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FULL YEAR RESULTS 2017
Emmanuel Faber, Chairman and CEO Cécile Cabanis, CFO
February 16, 2018
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• This press release contains certain forward-looking statements concerning Danone. In some cases, you can identify these forward-looking statements by forward-looking words, such as “estimate,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “project,” “plan,” “intend,” “objective” “believe,” “forecast,” “foresee,” “likely,” “may,” “should,” “goal,” “target,” “might,” “will,” “could,” “predict,” “continue,” “convinced,” and “confident,” the negative or plural of these words and other comparable terminology. Forward looking statements in this document include, but are not limited to, statements regarding Danone’s operation of its business, and the future operation, direction and success of Danone’s business.
• Although Danone believes its expectations are based on reasonable assumptions, these forward-looking statements are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated in these forward-looking statements. For a detailed description of these risks and uncertainties, please refer to the “Risk Factor” section of Danone’s Registration Document (the current version of which is available on www.danone.com).
• Subject to regulatory requirements, Danone does not undertake to publicly update or revise any of these forward-looking statements. This document does not constitute an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy Danone securities.
• All references in this presentation to like-for-like changes, “like-for-like New Danone” changes, recurring operating income,
recurring operating margin, recurring net income, recurring income tax rate, recurring EPS, Yakult Transaction Impact, free cash flow and net financial debt correspond to financial indicators not defined in IFRS used by Danone and are defined at the end of this presentation.
• Due to rounding, the sum of values presented in this document may differ from totals as reported. Such differences are not material.
Disclaimer
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Emmanuel Faber Chairman and CEO
2017 Highlights
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Our ambition Leading the way to create and share sustainable value
Healthier eating and drinking
Responsible business stewardship
Sustainable value
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We delivered very strong recurring EPS growth In line with guidance
Recurring EPS at constant FX
> 12%
Recurring EPS
at constant FX
+14.2%
2017 OBJECTIVE
2017 RESULTS
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A solid execution… 2017: another year of progress
(1) Like-for-like New Danone (2) On a reported basis
+2.5%(1)
€ 24.7 bn
+70bps(1)
14.36%
+18.4%(2)
€ 2.1 bn
NET SALES RECURRING
OPERATING MARGIN FREE CASH FLOW
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… in a responsible way Creating sustainable value for all stakeholders
+14.2% 88% -10.5% 5 2017 RECURRING EPS (1)
OF VOLUME SOLD ARE SUITABLE FOR DAILY CONSUMPTION (2)
REDUCTION OF CARBON INTENSITY FULL SCOPE (3) B CORP ENTITIES
(1) At constant exchange rate (2) This percentage refers to water, yogurt and other daily dairy products, baby milks & foods, milks and milk powders, beverages with 0% sugar and medical nutrition. Based on official public health Recommendation, these categories are generally suitable for daily consumption. (3) Compared to 2015 baseline, based on constant scope of consolidation and constant methodology; In line with our commitment of reduction of 50% in carbon intensity full scope (scopes 1, 2 and 3) by 2030, which is validated by the Science Based Targets Initiative Notes (2) and (3) do not take into account WhiteWave
20% of LTI as of 2018 A- Climate change
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Paving the way to societal accountability as a Food Revolution leader Significant progress on B-Corp roadmap
Aguas Argentina
5 entities certified to date DanoneWave on track to get certified in 2018 €2bn syndicated credit loan with now environmental and social criteria impacting payable margin
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STREAMLINED ORGANIZATION
Execution against strategic priorities Solid progress towards 2020
ACCELERATE GROWTH 1 Acceleration of innovation pipeline Strong activations of our brands Strategic digital partnerships
MAXIMIZE EFFICIENCIES 2 1st year delivery of synergies ahead of plan Preparation of Protein program
ALLOCATE CAPITAL WITH DISCIPLINE 3 Active portfolio management
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ACCELERATE GROWTH
MAXIMIZE EFFICIENCIES
ALLOCATE CAPITAL WITH DISCIPLINE
1
2
3
Acceleration of innovation pipeline Strong activations of our brands Strategic digital partnerships
1st year delivery of synergies ahead of plan Preparation of Protein program
Active portfolio management
STREAMLINED ORGANIZATION
Execution against strategic priorities Solid progress towards 2020
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Reinvent smart calories 100%
Non-GMO Launched in 5 months
Cross fertil ization with WhiteWave
Adjacent categories through new brands
Ultra-Premium Infant Milk
Plant-based premiumization
Activia Cereals range
Relaunch of flagship Danone brand Young
and local brands
Neocate Syneo Prebiotics + Probiotics
Soft Functional Infusions
Aquadrinks Premium Subplatforms
Actimel trendy flavours
Mizone Pro
Accelerated launch of innovations Focus on differentiation, setting the stage for the future
Lemonades
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+9%
Strong brand activation to engage with consumers in a new way Danimals: US Non-GMO Pledge
Source: IRI Mulo
2017 Sales growth
> 90% of products already Non-GMO Project Verified end of 2017, ahead of plan
2014 2015 2016
41%
2017
33%
www.dannonpledge.com
Danimal’s value market shares (Kids segment)
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Strong brand activation to engage with consumers in a new way Executing our 2 brands in China with a differentiated purpose
Become the #1 socially responsible parenting brand
Full of Nature Strength
Become the #1 culturally resonant parenting brand
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Strong brand activation to engage with consumers in a new way One Planet. One Health.
