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When Flagships Falter: Comparing BlackBerry and Nokia Darius Ornston Munk School of Global Affairs Department of Political Science 1 Devonshire Place The University of Toronto Toronto, ON M5S 3K7, Canada [email protected] +1 (647) 308-9423 *Paper presented to the 5th Creating Digital Opportunity conference, Vancouver, April 24- 27, 2018.

When Flagships Falter: Comparing BlackBerry and Nokia · 2013). Neither firm anticipated the disruptive impact of Apple’s iPhone. Within a decade, both enterprises had shed three

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Page 1: When Flagships Falter: Comparing BlackBerry and Nokia · 2013). Neither firm anticipated the disruptive impact of Apple’s iPhone. Within a decade, both enterprises had shed three

WhenFlagshipsFalter:ComparingBlackBerryandNokia

DariusOrnstonMunkSchoolofGlobalAffairsDepartmentofPoliticalScience

1DevonshirePlaceTheUniversityofToronto

Toronto,ONM5S3K7,[email protected]

+1(647)308-9423*Paperpresentedtothe5thCreatingDigitalOpportunityconference,Vancouver,April24-27,2018.

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2

Inrecentdecades,Waterloo1andFinlandhavebeenhailedashightechsuccess

stories,leapfroggingcompetitorstoassumeleadershipininformationandcommunication

technology(KravtsovaandRadosevic)markets.Flagshipfirms,BlackBerry2andNokia,

werecentraltothisprocess.Inadditiontogeneratingemploymentandtaxrevenue,the

twofirmspopularizedinnovation-basedcompetition,inspiredlocalentrepreneurs,

attractedinternationalinvestment,anddiffusedknowledgethroughoutthelocaleconomy

(Dahlmanetal.2006;Gillmor2012;MoenandLilja2005).Infact,thetworegionscouldbe

viewedasamodelofhowtosucceedinhigh-technologymarkets,asevidencedbythe

interestincreating“newBlackBerries”and“newNokias”(Ornston2018;Yakabuski2013).

ButFinlandandWaterlooalsorepresentacautionarytale,astheirdependenceon

flagshipfirmsincreasedtheirvulnerabilitytodisruptiveeconomicshocks.When

BlackBerryandNokiafalteredbetween2009and2013,theythreatenedtotaketheirlocal,

ICTindustriesdownwiththem.Intheend,itappearsthattheirdeclinewasnotadeath

sentence.BothFinlandandWaterloohavebenefitedfromaproliferationofnew,startups

(Best2014;Dingman2015).Inthelong-run,thismayresultinahealthier,more

sustainablehigh-technologyecosystem.Butthetransitionhasbeenarockyone,

particularlyforFinland,wherestartupshaveyettoapproachNokiainemploymentor

revenue(PajarinenandRouvinen2015).Nokia’sdeclinetransformedFinlandintooneof

theworst-performingcountriesintheEurozoneafter2008(Eurostat2016).Bycontrast,

Waterloo’sstarhasdimmedonlyslightlyinthewakeofBlackBerry’sdeclineandthe

1Inthispaper,WaterlooreferstotheRegionalMunicipalityofWaterloo,aregionofroughly500,000whichencompassesthecityofWaterloo,Kitchener,Cambridgeandsurroundingtownships.2FormerlyResearchinMotion.Forsimplicity,IusethenameBlackBerrythroughoutthepaper,evenwhenreferringtodevelopmentsbeforethecorporation’s2013rebranding.

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region’sICTindustryisarguablystrongerthanitwasduringBlackberry’speak(CBRE

2016).

WhywasWaterloosomuchmoreresilienttothedeclineofitsflagshipfirmthan

Finland?ThispaperattributesthedivergencenottothedifferencesbetweenBlackBerry

andNokia,whichwereinsignificant,butratherthewayinwhichtheseflagshipfirmswere

embeddedwithintheirlocalcommunity.WhileBlackBerryplayedanoutsizedroleinthe

Waterlooregion,itattractedfewpublicresourcesandmaintainedanaloofrelationship

withlocal,high-technologyenterprises.Bycontrast,Nokiawashighlyactivewithinthe

FinnishpolicymakingprocessandenmeshedwiththelocalICTecosystem.Effortsto

embedNokiawithinaregionalinnovationsystemshouldhaveanddiddeliversignificant

benefits,buttheyalsoincreasedFinland’svulnerabilitytodisruptiveeconomicshocks.By

contrast,Waterloo’sfailuretoengageBlackBerryresultedinamorediverseecosystem

whichwasrelativelyunaffectedbythefirm’sdecline.Thesetwocasestudiessuggestthat

whileintegratingenterpriseswithinthelocalcommunitycandeliversignificantbenefits,

theactofembeddinglarge,flagshipfirmsisalsofraughtwithrisk.

ThePromiseandPerilsofEmbeddingFlagshipFirms

Theperilsofintegrationarenotimmediatelyobvious.Theliteratureoneconomic

sociology,politicaleconomy,economicdevelopment,urbanstudiesandregional

innovationsystemsconsistentlyhighlightsthebenefitsof“embedding”firmswithina

densenetworkoflocalrelationships(Evans1995;Lundvall1992;O'Riain2004;Saxenian

1994).“Embedding”cantakeseveralforms.First,enterprisescanbeintegratedintothe

policymakingprocess,steeringtheallocationofpublicresourcesorassuming

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responsibilityforpolicyimplementation(HallandSoskice2001;Schienstockand

Hämäläinen2001).Second,thoseofamoreliberalpersuasionmightprivilegevoluntary

tieswithintheprivatesector.Marketcompetitionmayencouragefirmstostrikelong-term

partnershipswithcomponentsuppliers,serviceproviders,andendusers(Porter1990).

