonesian), paper presented at the ILUNI-FE seminar, July. Indonesian Export Market and Other Alternatives Under Increased Protectionism (in Indonesian), Paper for Seminar on "Non-Oil Exports from East Jawa", Surabaya, August 19. Trends of National Economy and its Impacts Upon Regional Economy and the Role of Regional Government (in Indonesian), Paper for National Seminar on Agribusiness and Agroindustry, Jambi, 11-12 September. Indonesian Economy Under Some Scenarios of Global Condition (in Indonesian), Paper for a Seminar for PT Pembangunan Jaya (30th Anniversary). Macroeconometric Model for Indonesia: Simulation and Forecast Under the Baseline and Alternative Scenario, LINK-UN meeting, Moscow-USSR, September. Regional Planning with Increased Complexity: Future Challenges and Constraints, paper for Bappeda-DKI seminar, October 19. Notes on my trip to the Soviet Union, paper for LPEM-FEUI seminar, October 9. Impacts of Economic Reforms on Regional Development, paper for STEKPI-seminar, October 17. Short-Run Forecast of Indonesian Macroeconomy, Paper for "Forum Ekonomi Bank Niaga II", October 22. Development and the Environment, Extending the Global Input- Output Modeling System: A Comment, presented at the Conference on "Global Change and Modeling", UN-University, Tokyo, October 29- 31. Environment and the Economy: Some Notes on the Case of Indonesia, paper for the National Round Table on the Environment and the Economy (NRTEE), Toronto, November 4. Macroeconomic Forecast for Indonesia: Simulation Under the Baseline and Alternative Scenario, Paper for Internal Discussion for the GRAMEDIA group, November 23.

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Alternative Measures and Approaches to Link Economic Growth and Environmental Degradation, paper for the International Conference on "Agenda of Science for Environment and Development Into the 21st Century" (ASCEND 21), Vienna, Austria, November 24-29. Regional Balance and the National Development Strategy: Points for Discussion, Paper for Seminar on "Industrialization and Regional Development", organized by IDE-KADIN, Borobudur Hotel, December 19. Export Potentials in Asian Market, Paper for a Seminar at the Christian University of "Satya Wacana", December 5. Some Notes on Macroeconometric Modeling for Policy Simulation and Forecasting, Memo for a Discussion at LPEM-FEUI, December 21. Short Term Macroeconomic Forecast for Indonesia, Paper for an Annual Workshop of "APPI", Bandung, December 26. Indonesian Economic Forecast Under Two Different Assumptions on Import Growth, for "ASEAN-LINK" project. 1992 Investments Dispersion and Its Impacts Upon Regional Economy (in Indonesian), Paper for a Seminar on Industrialization and Development in Madura, Surabaya, January 14. Some Determinants for the National Economic Growth (in Indonesian), Paper for a Seminar on Economic Prospect of 1992, Organized by DANAREKSA, January 17. A Comparative Evaluation of the Regional Development Experience in Indonesia, Research Report of IUC-EC-UI for IDRC. Econometric Model for Policy Simulation and Forecasting, Research Report for IUC-EC-UI. Multi-Criteria Decision Making Approach: The Analytic Hierarchy Process (in Indonesian), Research Report for IUC-EC-UI. The Increasing Role of Urban Non-Formal Sector and Employment Analysis Within the Multisectoral Framework, to be published in a book edited by Gavin Jones (forthcoming). Export Potentials in Asian Market: The Case of Indonesia, ICSEAD-Kitakyushu, Japan. Model Simulations of Exports and Domestic Demand Scenarios: The Case of Indonesia, paper presented at the ICSEAD-Conference on "Exports, Foreign Investment, and Growth in East and Southeast Asia", Japan, also published in "Economic and Finance in Indonesia" (EKI). Factors Determining the Forecast of Indonesian Economy, paper presented at panel discussion organized by KKMB, Bandung. Scenarios of Indonesian Economic Forecast for the LINK Project, paper presented at the 1992 Spring Meeting of Project LINK, New York, March 4-7. (with Suhadi Mangkusuwondo), Indonesia: Macroeconomic Forecast for 1991-1993, Paper for the PEO meeting in Osaka, March 21-23. (with Arsyad Anwar), Some Estimates on the Indonesian Economy 1992 & 1993 (in Indonesian), Paper for LPEM-FEUI Seminar at Grand Hyatt Hotel, February 22.

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Trends of Equity, Poverty and Interregional Investments (in Indonesian), Paper for a Seminar Organized by Ministry of Defense, March. Decision Making in the Public Sector: The Case of Government Budget (in Indonesian), paper presented at a seminar organized by the University of Airlangga, Batu-Malang. A Revised Macroeconomic Forecast for 1991-1993, Paper for the Pacific Economic Outlook (PEO) Committee. (with Johan Bastin of HIID), Decentralization and Macroeconomic Condition: The Case of Indonesia, paper for the Second Workshop on Regional Public Finance and Economic Development, at the Center for Advanced Studies, National University of Singapore, May 11-12. Indonesian Economy Within the Context of World Economic Trend, paper for a seminar organized by "Pusat Penelitian Serta Pengkajian Masalah Asia-Afrika dan Negara Berkembang", Bandung, June 27. Optimization in the Sustainable Development: A Computable General Equilibrium Model for Indonesia (in Indonesian), paper for the "National Conference of Mathematics" organized by the Institute of Technology Surabaya (ITS), Surabaya, July 4. Some Notes on the Economic Prospect of 1992 (in Indonesian), in "Indonesia Forum", No 2, August 1992. World Economic Trend and Medium-Term Forecast of the Indonesian Economy, paper for ICSEAD meeting, July 30-31, 1992, Kitakyushu, Japan. World Economic Trend and the Prospect of Indonesian Economy, notes for public lecture at the Institute for Policy Studies (IPS) and ISEAS, Singapore, July 29. The Global Economic Trend, The Medium-Term Prospect of Indonesian Economy, and the Rationale of Deregulation in Real Sector, paper for internal discussion at "Bank Danamon", July 17. Trends of Regional Development Within the Context of Structural Adjustment, paper presented at the seminar on "Pasar Kerja Regional di Indonesia", organized by LD-FEUI & IUC-EC-UI, July 23. Forecast of the Indonesian Economy Throughout the Year of 2000, paper for the LINK fall meeting, Ankara-Turkey, September 14-18, 1992. Investment Function and Relation Between Macro and Micro Economy, Paper for a Book Published in Commemerating STEKPI's Birthyear. "The World Economy," Paper for Working Group on the World Economic Outlook 1993-2000, Committee for Development Planning (CDP), United Nations, September 29 - October 2, Geneva. 1993 (with T. John Kim), Trade and Transport: Integrated Transportation and Economic Activities Equilibrium Model for Jawa, IUC-EC-UI Research Report, December. ASEAN Economies and the Emerging AFTA, Paper for the "Fourth Symposium: Economic Regionalism in the Pacific", Chicago, July 22-24. Prognosis of the Indonesian Economy in the Medium Term, Paper for A Series of Lectures in Danamon Bank (Jakarta, Yogyakarta and Batam), December. (with Sid Saltzman) Spatial Aspects of Global Econometric Models: A Framework and Proposal for Enhanced Regional Analyses, Paper for NCGIA-United Nations Meeting on the Role of GIS in Economic Development.

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Preconditions for Sustained Industrial Development and Medium-Term Forecast of Indonesian Economy, Paper for Berlin's Seminar on Industrial Development Strategy, Germany, November 12-14. Some Notes on Macro Modeling for Developing Countries, Paper for a Workshop on Data and Modeling, Inter-University Center for Economics (IUC-EC-UI), November, Jakarta. Indonesian Economic Forecast, Paper for January Meeting of LINK Group, United Nations, New York. (with Suhadi Mangkusuwondo), Short-Term Forecast of the Indonesian Economy, Paper for Pacific Economic Outlook (PEO) Meeting, Osaka-Japan. The Politics of Economic Reform, Paper for a Conference Organized by Institute for International Economics (IIE), Washington D.C. ASEAN Cooperation and Economic Performance: AFTA and the Likely Policy Scenario, Paper for "Fourth US-Korea Academic Symposium: AFTA After NAFTA?", KEI-Princeton University, September 2-3. Some Notes for the Preparation of Repelita VI of Riau, Paper Presented at a Meeting Organized by Bappeda I, Riau. Summary of CGE-Model Simulation for Improved Technology: Erik's Model and Azis' Model, Paper for Internal Discussion Based Upon Which a Formal Presentation Was Given By Erik Thorbecke in the November IUC Workshop, Cornell University. 1994 Some Notes on Regional Development and Decentralization in Indonesia, Paper for International Seminar Organized by Departamento Nacional De Planeacion, Banco De La Republica, The World Bank and HIID, "Manejo De Una Bonanza Petrolera: Lecciones Para Colombia De La Experiencia De Indonesia", Santafe de Bogota, March 24 & 25. (With Suhadi Mangkusuwondo), The Economic Forecast for 1994-1995: Indonesia, Paper for the Pacific Economic Outlook Meeting, Osaka-Japan, February. (With M. Arsjad Anwar), Progress and Prospect of Indonesian Economy 1993-1995 (in Indonesian), Paper for a Book on Indonesian Economic Prospect. Comments on Mr. Morio Kuninori's "Methods of Financing Infrastructure: The Case of Japanese System", World Bank Conference on Infrastructure, Singapore, June. Comments to Lawrence-Bressand-Ito Paper on "Integrating National Economies", Brookings Institute & Nomura Research Institute, Tokyo, June 10. (with T. Kawashima & M. Tene) Chronological Time-lags Over Spatial-cycle Path: Comparative Analysis on Inter-city Agglomeration and Deglomeration of Population in Indonesia, Japan, Sweden and USA, in GEM Bulletin, Gakushuin University Research Institute of Economics and Management, Gakushuin University, Tokyo, March, pp 31-44. Regional Decentralization From the Local Perspective: Application of AHP, Paper Presented in the International Symposium on the Analytic Hierarchy Process, George Washington University, Washington DC, July 11-13. Macroeconomic Stability and the Forecast for 1994-1998, Paper for a Business Meeting in Borobudur Hotel, Jakarta.

