© 2009 CONSOR© 2009 CONSOR 11
Brand Values and Valuation in the Current Economic Downturn
IP Business CongressChicago, IllinoisJune 21-23, 2009
Presented by:Weston Anson, Chairman
CONSOR Intellectual Asset [email protected]
www.consor.com
© 2009 CONSOR© 2009 CONSOR 22
Market Trends: IP Specific
Increasingly, valuable IP assets used as a financing vehicle
Mergers and strategic alliances based on IP assets Leveraging the full bundle of IP rights Unused brand value as a source of working capital Accurate valuation of brands and IP grows in
importance Global awareness of market value of IP / IT Financial reorganization impacts brand values
© 2009 CONSOR© 2009 CONSOR 33
Brand Value Issues
Deteriorating economic conditions Retail turmoil and consolidation Consumer indifference WalMart-ism Manufacturer consolidation Shifting social values Quicker cycles, shorter lives House brands and other constraints Private label / store label growth
© 2009 CONSOR© 2009 CONSOR 44
New Issue: Bankruptcy
Mervyns Goody’s Gottschalk KB Toys Circuit City
Linens ‘N Things Fortunoff GM Chrysler Tower
© 2009 CONSOR© 2009 CONSOR 55
Bundles of Intangible Assets
FormulaeData warehousesMarketing umbrella
Packaging technology and sourcesMaster licensesSub-brand names
Shapes and sizesSource codeCore brand
Process technologyDatabasesWorldwide trademark registration
Design technologyData miningCopyrights
Proprietary test resultsDomain names / URLsSecondary trademarks
Plant and production designe-Commerce sitesPackaging design and copyrights
Product specificationsThird party software toolsTrade dress
Operating platformsCredit/payment systemsCharacters
Trade secretsCustom applicationsCorporate name and logo
Key patentsEnterprise solutionsPrimary trademark
Technical BundleIT BundleBrand / Marketing Bundle
© 2009 CONSOR© 2009 CONSOR 66
Case Study – Tower Records
Inventory and investigative audit Logical groupings Triage
Benchmark valuation Context specific Going concern value v. liquidation discount
Identify potential buyers / influencers Domestic International
Market assets / close transactions Brokers E-commerce listings End users
© 2009 CONSOR© 2009 CONSOR 77
Who Cares About Maximizing IP Value?
Merger and Acquisition
Interests
Shareholders
Tax Authorities
Auditors
Wall Street Analysts
Other Stakeholders
Internal Asset Managers
Partners
International Affiliates
The Media
Finders of Fact
© 2009 CONSOR© 2009 CONSOR 88
Value Maximization Alternatives
Licensing Auction Sale Collateralization Securitization Competitive Disposition IP Holding Companies Joint Venture
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Value is Context Specific
Valuation is context specific and time critical Going concern Reorganization Orderly disposal Liquidation
CONTEXT + TIME = VALUE
© 2009 CONSOR© 2009 CONSOR 1010
Context Continuum™
A simple graph that illustrates what the CONSOR “Context Continuum” is. In the most basic of terms, it is a projection of relative values of a piece of intellectual property, measured along two dimensions:
1. The vertical scale establishes the conditions under which the asset is being disposed, such as liquidation, fire sale, orderly disposal, reorganization or going concern.
2. The horizontal scale measures time in monthly increments.
© 2009 CONSOR© 2009 CONSOR 1111
Traditional Valuation Methods
Market Approach Sales of comparable assets
Cost Approach Cost to develop to current status
Income Approach Projection of revenue / income attributable to
the IP Price Premium Relief from Royalty Technology Factor
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1.7%1.0MM60MMLinens ‘N Things
6.5%2.6MM40MMTower Records
23.2%232MM1.0BMarvel
5.0%>250K5.0+MMAmherst Fiber Optics
11.4%Average
14%14MM100MMCircuit City
14.7%31MM210MMBoston Market
15.0%60 MM400MM+Polaroid
Proportion
Disposal or
Liquidation
Going Concern ValueCase
Going Concern v. Disposal or Liquidation
© 2009 CONSOR© 2009 CONSOR 1313
Case Study - Budget Group, Inc.
Relief from RoyaltyConcept of Value:
Comparable sales
Discounted royalty rates
Approach:
Loan Securitization / Sale of companyCause:
Core trademark
Franchise rights
Reservation system
Customer databases
Airport concession rights
Components:
BankruptcyContext:
Budget Group, Inc.Company:
© 2009 CONSOR© 2009 CONSOR 1414
Case Study - Budget Group, Inc.IP Valuation Summary
$ 70,949,000 – 97,308,000$ 466,488,000 – 479,392,000TOTAL VALUE
729,000 – 2,912,0003,645,000 – 5,823,000Mailing List and Database
07,177,000 – 17,943,000Airport Concession Rights
1,927,000 – 5,780,00038,535,000Reservation System (Global)
938,000 – 1,407,0009,377,000Ryder Truck License
5,280,000 – 7,920,00044,002,000Franchise Rights (International)
6,789,000 – 10,183,00056,571,000Budget Trademark (International)
6,870,000 – 8,587,00038,166,000Franchise Rights (North America)
$ 48,416,000 – 60,519,000$ 268,975,000Budget Trademark (North America)
Liquidation ValueGoing-Concern ValueDescription
© 2009 CONSOR© 2009 CONSOR 1515
Value Extraction Strategies
Disposition
Liquefaction
Leverage
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Disposition
Auction
Sale
Competitive Disposition
Merger & Acquisition
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Liquefaction
Collateralization
Securitization
IP Holding Company
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Leverage
Traditional Licensing
Other Licensing Models
Joint Venture
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Licensing Issues
Lower RRs Smaller guarantees Less upfront More renegotiations Much wider range of RRs (TMs = 2-12%) More flexibility in marketing contributions Shorter term
© 2009 CONSOR© 2009 CONSOR 2020
Licensing Royalty Rates
There is no typical royalty rate.
The most frequent rate is 5%
39% of agreements are for less
42% of agreements are for more.
Source: RoyaltyStat.com02468
101214161820
% o
f agr
eem
ents
1% 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 >
Annual Rate
Royalty Rate Distribution
© 2009 CONSOR© 2009 CONSOR 2121
Value Maximization Case Studies
Circuit City,
Tower Records Auction
Chiquita Brands Holding Company
Dunkin Brands, Gloria Vanderbilt
Securitization
Polaroid, Delphi Collateralization
Collins & Aikman, Jenny Craig
Sale
IBM, Kmart Licensing
© 2009 CONSOR© 2009 CONSOR 2222
Five Critical Elements of Value Maximization
1. Know where maximum strategic and realizable value is to be found in the asset portfolio
2. Establish a realistic current market value for the assets
3. Understand how to extract maximum value from the assets
4. Select the best possible intellectual property / intangible asset strategy for the situation
5. Manage the process
© 2009 CONSOR© 2009 CONSOR 2323
Brand Valhalla
ElevatorChesterfield
EscalatorBlatz
CellophaneOldsmobile
DodgePan Am