Finally,economicsociologistswouldarguethatbothpatternsofintegrationrelyoncultural

embeddinginwhichenterprisesareconnectedtotheirsurroundingcommunitybyshared

normsorvalues(Lundvall1992;WalshokandShragge2014).

Allthreeperspectivessuggestthatembeddingcanbenefitfirmsbyloweringcosts,

reducingrisk,andresolvingcollectiveactionprograms.Forexample,private-public

collaborationineducationcoulddelivertoasteadysupplyofaffordable,high-quality

humancapital(Barry2004).Alargesuppliernetworkcanlowercostsbyfacilitating

specializationandreducevulnerabilitytoeconomicdownturnsbyloweringcapitalcosts

(Steinbock2000).Finally,communicationamongfirms,suppliers,endusers,andthepublic

sectorcanfosterinnovation,providingtheenterprisewithacompetitiveadvantageoverits

rivals(Lundvall1992).

Moreimportantlyforthepurposesofthisessay,embeddingalsobenefitshost

communities.First,communitiescanreducetheriskofcapitalflightbyconnecting

enterprisestolocalresources.Relianceonregionaleducationalinstitutions,localresearch,

specializedsuppliers,andsupportingservicesincreasestheopportunitycostofrelocation

(ZhengandWarner2010).Totheextentthatcommunicationamongfirms,governments,

andcivicorganizationsfostersinnovation,itfurtherinoculatescommunitiesfromcost

competitionbyenablingfirmstocompeteonthebasisofnoveltyorquality(Storperand

Venables2004).

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Oncefirmsareanchoredwithinthecommunity,localstakeholderscanextract

concessionssuchashigherwagesortaxes.Theseconcessionsnotonlyensurethatthe

benefitsofgrowtharewidelydistributed,theyalsoenablecommunitiestoupgrade

investmentsinknowledge,humancapital,infrastructure,andsupportingservices

(WeisskoffandWolf1977).Often,asthecasesofBlackBerryandNokiaillustrate,

enterprisesvaluethesecollectivegoodsanddeliverthesebenefitsvoluntarily.Firmsoften

independentlyraisewages,fundlocaluniversities,orcontributetocommunity

developmentwithoutanyexternalpressure.Amongthesecollectivegoods,knowledge

spilloversdeservespecialmention.Notonlyareembeddedenterprisesmorelikelyto

innovateforreasonsmentionedabove,buttheseproductivity-enhancinginsightsaremore

likelytoreachotherenterprises,eitherdeliberatelyorunwittingly,whenconnectedby

densenetworks(Lundvall1992).3

Thebenefitsofembeddingareparticularlystarkwhenjuxtaposedtoan

independententerprisewithfewtiestothelocalcommunity.Inthese“enclaveeconomies”

(Singer1950),knowledgeisinternalizedwithinthefirmorredirectedoutsideofthe

community.Thesecorporationsarelesslikelytoreinvestprofitslocally,moresensitiveto

costcompetition,andmorelikelytorespondwithcapitalflight.Asaresult,embeddingis

widelyportrayedasbestpracticeinliteraturesonFDIpromotion,innovationpolicy,and

urbandevelopment.

Thebenefitsofintegrationappearparticularlylucrativewhentheyanchorlarge,

“flagship”firms,suchasBlackBerryorNokia.Inadditiontotheirdirectimpacton

employment,largeenterprisesaregenerallymoreproductivethantheirsmaller

3 Assuminglocalenterprisespossesstheabsorptivecapacitytoprocessandexploitthisknowledge.

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counterparts(VanArkandMonnikhof1996).Thesehigh-productivityfirmscaninturn

upgradethecapacityoftheirlocalpartners,orknowledgemaydiffusethroughspinoffsor

labormarketmobility(Maliranta2000:69;Paija2000).Flagshipenterprisesalsooperate

atascalethatenablesthemtocontributetocollectivegoodssuchasinfrastructure,human

capital,knowledgecreation,andevencommunitydevelopment.Tociteoneexamplefrom

Waterloo,

ThethingthatImissthemostabout[BlackBerry]isitsimpactonthecommunitybroadlydefined.Soyoucouldgoto[BlackBerry]andsaywe’rebuilding“X,”anewlibraryoranewfacility….Regionalgovernmentscouldcallon[BlackBerry]todostuffbehindthescenes,tobringaregionalairlinetotheairport….OrUnitedWayisstrugglingand[BlackBerry]coulddoatopup.That’sonethingwemiss,there’snobigcompanythathascomeinandcantakecareofthecommunityinthatway.Youmayhavethesamenumberofpeopleemployedandthesameeconomicactivity,butyoudon’thavethatanchor(Interviewwithformerventurecapitalist,23November,2017,Waterloo,Canada).

InthecaseofFinlandandWaterloo,flagshipenterprisesestablishedaregionalreputation.

Byplacingtheseregions“onthemap”ashigh-technologyhubs,BlackBerryandNokiagave

other,high-technologyenterprisesgreatercredibilityinapproachinginvestorsandclients

(Gillmor2012;Steinbock2000).

Whilethebenefitsofembeddingareformidable,integrationintothelocal

communityisnotunambiguouslypositive.Ina1993study,GernotGrabherillustrateshow

strongtieswithintheGermansteelindustryincreasedtheRuhrregion’svulnerabilityto

disruptiveeconomicshocksthroughfunctional,political,andcognitivelock-in(Grabher

1993).Thispaperhypothesizesthattheserisksareespeciallypronouncedforflagship

firms.Largeenterprisesaremorelikelythantheirsmallandmedium-sizedenterprisesto

contributetofunctionallock-inbyintegratinglocalenterprisesintoasinglesupplier

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network.Verylargefirmsaremorelikelytocapturethepolicymakingprocess,reorienting

publicresourcesaroundtheirstrategicgoals.Finally,theseenterprisesaremorelikelyto

dominatethepublicconsciousness,contributingtocognitivelock-in.Ifcorrect,this

hypothesissuggestsamorenuancedunderstandingofindustrialembeddingandflagship

firms.Whileeffortstointegrateenterprisesintothelocalcommunitycandeliversignificant

benefits,theintegrationofverylargefirmsisfraughtwithperil.Bythesametoken,regions

mayprovesurprisinglyresilienttothedeclineofaflagshipfirmwhenitisnotwell-

connectedtothelocalcommunity.