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Accelerated shift towards digital Strategic partnerships and investments in e-commerce
Superior Growing
Optimized Efficient
online shopping e-commerce presence
supply chain precision marketing
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July March Sept Nov Dec
Disrupt innovation through investments in new models 7 Danone Manifesto Ventures investments to date
2016 2017
Leading French F&B revolution with unconventional premium indulgence
(Paris)
Increasing fresh food accessibility via vending / connected fridge
innovation (Chicago)
Access tech / digital expertise and identify next gen partners
for F&B brands (Atlanta)
Redefining model for healthy, organic frozen baby food
prep in France (Bordeaux)
Partner to expand network and expertise in early stage,
US packaged F&B ecosystem (New-York)
Drive growth and pioneer sustainability in new deep ocean water category
(Los Angeles/Hawaii)
Leading ‘Harmless’, Fair for Life business model development offering premium plant-based
beverages (San Francisco/Thailand)
2018
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ACCELERATE GROWTH
MAXIMIZE EFFICIENCIES
1
2
Acceleration of innovation pipeline Strong activations of our brands Strategic digital partnerships
1st year delivery of synergies ahead of plan Preparation of Protein program
STREAMLINED ORGANIZATION
Execution against strategic priorities Solid progress towards 2020
ALLOCATE CAPITAL WITH DISCIPLINE 3 Active portfolio management
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> 10% of run-rate synergies
> $50m above objective
> 60% of run-rate synergies
WhiteWave synergies, chapter one Delivery on track, ahead of plan
2017 Onboarding phase
2018 Second wave
HQ consolidation
Sales force merge
G&A / Shared back-office
Procurement
Major part in cost synergies Procurement Sales Force consolidation G&A / shared back office Topline synergies Distribution expansion Commercial scale effect
2017 OBJECTIVE 2017 DELIVERY 2018 OBJECTIVE
2020 Full run-rate
$300m
2020 OBJECTIVE
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Preparing for Protein delivery €1bn sustainable savings through efficiencies
2017 Foundations in place
2018 1st year of delivery
2020 Full delivery
€300m in margin
From €1bn gross savings
10 clusters activated out of 30 clusters
Process in place: 15 playbooks created
Onboarding preparation of the next 20 clusters
Incentives in place for successful delivery
Top-20 cross-program identified (marketing, logistics…)
€100m in margin
Priority to efficiency in 2018
Mostly from travel costs, consultancy, IT/IS, real estate and marketing efficiency
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ALLOCATE CAPITAL WITH DISCIPLINE 3 Active portfolio management
STREAMLINED ORGANIZATION
Execution against strategic priorities Solid progress towards 2020
ACCELERATE GROWTH 1 Acceleration of innovation pipeline Strong activations of our brands Strategic digital partnerships
MAXIMIZE EFFICIENCIES 2 1st year delivery of synergies ahead of plan Preparation of Protein program
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Active portfolio management Continued discipline in capital allocation
Enhanced —
strategic collaboration to promote probiotics
Optimized —
stake in line with capital allocation discipline
Strategic partnership Financial discipline
Starting a new partnership phase with Yakult in probiotics
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STREAMLINED ORGANIZATION
Execution against strategic priorities Solid progress towards 2020
ACCELERATE GROWTH 1 Acceleration of innovation pipeline Strong activations of our brands Strategic digital partnerships
MAXIMIZE EFFICIENCIES 2 1st year delivery of synergies ahead of plan Preparation of Protein program
ALLOCATE CAPITAL WITH DISCIPLINE 3 Active portfolio management
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16 members
64% independent(1)
43% women
36% non-French
Increased focus on Consumer expertise
Reinforcing governance, ongoing Board refreshment Towards balance, efficiency, diversity and expertise
i
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Frédéric BOUTTEBA Clara GAYMARD
Gaëlle OLIVIER
Gregg ENGLES
Benoît POTIER Isabelle SELLIER Jean-Michel SEVERINO
Franck RIBOUD Honorary Chairman
