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Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic Ryan Morse [email protected] Northeast Fisheries Science Center State of the Science Workshop on Wildlife and Offshore Wind Energy Development November 14, 2018

Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic › uploads › BRI_Documents › Wildlife_and...Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic Ryan Morse [email protected] Northeast Fisheries Science

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Page 1: Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic › uploads › BRI_Documents › Wildlife_and...Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic Ryan Morse ryan.morse@noaa.gov Northeast Fisheries Science

Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic

Ryan [email protected]

Northeast Fisheries Science Center State of the Science Workshop on Wildlife and Offshore Wind Energy Development

November 14, 2018

Page 2: Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic › uploads › BRI_Documents › Wildlife_and...Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic Ryan Morse ryan.morse@noaa.gov Northeast Fisheries Science

Change in plankton communities

1) Underlying physical dynamics2) Changes in abundance and community composition –

regime shifts3) Changes in spatial distribution – seasonal, long-term

U.S. Department of Commerce | National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration | NOAA Fisheries | Page 2

Page 3: Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic › uploads › BRI_Documents › Wildlife_and...Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic Ryan Morse ryan.morse@noaa.gov Northeast Fisheries Science

Northeast Continental Shelf LME Ecological Production Units

Page 4: Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic › uploads › BRI_Documents › Wildlife_and...Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic Ryan Morse ryan.morse@noaa.gov Northeast Fisheries Science

EcoMon Zooplankton Surveys- 1977-Present- Spring and Fall surveys- 333 um mesh bongo nets- Oblique tows, 24 hrs- Copepods are stage IV-adult

Page 5: Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic › uploads › BRI_Documents › Wildlife_and...Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic Ryan Morse ryan.morse@noaa.gov Northeast Fisheries Science

Data Preparation

Focus on dominant taxaSpring: Feb-AprData were post-stratified by 1˚ lat/lon binsBins sampled < 30 years and years with < 35 % EPU coverage were excluded from analysis; tows with zero catch included in analysis

Page 6: Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic › uploads › BRI_Documents › Wildlife_and...Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic Ryan Morse ryan.morse@noaa.gov Northeast Fisheries Science

Warming of Northeast Shelf and US LMEs

Page 7: Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic › uploads › BRI_Documents › Wildlife_and...Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic Ryan Morse ryan.morse@noaa.gov Northeast Fisheries Science

U.S. Department of Commerce | National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration | NOAA Fisheries | Page 7

Changes in the spring (a, c, e, and g) and fall (b, d, f, and h) mean sea surface temperatures for the NES and its ecoregions.

Morse et al. 2017

Page 8: Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic › uploads › BRI_Documents › Wildlife_and...Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic Ryan Morse ryan.morse@noaa.gov Northeast Fisheries Science

U.S. Department of Commerce | National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration | NOAA Fisheries | Page 8

Page 9: Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic › uploads › BRI_Documents › Wildlife_and...Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic Ryan Morse ryan.morse@noaa.gov Northeast Fisheries Science

U.S. Department of Commerce | National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration | NOAA Fisheries | Page 9

NOAA NEFSC 2018 State of the Ecosystem Report

Page 10: Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic › uploads › BRI_Documents › Wildlife_and...Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic Ryan Morse ryan.morse@noaa.gov Northeast Fisheries Science

U.S. Department of Commerce | National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration | NOAA Fisheries | Page 10

Peretti et al. 2017

Page 11: Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic › uploads › BRI_Documents › Wildlife_and...Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic Ryan Morse ryan.morse@noaa.gov Northeast Fisheries Science

U.S. Department of Commerce | National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration | NOAA Fisheries | Page 11

Selection due to changes in physical environment

Morse et al. 2017

Page 12: Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic › uploads › BRI_Documents › Wildlife_and...Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic Ryan Morse ryan.morse@noaa.gov Northeast Fisheries Science

Temporal trends in the distribution of animals:3 methods

1. Center of Biomass- Distance Along Coast- Distance From Coast- Depth at COB

2. Kernel Density Estimate (KDE)- Gridded Probability Density

Function

3. Pixel-wise Trend Analysis - Compute per-pixel trend based

on KDE

Movement – seasonal, long term population shifts

Page 13: Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic › uploads › BRI_Documents › Wildlife_and...Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic Ryan Morse ryan.morse@noaa.gov Northeast Fisheries Science

U.S. Department of Commerce | National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration | NOAA Fisheries | Page 13

700

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1984 1992 2000 2008 2016

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1984 1992 2000 2008 2016

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Alon

g-sh

elf di

stanc

e, km (a) (b)

(c)

Depth

, m

(d)

(e)

Dista

nce t

o coa

st, km

Year

(f)

Figure 2. Time series of chlorophyll concentration center of gravity based on remote sensing date.

