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WMO CAP in the Severe Weather Forecasting Demonstration Project (SWFDP) – An Introduction Samuel Muchemi Public Weather Services (PWS) programme, WMO WMO; Weather and Disaster Risk Reduction Services Department (WDS)

WMO CAP in the Severe Weather Forecasting Demonstration Project (SWFDP) – An Introduction Samuel Muchemi Public Weather Services (PWS) programme, WMO WMO;

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Page 1: WMO CAP in the Severe Weather Forecasting Demonstration Project (SWFDP) – An Introduction Samuel Muchemi Public Weather Services (PWS) programme, WMO WMO;

WMO

CAP in the Severe Weather Forecasting Demonstration Project

(SWFDP) – An Introduction

Samuel Muchemi

Public Weather Services (PWS) programme, WMO

WMO; Weather and Disaster Risk Reduction Services Department (WDS)

Page 2: WMO CAP in the Severe Weather Forecasting Demonstration Project (SWFDP) – An Introduction Samuel Muchemi Public Weather Services (PWS) programme, WMO WMO;

WMO

Presentation outline

Introduction to SWFDP The Public Weather Services (PWS)

component of SWFDP CAP in SWFDP

Page 3: WMO CAP in the Severe Weather Forecasting Demonstration Project (SWFDP) – An Introduction Samuel Muchemi Public Weather Services (PWS) programme, WMO WMO;

Introduction to SWFDP World Meteorological Congress, Cg-XV (2007) had

requested for: o improvement of severe weather forecasting; and o warning services in developing countries.

SWFDP Vision: “NMHSs in developing countries are able to implement and maintain reliable and effective routine forecasting and severe weather warning programmes through enhanced use of NWP products and delivery of timely and authoritative forecasts and early warnings, thereby contributing to reducing the risk of disasters from natural hazards.”

Page 4: WMO CAP in the Severe Weather Forecasting Demonstration Project (SWFDP) – An Introduction Samuel Muchemi Public Weather Services (PWS) programme, WMO WMO;

Status of implementation of SWFDP

SWFDP Regional Subprojects Southern Africa (16 countries; RSMC Pretoria, RSMC-TC

La Réunion) South Pacific Islands (9 Island States; RSMC Wellington,

RSMC-TC Nadi) Eastern Africa (7 countries, RSMC Nairobi, RFSC Dar Es

Salaam) Southeast Asia (5 countries, RFSC, Hanoi) Bay of Bengal (6 countries, RSMC, New Delhi)

Page 5: WMO CAP in the Severe Weather Forecasting Demonstration Project (SWFDP) – An Introduction Samuel Muchemi Public Weather Services (PWS) programme, WMO WMO;

SWFDP Cascading Forecasting Process

Global NWP centres provide NWP and EPS products; Regional centres:

o interpret global NWP information; o run limited-area model to refine products; o prepare daily guidance products (for up to day-5) for NMCs; o maintain RSMC Web site; and o liaise with the participating NMCs.

5

Global Centers Disaster Management

Centres

NMCsRSMC Pretoria

Page 6: WMO CAP in the Severe Weather Forecasting Demonstration Project (SWFDP) – An Introduction Samuel Muchemi Public Weather Services (PWS) programme, WMO WMO;

Operational Website of SWFDP - Eastern Africa Region

Website provides severe weather guidance products prepared in the Regional Specialized Meteorological Center (RSMC) Nairobi, for use by forecasters in seven (7) Meteorological Services in Eastern Africa

Page 7: WMO CAP in the Severe Weather Forecasting Demonstration Project (SWFDP) – An Introduction Samuel Muchemi Public Weather Services (PWS) programme, WMO WMO;

SWFDP Cascading Forecasting Process

National Meteorological Centres: o maintain responsibility/authority over national warning

services, o issue alerts, advisories, severe weather warnings; o liaise with Disaster Management and media; ando contribute feedback and evaluation of the project

7

Page 8: WMO CAP in the Severe Weather Forecasting Demonstration Project (SWFDP) – An Introduction Samuel Muchemi Public Weather Services (PWS) programme, WMO WMO;

Operational Website of SWFDP - Eastern Africa Region

Example of severe weather forecast product

Page 9: WMO CAP in the Severe Weather Forecasting Demonstration Project (SWFDP) – An Introduction Samuel Muchemi Public Weather Services (PWS) programme, WMO WMO;

Severe Weather Forecasting Demonstration Project (SWFDP) main components

Reg

ion

al C

entr

e

Glo

bal

Cen

tres

RS

MC

s-T

C

Global NWP/EPS andSat-based products

TC

GuidanceProducts

(risk/probability)

GDPFS

Nat

ion

al M

et C

entr

es(F

ore

ca

st

D /

D+

5;

Bu

lle

tin

s)

Mobile; SMS; Weather RadioSystems; Public Web; Social Media; CAP etc.