14

Some Notes on Macroeconometric Modeling for Developing Countries, Paper Written at the Request of "Economic & Finance of Indonesia" (EKI). AHP Approach: Short Notes For Consultant Team in "Indoconsult", February. Trends and Prospect of 'Regionalism' (in Indonesian), Paper Written at the Request of CIDES Forecast of the Indonesian Economy: 1994-1998, Paper for Spring LINK Meeting, United Nations, New York, March. Recent Trends and the 1994-1998 Forecast of the Indonesian Economy, Paper Presented in the LINK Meeting, Salamanca-Spain, September. Impacts of Economic Reform on Rural-Urban Welfare: A General Equilibrium Framework, North American Regional Science Conference, Niagara Falls-Canada. Tensions and Conflicts in the Future Path of the Global Economic and Trading System: An AHP Overture, AHP Workshop, Univ. Of Pittsburgh, December. Regional Decentralization from the Local Perspective: Application of AHP, International Symposium on the Analytical Hierarchy Process, George Washington University, Washington DC, July 11-13. Comments on Mr. Morio Kuninori's "Methods of Financing Infrastructure: The Case of Japanese System", World Bank Conference on Infrastructure, Singapore, June. Comments to Lawrence-Bressand-Ito Paper on "Integrating National Economies", Brookings Institute & Nomura Research Institute, Tokyo, June 10. Macroeconomic Stability and the Forecast for 1994-1998, Paper for a Business Meeting in Borobudur Hotel, Jakarta. AHP Approach: Notes For Consultant Team in "Indoconsult", February. Forecast of the Indonesian Economy: 1994-1998, Paper for Spring LINK Meeting, United Nations, New York, March. 1995 Indonesian Economic Outlook: 1994-2000, Paper Presented at LINK Meeting at the United Nations Headquarters, New York, March Economic Outlook for Indonesia: 1994-1996, Paper Presented at the “Pacific Economic Outlook” meeting, Osaka, March. Summary of the World Bank Conference on “The Uruguay Round and the Developing Economies,” a report to Indonesian Economist Association, January 26-27 1996 New Conflicts Between Developed and Developing Countries: The Use of Analytic Hierarchy Process, Paper presented at The American Economic Association meeting, San Francisco, January. Reciting New Conflicts Between Countries Using Analytic Hierarchy Process, Paper presented at the Fourth Symposium on the Analytic Hierarchy Process, July 13-15, Vancouver-Canada.

15

Indonesian Economic Outlook: 1995-2001, Paper Presented at LINK Meeting at the United Nations Headquarters, New York, March Economic Outlook for Indonesia: 1995-1997, Paper Presented at the “Pacific Economic Outlook” meeting, Osaka, March. Managing Macroeconomic Policies: Is Indonesia Unique? in Economic Planning Agency (EPA), Government of Japan, Proceeding of the Conference on Macroeconomic Interdependence in the Asian-Pacific Region, Tokyo. Growth and Regional Distribution in Indonesia: Recent Trends, Future Path and Policy Issues, Paper presented at the Conference on “Economic Growth and Distribution in Indonesia: A Review of the Past and Present Development and a Projection of the Future Prospects and Constraints,” San Francisco, September 9. Economic Reform in Developing Countries: Bridging the Gap between Theory and Policy Analysis, Paper Presented at the 5th World Congress of the Regional Science Association International, May 2 - 6, Tokyo-Japan. Exchange Rate, Capital Flows and Reform Sequencing in Indonesia: Policy Trend and CGE Model Application, International Center for Economic Growth (ICEG), Washington DC “The Gap Between Macroeconomics and Microeconomic Phenomena: The Limit of Economics?,” Professorial speech (in Indonesian), at the University of Indonesia, March (with Larry Schroeder), "Strengthening the Inpres Program," report of the RTI-team for the USAID. 1997 The Impact of Foreign Investment in Indonesia: Historical Trends and Simulation Analysis, paper presented at the International Conference of “Economic Development and Cooperation in the Pacific Basin: Trade, Investment, and Environment Issues,” University of California-Berkeley. Privatization in International Setting: Macroeconomic Consequences of Product Market Inertia, International Seminar on “Privatization”, April-Yogyakarta. “Scrutinizing US Security Strategy in East Asia,” paper presented at the American Economic Association meeting, New Orleans, January Indonesian Economic Outlook: 1996-2002, Paper Presented at LINK Meeting at the United Nations Headquarters, New York, March 24-27 Economic Outlook for Indonesia: 1996-1998, Paper Presented at the “Pacific Economic Outlook” meeting, Osaka, March 17-18. (with K. Kosasih, L. Schroeder & C. Silver) "Effectiveness and Efficiency in Utilization of Inpres Dati II: A local Perspective," report of the Research Triangle Institute (RTI)-team for the USAID. "Economic Reform and Unique Sequencing: The Indonesian Experience," paper presented at "Subregional Seminar on Emerging Asia," organized by the Asian Development Bank, New Delhi, India, 24-25 November. "Medium-Term Outlook of the Indonesian Economy," paper presented at the LINK meeting, Kuala Lumpur-Malaysia, September. "Security Challenge in the Asia Pacific Region,", paper presented at ECAAR symposium, September 18, Tokyo-Japan.

16

(with Walter Isard), “Alternative Cooperative Policies from Perceived Benefit-Cost Evaluations of North and South Korea,” paper presented at the Peace Science Society and ECAAR Congress, Sidney, Australia, December 16-18. 1998 "Indonesian Economy at the Crossroad," notes for presentation at the Joint Economic Committee of the Congress of the United States on the Asian Crisis, January. "Indonesian Economy: From Boom to Bust......and Boom Again?," paper presented at Council on Foreign Relations, Harold Pratt House, New York, February 13. "A Journey From Boom to Bust: Episodes in the Indonesian Economy Since 1980s," paper presented at a conference on "Brazil and Asian Crisis," Fernand Braudel Institute for World Economics, Sao Paolo, Brazil, April 27-30. "Comments on a Report of Fernand Braudel Institute of World Economics" Money, Greed, Technology," Fernand Braudel Institute for World Economics, Sao Paolo, Brazil, April 27-30. "Short-Term Outlook of the Indonesian Economy," report for the ADB's Asian Economic Outlook, February. "Indonesian Economy: A Forecast Clouded by Uncertainties," paper presented at the LINK meeting, New York, 16-19 March. "Between Theories and Intuitions," (in Indonesian) paper to appear in a book published by Gramedia, to commemorate Wijoyo Nitisastro's 70th birthday (with Walter Isard) "Resolving Conflict in the Korean Peninsula," paper presented at the American Economic Association meeting, Chicago, January. "Indonesia's Economic and Political Episode: Entering A New Chapter," paper presented at the World Bank PREM meeting, June 1, Maryland. "Unraveling the Influence of Production Contraction on Various Factors and Socio-Economic Groups," paper presented at the World Bank's Social Development Forum, June 3-5, Washington D.C “With No Usual Suspect but Some Vulnerability Signs, Contagion Fueled the Crisis and Lack of Confidence Made it Lasted Longer,” paper presented at a conference on “Governance, Globalization and Stability: Key Lessons from the Asian Crisis,” organized by UNDP, Hanoi-Vietnam, August 31-September 1. “Modeling the Transition from Financial Crisis to Social Crisis,” paper presented at the Sixth Convention of the East Asian Economic Association (EAEA), Kitakyushu-Japan, September 4-5. “How Much Do We Know About The Causes of Asian Crisis?,” paper presented at the International Conference on “Market Economy and the Government: International Perspective,” Center for International Research on the Japanese Economy (CIRJE), University of Tokyo, September 7-8. “Summary of Proposed Methodologies for Assesing the Impact of Multilateral Economic Sanctions,” a report prepared at the request of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Division of Public Economics and Public Administration (DESA/DPEPA), United Nations, in conjunction with the Ad hoc Expert Group meeting on "Implementation of the provisions of the Charter of the United Nations related to assistance to third States affected by the applications of sanctions" June 24-26. “Asian Crisis in Retrospect,” paper prepared for presentation at a meeting on “Taking Off the Training Wheels: Domestic Capital Formation,” organized by Money Matters Institute, Middleburg, Virginia, October 2.