Virginia STALLINGS Bettina THEISSIG Serpil TIMURAY Lionel ZINSOU i Independent Director (1) Directors representing employees are not taken into account in the determination of above percentages
Changes submitted for vote at next AGM on April, 26th 2018
i Guido BARILLA Cécile CABANIS i Emmanuel FABER Chairman & CEO
Michel LANDEL Lead independent director
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Strengthened management model
Focus
Diversity
Speed
Closer to market
Cross-regional collaboration 15 regional leaders empowered on global decisions
30 LOCAL CLUSTERS
STREAMLINED EXCOM: 7 MEMBERS
REINFORCED REGIONAL LEADERSHIP
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86% of employees engagement (1)
+ 4pts vs. 2015
+ 8pts vs. FMCG norm. (2)
+ 1pt vs. High Perf. norm. (2)
100,000 engaged Danoners 2017 Danone People Survey
(1)% of people saying : « I will work beyond what is required in my job to help Danone to succeed » (2) Source: Towers Watson
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Healthier eating and drinking
Responsible business stewardship
Sustainable value
Starting 2018 with strong foundations… Leading the way to create and share sustainable value
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… reinforcing our confidence for 2020
LFL sales growth
4 to 5%
Recurring operating margin
>16%
Net debt / EBITDA(1)
< 3.0x
ROIC(1)
~12%
Consistent EPS
Growth
(1) See definition in 2017 Interim Financial report
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Cécile Cabanis CFO
Financial review
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We delivered very strong recurring EPS growth
In line with guidance
Recurring EPS at constant FX
> 12%
Recurring EPS at constant FX
+14.2%
2017 OBJECTIVE
2017 RESULTS
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(1) Like-for-like New Danone (2) On a reported basis
+2.5%(1)
€ 24.7 bn
+70bps(1)
14.36%
+18.4%(2)
€ 2.1 bn
NET SALES RECURRING
OPERATING MARGIN FREE CASH FLOW
A solid execution… 2017: another year of progress
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Navigating a volatile environment in 2017 Volatility management embedded in our growth model
EMERGING COUNTRIES VOLATILITY
2016 2017
0.73£
EUR / GBP
BREXIT GBP DEVALUATION
0.89£ UE Milk price US Milk Price
2016 2017
MILK PRICE INFLATION
Milk*: ~ +10% in 2017
37$
67$
2016 2017
US CRUDE OIL INCREASE
PET: > 10% in H2 2017
(*)Worldwide
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+2.5%(1) +70bps(1) +14.2%(2)
+18.4%(3)
(1) Like-for-like New Danone (2) At constant exchange rates (3) on a reported basis
€ 24.7 bn 14.36% € 3.49 € 2.1 bn
NET SALES RECURRING
OPERATING MARGIN RECURRING EPS FREE CASH FLOW
We delivered strong results 2017: another year of progress
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Q4 2016 Reported White Wave baseeffect
Scope Currency Volume Value Q4 2017 Reported
€5,355 m
€6,095 m
+17.7%
LFL New Danone(1): +3.7% -1.9%
-5.7% +5.4%
-1.7%
(2)
(1) Like-for-like New Danone (2) Corresponds to the contribution of WhiteWave over the period from October 1 to December 31, 2016
Q4 2017 sales bridge +3.7% like-for-like(1) growth, confirming acceleration
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Q4 and FY 2017 by reporting entity (1)
Specialized Nutrition Waters
SALES Q4 2017
RECURRING OPERATING
MARGIN FY 2017
€1.8 bn +8.4%
EDP International
(1) Like-for-Like New Danone
EDP Noram
Volume / Value
€1.3 bn -0.4% €2.1 bn -0.3% €1.0 bn +10.3%
+1.2% / +7.2% -2.6% / +2.2% -6.4% / +6.1% +4.7% / +5.6%
23.73% +197 bps 12.28% +2 bps 9.02% -29 bps 11.70% +12 bps
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Specialized Nutrition
FY 17 Sales growth: +9.3%
FY 17 margin(1): +197 bps
Strong profitable growth, relying on a unique portfolio
and perfect execution
All data in like-for-like New Danone (1) Recurring Operating Margin improvement
SALES GROWTH
+9.5% +8.4% 9M 2017
Q4 2017 9M 2017
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~25%
~75%
Advanced MedicalNutrition(AMN)
Early Life Nutrition(ELN)
Strong profitable growth, relying on unique portfolio and perfect execution Strong sales growth in Q4 for both ELN and AMN
Early Life Nutrition: high single-digit growth in Q4(1)
China > 30% growth in Q4(1)
Peak in number of births in H2 2016: accelerated market demand
Continued market share gains in all channels
Other markets
Strong momentum in Latin America