Gen

eral

Pu

bli

c

PWS

Dis

ast

er

Man

ag

emen

t an

d

Civ

il P

rote

cti

on

Other specific Communication Systems; CAP

Med

iaE-mail; Telephone;

Press releases; CAP etc.

Radio; TV

Page 10: WMO CAP in the Severe Weather Forecasting Demonstration Project (SWFDP) – An Introduction Samuel Muchemi Public Weather Services (PWS) programme, WMO WMO;

WMO

Presentation outline

Introduction to SWFDP The Public Weather Services (PWS)

component of SWFDP CAP in SWFDP

Page 11: WMO CAP in the Severe Weather Forecasting Demonstration Project (SWFDP) – An Introduction Samuel Muchemi Public Weather Services (PWS) programme, WMO WMO;

The Public Weather Services (PWS) component of the SWFDP Training staff of NMHSs on essential skills

such as: Coordination with the media; Coordination with Disaster Management and Civil

Protection Authorities (DMCPAs); Preparation of weather alerts and warnings; Public education and outreach; Communication skills; Conducting surveys; Service evaluation; and TV and radio weather presentation.

Page 12: WMO CAP in the Severe Weather Forecasting Demonstration Project (SWFDP) – An Introduction Samuel Muchemi Public Weather Services (PWS) programme, WMO WMO;

The Public Weather Services (PWS) component of the SWFDP

Training staff of NMHSs on how to implement multiple communication channels such as: TV weather presentation studios; Press releases; Mobile technology applications; Social media; Websites; Common Alerting Protocol (CAP)

Page 13: WMO CAP in the Severe Weather Forecasting Demonstration Project (SWFDP) – An Introduction Samuel Muchemi Public Weather Services (PWS) programme, WMO WMO;

CAP activities in PWS CAP Activities in the PWS programme go

beyond the SWFDP and include: Maintaining CAP WebPages on the PWS Website

http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/amp/pwsp/CommonAlertingProtocol_en.html

The CAP Jump-Start initiative: o The CAP experts provide direct support at the strategic,

operational, or technical levels to NMHSs staff, and offer hands-on support

Publication of CAP-related material; and Organizing workshops.

Page 14: WMO CAP in the Severe Weather Forecasting Demonstration Project (SWFDP) – An Introduction Samuel Muchemi Public Weather Services (PWS) programme, WMO WMO;

WMO

Presentation outline

Introduction to SWFDP The Public Weather Services (PWS)

component of SWFDP CAP in SWFDP

Page 15: WMO CAP in the Severe Weather Forecasting Demonstration Project (SWFDP) – An Introduction Samuel Muchemi Public Weather Services (PWS) programme, WMO WMO;

CAP in SWFDP

CAP training introduced in the SWFDP workshops in 2012 About 50 individuals trained from:

o 16 countries in Southern Africa; and o 7 Countries in Eastern Africa.

Page 16: WMO CAP in the Severe Weather Forecasting Demonstration Project (SWFDP) – An Introduction Samuel Muchemi Public Weather Services (PWS) programme, WMO WMO;

CAP in SWFDP CAP Jump-Start

Workshops:

2-day CAP Jump-Start workshops (conducted by PWS CAP advisor) held in the Tanzania Meteorological Authority (TMA) and in the Kenya Meteorological Department (KMD);

Trained technical and managerial staff of the TMA and KMD;

Provided free CAP open-source software to Met Services and installed on computers to start them off.

Page 17: WMO CAP in the Severe Weather Forecasting Demonstration Project (SWFDP) – An Introduction Samuel Muchemi Public Weather Services (PWS) programme, WMO WMO;

www.wmo.int

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