17

“Indonesia and the Asian Crisis: Assertions and Propositions,” paper presented at the “Pacific Council’s Annual Members’ Retreat,” Santa Monica, California, October 16-18.

“Uncertainty in East Asia’s Regional Security Environment: An Update, paper presented at the ECAAR symposium in Tokyo, October 27. “Outlook of the Indonesian Economy and Strategic Issues,” paper prepared at the request of the Asian Development Bank (ADB) as inputs for the Asian Development Outlook 1998-2000 (with Walter Isard) “Resolving Conflict in the Korean Peninsula: A Cooperative Analysis Approach for Use by Diplomats and Negotiators,” internal paper, Regional Science and Peace Science programs, Cornell University “Why the Peace Dividend has not been Consistent with the Trend of Military Build up in East Asia?” internal paper, Regional Science and Peace Science programs, Cornell University (with Rikuo Katsumata) “Building A Model for Infrastructure Planning: The Network-Based CGE Model,” paper presented at the Regional Science conference, Santa Fe, November 1999 (with David Roland-Holst and Dominique van der Mensbrugghe) Dynamic CGE Model for Indonesia: Technical Specification, a mimeo prepared for the IAS/UNU Research on Sustainable Development "Outlook of the Indonesian Economy: 1998-2001," presented at the Pacific Economic Outlook conference, PECC, Kansai Economic Research Center, Osaka, March 15-16 "Comments on Assessing the Social Impacts of Financial Crisis," presented at a conference on "Responding to Financial Crises: Challenges for Domestic Policy and International Cooperation," Taiwan Institute of Economic Research, Taipei, March 22-23 "On Reforming Global Financial Architecture," presented at a conference on "Responding to Financial Crises: Challenges for Domestic Policy and International Cooperation," Taiwan Institute of Economic Research, Taipei, March 22-23 (with David Roland-Holst) "Policy Research for Sustainable Development: Notes on Simulation Modeling for Indonesia," presented at the "International Conference on Sustainable Future of the Global System," United Nations University, Toyko, 23-24 February "The Indonesian Economy: A Risky Forecast," paper presented at the LINK meeting, UN headquarter, New York, May 3-6 "Pre and Post Crisis Indonesia: The Vital Roles of Institutional Factors," prepared for an international conference on "Global Financial Restructuring and Asian Recovery," organized by the Institute for Advanced Studies, United Nations University, Tokyo, May 12, and also used for a private discussion with Premier Vincent Siew of Taiwan at the Prime Minister office, Taipei, May 15 "Institutional Factors and Politics in the Indonesian Crisis," paper presented at the conference on "The Politics of Economic Reform in Asia," Bangkok, June 4-5 (written at the request of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Washington DC) "Analyzing the Linkage Between Openness (Trade) Strategy and Environmental Sustainability for Indonesia," presented at the UNU/IAS Project Planning Meeting on Sustainable Development Framework for Indonesia, Bali, August 23-24

18

"In Search of Targets and Policies Consistent with A Broader Concept of Sustainable Development," presented at the UNU/IAS Project Planning Meeting on Sustainable Development Framework for Indonesia, Bali, August 23-24, “Economic Challenges for Indonesia and What The US Government Can or Can Not Do,” prepared for a presentation at the USINDO meeting, Cosmos Club, Washington DC, October 6 (with David Roland-Holst), “Economic Theory and Environment Policy From Developing Countries Perspective: Can We Model Sustainable Development,” paper presented at UNU/IAS International Symposium on “Global Environment and Economic Theory,” Tokyo, October 24-25.

“Why and How Institutions Matter in Indonesia’s Episode of Economic Performance,” presented at the worshop organized by Asian Development Bank Institute on “High Level Dialogue on Development Paradigms,” December 10, 1999, Tokyo.

(with Warren Bailey and Connie X. Mao), “Exploring the Relevance of Institutions in Economic Performance: the Case of Indonesia,” background manuscript for a research proposal, Cornell University 2000 “The Environmental Dimension of Economic Progress: The Case of Indonesia,” paper presented at the UNU/IAS Project Review Meeting on Sustainable Development Framework for Indonesia, Institute of Southeast Asian Studies, Singapore, March 17-18. “Modeling the Financial Sector and Its Repercussions on Socio-Economic Indicators,” Paper prepared for a workshop on “Socioeconomic Situation During Indonesian Crisis,” organized jointly by the Department of Economics and Center for Advanced Studies, Faculty of Art and Social Sciences, National University of Singapore, May 30 - June 1. “Development and Sustainable Future: The Environmental Dimension of Indonesia’s Socio-Economic Progress”: Presented at the International Conference on Sustainable Future of the Global System, United Nations University, Tokyo, May 24-28. (with David Roland-Holst) “Recovery and Growth in Indonesia: Scenarios for Sustainable Development,” Presented at the International Conference on Sustainable Future of the Global System, United Nations University, Tokyo, May 24-28. “Modeling the Financial Sector and Its Repercussions on Socio-Economic Indicators” Paper prepared for a workshop on “Socioeconomic Situation During Indonesian Crisis,” organized jointly by the Department of Economics and Center for Advanced Studies, Faculty of Art and Social Sciences, National University of Singapore, May 30 - June 1. “Expansionary Budget, Costly Bank Recapitalization and A Gradual Approach for the IMF Program,” background notes for presentation at the “Informal Seminar on Indonesia,” organized by the IMF, Washington D.C September 5. (with Ari Kuncoro), “From A Standard Approach to An Economy-wide Model of Total Factor Productivity,” paper prepared for a conference on the impact of HI-Tech on the economy, September 11 “Prudent Macroeconomic Policy Alone is Proven Insufficient to Sustain A Strong Macroeconomic Performance,” Background notes for presentation at the NBER project meeting on “Exchange Rate Crises in Emerging Markets: The Indonesian Crisis of 1997-98,” Cambridge, MA, September 15. “The Role of the IMF in a Backward Bending Situation: Search for Alternative Approaches to a Crisis,” presented at the Regional Science seminar, Cornell University, October 18.

19

“External Liberalization, Distribution, and Growth, Moderation Through State Intervention: The Case of Indonesia,” presented at the meeting sponsored by the Ford Foundation on Globalization, Distribution and Growth, new Delhi, India, November 10-12. 2001 (with Erik Thorbecke and Erina Azis),“Modeling the Socio-economic Impact of the Financial Crisis: The Case of Indonesia,” paper presented at the World Bank, February 27. “Short Indonesia’s Short-term Economic Forecast: Full of Political Uncertainties,” paper presented at The Pacific Economic Outlook Meeting, Osaka, March 15-16

“IMF and Alternative Perspectives On the Asian Crisis” paper presented at a conference on Gender and Globalization, Cornell University, March 9. “Indonesia’s Sustainable Development: The Importance of Economic-Social-Environmental Nexus,” presented at the Indonesian Regional Science Association (IRSA) meeting, Jakarta, March. “Why Models, and Why Decentralization,” presented at the Indonesian Regional Science Association (IRSA) meeting, Jakarta, March. “Exploring Alternative Policies By Way of Counterfactuals” paper presented at the Asia Panel, Center for International Studies (CID), Harvard University, Cambridge, Massachusetts, April 20-21 “External Liberalization an Socio-economic Impacts: The Case of Indonesia,” paper presented at the Ford Foundation project meeting on “Capital Liberalization, Economic Growth & Development and Social Policy,” organized jointly by CEPA and Development Research Center of the State Council of the People’s Republic of China, Beijing, June 1-3. “Modeling Crisis Evolution and Counterfactual Policies: The Case of Indonesia,” presented at the Asian Development Bank Institute (ADB-I) seminar, Tokyo, June 15. “Economy-wide Impacts of Financial Crisis on Poverty and Income Distribution,” presented at the Asian Development Bank Institute (ADB-I) seminar, Tokyo, June 26. “Impacts of Current Account and Capital Account Liberalization on Growth and Social Development,” presented at the Asian Development Bank Institute (ADB-I) seminar, Tokyo, July 18. (with Warren Bailey, Connie X. Mao, Fawzy Siddik, and Willem Thorbecke) “Understanding Corporate Behavior: An Analysis Based on the Balance Sheets of JSE-Listed Companies in Pre-Crisis Indonesia,” presented at the Asian Development Bank Institute (ADB-I) seminar, Tokyo, July 25. “Modeling the Link Between Macro Financial Shock and Income Distribution and Poverty,” presented at the brainstorming session at the Asian Development Bank Institute (ADB-I), Tokyo, July 30. “Modeling An Economic Social-Institutional And Environmental (ESE) Nexus,” presented at the Regional Science seminar, Cornell University, September 12. “Assessing Development Performance and Forecasting Future Scenarios Within ESE Nexus: The Case of Indonesia,” presented at International Conference on Sustainable Development Framework for Indonesia, UNU/IAS, Tokyo, September 26. “Impacts of External Liberalization on Macroeconomic and Social Development: The Case of Indonesia,” presented at a research seminar on “The Impact of External Liberalization on Macroeconomic and Social Development: The Case of China and Indonesia,” ADB Institute, Tokyo, October 22.