WhenFlagshipsFalter:ComparingFinlandandWaterloo

Totestthishypothesis,thispapercomparestheriseandfalloftwoflagshipfirms,

BlackBerryandNokia,usingamostsimilarsystemsresearchdesign.BothBlackBerryand

Nokiaenteredmobilecommunicationsduringthe1990s,relyingonmobiledevicesto

successfullynavigatethedotcomcrashattheturnofthemillennium.Attheirheightin

2008,Nokiawasresponsiblefor40%ofglobalsmartphonesalesandBlackBerry

commandeda20%marketshare(Gartner2009;PajarinenandRouvinen2013;Sher

2013).NeitherfirmanticipatedthedisruptiveimpactofApple’siPhone.Withinadecade,

bothenterpriseshadshedthreequartersoftheirworkforce,retreatingtomorespecialized

nichessuchasembeddedsecurity(BlackBerry)andnetworkequipment(Nokia)(Pender

2015;YLE2016).

BothBlackBerryandNokiadominatedtheirlocalcommunities.Duringthe1970s,

WaterlooandFinlandreliedprincipallycontinentalEuropean-style,medium-technology

engineering.WhileFinlandwasmoredependentonnaturalresourcesandWaterloowasa

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centerforinsurance,neitherregionwascharacterizedbymeaningfulICTproduction.High-

technologyenterprisessuchasWatcom(Waterloo)orWaisala(Finland)werethe

exceptionratherthantherule(MunroandBathelt2014:221).Inthiscontext,itisno

exaggerationtosuggestthatBlackBerryandNokiasinglehandedlypropelledtheirregions

intohigh-technologymarkets.Nokia’sroleasa“giant”intheFinnishinnovationecosystem

iswellestablished(Ali-YrkköandHermans2004).In2008,Nokia’s23,000domestic

employeesrepresentedroughly20%oftheFinnishICTsector(PajarinenandRouvinen

2015).Ajournalistsummarized,

TheroleofNokiaintheFinnishbusinesscommunitywasparamount.TheCEOsofNokiawereveryprominentfigures.Theywerethefirstamongequals,sothatNokiahadabigsayinthekindof,whatthebusinesscommunitywanted,Nokia’swordweighedmorethanothers.ThenwhenthecrashcameandFinlandwasonitskneesanditaquestionofwhetheritwouldbetakenoverbytheIMFandtherewasnolightinthetunnelandsuddenlyyouhadthisemergingkindofbusinessinNokia….TechnologyandinnovationthatwerepushedtohelpNokiaasmuchapossiblesoyoucouldsaycertainlyitbecameanationalproject(Interviewwithjournalist19June2012,Finland).

BlackBerry’sstaturewassimilar.Whileitemployedonly11,000atitspeakin2011

(Pender2015),thisrepresentedathird(Lu2013)toahalf(CBRE2016)ofICT

employmentinasignificantlysmallerregion.Evenbynationalstandards,itwasa

formidableforce.Inthewordsofoneformerhigh-technologyexecutive,“BlackBerrywas

absolutelythedominantfactornotonlyinthisecosystem,butalsothecountry.Atone

pointithadthelargestmarketcap,moresothananyoftheincumbents,includingthe

banks.OnecannotunderstatethetremendousimpactBlackBerryhad,”(Interviewwith

formerexecutive,technologyfirm,29November2017,Waterloo).Thestructural

compositionofemploymentatthetwoenterpriseswasalsosimilar,withprofessional

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servicessuchasresearchanddevelopmentsuperseding,butnotfullyreplacing,

manufacturingafterthedotcomcrash(Ali-Yrkkö2010:32;Yakabuski2009).

Bythesametoken,theirdeclinerepresentedanexistentialthreattoboth

communitiesafter2008.NokiareducedFinnishemploymentfrom23,000to6,000by

2016,whileBlackBerryshrankitsworkforcebyasimilarproportion,from11,000to2,700.

Here,however,thefatesofWaterlooandFinlanddiverge.WhileBlackBerry’sdeclinewas

perceivedasaclearcrisis(Interviewwithlocalpolitician,Waterlooregion,28November

2017),unemploymentfellandrealestatepricesincreasedafter2011(CBRE2014;Roose

2015).Inthewordsofalocalventurecapitalist,“InToronto,whenBlackBerrydeclined

everyoneassumedWaterloowasdead…ButBlackBerryfailedandwhathappened?House

pricesdeclinedformaybeadayandahalfandthenclimbedonward”(Interviewwith

venturecapitalist,22November2017,Waterloo,Canada).Today,industryrepresentatives

complainofalabormarketshortagewith2,500unfilledopenings(Interviewwith

representative,Communitech,1December2017,Waterloo).Resiliencewasbasedinpart

ontheestablishmentof1,845newtechnologyfirmsestablishedbetween2009and2014

(Dingman2015).Between2010and2015,Communitechwassupportinganaverageof400

startupsayear(Pender2017).4Estimatesvary,butby2016Waterloohostedthefastest-

growingtechnologyindustryinCanadaandICTemploymenthadsurpasseditspeakunder

BlackBerry(CBRE2016).Inthewordsofonejournalist,

Idon’tliketotalkinabsolutes,but[theimpactwas]closetozeroasyoucanwithoutbeingabsoluteaboutit.There’snoshortageofnewstartups…WhenBlackBerrysoldofftherealestate,therewas2.7millionsquarefeetofspace,thecommercialrealestatesectorwasapoplectic.Theythought

4 Toputthisfigureinperspective,Tekes,withalargerbudgetandbroadermandate,andservingaregionaleconomyoffivemillion,supportedonly600startupsin2015(Interviewwithdirector,Tekes,9June2016)

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we’dbeinasinkingmarketfortenyears.Insteadeveryonehasbeenpleasantlyshockedthatinalittleovertenmonthstheyleasedupmorethantwomillionsquarefeetofthat2.7million,largelybystartups(Interviewwithjournalist,15March2016,Waterloo,Canada).