Stable trend in Europe
Tailored Nutrition: strong growth across all regions
Advanced Medical Nutrition: mid-to-high single-digit growth in Q4(1)
All categories and regions contribute to growth
Continued strong performance of Neocate, Nutrison and Nutrini
Q4 2017
(1) Like-for-like Now Danone sales growth
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EDP Noram
Credit photo: Revolution Digital
Year of onboarding Sequential improvement in growth
Strong synergies delivery
FY 17 Sales growth: -2.0%
FY 17 margin(1): +2 bps
SALES GROWTH
9M 2017 Q4 2017
-2,6%
-0,4%
All data in like-for-like New Danone (1) Recurring Operating Margin improvement
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US Yogurt: continued value market share gains in Q4 Continued roll-out of non-GMO yogurts across brands Double digit growth of emerging yogurts (Plant-based)
Coffee creamers: continued solid growth Solid market fundamentals Growth across portfolio driven by PB creamers and seasonal flavored
Plant-based (food, beverages & nutrition): growth acceleration Reacceleration of plant-Based beverage, posting solid growth Continued focus on expanding recent innovations Very strong momentum for Vega
Premium Dairy: continued pressure Challenging industry organic milk dynamics Innovations in emerging growth areas to spur demand
~40%
~20%
~20%
~10%
~10% Yogurt
Plant-based
Coffee Creamers
Premium Dairy
Fresh Foods
Sequential improvement in growth; strong synergies delivery Q4 sales growth positive excluding Fresh Foods
Q4 2017
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EDP International
Continued progress
FY 17 Sales growth: -1.3%
FY 17 margin(1): -29 bps
SALES GROWTH
9M 2017 Q4 2017
-1,6%
-0,3%
All data in like-for-like New Danone (1) Recurring Operating Margin improvement
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Europe: progress on turnaround
Progress in Activia
Positive signs from Danone relaunch
Continued momentum from young and local brands
Alpro: sustained strong growth
Latam: strong fundamentals outside Brazil
Mexico: strong growth
Brazil: double digit negative; transformation plan in progress
CIS: solid momentum supported by a winning strategy
(1) Like-for-like New Danone sales growth
~40%
~20%
~20%
~20% Europe
Latam
CIS
Aspame
Continued progress Q4 sales growth positive excluding Brazil
Q4 2017
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Waters
FY 17 Sales growth: +4.7%
FY 17 margin(1) : +12 bps
Solid profitable growth End of transition in China
SALES GROWTH
+3.2%
+10.3%
9M 2017 Q4 2017
All data in like-for-like New Danone (1) Recurring Operating Margin improvement
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~2/3 ~1/3 Plain Waters
Aquadrinks
~40%
~35%
~25% Europe + Noram
Aspame(2)
Latam
Plain water: double-digit growth(1)
Positive trends across regions
Strong growth in Europe driven by MS gains and a dynamic innovation
pipeline(Germany, Spain and UK)
Aquadrinks: high-single digit growth(1)
Mainly driven by Turkey, Argentina and China
End of transition in China
Strong sales growth in a growing category ; market share stable at 5%
Positive results from recent innovation Mizone Pro
(1)Like-for-like New Danone sales growth (2) Aspame: Asia, Pacific, Africa, Middle-East
Solid profitable growth ; end of transition in China Double digit sales growth in Q4
Q4 2017
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+2.5%(1) +70bps(1) +14.2%(2)
+18.4%(3)
€ 24.7 bn 14.36% € 3.49 € 2.1 bn
NET SALES RECURRING
OPERATING MARGIN RECURRING EPS FREE CASH FLOW
(1) Like-for-like New Danone (2) At constant exchange rates (3) on a reported basis
We delivered strong results 2017: another year of progress
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(1) Like-for-like New Danone (2) Corresponds to the contribution of WhiteWave over the period from April 1 to December 31, 2016
Very strong improvement in recurring operating margin Above €600m of productivity gains
FY 2017 Reported
Currency Scope (excl. WhiteWave)
WhiteWave base effect (2)
FY 2016 Reported
Overheads & Others
Sales & Marketing
Margin from operations
Reported: +58 bps
LFL New Danone(1): +70 bps
+21 bps
+1 bp
14.36%
13.77%
-33 bps
-11 bps
+57 bps
+23 bps
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+2.5%(1) +70bps(1) +14.2%(2)
+18.4%(3)
€ 24.7 bn 14.36% € 3.49 € 2.1 bn
NET SALES RECURRING
