WLW Day 3: Presented by Badri Bhakta Shrestha

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n- oun ry uppor

BangladeshADB TA 7276-REG for “Supporting Investments in Water-related disaster

November 9 2011

Management

Badri Bhakta Shrestha

International Centre for Water Hazards and Risk Management

un er e ausp ces o os e y u c or s esearc ns u eTsukuba, Japan



ADBADB--RETA 7276 Project (Bangladesh component)RETA 7276 Project (Bangladesh component)

ere s a ac o e c en ear y warn ng sys em

In Bangladesh, several departments

and institutions are workin in the Review,

field of flood forecasting and earlywarning system. Different

stakeholders have different early

uest onna re survey,

Workshop, fieldcommunications

warning related issues to be faced.

SWOT-AHP

Approach

Multi Criteria

Analysis (MCA)There is also a huge overlap

Questionnaire survey in Key

Institutions and in WorkshopIntervention ranking

-Technical,

an up ca on o s a e o ers

in project planning and

implementation.

Quantitative decision

making method is very National Road Map for

Flood Early Warning

Socio-cultural,

Financial

development of efficient

FEWS

System Development




Review

(a) Technical assessment

(b) Institutional assessment

(c) Impact assessment of EWS

(d) Assessment at grass-root communities

• This step is conducted in close reference with the existing 22

recommendations issues of ADB-TA in 2006.

• The updated issues are long listed for priority ranking and duplication

test. All together the project identified more than 70 existing and new

issues.

• pr or ze ssues were c ass e n s x s eps o e ar y arn ngSystem development cascade cycle (risk knowledge, monitoring and

data acquisition, forecasting and warning, dissemination and

,

(based on UNISDR checklist of EWS).

• Besides 6 cascades of FEWS, the cross cutting issues were also listed.




r or y ran ng an se ec on o n erven ons

In this phase a pair wise comparison for all interventions was performed in TWO

consecutives ste s.

SWOTMulti Criteria Analysis

AHP analysis AHP analysis

Questioner survey in key

Priority ranking

institutions and in workshop

The screening process was done based on

the individual institutional response as

well as group response in the stakeholder’s

workshop.




Example of Questionnaire for SWOT-AHP factors

This methodology is mainly used for

,

used such method for disastermanagement.

The results output from the SWOT-

AHP can be easily displayed and easy

to understand to various stakeholders

in quantitative way.So we a lied these methods in

AHP entry on SWOT factor per

intervention (Make it rationale)

priority ranking.

Cascade 1: Risk Knowledge




Cascade InterventionRank_ Institution

Rank_ Workshop

1. Risk_knowledge development 1-1 National and local level risk assessment 1 2

1-2 Integrated planning for EWS 3 3

1-3 Formal and informal education 2 1

2. Monitoring_and_data acquisition 2-1 Development of base information 4 6

2-2 Manual data collection 7 7

2-3 Automatic data collection 6 5

2-4 Improve data quality 2 4

2. Monitoring_and_data

acquisition 2-1 Development of base information 4 6

Inst WS

2-5 Operation & Maintenance of the monitoring network 1 1

2-6 Expanding the range of data acquisition 3 2

2-7 Regular monitoring of flood events by satellite data 5 33. Forecasting_and_Warning 3-1 Model accuracy aand upgrade software 3 1

2-2 Manual data collection 7 7

2-3 Automatic data collection 6 53-2 Flood forecast Model development 2 2

3-3 Expansion of forcasting capacity and number of institutes 1 3

4. Dissemination and_communication 4-1 Extending the range of dissemination 3 3

4-2 More precise and user friendly warning 2 1

2-4 Improve data quality 2 4

2-5 Operation & Maintenance of the monitoring network 1 1

4-3 Capacity building for dissemination 1 2

5. Information_type and reliability 5-1 More precise and location specific information 1 1

5-2 Update warning information timely manner 2 2

6. Response_capability 6-1 Capacity development of community 1 1

2-6 Expanding the range of data acquisition 3 2

2-7 Re ular monitorin of flood events b satellite data 5 3 _

6-2 Community prepardness 2 2

7. Cross_cutting_issues 7-1 FFWC capacity building 2 1

7-2 Strengthening of organizational status 1 3

7-3 International cooperation 3 2




Pre-feasibility analysis and recommendation (national road map outline)

CascadeFirst Priorityintervention

Tech-nical

Socio-cultural

Institu-tional

Finan-cial

Second Priorityintervention

Tech-nical

Socio-cultural

Institu-tional

Finan-cial

1. Risk knowledge Mational and local level riskdevelopment assessment 2. Monitoring and data

acquisition

Operation & maintenance of

the monitoring network ++ ++ + +

Expanding the range of data

acquisition ++ ++ +++ ++3. Forecasting andWarning

Model accuracy and upgradesoftware +++ ++ +++ ++

Expansion of forecasting capacityand number of institutes + + + +

4. Dissemination andcommunication

More precise and user friendlywarning +++ +++ ++ ++ Capacity building for

dissemination +++ +++ ++ ++

2. Monitoring

and data

Operation &

Maintenance of++ ++ + +

Expanding the

range of data ++ ++ +++ ++

Finally the project approach and.

reliability specific information +++ ++ ++ ++

manner +++ ++ ++ ++

6. Response capability Capacity development ofcommunity +++ ++ + ++ Community preparedness ++ +++ + ++

7. Cross cutting issues FFWC capacity building +++ +++ +++ ++ Strengthening of organizationalstatus

+++ ++ + ++

acquisition network

acquisition

a National Road Map (NRM) for

FEWS in Ban ladesh• Socio-cultural

• Institutional

• Financial

We will discuss on prepared draft NRM with

various stakeholders in Bangladesh for the

effective use and implementation of NRM



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WLW Day 3: Presented by Badri Bhakta Shrestha