InFinland,bycontrast,ICTemploymentfellbymorethan10%inthefouryears

followingNokia’sdecline(PajarinenandRouvinen2015:96).5R&Dexpenditure,ICTvalue-

added,andICTexportshaveallplummetedfollowingNokia’sdecline(Ali-Yrkköetal.

2015).IncontrasttoWaterloo,Nokia’sstrugglestransformedFinlandfromamodelpupil

intothe“sickman”ofEurope(Khan2015)andoneoftheworst-performingcountriesin

theEurozone(Eurostat2016).Nokia,whichhadcontributedheavilytoGDPgrowthduring

thelate1990sandearly2000s,wassinglehandedlyresponsibleforapproximatelyathird

ofthedeclineinnationaloutput(PajarinenandRouvinen2013:3).

Nokia’sdeclinewasnotanunmitigateddisaster.Thefirm’sstrugglesinspireda

waveofentrepreneurialactivity,aswellasamuch-neededreorientationofFinnish

innovationpolicy(Ornston2018).Inthissense,theFinnishICTindustryhasproven

resilienttothedeclineofitsflagshipfirm.ButtheFinnishstart-upscenecomeswith

caveats.Employmentgainsremainmodest.Gaming,whichbyallaccountshaspropelled

the“new”ICTindustry,employedonly2,750in2016.Thesefirmsareenterprises

productive,butother“technologystartups”disguiserelativelylow-productivity,part-time,

one-personconsultingoperations(Interviewwitheconomist,17June2016,Finland).Asa

result,whereasobserversinWaterloomarvelattheresilienceoftheirICTecosystem,their

Finnishcounterpartsoftendescribeaboomingstartupsceneinmorecautiousterms,

5 Thedeclinesoundsmodestbutisactuallyquitestrikingbecauseitoccurredagainstthebackdropofalong-term,secularincreaseinthedemandforICT-relatedgoodsandservices(Interviewwitheconomist,17June2016,Finland)

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expressingdoubtsaboutitsmaturityandsustainability.OneICTconsultantglumly

concluded,“Ofcourse,fromaventurecapitalistpointofview,therearemoreopportunities

toinvest.SoIabsolutelyagreethatsituationisbetternumber-wisethanitwastenyears

ago.Butthenumbersarestillverysmall.Ifyouthinkaboutthegamingindustrythereare

about150firms.”(Interviewwithconsultant,15June2016,Finland).Observerspraised

thequalityofFinland’shumancapital,butincontrasttoWaterloo,nooneidentifiedlabor

marketshortagesasabindingconstraint(Interviewwithformerpolicymaker,7June2016,

Tekesdirector9June2016andeconomist17June2016).TheFinnishICTindustrymay

emergefromthecrisisstrongerthanever,butthetransitionhasclearlybeenmuchrockier.

WhyWaterlooFlourishedWhileFinlandStruggled:ConventionalExplanations

ThereasonsforWaterloo’sresiliencearenotimmediatelyobvious.Theregion

shouldhavebeenmorevulnerabletoBlackBerry’stroublesastheenterpriserepresenteda

highershareofICTandaggregateemploymentthanNokiaeverdidinFinland.Norcan

thesedivergentoutcomesbeattributedtotheinternalcharacterofthetwofirms.Asnoted

above,bothofferedsimilarproductsinthesameindustryandbothweredisruptedbythe

sameinnovation,theInternet-enabledsmartphone.Whilesomeflagshipfirms,suchasIBM

orNovoNordisk,strengthenedregionaleconomiesbyencouragingentrepreneurship,both

BlackBerryandNokiaresembledclosedshops.Spinoffswererareandstrongly,if

unofficially,discouragedbybothenterprises.Nokiaexecutivesattributedthedearthof

spinoffstogenerousremuneration(Interviewwithexecutiveofficer,Nokia,24November

2006),butitalsoreflectedahighlycentralizedandsecretivecorporateculture(Interview

withprofessor,7June2012andventurecapitalist,8June2012,Finland).Onejournalist

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remarked,“Nokiaissuchaclosedcompanythatitisveryhardtogetanyinformation.They

haveverystrictinternalrulesabouthowtotalktooutsiders…Wedon’tknowenough,they

don’ttellus.Theyaresuchabigcompanyinasmallcountry,butnooneknowswhatis

goingon”(Interviewwithjournalist19June2012,Finland).BlackBerrywasnodifferent,

“Theapproachoftheleadership[was]thatyoushouldneverleave…Therearenumerous

storiesofblackballingandblockingpeopleiftheylefttostarttheirownthing”(Interview

withformerBlackBerryemployee,23November2017,Waterloo).

SinceBlackBerryandNokiaweresosimilar,wecouldinsteadturntoregional

differencestoexplainthesedifferentoutcomes.IntervieweesinWaterloowerequickto

pointtotheirdiversifiedeconomy,andtheinsuranceindustryinparticular,asasourceof

strength(Interviewwithlocalpolicymaker,29November2017,Waterloo,Canada).