OPERATING MARGIN RECURRING EPS FREE CASH FLOW
(1) Like-for-like New Danone (2) At constant exchange rates (3) on a reported basis
We delivered strong results 2017: another year of progress
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xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx
Very strong recurring EPS growth +14.2% at constant FX; Fully in line with 2017 guidance
FY 2016 Reported
Recurring EPS
Financing (Incl. Hybrid)
Margin Tax & others Scope (excl. WhiteWave)
FY 2017 Reported
Recurring EPS
WhiteWave base effect(1)
Net Sales Currency
€3.10
+5.3%
€3.49
-2.0%
+9.1%
+2.5%
+1.1% -1.7% -1.6%
+14.2% At constant FX
+12.6% Reported
(1) Corresponds to the contribution of WhiteWave over the period from April 1 to December 31, 2016
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From Recurring operating income to Net income
€ million 2016 recurring 2017 recurring 2017 Non-recurring items Total FY 2017
Recurring operating income 3,022 3,543 - 3,543
Other operating income and expenses - - 192 192
Operating income 3,022 3,543 192 3,734
Total Financial expenses (280) (400) (38) (438)
Income tax (852) (953) 111 (842)
Net income from associates 129 111 (2) 109
Net income 2,019 2,301 262 2,563
Non-controlling interests 108 111 (1) 110
Net income – Group share 1,911 2,190 263 2,453
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+2.5%(1) +70bps(1) +14.2%(2)
+18.4%(3)
€ 24.7 bn 14.36% € 3.49 € 2.1 bn
NET SALES RECURRING
OPERATING MARGIN RECURRING EPS FREE CASH FLOW
(1) Like-for-like New Danone (2) At constant exchange rates (3) on a reported basis
We delivered strong results 2017: another year of progress
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1,760 2,083
FY 2016 FY 2017
Free Cash Flow (€m)
Very strong cash delivery: +18.4% Solid cash conversion
-7.1% -4.5%
FY 2016 FY 2017
Working Capital / Net Sales (%)
4.2% 3.9%
FY 2016 FY 2017
Capex / Net Sales (%)
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(2,1)
Net debt 31/12/2016 Dividends M&A Puts Refinancing & others FCF Net debt 31/12/2017
(1) including 10.9bn€ of net cash outflow on WhiteWave purchase
7.5
11.1
15.4
+€7.9bn
0.4
in € billion
Change in net debt
(1.4)
(1)
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Balance sheet Assets (1)
30,139 40,132 30,139 40,132
Liabilities
Dec. 2017 Dec. 2016 Dec. 2017 Dec. 2016
Other assets
Working capital
Intangible assets
Net debt(2)
Working capital
Shareholders’ equity
Other liabilities
(1) Excluding assets included in net debt (2) Net of cash, cash equivalents, marketable securities, other short-term investments and financial instrument assets
€ million
4,964
9,372
15,803
5,508
9,679
24,945
6,513
2,960
13,194
7,472
6,620
3,566
14,574
15,372
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2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
2017 Dividend: + 11.8% increase A firm commitment to shareholders
Dividend proposed at the next AGM on April 26, 2018 €1.90 per share (+11.8% ; +20 cts vs. 2016)
Payment in either cash or shares at shareholder option
1.10€ 1.20€ 1.20€
1.30€ 1.39€ 1.45€ 1.45€ 1.50€
1.60€ 1.70€
1.90€
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Small and local brands
2018 outlook: Volatility to continue… Ensure a consistent recurring EPS growth
Continued volatility in emerging markets
Persistent strong input cost inflation (Milk, PET…)
Ongoing impact from GBP (Brexit)
Accelerated industry transformation Brexit
Raw materials
Channel shifts
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2017
+2.5%
14.4%
Sales Growth(1)
Recurring op. margin
Acceleration towards 2020
€2.1bn FCF
4-5%
>16%
<3x Net debt/Ebitda(3)
Acceleration towards 2020
Sustained margin improvement(1)
Consistent pace of deleverage
2020
+14.2% Recurring EPS growth(2) EPS Consistent recurring
EPS growth Consistent recurring EPS growth
(1) Like-for-like New Danone sales growth – (2) At constant exchange rate – (3) See definition in 2017 Interim Financial report
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2020 2017 2018
2018: a year of execution and delivery
2018 objective
DOUBLE-DIGIT RECURRING EPS GROWTH
at constant exchange rate excluding Yakult transaction impact(1)
(1) See definition on page 13 of 2017 Full Year Results Press release
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APPENDIX