20

“Entry to WTO and Financial Sector Liberalization: How Far Should China Go? presented at a research seminar on “The Impact of External Liberalization on Macroeconomic and Social Development: The Case of China and Indonesia,” ADB Institute, Tokyo, October 22. “How the Financial Crisis Impacting Income Distribution and Poverty,” presented at internal seminar of ADB-I, Tokyo, November. (in Indonesian), “Mendeteksi Pengaruh Peristiwa 9/11 Terhadap Ekonomi Nasional,” (Impactsof 9/11 Event on the National Economy), presented at FEUI symposium on the impact of 9/11, Hotel Borobudur, Jakarta. “Modeling Financial Sector Liberalization and the Issues of Sequencing,” presented at ADB-I Asia Policy Forum: Workshop on Sequencing Domestic and External Financial Liberalization, Beijing, November 20-21. “Cautions Surrounding Financial Sector Liberalization: A Modeling Approach,” presented at ADB-I Asia Policy Forum: Workshop on Sequencing Domestic and External Financial Liberalization, Tokyo, December 20-21. “Modeling the Impacts of Financial Crisis on Income Distribution and Poverty,” paper presented at the ADB-I Annual Conference, December 7, Tokyo-Japan. 2002 Indonesian Economic Outlook, 2001-2003, paper presented at the PEO FORECASTERS MEETING, Japan Committee for Pacific Economic Outlook (Kansai Economic Research Center ), Osaka, Japan, March 18–19 (with Wing Thye Woo), “IMF in the Asian Financial Crisis and Alternative Regional Surveillance System,” presented at the ADB-I seminar, Tokyo, May 15 (with Warren Bailey, Connie X. Mao, Fawzy Siddik, and Willem Thorbecke), “Firm Behavior, Economic Vulnerability, and the Credit Crunch: An Analysis of Micro-Macro Interactions,” presented at the ADB-I seminar, Tokyo, May 28 “A Global Financial Crisis of the Late 1990s and Its Implications in East Asia,” presented at the International University of Japan (IUJ), Niigata, Japan, June 5 “Modeling External Liberalization For China” Paper prepared for “Workshop on Modeling The Impact of China Liberalization Policy,” Bali, July 17, organized and sponsored by the ADB-Institute “China’s Entry to WTO and Its Regional Impact” presented at the Regional Science seminar, Cornell University, October 30. “The Role of the IMF on the Recent Capital Account Crisis” According to the IMF Independent Evaluation Office: A Comment” presented at the meeting with the IMF Independent Evaluation Office, Tokyo, November 7 “Asian Development Paradigm: Accumulation and Assimilation Process” ADB-I conference. December 17. (with Zhai Fan) “Macroeconomic and Social Impacts of External Liberalization – A CGE analysis for China,” presented at the ADB-I seminar, December 18 2003 “Asian Development Paradigm” presented at the ADB-I conference. January 14. (with Yoshida) Can a Local Currency Harmonize Environment and Economy? Input-output Analysis of

21

Environmental Effects by Means of a Local Currency in US, presented at the conference of International Society for Industrial Ecology: “Industrial Ecology for a Sustainable Future,” University of Michigan, June 29-July 2 “New Investment Opportunities and Trends in Asia,” presented at the 13th Asian Business Conference, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, February 7-8. “Short-term Outlook of the Indonesian Economy.” presented at the Pacific Economic Outlook (PEO) forecasters meeting, Osaka, Japan, March 17-18. (co-authored with Abdullah Fawzy Siddik &Mary K. van der Boon), “Democracy Through Education Initiatives: The Case of Indonesia.” Paper presented at the workshop on “Transnational Exchanges: Business Networks and Identity Formation in 19th and 20th Century Asia and Europe.” May 6 to 8, Vrije University, Amsterdam. “Concepts and Practice of Decentralization: Some Notes on the Case of Indonesia, presented at a Policy Dialogue on “Empowering Women in Autonomy and Decentralization Processes,” organized by the Office of the Permanent Mission of Indonesia to the United Nations, New York, May 29.

“Complex Decision in the Establishment of Asian Regional Financial Arrangement,” paper presented at the international conference organized by ISAHP, Bali, August 7-9 “Searching for a Form of Regional Financial Arrangement,” paper presented at the Bank Indonesia Round Table, Jakarta, September 8 “Promoting Regional Growth and the Role of KBI in A Decentralized System,” paper presented at a National Seminar organized by Bank Indonesia, Jakarta, October 3 “From Chiang Mai Initiative to Regional Financial Arrangement,” presented at a symposium on “Asia’s New Regionalism: ASEAN+3,” Center for East Asian and Pacific Studies, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, October 16-18. “A Planning Model With Uncertainty and Feedback Influences,” Paper presented at the Northeast Regional Science meeting, State University of New York, Binghamton November 6-8, 2003. “Analytic Network Process With Feedback Influence: A New Approach to Impact Study” Prepared for a seminar organized by the Department of Urban and Regional Planning, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, in conjunction with the Investiture Ceremony for Professor John Kim, November 18, 2003. (with Erik Thorbecke and Willem Thorbecke) “Modeling the Effects of Financial Crises on Income Distribution and Poverty,” research report for IFPRI-World Bank-Washington DC. 2004

“Draft Notes for A Researh Proposal: The Construction of A Financial Social Accounting Matrix (FSAM) for Indonesia,” presented at Bank Indonesia to stimulate research on FSAM, June 22-23, Jakarta

(with Willem Thorbecke) “Macroeconomic Shocks and Bank Lending in Indonesia,” presented at the Spring 2004 Washington Area Finance Association Conference, sponsored byWashington Area Finance Association, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, NASDAQ, April 16, Arlington, VA (with Erina E. Azis, Erik Thorbecke, and Willem Thorbecke), “Promoting Growth and Development in Indonesia, A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis,” research report for IFPRI, Washington D.C “Goal of Decentralization: Make local governments more responsive to the needs of local people,” presented at a seminar organized by KBI Makassar, July 9, Makassar, South Sulawesi.

22

“Parametric Versus Nonparametric Statistics, and Bayesian Versus Non-Bayesian Approach,” presented at a training for Bank Indonesia, Novotel-Bogor, July 5-6, West Jawa. “Justification for Decentralization,” presented at a seminar organized by KBI Pontianak, Kalimantan, Indonesia, July 16. “Short-run Problem: Disintermediation and Monetary Policy,” presented at a seminar organized by Bank Indonesia and KBI Palembang, South Sumatera, July 8. “Concepts and Practice of Decentralization,” presented at a seminar organized by University of Sriwijaya and KBI Palembang, South Sumatera, Indonesia, July 21. “Increased Importance of Kajian Ekonomi Regional: Disintermediation, Monetary Policy, and Regional Development,” presented at a seminar organized by Bank Indonesia, July 23, Surabaya (with Erik Thorbecke) “Promoting Growth and Development: Simulation Results of FCGE Model For Indonesia With Poverty Module,” presented at a national seminar organized by PPSK-Bank Indonesia, July 27, Jakarta (with Erik Thorbecke) “Sustainable Development For Resource-Rich Indonesia: Assessing Performance and Future Scenarios,” presented at a seminar organized by the Ministry of Mining, July 29, Jakarta “Regional Inflation Prospect For Kajian Ekonomi Regional,” presented at a training program for KBI (western Indonesia), August 2-3, Karawachi, Tangerang “Has Indonesia Entered An Economic Stability Trap?” Presented at a seminar in the Economics Division, Research School of Pacific and Asian Studies, Australian National University, September 8, Canberra ACT 0200, Australia “A Critical Evaluation of Policy Responses to the Asian Financial Crisis,” Presented in a seminar at the department of economics, University of Adelaide, Australia, September 10 “Counterfactual Policy Scenarios During and After the Crisis Using Financial CGE Model With Poverty Module: The Case of Indonesia,” Presented at a seminar in the Economics Division, Research School of Pacific and Asian Studies, Australian National University, September 21, Canberra ACT 0200, Australia (with Emil Salim) “Future Scenarios and Development Challenges in the Context of Sustainable Utilization of Natural Resources,” presented at a conference on “Indonesia Update,” Economics Division, Research School of Pacific and Asian Studies, Australian National University, September 25, Canberra ACT 0200, Australia “The Link Between Macroeconomics and Micro Behavior,” presented at a one-day seminar, organized by Trisakti School of Management, October 13, Jakarta-Indonesia “What Would Have Happened if Alternative Policies Had Been Taken during and after the Crisis? The Case of Indonesia,” presented at Development Economic Workshop, Program on Comparative Economic Development, Cornell University, October 22 “Analyzing Indonesia’s Sovereign Debt and Tepid Recovery,” presented at a seminar organized by RIETI of the Japan’s Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI), December 10, Tokyo. “Managing Indonesia’s Sovereign Debt: Dramatic Escalation of Government Bond and Counterfactual Scenarios,” Presented at “Sovereign Debt Task Force Meeting,” organized by Initiative for Policy Dialogue and Columbia University, October 15-16, New York City “Modeling the Disconnect Between Financial Policy and Real Sector Using the Financial Social Accounting Matrix as a Data System: The Case of Indonesia” Paper presented at the international conference on “Banking

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Disintermediation and Its Implication to Monetary Policy: A Theoretical View and Country Experiences” organized by PPSK-Bank Indonesia, December 15-16, Bali.

