Transcript
Page 1: Modeling the Effects Of Urban Heat Island Strategies · Modeling the Effects Of Urban Heat Island Strategies Author: U.S. EPA, State and Local Branch, Climate Protection Partnerships

Modeling the Effects of Urban Heat Island Mitigation Strategies 1. Mitigation Impact Screening Tool (MIST) 2. Building Energy Impacts of Ecoroofs

EPA Heat Island Reduction Initiative (HIRI) April Conference Call

David Sailor [email protected]

503-725-4265 Portland State University

Page 2: Modeling the Effects Of Urban Heat Island Strategies · Modeling the Effects Of Urban Heat Island Strategies Author: U.S. EPA, State and Local Branch, Climate Protection Partnerships

Mitigation Impact Screening Tool (MIST)

• Project Goal– Develop an easy-to-use web-based tool that

estimates the air temperature, air quality, and building energy impacts of various city-scale mitigation strategies for any large US city.

Acknowledgements – Niko Dietsch, Eva Wong @ US EPA; Haider Taha @ Altostratus;

Hashem Akbari and colleagues @ LBNL; Cadmus and PQA

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Page 3: Modeling the Effects Of Urban Heat Island Strategies · Modeling the Effects Of Urban Heat Island Strategies Author: U.S. EPA, State and Local Branch, Climate Protection Partnerships

MIST Development Overview

• Define Mitigation Options

• Estimate Meteorological Impacts

• Estimate Air Quality Impacts

• Estimate Energy Consumption Impacts

• Extrapolate results from a small set of simulated cities to a large number of US cities

• Integrate results into a web-based tool

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Page 4: Modeling the Effects Of Urban Heat Island Strategies · Modeling the Effects Of Urban Heat Island Strategies Author: U.S. EPA, State and Local Branch, Climate Protection Partnerships

ΔT

How do city-wide changes in vegetative cover or albedoaffect urban climate, and air temperatures in particular?

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Page 5: Modeling the Effects Of Urban Heat Island Strategies · Modeling the Effects Of Urban Heat Island Strategies Author: U.S. EPA, State and Local Branch, Climate Protection Partnerships

Streamlined mesoscale modeling

• MM5 atmospheric model • Some urban LU refinement • Nested domains • 20+ cities modelled • Modest validation efforts

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Page 6: Modeling the Effects Of Urban Heat Island Strategies · Modeling the Effects Of Urban Heat Island Strategies Author: U.S. EPA, State and Local Branch, Climate Protection Partnerships

How do city-wide changes air temperatures affect air quality and energy consumption?

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Air Quality Energy Consumption

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Page 7: Modeling the Effects Of Urban Heat Island Strategies · Modeling the Effects Of Urban Heat Island Strategies Author: U.S. EPA, State and Local Branch, Climate Protection Partnerships

Classification and Regression Tree Analysis for Ozone

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Page 8: Modeling the Effects Of Urban Heat Island Strategies · Modeling the Effects Of Urban Heat Island Strategies Author: U.S. EPA, State and Local Branch, Climate Protection Partnerships

D.J. Sailor

Energy• Detailed building energy simulations of annual energy

consumption response to mitigation for a small set of cities.

• Extrapolation based on climate similarity (11 CDD groups and 15 HDD groups)

• Reference: Streamlined Energy-Savings Calculations for Heat Island Reduction Strategies, Hashem Akbari and Steven Konopacki, LBNL-47307

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Page 9: Modeling the Effects Of Urban Heat Island Strategies · Modeling the Effects Of Urban Heat Island Strategies Author: U.S. EPA, State and Local Branch, Climate Protection Partnerships

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Page 10: Modeling the Effects Of Urban Heat Island Strategies · Modeling the Effects Of Urban Heat Island Strategies Author: U.S. EPA, State and Local Branch, Climate Protection Partnerships

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Page 11: Modeling the Effects Of Urban Heat Island Strategies · Modeling the Effects Of Urban Heat Island Strategies Author: U.S. EPA, State and Local Branch, Climate Protection Partnerships

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Page 12: Modeling the Effects Of Urban Heat Island Strategies · Modeling the Effects Of Urban Heat Island Strategies Author: U.S. EPA, State and Local Branch, Climate Protection Partnerships

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Page 15: Modeling the Effects Of Urban Heat Island Strategies · Modeling the Effects Of Urban Heat Island Strategies Author: U.S. EPA, State and Local Branch, Climate Protection Partnerships

For further information on MIST

• See www.epa.gov/heatisland for link to MIST (in near future).