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Q4 & FY 2016 impact of currencies & scope
Q4 2017 EDP International EDP Noram Specialized Nutrition
Waters Total
Reported sales growth +0.4% +107.4% +3.7% +2.2% +13.8% Currency -4.4% -8.4% -4.5% -7.2% -5.7% Scope of consolidation -1.0% -13.2% +0.0% -0.3% -1.9% WhiteWave base effect +6.1% +129.4% -0.2% -0.6% +17.7% Like-for-like New Danone sales growth -0.3% -0.4% +8.4% +10.3% +3.7%
FY 2017 EDP International EDP Noram Specialized Nutrition Waters Total
Reported sales growth +2.4% +80.8% +7.1% +1.0% +12.5% Currency -0.1% -2.4% -1.8% -3.4% -1.6% Scope of consolidation -1.0% -5.4% -0.2% -0.1% -1.1% WhiteWave base effect +4.8% +90.6% -0.2% -0.2% +12.7% Like-for-like sales New Danone growth -1.3% -2.0% +9.3% +4.7% +2.5%
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Changes in exchange rates
% total FY 17 sales FY 17 vs FY 16 (avg) Q4 17 vs Q4 16 (avg)
United States Dollar 19.0% -2.0% -8.4%
Russian Ruble 6.8% 12.1% -1.3%
Chinese Renminbi 6.3% -3.7% -5.4%
Indonesian Rupiah 5.5% -2.7% -10.3%
British Pound 5.1% -6.5% -2.1%
Argentine Peso 4.4% -12.9% -19.2%
Mexican Pesos 4.3% -3.1% -4.2%
Brazilian Real 3.3% 6.9% -7.0%
Turkish Lira 1.8% -18.9% -20.8%
Egyptian Pound 0.3% -45.0% -25.9%
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Recurring operating margin by Reporting entity and geographical area
€ min FY 2016 FY 2017 Like-for-like New Danone change
EDP International 8.88% 9.02% -29 bps EDP Noram 14.02% 12.28% +2 bps Specialized Nutrition 21.39% 23.73% +197 bps Waters 11.40% 11.70% +12 bps
Europe & Noram 16.84% 15.52% -14 bps Rest of the World 10.72% 13.02% +183 bps
Total 13.77% 14.36% +70 bps
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Cash bridge
3,543
974 953
400
79
3,085
127 969
95
2,083
2
2,085
Recurring Operating
income
Depreciation Taxes Financial
results Others
Cash from operating activities
W cap var
Capex Sales of
assets and Transaction
Fees
FCF excl. European
plan
Plan for savings and adaptation in Europe
FCF reported
€ million
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Tax rate development
(1) Tax related to non-current items
€ mln 2016 2017
Total income tax (reported) (804) (842)
Reported tax rate 30.6% 25.5%
Non-current income tax(1) 48 111
Current income tax (852) (953)
Underlying tax rate 31.1% 30.3%
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Cash-flow statement
2016 2017 Operating income 3,022 3,543 Financial income (280) (400) Income tax (852) (953) Non-current income (64) 264
Depreciation and amortization 786 974 Net change in provisions / Deferred taxes (15) (200) Dividend received from equity accounted affiliates 53 55 Net change in interest income (expense) 0 80 Expense related to stock options and GPS 24 22 Other items (60) (299) Cash flow provided by operating activities, excluding changes in net working capital 2,615 3,085
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Cash-flow statement
2016 2017 Cash flow provided by operating activities, excluding changes in net working capital 2,615 3,085
Change in working capital 37 (127) Cash flow from operations 2,652 2,958 Capital expenditure (925) (969) Proceeds from the sale of industrial assets 27 45 Business acquisitions and other investments, net of cash and cash equivalent acquired
(66) (10,949)
Proceeds from the sale of business 110 441 Change in long-term loans and other long-term assets 6 (4) Cash flow used in investing activities and disposals (848) (11,437)
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Cash-flow statement
* Including dividends and capital increase
2016 2017 Cash flow used in investing activities and disposals (848) (11,437) Increase in capital and additional paid-in capital 46 47 Purchases of treasury stock (net of disposal) 32 13 Perpetual subordinated notes issued during the period 1,245 Dividends paid to Danone shareholders (985) (279) Transactions with non controlling interests* (383) (193) Settlement of debt hedge financial instruments 50 (52) Bonds issued or raised during the period 11,237 0 Bonds repaid during the period (638) (1,487) Increase (decrease) in other current and non-current financial debt (442) (564) Increase (decrease) in other short-term investments (10,531) 9,559 Cash flow used in financing activities (1,616) 8,289 Exchange rate differances and others (151) 272 Increase (decrease) in cash 38 81