2005

“Volunteer Work and Opportunity Cost” Presented at the International Mini-Workshop on NGO Activities, faculty of economics, Gakushuin University, Tokyo, January 7, 2005. Indonesian Economy: Recent Macroeconomic and Financial Development, presented at the USINDO seminar, Washington D.C, June1. Decentralization and Financial Social Accounting Matrix, presented at a seminar organized by the Faculty of Economics, University of North Sumatera (USU), Medan, North Sumatera, June 27 Credit Market Frictions and Balance Sheet Effect, presented at a seminar organized by the Graduate Program of Economics, University of Indonesia, Salemba-Jakarta, June Institutional Approach of Decentralization and Role of Interregional Capital Movement in Growth, presented at the seminar organized by the regional office of Bank Indonesia (KBI), Manado, North Sulawesi, July 4 Data, Democracy, Decentralization, and Modeling Reality, presented at a seminar organized by the Statistical Agency (BPS), Jakarta, July. Institution-Policy Interactions and Regional Growth, presented at a conference organized by IRSA, University of Indonesia, Depok, August 3. (with Nattapong Putanapong), Estimating the Aggregate Supply and Demand Curves of Eight East Asian Economies: The Structural VAR Approach, presented at a conference organized by IRSA, University of Indonesia, Depok, August 3. Decentralization in Transition, presented at the regional office of Bank Indonesia (KBI) Jaya pura, Papua, August 8 Institutional Factor and Regional Growth, presented at the University of Cenderawasih, Jayapura, Papua, August 10 Institution-Policy Interactions and Regional Growth, presented at the seminar organized by the regional office of Bank Indonesia (KBI) Makassar, South Sulawesi, August 12 Selected Global-Regional Issues, presented at the Indonesian central bank internal meeting, August 16 KER Improvements, presented at a workshop organized by DKM office of Indonesian central bank, Medan, North Sumatera, August 29-31 Applying Structural Path Analysis Using MATS Software and Interpreting the Results, presented at the workshop organized by the Indonesian central bank (Bank Indonesia), Bandung, September Global Imbalances and New Regionalism, presented at the faculty of economics seminar, University of North Sumatera (USU), Medan, September 1 Global Imbalances, presented at a seminar organized by BUKOPIN, September 8, Jakarta Capital Account Liberalization and Regional Integration: Theoretical and Empirical Evidence Seminar and the Sixth Meeting of the Working Committee on ASEAN Capital Account Liberalization, Jakarta, September 7

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The Relevance of FSAM for Monetary and Financial Policy, presented to the governor and Directors of the Indonesian central bank (Bank Indonesia), September New Economic Approach and Global Imbalance, presented at a seminar organized by the Graduate Program of Economics, University of Indonesia, Salemba-Jakarta, September Financial Policy Analysis Using FSAM, presented at a seminar organized by the Graduate Program of Economics, University of Gajah Mada, Jogyakarta, September 9. Institutional Constraints in Development and Decentralization Process, presented at the seminar on ; "International Politics : 60 years journey of democracy, national development and regional autonomy “ IDEA HQ, 103-34 Stromborg, Stockholm, September 20 Institutional Constraints in Regional Decentralization and Post Disaster Reconstruction: The Case of Aceh, at the Regional Science Seminar, Wednesday October, 2005, West Sibley Hall, Cornell University Impacts of Rising World Oil Prices on Growth and Poverty Reduction in Asia, presented at the Regional Training Workshop on “Pro-Poor Macroeconomic Policies in Asia and the Pacific,” October 24-28, organized by UNDP, Beijing-China Global Imbalances and Regional Challenges: The Problem is Clear, the Solution is Not, presented at the Regional Science Seminar, Wednesday November 2, 2005, West Sibley Hall, Cornell University 2006 “Structuring International Perspectives of Post-Decentralization Through A Regional Growth Model,” presented at a seminar organized by KBI (regional office of Bank Indonesia) Bandung, June 12 “Modeling Financial Liberalization and Its Impact on Urban-Rural Disparity: The Case of China” presented at BEIDA, Peking University, Beijing, May 25 “Konsep “Local Capture” Dalam Proses Desentralisasi dan Strategi Pembangunan Daerah,” (The Concept of Local Capture in Decentralization and Regional Development Strategy”) presented at a seminar organized by KBI (regional office of Bank Indonesia) Papua in Jayapura, Papua, July 4 “Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Daerah Setelah Desentralisasi” (Post Decentralization Regional Growth), presented at a seminar organized by KBI (regional office of Bank Indonesia) Ternate, Maluku Utara, June 22 “Regional Financial Arrangements in East Asia,” presented at a seminar organized by “Biro Hubungan dan Studi Internasional, Direktorat Internasional” (Directorate of International Relations) Bank Indonesia, Jakarta, July 13 ”A Drastic Reduction of Fuel Subsidies Confuses Ends and Means,” presented at a seminar organized by PPSK (Center for Research and Study on Central Banking), Bank Indonesia, Jakarta, July 11. “Managing Global Imbalance,” presented at the 13th Annual International Conference on Advances in Management (ICAM), July 19 – 22, ISCTE, Lisboa, Portugal “Regional Growth After Decentralization: The Case of Eastern Indonesia,” Presented at the seminar organized by Surabaya Branch of Bank Indonesia (KBI), Surabaya, August 16. “Global Trend and Indonesia’s Economic & Regional Growth Performance,” Presented at a seminar organized by Faculty of Economics, University of Sumatera Utara (USU), Medan August 8. “When Development Policy Confuses Ends and Means,” Presented at the seminar organized by Faculty of Economics, University of Airlangga, Surabaya, August 16

25

“Indonesia In A Current Global Economic Environment,” Presented at a seminar organized by University of Sjah Kuala, Banda Aceh, NAD August 9. “Beberapa Mitos Dalam Kebijakan Publik Dan Ekonomi“ (“Some Myths in Public and Economic Policy“), Presented at the Graduate Program of Economics, University of Indonesia, Depok, August 24 “A Complex Process of Forming A Regional Financial Arrangement: Limitations of Standard Economic Models,” paper presented at the INFORMS meeting, Pittsburgh Nov. 4-8 “Absence of Incentive System and Its Effect on Decentralization Outcome,” Presented at a seminar organized by KBI Kupang, NTT at Kristal Hotel, Kupang, September 7 “When Economic Policy Confuses Ends and Means,” Presented at a discussion forum organized by Indonesia’s Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS), Jakarta, 13 September “Articulating the Benefits and Costs of Regional Financial Arrangement in East Asia,” presented at the Annual International Seminar on “Global Imbalances and Their Impacts on Emerging Market Economies: Issues and Challenges,” organized by the Centre of Education and Central Banking Studies (PPSK), Bank Indonesia, Bali, November 16-17. “Disappointing Results of Indonesia’s Decentralization,” Presented at a BPS seminar, Pekanbaru, Riau, November 29. “Indonesia in a Global and Regional Context,” Presented at a seminar organized by LPPM, Jakarta, December 1 “Challenges of Public and Economic Policies,” materials used for the dialogue with East Jawa’s business sector , organized by Bank Indonesia, December 5, Surabaya. “New Development in Spatial Analysis,” Presented at a seminar organized by Regional Planning Program Study, Institute of Technology Bandung (ITB), Bandung, West Jawa, December 7 “Recent Trend in Spatial Analysis and Relevant Models for Indonesia’s Regional Development,” Presented at a seminar organized by University of Padjadjaran, Bandung, December 8 “The United States, Asia, and Indonesia in the Global Imbalances,” Presented at Mandiri Sekuritas Investor Forum Luncheon, Jakarta, December 11 2007 “Global Financial Crisis,” lecture in an international seminar, Western Kentucky University, Bowling Green, March 28 “Indonesia’ Slow Recovery After Meltdown,” paper presented at the Asia Panel, Brookings Institute, Washington DC, April 9-10 “Disappointing Results After Six Years of Decentralization,” presented at a seminar on “Six Years of Indonesia’s Decentralization,” Nikko Hotel, Jakarta, July 4-5. “Exploring Important Elements of Regional Financial Arrangement by Using the Analytic Network Process,” paper presented at the ISAHP 2007, Chile, August 3 “Regional Financial Arrangement In the Wake of Global Imbalances,” presented at the University of Federico Santa Maria, Santiago, Chile, August 7