• For details of model development see:Sailor, D.J. and N. Dietsch (in revision) “The urban heat island mitigation impact screening tool (MIST)”, Environmental Modelling and Software, 2006.

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Page 16: Modeling the Effects Of Urban Heat Island Strategies · Modeling the Effects Of Urban Heat Island Strategies Author: U.S. EPA, State and Local Branch, Climate Protection Partnerships

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Building Energy Effects of Ecoroofs

• Project Goals – To develop a physically-based model of how

ecoroofs affect building energy consumption and incorporate this model within a state-of-the-art building energy simulation program.

Acknowledgements – Dave Ervin & Graig Spolek, PSU; Allen Lee, Quantec LLC; US EPA,

SBIR

Page 17: Modeling the Effects Of Urban Heat Island Strategies · Modeling the Effects Of Urban Heat Island Strategies Author: U.S. EPA, State and Local Branch, Climate Protection Partnerships

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Page 18: Modeling the Effects Of Urban Heat Island Strategies · Modeling the Effects Of Urban Heat Island Strategies Author: U.S. EPA, State and Local Branch, Climate Protection Partnerships

The Need• Growing interest in ecoroof technologies

• Limited data related to building energy savings

• Design decisions are poorly informed – Soil type & depth – Construction details – Vegetation selection – Irrigation options

• Better quantification of energy impacts will facilitate the market penetration of ecoroof technologies.

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Page 19: Modeling the Effects Of Urban Heat Island Strategies · Modeling the Effects Of Urban Heat Island Strategies Author: U.S. EPA, State and Local Branch, Climate Protection Partnerships

Ecoroof Research at Portland State

• Large-scale modeling of the impacts ofecoroofs on city-scale climate.

• Laboratory measurements to determine properties of soils/constructions

• Field measurements to gather rooftop energy budget data and building energyconsumption data.

• Ecoroof module for building energy simulation

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Page 20: Modeling the Effects Of Urban Heat Island Strategies · Modeling the Effects Of Urban Heat Island Strategies Author: U.S. EPA, State and Local Branch, Climate Protection Partnerships

D.J. Sailor

Ecoroof Modeling

• We have an existing developer’s license agreement with the Department of Energy for Energy Plus (v. 1.3.0)

• We are developing an ecoroof module in EnergyPlus that tracks foliage/substrate temperatures, moisture, and heat fluxes to roof substrate

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Page 21: Modeling the Effects Of Urban Heat Island Strategies · Modeling the Effects Of Urban Heat Island Strategies Author: U.S. EPA, State and Local Branch, Climate Protection Partnerships

Ecoroof Module Development Status (1/2)

• Developed vegetation heat transfer equation set for use in building energy simulations.

• Tested vegetation module in stand-alone mode against field data.

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Page 22: Modeling the Effects Of Urban Heat Island Strategies · Modeling the Effects Of Urban Heat Island Strategies Author: U.S. EPA, State and Local Branch, Climate Protection Partnerships

Ecoroof Module Development Status (2/2)

• Implementing module in EnergyPlus

• Gathering property data for use in modeling.

• Gathering building energy consumption and flux data for use in validating module performance.

• Future plans – Deliver ecoroof module to DoE for inclusion in

EnergyPlus (for use by energy modeling community)– Develop a web-based scoping tool (similar to MIST) to

allow initial assessment of ecoroof designs for different building types and climates.

[email protected] D.J. Sailor 22


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