Finland,bycontrast,historicallyreliedonnaturalresources,mostnotablyforestry.Both

regions,however,exhibitedstrengthinmetalprocessingandadvancedmanufacturing

(MunroandBathelt2014;PaijaandPalmberg2006).Moreimportantly,ifWaterloo’s

economicperformancewasdrivenbyinsurance,manufacturing,andotherindustries,we

wouldexpecthigh-technologyemploymenttoshrinkasemployeesfledtoothersectors.

ICTemployment,however,increased.Conversely,wewouldexpectmoreFinnstoturnto

entrepreneurshipiftraditionalindustrieswerefoundering.Instead,theoppositeoccurred.

ThedifferencesbetweenFinlandandWaterloocouldreflectthefactthattheformer

isanation-state,whereasthelatterisaregion.WhileregionaldevelopmentsinEspoo,

Oulu,andSaloparallelednationaltrends,perhapsWaterloobenefitedfromamoremobile

labormarketorcountercyclicalspendingbyprovincialandfederalauthorities.Thereisno

questionthatneighboringmunicipalitiessuchasTorontoabsorbedsomeformer

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BlackBerryworkers.ButthefactthatICTemploymenthasgrownsuggeststhatWaterloo

didnotadaptbysheddinghigh-skilllabor(CBRE2016).Moreover,withthishealthylabor

market,Waterloowashardlyatargetforcountercyclicalspending.Nordidthefederalor

provincialgovernmentorchestrateabailoutofBlackBerry,relyingonexistingretraining

andadvisoryschemestoreallocatelabor(Interviewswithregionalexecutiveandlocal

policymaker,29November2017,Waterloo,Canada).Ifanything,Finnishpolicymakers

weremoreactiveinthisspacefollowingthecollapseofNokia(Interviewwithformer

incubatordirector,23November2017,Waterloo).

Perhapsmicroeconomicdifferencesplayedacriticalrole,mostnotablythefactthat

Waterloowassituatedwithinaliberalmarketeconomy,whereasFinlandreliedon

strategiccoordination.Irevisitthispointintheconclusion,butafirstcutsuggeststhatthe

tworegionswerenotasdifferent.High-technologyenterprisesinFinlanddidnotview

labormarketregulationorotherformsofstrategiccoordinationasasignificant

impedimenttoentrepreneurship,partlybecauseFinlandsuccessfullyadaptedits

institutionstopromoteradicalproductinnovationinthe1990s(Ornston2012)andpartly

becauseentrepreneurscouldcircumventonerousrestrictionsinalightlyunionizedsector

bystrikingatypicalcontractswiththeiremployeesandindustrypartners(Herrmann2009;

Lange2009).BothFinlandandWaterloobenefitedfromlowinterestratesandabundant

venturecapitalafter2009,albeitatfarlowerlevelsthanUSregionssuchasSiliconValley

(FVCA2016;Pender2014).Instead,FinnishandCanadianentrepreneursalikeemphasized

strikinglysimilarchallenges,especiallytheirperipherallocationasitrelatestoaccessing

customersandsenior-levelmanagerialtalent(Interviewswithrepresentative,forest

association,11October2005,Finland,director,venturecapitalfund,22November2006,

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director,venturecapitalfund23November,2006,Finland,representative,Chamberof

Commerce,15March2016,Waterloo,executive,high-technologyfirm,23November2017,

Waterloo,andformerdirector,venturecapitalfund,23November,2017).Inshort,the

similaritiesbetweenthetworegionsaremorestrikingthanthedifferences.

Tothispoint,patternsofhigh-technologyentrepreneurshipwerestrikinglysimilar

before2008.DespiteWaterloo’spositionwithinaliberalmarketeconomyanditsrecent

statusasahigh-technologyhub,start-upactivitywasmodestbefore2008(Interviewswith

executive,high-technologyfirm,23November2017,formerpartner,venturecapitalfund,

23November,2017,andexecutive,high-technologyfirm,28November2017,andformer

CEO,29November2017,Waterloo).InthewordsofoneUniversityofWaterlooalumnus,“I

wenttoschoolhereintheearly1990sandentrepreneurshipwassomethingyoudidifyou

couldn’tfindajobwhenyougraduated.Itwasn’thighontheaspirationlist…Itwasn’t

talkedaboutorcelebratedthewaythatitistoday”(Interviewwithemployee,incubator,24

November2017).Theregionboastedseveraldozenmoderatelysuccessful,high-

technologystartupssuchasDescartes,Maple,OpenText,Desire2Learn,Pixstream,and

Sandvine.Duringthe1980sand1990sButthesamecouldbesaidofFinland,which

producedBenefon,Elekrobit,F-Secure,IOBox,Martis,SSHCommunications,NetHawk,and

Tecnomanatthesametime.Inlightoftheseinstitutionalandhistoricsimilarities,itis

difficulttoconcludethatWaterloowasfundamentallymorereceptivetohigh-technology

entrepreneurshipthanFinland.

Tounderstandwhythetworegionsdiverged,wemustinsteadlookbeyond

BlackBerry,Nokia,Waterloo,andFinlandtotherelationshipbetweenthem.Followingthe

theoreticalframeworkarticulatedabove,Iexaminethedegreetowhichthesetwoflagships

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wereincorporatedintothepolicymakingprocess,integratedwithinindustrialnetworks

andculturallyembeddedwithintheirlocalsocieties.Whilebothenterprisesdominated

theirrespectivecommunities,IdemonstratethatNokiawasmoreembeddedthan

BlackBerry.ItcontributedsignificantlymoretotheICTinnovationecosystem,but

simultaneouslyincreasedFinland’svulnerabilitytodisruptiveeconomicshocks.