26

“Resolving Conflicts in a Regional Cooperation: the Case of East Asia,” presented at Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India, August 10-11 “Global Financial Crises,” presented at the Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research (IGIDR), Mumbai, India, August 14 “Managing Global Imbalances: Asian Views,” Presented at Institute of Rural Management Anand (IRMA), Anand, Gujarat, India, August 16 “A Theory and Method of Analyzing Decentralization,” presented at Institute of Rural Management Anand (IRMA), Anand, Gujarat, India, August 16 “Making Macroeconomics More Relevant For Poverty Analysis,” Regional Science Seminar, Cornell University, September 5 "Incorporating Financial Sector in Social Accounting Matrix: A Necessary Step In Macroeconomics-Poverty Nexus,“ Brown bag Seminar, Asian Development Bank Institute, Tokyo, October 17 “Comments on Hugh Patrick’s Japan's Current Economic Performance and Japan's Role in East Asia,” presented in the ADBI Distinguished Speaker Seminar, October 31, Tokyo “Growing Regionalism in East Asia,”Presented at the University of Tsukuba, November 20 “How is the IMF Addressing the Concerns of the IEO Report,” presented at IEO Conference on “Evaluating the IMF’s Exchange Rate Policy Advice,” at the ADBI Tokyo, November 27. “Macroeconomic Policy and Poverty,” Brown bag Seminar, Asian Development Bank Institute, Tokyo, November 28 “Comments on Poverty Reduction for an Inclusive and Equitable Asia,” presented comments on the following two papers: ‘Poverty reduction and inclusive growth’ by Justin Yifu Lin, and ‘Inequality and the imperative for inclusive growth in developing Asia’ by Ifzal Ali, presented during the ADBI 10th Anniversary Conference on “Poverty Reduction for an Inclusive and Equitable Asia A Decade of Developments,” Tokyo, December 4 2008 “FSAM-Based Model In Macroeconomic Policy and Poverty,” paper presented at the national conference organized by Bank Indonesia, Jakarta, May 28 “The Relevance of Regional Economy in National Economy,” paper presented at the KONREG (regional conference) organized by Indonesian Central Bureau of Statistics, June, Pontianak, West Kalimantan “Macroeconomic Policy and Poverty,” presented at the graduate program of economics, University of Indonesia, June “Indonesian Economy Ten Years After the Asian Financial Crisis: What, Why, and How?,” ” presented at the graduate program of economics, University of Indonesia, June “Interactions Between National and Regional Economy,” paper presented at the KONREG (regional conference) organized by Indonesian Central Bureau of Statistics, Manado, North Sulawesi, July 9 “Institution and Decentralization,” Paper presented at the internal seminar organized by PPSK, Bank Indonesia (Indonesian Central Bank),Jakarta, July

27

Institutions and Policies in Decentralization,” paper presented at the KONREG (regional conference) organized by Indonesian Central Bureau of Statistics, Palembang, South Sumatera, July 23 “Regional Autonomy and the Capacity to Reduce Unemployment and Poverty,” presented at the seminar organized by Bank Indonesia, July 14, Merauke, Papua “Global Economy & Financial Development: Trend & Challenges,” presented at SESPIBI, Bank Indonesia, July 25 “FSAM and Its Use For Policy Making,” Presented in a socialization program organized by Bank Indonesia, Mataram, West Nusa Tenggara, July 21 “Institutional Factors and Policy: Explaining The Disappointing Regional Growth,” Presented at the 9th IRSA International Conference, Palembang, South Sumatera, July 31-August 1 “Environment and Natural Resource-Related Conflict,” Paper Presented at the Asian Peace Science Network conference, Bali, August 2-3 “Exploring Economy-Wide Impacts of Climate Change In A Resource-Rich Country,” Presented at the Annual International Seminar on “Macroeconomic Impact of Climate Change: Opportunities and Challenges,” August 1-2, Bali “Higher Education In the US and The World,” presented at Gakushuin University, Tokyo, October 27 “Global Financial Crisis & Its Impact on Emerging Markets,” presented at Ericsson Board of Commissioner Meeting, Jakarta, Nov 11 “From Subprime to Recession: Economics of Financial Crisis,” presented at Research Day 2008, Faculty of Economics, University of Indonesia, November 17 “Financial Crises: Causes, Consequences, and Solutions, “ presented at International University of Japan (IUJ), Niigata, November 28 “Effects of Global Financial Crisis on Asia Pacific Region,” presented at Gakushuin University, Tokyo, December 15 “Global Financial Crisis and Indonesia,” presented at International Student Center, Institute of Technology, Okayama, Tokyo, December 11 2009: "Financial Crisis and Regional Development: The Problem is Clear, The Solution Is Not", presented at International Study of Planning (ISP) colloquium, January 23, Goldwin Smith Hall, Cornell University (with Maria Wihardja) “Theory of endogenous institution and evidences from the in-depth field study in Indonesia,” Presented at Western Regional Science Association 48th Annual Meeting, Silverado Resort and Spa ~ Napa, California, February 22–25, 2009 PUBLISHED ARTICLES 1982 "Prioritization Method for Interdependent Decision Making," Management dan Usahawan-LMUI, September/October

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"The Development of Interregional Investment Allocation Model" (in Indonesian), Economics and Finance in Indonesia, no 31 (4) December. 1984 "The Development of General Equilibrium Theory: From Cassel to Debreu" (in Indonesian), Management dan Usahawan Indonesia, January/February "Regional Development Planning: Dimensions for Attention," in Business News No. 68. "A Note on One Interpretation of "Take-Off" (in Indonesian)," Management dan Usahawan Indonesia, March/April 1985 "Interregional Input-Output Analysis of Asean-USA and Asean-Japan Interrelations," in Jomo (ed), Asean Economies: Crisis & Response, Malaysian Economic Association "Problems and Progress of Regional Development" (in Indonesian), Problems and Prospect of Indonesian Economy 1985/86, UI-Press "Development Economic Process and Urbanization : A Framework and Simple Model" (in Indonesian), in Majalah Demografi "Regional Development and Interregional Investment Allocation" (in Indonesian), Prisma, no 5 "Production and Location Theory" (in Indonesian), Economics and Finance in Indonesia, vol XXXIII, no 4 1986 "Summary of Indonesian Economic Prospect 1986/87" (in Indonesian), in M Arsyad Anwar and others (eds), Indonesian Economy: Problems and Prospect 1986/87, UI-Press "Development and Estimates of Sectoral Macro Economy" (in Indonesian), in M Arsyad Anwar and others (eds), Indonesian Economy: Problems and Prospect 1986/87, UI-Press "Regional Development in Indonesia: Some Problems and Challenges" (in Indonesian), Management dan Usahawan Indonesia, January/February. "Challenges in Regional Development" (in Indonesian), in Swasembada, April "Future Planning Technique in Indonesia," in Economics and Finance in Indonesia (EKI). 1987 "Space Concept in Economics: An Approach" (in Indonesian), in Esmara H (ed), Economic Theory and Development Policy, Gramedia "Overview and Economic Prospect 1987/88" (in Indonesian), in M Arsyad Anwar, S E Swasono and Azis, I J, Indonesian Economy: Overview and Prospect 1987/88, UI-Press "Energy Sources in The National Growth Strategy (in Indonesian)," Economics and Finance in Indonesia, September 1988

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(with M Arsyad Anwar), "Indonesian Economy in 1987 and the Projection for 1988" (in Indonesian), in M Arsyad Anwar, S E Swasono and Azis I J, Indonesian Economy: Problems and Prospect 1988/89, UI-Press 1989 "Performance and Prospect of Indonesia's Macro Economy," (in Indonesian), in Anwar, Arsjad M & Swasono, Sri Edi & Azis, Iwan J, Indonesian Economy: Problems and Prospect 1989/1990, UI-Press "Key Issues in Indonesian Regional Development," in Hal Hill (ed), Unity and Diversity: Regional Economic Development in Indonesia Since 1970, Oxford University Press 1990 "Identification of the Potentials and Development Planning Approach For Eastern Part of Indonesia," Telstra Strategic Review, no 7, July-August. "Economic Development and Recent Adjustment in Resource-Rich Countries: The Case of Indonesia," in Fukuchi, Takao & Kagami, Mitsuhiro (eds), Perspectives on the Pacific Basin Economy: A Comparison of Asia and Latin America, Institute of Developing Economies and The Asian Club Foundation. "Regional Development Planning: An Approach" (in Indonesian), in VISI (A Scientific Magazine), volume 1, no 1 (February). (with Erina Ekawati), "A Simulation Study of Changing External Trade Situations: Econometric Model For Indonesia," in Yap, Josef T & Nakamura , Yoichi, Asian Link: An Econometric Model, Longman. "The Financing of Regional Development: Disparity Between Eastern and Western Indonesia and Between Regions" (in Indonesian), Analisis CSIS, no 3, May-June. "Theory and Methodology in Regional Development Planning" (in Indonesian), Perencanaan Pembangunan, Bappenas Journal, no 1, December 1990. "Development and the Prospect of Indonesian Economy Throughout 1991," in Arsyad Anwar, M. & Iwan J. Azis (eds), Indonesian Economic Prospect and Human Resource Development, (in Indonesian), Lembaga Penerbit-FEUI. "Analytic Hierarchy Process in the Benefits/Cost Framework: A Post-Evaluation of the Trans-Sumatera Highway Project," European Journal of Operational Research, September 5, vol 48, number 1. "Inpres' Role In the Reduction of Interregional Disparity," Asian Economic Journal, vol IV, no 2, September. 1991 "The Choice of Policies and Strategies That Can Be Evaluated From the Moral Aspect of Development: The Case of Indonesia" (in Japanese), in a book published by the Institute of Moralogy, Globalization and Ethics of Economy, Tokyo-Japan. "Resource and Environmental Economics Within the Concept of Sustainable Development" (in Indonesian), in PRISMA, no 1, XX, January. "Recent Trends and A Forecast of the Indonesian Economy Throughout 1992," Asian Economic Journal, vol 5, no 2. 1992