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Stock price & shareholding
Danone 2017 stock price evolution(1) Danone 2017 stock performance(1)
> Absolute +16.2%
> Relative vs. CAC 40 +6.9%
> Relative vs. Eurostoxx 50 -9.1%
Total shareholder composition(2) Institutional shareholders by geography(2)
6% 78%
5%
(2) Source: NASDAQ Advisory Services; Danone Shareholder Analysis dated January 2018 based on available information as of end November 2017
(1) At 31/12/2017
47%
18%
11%
8%
9%
1% 6%
77%
9%
7% 6%
1% Institutional
Retail
Company related
Trading &MiscellaneousUnidentified
46%
20%
6%
6% 4%
12% 6%
United States
France
United Kingdom
Switzerland
Belgium
Rest of Europe
Rest of the world
95
100
105
110
115
120
Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17 Oct-17 Nov-17 Dec-17
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2017 ADR program
DRs Outstanding as a % of Total Shares Outstanding Data as of December 31, 2017
> Ticker: DANOY > CUSIP Number: 23636T100 > Exchange: OTC QX (www.otcqx.com/qx/market/quote?symbol=DANOY) > Ratio (ADR: ord): 5:1 > Depositary Bank: J.P. Morgan > ADR Depositary Bank contact: Dale McComb +1 212 552 8944/[email protected]
3,2%
3,3%
3,4%
3,5%
3,6%
3,7%
3,8%
3,9%
4,0%
4,1%
4,2%
4,3%
0
20 000 000
40 000 000
60 000 000
80 000 000
100 000 000
120 000 000
140 000 000
160 000 000
DRs Outstanding Pct of Shares in ADR Form
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Financial indicators not defined in IFRS Additional indicator of like-for-like changes: “like-for-like New Danone” changes
Since completion of WhiteWave acquisition, WhiteWave and Danone’s activities have been combined and are generating synergies. Separate reporting of WhiteWave and Danone in their pre-acquisition forms thus no longer reflects their real performance. This being the case, Danone has decided to monitor and then report its performance by integrating the contribution of WhiteWave as a whole to its organic growth from the time of the acquisition by using an additional indicator - “like-for-like New Danone” changes.
This indicator is a variation on the ”like-for-like” changes indicator used by Danone which integrates WhiteWave’s performance starting at the date of acquisition:
• for periods in previous years compared, and
• based on WhiteWave reported data after restatement to allow comparison with Danone data.
This indicator is used starting with the second quarter of 2017 and running through the end of 2018.
Danone does not publish like-for-like New Danone changes for prior periods given the way they are computed. Finally, Danone does not monitor internally nor publish like-for-like changes and will not do so until year-end 2018. Indeed like-for-like changes would not reflect accurately the Company’s real performance, which is reflected in like-for-like New Danone changes and, by extension, the difference between like-for-like changes and like-for-like New Danone changes would not accurately reflect the contribution to this real performance of WhiteWave and its companies.
These indicators are calculated as follows:
Like-for-like changes in sales and recurring operating margin reflect Danone's organic performance and essentially exclude the impact of: • changes in consolidation scope, with indicators related to a given fiscal year calculated on the basis of previous-year scope; • changes in applicable accounting principles; • changes in exchange rates with both previous-year and current-year indicators calculated using the same exchange rates (the exchange rate
used is a projected annual rate determined by Danone for the current year and applied to both previous and current year).
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Financial indicators not defined in IFRS “Like-for-like New Danone” changes (or “Like-for-like including WhiteWave starting in April 2017” changes) in sales and recurring operating margin reflect the organic performance of Danone and WhiteWave combined. This indicator corresponds to like-for-like changes for Danone and WhiteWave combined, considering the activity of WhiteWave as a whole by integrating its companies during the fiscal years prior to and following their acquisition in April 2017:
• from April 1 to December 31 for periods compared until 2017 included; • from January 1 to December 31 for periods compared in 2018.