EmbeddingFlagshipFirms:BlackBerryandNokia

Nokiarepresentsthearchetypicalexampleofanembeddedenterprise.Nokiawas

politicallycentralsinceCEOKariKairamousedhispositionaschairmanofthe

ConfederationofFinnishEmployerstolobbyfornewinnovationpoliciesinthe1980s

(MoenandLilja2005:372).Bythe1990s,thefirmenjoyeddirectrepresentationwithinthe

influentialScienceandPolicyTechnologyCouncilandonotherbodies,suchastheboardof

theFinnishFundingAgencyforTechnologyandInnovation(Tekes).Inthewordsofone

formeremployee,

WhenIwasworkingatNokiatheindustryassociations,theFederationofTechnologyIndustriesandeventheFinnishgovernmentwouldapproachusandask“Whatisthenextthingthatweneedtodo?”AndIthought,“Whyareyouaskingme?Shouldn’tyouhaveaplanofyourown?”(Interviewwithformeremployee,Nokia,14June2016,Finland)

Nokia’sinfluencewasmostconspicuousineducation,wherethefirmnotonlyvacuumed

uphumancapital(Interviewswithventurecapitalist8June2016andsoftwareindustry

representative10June2016,Finland),butalsodirectlyinfluenceduniversityand

polytechnicoutput.Nokia’sdemandsdrovethedecisiontodoubleuniversityintakeand

triplepolytechnicintakeduringthe1990s(Dahlman2006:102).Notcoincidentally,

educationalexpansionfocusedonengineering,andICTinparticular.Bytheturnofthe

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16

millennium,FinlandrankedsecondonlytoSouthKoreaintheshareofengineers(OECD

2003).

Nokia’sinfluenceextendedtomyriadotherpolicydomains,fromcapitaltaxation

(Pelkonen2008:407)toimmigration(BärlundandBrewis2013:21),dataprivacy(Lee

2009)andinnovationpolicy(Ornston2018).Focusingonthelatter,thefirmreceived175

millionEuroinR&DfundingfromTekesalonebetween1995and2008.Inadditionto

dwarfingCanadiansupportforBlackBerry,thisfundingwasusedtosupportprivate-public

andinter-firmcollaboration.Between1995and2008,Nokiaparticipatedinnofewerthan

375separateTekesprojects(Ali-Yrkkö2010:26-27),oftensituatingitselfatthecenterof

theseconsortia(PaijaandPalmberg2006:78).Formeremployeesmakeitclearthatbythe

mid-1990sthegoalwasnotpublicfunding,whichwasheavilyregulatedbytheEUand

paledincomparisontoNokia’scorporateR&Dbudget.Rather,NokiausedFinnish

innovationpoliciestomonitortechnologicaldevelopmentsandmobilizeactorsaroundits

strategicvision(Ornston2012:83).

Forexample,FinlandrankedhighestintheOECDinmeasuresofindustry-university

cooperationbytheturnofthemillennium(Koskietal.2006:50).Nokia,notsurprisingly,

dominatedthesetight-knitrelationships.Nokiaemployeesandacademicsalikewerequick

todescribecooperationinvariousprojects,fromengineeringasoftwareprotocolforthe

GSMmobilestandardtothepsychologyofuser-friendlydesign(Interviewswithprofessor,

27September2005,formerprofessorandNokiaemployee,17October2005,and

professor,8November2005,Finland).Myownearlyresearchonpoliticalsciencewas

supportedbyNokia,amongothersources.

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17

Nokiausedthesepublicpoliciestoembeditselfeconomically.Tekes-funded

researchconsortia,aswellasNokia’sowndeeppockets,enabledittoconstructasprawling

networkofthreehundredfirst-tier,Finnishsuppliers(Ali-YrkköandHermans2004:113).

Bythelate1990s,thisclusteremployedalmostasmanyFinns(14,000)asNokiaitself

(21,000)(Paija2000:4).Whilemostmanufacturingsub-contractorsmovedabroadafter

thedotcomcrash,NokiacontinuedtorelyheavilyonFinnishenterprisesinsoftware

developmentuntilthefirm’scollapse(Interviewwithformerexecutive,24November

2006,Finland).Bothmanufacturingandsoftwaresub-contractingincludedresearch,as

Nokiaaimedtoexternalizeone-thirdofitsR&D(Interviewwithexecutive,non-

telecommunicationsfirm,24October2005,Finland).Theconnectionsbetweenthese

companiesweresostrongthatforeignenterprisesaspiringtopenetrateNokia’ssupplier

networkacquiredFinnishsub-contractors.Thekeyattractionwasnottheirtechnologyor

skills,butrathertheirclosepersonalrelationshipswithNokiaemployees(Interviewwith

policymaker,11November2005,Finland).

Asaresultofitsdominantpositioninpoliticsandeconomics,Nokiawasalso

culturallyembedded.Asnotedabove,KariKairamousedtheConfederationofFinnish

Employersandinformalroundtablestotransformemployerattitudestowardtechnological

innovationduringthe1980s(MoenandLilja2005:372).Inthe1990s,Nokiawasarole

modelforaspiringentrepreneurs,eventhoseunconnectedtotheenterprise.Itiseasyto

understandwhyastheFinnishpressconsistentlylionizedthefirm.Journalistslikened

NokiatoclassiciconsofFinnishnesssuchasthehoe,themarsh,andaspiritofsisuor

determination(Linden2012:243).Meanwhile,thecountry’smostprestigiousnewspaper,

theHelsinginSanomat,amendeditseditorialpolicy,reviewingallrelevantcontentwith

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Nokiabeforepublication(Linden2012:271).Alternativeperspectives,totheextentthat

theyexisted,wereburiedbythecoverageofNokia’saccomplishments(Ornston2018).