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"External-Oriented Strategy and the Employment Effect," in Fu-Chen Lo & N. Akrasane, The Future of Asia-Pacific Economies, Allied Publishers Limited, "National Growth and Development Policy: Performance, Impacts and Reassessment," in T.John Kim, Gerrit Knaap & Iwan J. Azis, Spatial Development in Indonesia, Avebury-London. Review on Regional Development in Indonesia: The Concern of Equity and Foreign Exchange Accumulation, in T. John Kim, Gerrit Knaap & Iwan J. Azis, Spatial Development in Indonesia, Avebury-London. "Trend and Short-Run Prospect of Indonesian Economy" (in Indonesian), in Arsyad Anwar, Iwan J. Azis & Faisal Basri, Prospek Ekonomi Indonesia Jangka Pendek dan Sumber Pembiayaan Pembangunan, Gramedia. "Econometric Model For Simulating Alternative External Trade in Indonesia," in Ichimura, Shinichi (ed), Econometric Models of Asia-Pacific Economies, Springer-Verlag, Tokyo-Heidelberg-New York. "Is the 1992/93 Budget Contractionary or Expansionary?" in Warta Koperasi, February. "The Cycle of Budget Impact Upon the Economy" (in Indonesian), in M. Arsjad Anwar, The Kian Wie & Iwan J. Azis (ed), Pemikiran, Pelaksanaan, dan Perintisan Pembangunan Ekonomi, Gramedia 1992. "The Internalization of Externalities: Environmental CGE Model for Indonesia" (in Indonesian), in M. Arsjad Anwar, The Kian Wie & Iwan J. Azis (ed), Pemikiran, Pelaksanaan, dan Perintisan Pembangunan Ekonomi, Gramedia 1992. "New Hopes and Effects of the ASEAN Free Trade Area" (in Indonesian), in Managemen & Usahawan Indonesia, May. "Regional and Social Impacts of Structural Adjustment: The Case of Indonesia," IUC-EC-UI working paper No 1/92, reproduced in Working Papers in Planning, Cornell University, August. "A Study of Decentralization Based on the Regional Perspective: The Application of Analytic Hierarchy Process", in Ekonomi Keuangan Indonesia, Vol 1, May "Interregional Allocation of Resources: The Case of Indonesia," in Papers in Regional Science: The Journal of the Regional Science Association International, Vol 71, No 4, 1992. "Regional Balance and the National Development Strategy," in Igusa, Kunio et.al (eds) Regional Development and Industrialization, Institute of Developing Economies, Tokyo. "The Application of "Analytic Hierarchy Process" to Unravel the Nature of Decentralization: Case Study of a Developing Country," Working Papers in Planning, Cornell University 1993 "An Indonesian Economic Forecast Based on A Yearly Econometric Model," Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies, Vol 29 No 2, August, pp 43-58. 1994 "Growth and Environmental Degradation: In Pursuit of Alternative Approaches and Measurements," in SPES, Economy and Ecology in Sustainable Development, Gramedia & SPES Foundation.

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(with T. Kawashima & M. Tene) "Chronological Time-lags Over Spatial-cycle Path: Comparative Analysis on Inter-city Agglomeration and Deglomeration of Population in Indonesia, Japan, Sweden and USA," in GEM Bulletin, Gakushuin University Research Institute of Economics and Management, Gakushuin University, Tokyo, March, pp 31-44. "Indonesia" (The Political Economy), in John Williamson (ed), The Political Economy of Policy Reform, Institute for International Economics, pp 385-416. "Notas Sobre Desarrollo Regional Y Descentralization en Indonesia," (in Spanish) Planeacion & Desarrollo, Vol XXV, Santafe de Bogota DC, Colombia. 1995 (with Mari Pangestu), " Survey of Recent Development," Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies, Vol 2, No. Canberra-Australia "Eastern Indonesia in the Current Policy Environment," in Colin Barlow et.al (eds), Indonesia Assesment 1995: Development in Eastern Indonesia, Institute for South East Asian Studies, Singapore "Impacts of Economic Reform on Regional Disparity," in FEUI Alumni and Future Challenge (in Indonesian), PT Gramedia Pustaka Utama. "CGE Modeling for Developing Countries: An Example of Indonesian Model," in S. Ichimura & F.G Adams (eds), The East Asian Development Pattern Forecasts to the Year 2010, International Centre for the Study of East Asian Development (ICSEAD) 1996 (with Walter Isard): "The Use of the Analytic Hierarchy Process in Conflict Analysis and An Extension," in Peace Economics, Peace Science and Public Policy, Vol 3, No 3. "Resolving Possible Tensions in ASEAN’s Future Trade: Using Analytic Hierarchy Process," in ASEAN Economic Bulletin, Vol 12, No. 3, March, ISEAS, Singapore. "New Conflicts Between Developed and Developing Countries," in Peace Economics, Peace Science and Public Policy, Vol 3, No 1. 1997 "Impacts of Economic Reform on Rural-Urban Welfare: A General Equilibrium Framework,” Review of Urban and Regional Development Studies, Vol.3, Spring. "Linking Pollution and Macroeconomic Variables: An Indonesian Example," in Manas Chatterji & Yang Kaizhong (eds), Regional Science in Developing Countries, St. Martin’s Press, INC. "Comparative Analysis of Intercity Agglomeration" (with T. Kawashima & M. Tene), in M. Chatterji (ed), Regional Science: Perspectives for the Future, St. Martin’s Press, INC. “The Increasing Role of the Urban Non-formal Sector in Indonesia: Employment Analysis within a Multisectoral Framework,” in Gavin W. Jones & Pravin Visaria (eds), Urbanization in Large Developing Countries: China, Indonesia, Brazil and India, Clarendon Press, Oxford. 1998 "Southeast Asian Crisis: The Bubble Finally Bursts," 1998, in The Economic Outlook for 1998, RSQE-University of Michigan;

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"When Politics Fuses with Currency Panic," in Capital Trends, Nikko Research Center (America) Inc, Vol 3, Number 2. "The Relevance of Price Endogenous Models," Regional Science Review, Vol 3, No 1. (with Walter Isard), “Applied General Interregional Equilibrium”, in Methods of Interregional and Regional Analysis, Ashgate, England, pp 333-400. "Indonesia," a chapter in Pacific Economic Outlook, 1998-1999, published by U.S National Committee for Pacific Economic Cooperation in cooperation with The Asia Foundation & Arthur Andersen, pp 34-36. "Indonesia's Journey from Boom to Bust," Braudel Papers, published by the Fernand Braudel Institute of World Economics, No. 19 “Transition from Financial Crisis to Social Crisis,” in Social Implications of the Asian Financial Crisis, jointly published by UNDP and Korean Development Institute (KDI), 1998. "The Impact of Foreign Investment in Indonesia: Historical Trends and Simulation Analysis," in H. Lee & D. Roland-Holst (eds), Economic Development and Cooperation in the Pacific Basin: Trade, Investment, and Environment Issues, Cambridge University Press, New York “A trajetória da Indonésia: do boom à quebra,” (in Portugese) PUBLICAÇÕES - BRAUDEL PAPERS - EDIÇÃO Nº 20 (with Walter Isard) “A Cooperative Analysis Approach for Use by Diplomats and Negotiators With a Proposed Step for Resolving Conflict on the Korean Peninsula ,” Economics, Peace Science and Public Policy Vol 5, No 1, pp 1-22 1999 "Do We Know the Real Causes of the Asian Crisis?" in Barry Herman (ed), Global Financial Turmoil and Reform: A United Nations Perspective, United Nations University Press, Tokyo-New York-Paris "Exchange Rate, Capital Flows and Reform Sequencing in Indonesia: Policy Trend and CGE Model Application," in Julio de Brun and Rolf Lüders (eds), Macroeconomic Policy and the Exchange Rate, International Center for Economic Growth, San Francisco (with David Roland-Holst), “Policy Research for Sustainable Development: Notes on Simulation Modeling for Indonesia,” in Fu-Chen Lo, K. Matsushita, H. Takagi (eds), The Sustainable Future of the Global System II, Proceedings of the International Conference on Sustainable Future of the Global System, UN University-Institute of Advanced Studies and Institute for Global Environmental Strategies (IGES). “Indonesia: The Role of Institutional Weakness in the Crisis,” in The Politics of the Economic Crisis in Asia: Consensus and Controversies, Carnegie Economic Reform Network, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Washington D.C. 2000 "Pre and Post Crisis Indonesia: The Vital Roles of Institutional Factors," chapter 6 of Fu-Chen Lo and Lawrence Klein (eds), Global Financial Restructuring and Asian Recovery, United Nations University Press. “Simulating Economy-wide Models to Capture the Transition from Financial Crisis to Social Crisis,” The Annals of Regional Science, Vol. 34, Issue 2, 2000