WhiteWave base effect corresponds primarily to the contribution of WhiteWave over the period from April 1 to December 31, 2016 and to adjustments for the impact of using different reference periods for FY 2017 reported data and for FY 2017 like-for-like New Danone data. The contribution of WhiteWave and its companies for the period from April 1-12, 2017 must be deducted as it is effectively included in the like-for-like New Danone changes and excluded from reported data.
Recurring operating income is defined as Danone’s operating income excluding Other operating income and expenses. Other operating income and expenses is defined under Recommendation 2013-03 of the French CNC (format of consolidated financial statements for companies reporting under international reporting standards), and comprises significant items that, because of their exceptional nature, cannot be viewed as inherent to its recurring activities. These mainly include capital gains and losses on disposals of fully consolidated companies, impairment charges on goodwill, significant costs related to strategic restructuring and major external growth transactions, and costs related to major crisis and major litigations. Furthermore, in connection with of IFRS 3 (Revised) and IAS 27 (Revised) relating to business combinations, the Company also classifies in Other operating income and expenses (i) acquisition costs related to business combinations, (ii) revaluation profit or loss accounted for following a loss of control, (iii) changes in earn-outs relating to business combinations and subsequent to acquisition date.
Recurring operating margin is defined as Recurring operating income over Sales ratio.
Other non-recurring financial income and expense corresponds to capital gains or losses on disposal and impairment of non-consolidated interests as well as significant financial income and expense items that, in view of their exceptional nature, cannot be considered as inherent to Danone’s recurring financial management.
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Financial indicators not defined in IFRS Recurring operating income is defined as Danone’s operating income excluding Other operating income and expenses. Other operating income and expenses is defined under Recommendation 2013-03 of the French ANC (format of consolidated financial statements for companies reporting under international reporting standards), and comprises significant items that, because of their exceptional nature, cannot be viewed as inherent to its recurring activities. These mainly include capital gains and losses on disposals of fully consolidated companies, impairment charges on goodwill, significant costs related to strategic restructuring and major external growth transactions, and costs related to major crisis and major litigations. Furthermore, in connection with IFRS 3 (Revised) and IAS 27 (Revised) relating to business combinations, the Company also classifies in Other operating income and expenses (i) acquisition costs related to business combinations, (ii) revaluation profit or loss accounted for following a loss of control, (iii) changes in earn-outs relating to business combinations and subsequent to acquisition date.
Recurring operating margin is defined as Recurring operating income over Sales ratio.
Non-recurring results from associates include significant items that, because of their exceptional nature, cannot be viewed as inherent to the recurring activity of those companies and distort the reading of their performance. They include primarily (i) capital gains and losses on disposal and impairment of Investments in associates, and (ii) when material, non-recurring items as defined by Danone included in the net income from associates.
Recurring net income (or Recurring net income – Group Share) corresponds to the Group share in the consolidated recurring net income. The recurring net income measures Danone’s recurring performance and excludes significant items that, because of their exceptional nature, cannot be viewed as inherent to its recurring performance. Such non-recurring income and expenses mainly include other income and expenses, non-recurring results from associates, capital gains and losses on disposals and impairments of Other non-fully-consolidated entities and tax income and expenses related to non-recurring income and expenses. Such income and expenses excluded from Net income are defined as Non-recurring net income and expenses.
Recurring income tax rate measures the income tax rate related to Danone’s recurring performance and corresponds to the ratio Tax income and expenses related to recurring income and expenses over Total Recurring net income.
Recurring EPS (or Recurring net income – Group Share, per share after dilution) is defined as Recurring net income over Diluted number of shares ratio.
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Financial indicators not defined in IFRS Yakult Transaction Impact corresponds to the amount to deduct from Danone’s 2017 recurring net income to reflect an interest in Yakult in 2017 identical to the interest prevailing in 2018 following the completion of the intended partial disposal. It is computed as the difference between Danone’s interest in Yakult after the transaction and 21.29% applied, prorata temporis, to 2017 profit from Yakult as estimated by Danone for its 2017 consolidated financial statements.
Free cash-flow represents cash-flows provided or used by operating activities less capital expenditure net of disposals and, in connection with IFRS 3 (Revised), relating to business combinations, excluding (i) acquisition costs related to business combinations, and (ii) earn-outs related to business combinations and paid subsequently to acquisition date.
Free cash-flow excluding exceptional items represents free cash-flow before cash-flows related to initiatives deployed within the framework of the plan to generate savings and adapt Danone’s organization in Europe.
Net financial debt represents the net debt portion bearing interest. It corresponds to current and non-current financial debt (i) excluding Liabilities related to put options granted to non-controlling interests and (ii) net of Cash and cash equivalents, Short term investments and Derivatives – assets managing net debt.