BlackBerry’srelationshipwiththeWaterlooregionwasverydifferent.Tobeclear,

thecompanywasnotanarchetypical“enclave”enterprise.Asonepoliticiannoted,

“[BlackBerry]hadthisincredibleloyaltytothecommunity.Idon’tthinktherewouldbe

anothercompanythatwassoloyaltothecommunity,whoseownersinvestedsomuch”

(Interviewwithformerpolitician,28November2017,Waterloo).Othersidentifiedthe

enterpriseasanimportantpartnerinregionalbrandingefforts(Interviewwithjournalist,

15March2016).Butthefirm’spoliticalinfluencewasmoremodestthanNokia’s.Thiswas

partlyduetothedearthofrelevantpolicyinstrumentsatthemunicipalandregionallevel.

ButthefirmwasalsomorealoofthanNokia.Thepoliticianabovecontinuedbylikening

BlackBerryto“theVaticaninRome,”noting“Theylivedtheirownlife….Theonlytime

we’dbeinvolvedwaswhentheywantedtobuildabuilding.Theyneverhadanimpacton

ourpolicydecisions”(Interviewwithformerpolitician,28November2017,Waterloo).This

cordial,butarms-lengthrelationshipalsoextendedtothelocalindustryassociation,

Communitech(incontrasttoNokia’sdominancewithinTechnologyIndustriesofFinland).

Considereducation,whereBlackBerry’sinfluencewasthemostconspicuous.The

firmenjoyedacloserelationshipwiththeUniversityofWaterloo.Co-founderMike

Lazaridisdescribeduniversitygraduatestoavaluablenaturalresource,(Sweeny2009:35)

andmanagementdeliberatelydesignedtheirofficestofacecampus(McQueen2010:197-

98).BlackBerryclearlyinfluencedthecurriculumattheUniversityofWaterloo,notleast

throughanapprentice-stylesystemofco-opeducation,whichdiffusednewideasfromthe

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BlackBerryworkplaceintotheclassroom(MunroandBathelt2014).BlackBerry,however,

couldnotdirectlyinfluenceuniversityoutputthewayNokiadid.

Inotherareas,thefirm’sinfluencewasevenmoremodest.Executivesdonated

generouslytotheuniversity,giving$70milliontoestablishthePerimeterInstitutefor

TheoreticalPhysicsand$50milliontofoundtheBalsillieSchoolofInternationalAffairsat

theUniversityofWaterloo(Gillmor2012).Indoingso,however,MikeLazaridisandJim

Balsillieactedasindividualsratherthanacompany.UnlikeNokia’sinvolvementinFinland,

theseinvestmentswerenotconnectedtoBlackBerry’sstrategicvision(Interviewwith

professor24November2017,Waterloo).Researchcollaborationwasalsolesssystematic

(Sweeny2009:35).Whilesomedepartmentssuchaselectricalengineeringworkedclosely

withBlackBerry,otherdepartments,eventechnicalones,didnot(Interviewwith

professors22and24November2017,Waterloo).ContrastingBlackBerrytoNokiaand

Nortel,theformerCanadiantechtitan,afacultymemberremarked,

EveryonehadpartnershipswithNortelanddidthingswithNortel.ItwashardtohaveapolicyreviewwhereaNortelrepresentativewasnotpresent.Notonlyhere,butinOttawa,governmentthings,youwouldn’tassemblesomethingonuniversity-governmentrelationsandnothaveNortelonit.ButIdon’trememberpeoplefromBlackBerry.BlackBerryneverhadthatstatus.Itseemedthatyoudidn’tneedaBlackBerryperson.Nortel,andIBMmaybe(Interviewwithprofessor,22November2017,Waterloo).

ThisquotereflectsBlackBerry’slimitedcloutattheprovincialandfederallevel,partlyasa

reactiontoNortel’scollapseduringthedotcomcrash.Whileprovincialandfederal

policymakersmobilizedresourcesaroundtheenterprise,supportwasinconsistent.

BlackBerryreceived$4.7millionfromtheOntarioTechnologyFundinthe1990sand$39.7

millionfromTechnologyPartnershipsCanadaattheturnofthemillennium,aswellastax

creditsforresearchanddevelopment,butsomeofthissupportwasdirectedatother

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regionsandBlackBerrydidnotreceiveanypublicfundingafter2004(McQueen2010:198;

Sweeny2009:77).Moreimportantly,fundingwasdirectedBlackBerryitselfinsteadof

beingusedtoconstructFinnish-styleacademicandindustrialnetworks.

Partlyasaresultofthis,BlackBerry’sVatican-likeisolationextendedtotheprivate

sector.Sub-contractors,suchasCerticom,weretheexceptionratherthantherule.When

askedtoidentifyfirmsthatworkedwithBlackBerry,interviewees(Interviewswith

journalistandindustryrepresentative,15March2016)andsecondarysources(Gillmor

2012)alikeidentifiedcaterersorrestaurantsratherthancomponentsuppliersorsoftware

providers.Thefirm’smostimportantpartnerswerelocatedelsewhereinCanada(e.g.

Celestica)oroutsideofthecountry(e.g.Elcoteq,aFinnishfirm)(Yakabuski2009).Thisis

typicaloftheWaterlooregion,whereinter-firmlinkagesarerelativelyweak(Munroand

Bathelt2014).Nor,asnotedabove,wasBlackBerryparticularlyconducivetospinoffs

(Interviewswithjournalist15March2016andformerBlackBerryemployee,23November

2017,Waterloo,Canada).Itspatentdisputewiththelocal,technologystartup,Kik,

representsasharpcounterpointtothelong-termpartnershipsthatcharacterizedthe

FinnishICTecosystem(Hardy2013).6

Partlyasaresultofitslimitedengagementinthelocaleconomyandpolitics,

BlackBerryneverexercisedthehegemonicinfluencethatNokiaexertedinFinland.Tobe

clear,BlackBerrydominatedlocalheadlines(Interviewwithjournalist,15March2016)

andpoliticianswerepressuredtosupportthefirmbyusingBlackBerrydevicesand

highlightingthefirm’saccomplishments(Interviewwithformerexecutive,Universityof

6 Ofcourse,theseconnectionsdidnotnecessarilybenefitNokia’ssuppliersandrelationsdeterioratedquicklywhenNokiaranintotrouble(Ornston2018).