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“Non-Linear General Equilibrium Impacts of Financial Crisis and Manufacturing Downfall,” The Developing Economies, Vol 2, December. “Modeling the Transition From Financial Crisis to Social Crisis,” Asian Economic Journal, Vol 14, Number 4, December “Development and Sustainable Future: The Environmental Dimension of Socio-Economic Progress,” in Proceeding of International Conference on Sustainable Future of the Global System, United Nations University, Tokyo, May 24-28, 2000. “Institutions Matter,” in D. Hidayat, E. Gazali, H. Suwardi & Ishadi S.K (eds), “Press in the May Revolution: The Fall of a Hegemony” (Pers dalam Revolusi Mei: Runtuhnya Sebuah Hegemon), P.T Gramedia Pustaka, Jakarta. “Indonesia” in Pacific Economic Outlook, 2000-2001, Asia Pacific Press, Australia “Why and How Institutions Matter in Indonesia’s Episode of Economic Performance,” in Paradigms Report 2000, Asian Development Bank Institute. “Incorporating Economic and Environmental Dimensions in Measuring Development Progress: The Case of Indonesia,” in Fu Chen Lo, Hiroyasu Tokuda and N.S Cooray (eds), The Sustainable Future of the Global System III, The United Nations University and OECD, Tokyo. 2001 “Indonesia: 2000-2002 Forecast,” in Pacific Economic Outlook, Australian National University Press “Modeling Crisis Evolution and Counterfactual Policy Simulations: A Country Case Study,” ADB Institute Working Paper, No 23, Tokyo. (with Christopher Silver and Larry Schroeder) “Intergovernmental Transfer and Decentralisation in Indonesia,” Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies, Vol 37. No. 3, December, p345-362 Detecting the Impact of 9/11 Event on the National Economy (in Indonesian), Analisis CSIS, Vol XXX, No. 4, p 392-401 2002 “A New Approach on Modeling the Impacts of Financial Crisis on Poverty and Income Distribution,” ADB-I Working Paper No. 35, March. Tokyo. (with Erik Thorbecke and Willem Thorbecke), “The Socio-economic Impact of the Asian Financial Crisis on Indonesia,” in M. Ikhsan, Chris Manning and Hadi Soesastro (eds) Ekonomi Indonesia di Era Politik Baru (Indonesian Economy in the New Political Era), Kompas Printing “Firm Behavior, Market Perceptions and Abnormal Trading,” in M. Ikhsan, Chris Manning and Hadi Soesastro (eds) Ekonomi Indonesia di Era Politik Baru (Indonesian Economy in the New Political Era), Kompas Printing “Indonesia” in Pacific Economic Outlook 2002-2003, Pacific Economic Cooperation Council, Asia Pacific Press and the Australian National University, Canberra “What Would Have Happened in Indonesia if Different Economic Policies had been Implemented When the Crisis Started?” The Asian Economic Papers, vol. 1 no. 2, MIT Press

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Book Review on Paul Blustein, “The Chastening: Inside the Crisis that Rocked the Global Financial Sytem and Humbled the IMF” (2001), Public Affairs, New York, in Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. LX, December. (with David Roland-Holst) “Recovery and Growth in Indonesia: Scenarios for Sustainable Development,” in B.P. Resosudarmo, A. Alisjahbana, and B. Brodjonegoro (eds), Indonesia’s Sustainable Development in a Decentralization Era, published by IRSA (Indonesian Regional Science Association), Jakarta, June. 2003 “Modeling the Repercussions of Financial Shock on Socio-Economic Indicators,” in Aris Ananta (ed). The Indonesian Crisis: A Human Development Perspective. Institute of Southeast Asian Studies, Singapore. (with Masaru Yoshitomi and others) Post-Crisis Development Paradigms in Asia Asian Development Bank Institute, Tokyo “Indonesia” in Pacific Economic Outlook 2003-2004, Pacific Economic Cooperation Council, Asia Pacific Press and the Australian National University, Canberra Comments on Fan Gang “China’s Nonperforming Loans and National Comprehensive Liability” in the Asian Economic Papers, Vol 2, Number 1. MIT Press (with Yuri Mansury) “Measuring Economy-wide Impacts of A Financial Shock,” ASEAN Economic Bulletin, Volume 21, Number 2, August, Singapore. (with David Roland-Holst and Li Gang Liu) “Regionalism and Globalism, East and Southeast Asian Trade Relations in the Wake of China’s WTO Accession,” ADB Institute Discussion Paper Series, Tokyo, January 2004 “Financial Sector Liberalization and the Asian Financial Crisis: The IFI Got it Wrong Twice,” in Lourdes Benaria and Savitri Bisnath (eds). Global Tensions: Challenges and Opportunities in the World Economy, Routledge, New York-London, 2004 “Regional Financial Arrangement In East Asia’s New Regionalism,” published by Indonesian Central Bank (Bank Indonesia), September, Jakarta “Modeling the Disconnect Between Financial Policy and Real Sector Using the Financial Social Accounting Matrix as a Data System: The Case of Indonesia,” in Charles Joseph (ed) Banking Disintermediation and Its Implication to Monetary Policy: A Theoretical View and Country Experiences published by Bank Indonesia, Jakarta (with Willem Thorbecke) “The Effects of Exchange Rate and Interest Rate Shocks on Bank Lending in Indonesia,: Economics and Finance in Indonesia, Vol 52, No 3, December. 2005 “IMF Perspectives and Alternative Views on the Asian Crisis,” in P. Gangopadhyay and M. Chatterji (eds) Economics of Globalisation, Ashgate, England (with EmilSalim) Development Performance and Future Scenarios in the Context of Sustainable Utilization of Natural Resources, in Budy, P.R (ed) The Politics and Economics of Indonesia’s Natural Resources, Institute of Southeast Asian Studies, Singapore “A Regional Cooperation To Support Financial Crisis Management and Prevention: An Application of A Model With Uncertainty and Feedback Influences,” International Journal of Organizational Analysis, Vol 13, No 3

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2006 “Indonesia's External Liberalization: Policy Dynamics and Socio-Economic Impact,” in Taylor, Lance (ed) External Liberalization In Asia, Post-Socialist Europe, and Brazil, Oxford University Press “A Drastic Reduction of Fuel Subsidies Confuses Ends and Means” ASEAN Economic Bulletin, April, 2006 (with Wing Thye Woo, Zhai Fan, and Chanin Manopiniwes). “China's Urban-Rural Disparity Under Alternative Financial and Fiscal Policies,” The ICFAI Journal of Applied Economics, Vol V, No 3, May 2007 “Managing Global Imbalances: The Role and Dynamic Effect of U.S. Interest Rate Policy,” in Current Topics in Management, Vol 12 “Articulating the Benefits and Costs of Regional Financial Arrangement in East Asia,” in Simorangkir (ed) Global Imbalances and Their Impact on Emerging Market Economies: Issues and Challenges, published by the Indonesian central bank (Bank Indonesia), Jakarta Reviews on “White Man’s Burden” by Willaim Easterly, book review, Bulletin for Indonesian Economic Studies, Routledge 2008 “Indonesia’s Slow Recovery After Meltdown,” Asian Economic Papers, Vol 6, No 3 “Institutional Constraints and Multiple Equilibria in Decentralizationl,” Review of Urban and Regional Development Studies, Vol. 20, No. 1, March 2008, p22-33 “Fiscal Policy and Workouts From Debt Crises: The Case of Indonesia’s Domestic Debt,” IPD Working Paper, Initiates for Policy Dialogue, Columbia University, New York, p1-25 (with Nattapong Puttanapong) “A Regional Trend Towards A Basket Peg System,” International Journal of Trade and Global Markets, Vol. 1 , No. 2 “From Subprime Crisis to a Possible Recession,” Current Topics in Management, Vol 13 “Macroeconomic Policy and Poverty,” ADB Institute Discussion Paper No. 111, Tokyo-Japan 2009 “Revisiting Output-Price Relations in East Asia,” China-USA Business Review, Vol 8, No 1, January