Friedland et al. In Press

Page 14: Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic › uploads › BRI_Documents › Wildlife_and...Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic Ryan Morse ryan.morse@noaa.gov Northeast Fisheries Science

Change in the seasonal center of biomass with respect to depth and distance along coast for 51 fish taxa (A, C), and 27 zooplankton taxa (B, D) between 1977 and 2015. Spring communities (A, B), and fall communites (C, D). Time series with significant trends (t-Test, p < 0.05) are shown in red for taxa that show significant changes position along the coast, yellow for taxa that show significant changes in depth, and orange for taxa that show significant changes in both distance and depth.

Movement – seasonal, long term population shifts

Morse et al. In Prep

Page 15: Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic › uploads › BRI_Documents › Wildlife_and...Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic Ryan Morse ryan.morse@noaa.gov Northeast Fisheries Science

Calanusfinmarchicus

Pseudocalanusspp.

Centropagestypicus

Temoralongicornis

Metridialucens Morse et al. In Prep

Page 16: Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic › uploads › BRI_Documents › Wildlife_and...Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic Ryan Morse ryan.morse@noaa.gov Northeast Fisheries Science

Area of the NES occupied by the 50% probability contour bands of five copepods:Morse et al. In Prep

Page 17: Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic › uploads › BRI_Documents › Wildlife_and...Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic Ryan Morse ryan.morse@noaa.gov Northeast Fisheries Science

Pseudocalanus spp. Kernel Density Estimates

VISUALIZING CHANGES IN ZOOPLANKTON SEASONAL DISTRIBUTION

Morse et al. In Prep

Page 18: Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic › uploads › BRI_Documents › Wildlife_and...Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic Ryan Morse ryan.morse@noaa.gov Northeast Fisheries Science

Morse et al. In Prep

Page 19: Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic › uploads › BRI_Documents › Wildlife_and...Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic Ryan Morse ryan.morse@noaa.gov Northeast Fisheries Science

Morse et al. In Prep

Page 20: Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic › uploads › BRI_Documents › Wildlife_and...Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic Ryan Morse ryan.morse@noaa.gov Northeast Fisheries Science

Morse et al. In Prep

Page 21: Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic › uploads › BRI_Documents › Wildlife_and...Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic Ryan Morse ryan.morse@noaa.gov Northeast Fisheries Science

Morse et al. In Prep

Page 22: Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic › uploads › BRI_Documents › Wildlife_and...Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic Ryan Morse ryan.morse@noaa.gov Northeast Fisheries Science

Morse et al. In Prep

Page 23: Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic › uploads › BRI_Documents › Wildlife_and...Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic Ryan Morse ryan.morse@noaa.gov Northeast Fisheries Science

Morse et al. In Prep

Page 24: Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic › uploads › BRI_Documents › Wildlife_and...Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic Ryan Morse ryan.morse@noaa.gov Northeast Fisheries Science

U.S. Department of Commerce | National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration | NOAA Fisheries | Page 24

From: Evolution of the Arctic Calanus complex: an Arctic marine avocado?J Plankton Res. 2012;34(3):191-195. doi:10.1093/plankt/fbr103J Plankton Res | © The Author 2012. Published by Oxford University Press.This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/2.5), which permits unrestricted non-commercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

NOAA NEFSC 2018 State of the Ecosystem Report

Page 25: Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic › uploads › BRI_Documents › Wildlife_and...Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic Ryan Morse ryan.morse@noaa.gov Northeast Fisheries Science

U.S. Department of Commerce | National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration | NOAA Fisheries | Page 25

Prior to crossing

15 min post

37 min post 42 min post

McCauley et al. 2017, Nature Ecol. & Evol.

Page 26: Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic › uploads › BRI_Documents › Wildlife_and...Zooplankton in the northwest Atlantic Ryan Morse ryan.morse@noaa.gov Northeast Fisheries Science

U.S. Department of Commerce | National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration | NOAA Fisheries | Page 26

Acknowledgments: we thankJon Hare, Dave Richardson,

Harvey Walsh, the NEFSC staff, and

the many scientists who have worked on the bottom trawl and

plankton surveys over the years

Questions and comments:[email protected]

Sardet, Christian. Plankton: wonders of the drifting world. University of Chicago Press, 2015.