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Waterloo,23November2017).ButBlackBerry’sinfluencedidnotextendtothenational

media,whichwasdividedbetweencompetingdevelopmentalmodels.Here,enthusiasmfor

rapid,innovation-basedcompetitionwastemperedbythecollapseofNortelandthe

growthofnaturalresourceexports,mostnotablyoil.

Byallmeasures,BlackBerrydeservesitsclassificationasaflagshipfirm.Controlling

forpopulation,thefirmemployedanevenlargershareofthelocallaborforceandtheICT

industrythanNokiainFinland.Byredefiningtheregionasahigh-technologyhub,

BlackBerryalsoallowedWaterlootoattracthumancapital,publicfunding,andprivate

sectorinvestment(Gillmor2012;Nellesetal.2005).ButBlackBerry’sinfluencedidnot

extendfarbeyondthis.IncontrasttoNokia,BlackBerry’sswayoverlocal,provincial,and

federalpolicyremainedmodest,whilethefirmdidnotmaintainaparticularlylarge

networkofprivatesub-contractorsoracademicpartners.Thisisolationcouldhavebeen

viewedasaweaknesswhenthecompanywasgrowing,butitwasaclearassetafter2009.

WhenFlagshipsFalter:Post-CrisisEconomicAdjustmentinWaterlooandFinland

BecausebothFinlandandWaterloohostedflagshipfirms,thetworegionsfaced

somecommonchallenges.BlackBerryandNokiaalikevacuumeduphumancapitalduring

the2000s.InWaterloo,“BlackBerrywassuckingupeveryemployeeanddrivingwages

higher.Therewashugewageinflation,itwasnotacheapplacetofindlabor.Sothestartup

culturewassufferingbecauseeveryonewasgoingtoBlackBerry”(Interviewwithventure

capitalist,22,November2017,Waterloo).InFinland,“Nokiahasbeenallthistimeabig

treeintheelectronicindustrythathasbeenshadowingandkillingalmosteverything.Ithas

beenaveryhighrisk,especiallyinthe1990s.Itwasahugeriskforstartupsandthemain

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reasonwasthatNokiawashiringsomanyengineers”(Interviewwithdirector,venture

capitalfirm,20November,2006,Finland).By2012,thechallengewasverydifferentasthe

twoenterprisesdumpedskilledlaborevenmorerapidlythantheyhadhiredit.Whileboth

firmshadaskilledlaborforce,neitheronewasparticularlywell-adaptedto

entrepreneurship.Inbothregions,flagshipemployeeswereresponsibleforarelatively

smallnumberofnewstartups(Interviewwitheconomist,7June2012,Finland,executive,

technologyfirm23November2017andexecutive,Communitech,1December2017,

Waterloo).

InFinland,however,Nokia’scentralpositionwithintheICTecosystemcompounded

thesechallengesinthreeways.First,Nokia’seffortstoconstructanentirenetworkaround

itsstrategicvisioninspiredmanystart-upstopartnerwiththeenterpriseassub-

contractors.ManyofthestartupsinOulu,forexample,cuttheirteethsupplyingNokia

(Interviewwithventurecapitalist8June2012,Finland).Thiswasparticularlytrueof

manufacturing,wheremanyofFinland’smostprominentICTenterprises,including

Elcoteq,Eimo,andPerlos,deliveredcomponentstoNokia.Thesefirmsdeclinedafterthe

dotcomcrashasNokiareduceditsmanufacturingprofileandrelentlessloweredcosts

(Seppälä2010).

Softwaredevelopmentcontinuedafterthedotcomcrash,however,andNokia

partneredwithFinnishenterprisesinitseffortstoredefineitselfasasoftwarefirm

(Interviewwithexecutiveofficer,Nokia,24November2006,Finland).Unlikethe

manufacturingfirmsabove,thesecompaniesbenefitedfromlowerfixedcostsandrapidly

increasingdemandforsoftwarebyotherFinnishenterprises.Nonetheless,theywerehard

hitbyNokia’sdecisiontoabandonworkonitsSymbianandMeeGoplatforms.Finland’s

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23

largestsoftwarefirm,Tieto,wasperhapsbestpositionedtowithstandthisshockbyvirtue

ofitsmultinational,diversifiedconsultancyoperations,butevenitwasforcedtolayoff

workers.Other,morespecializedoperationswerelessfortunate(Interviewwith

economist,17June2016,Finland).

Second,evenhigh-technologyenterprisesoutsideofNokia’ssphereofinfluence

wereaffectedbythefirm’ssuccess.Asanarchetypicalexampleof“Finnishness”andapoint

ofnationalpride,itwashardnottofollowNokia’sleadintotelecommunications.Ofthesix

prominentstartupslistedabovethatwerenotpartofNokia’ssub-contractingnetwork,

four(Benefon,IOBox,SSHCommunications,andTecnoman)operatedinthe

communicationsspace.ThiswasnotananomalyasanalystsremarkedonFinland’sdeepby

narrowspecializationintelecommunications(Hyytinenetal.2006).Thisnarrowfocus

createdopportunities,mostnotablyformobilegamingenterprisessuchasRovioand

SupercellwhichcapitalizedonthegrowthofApple’snewiOSplatform(Cutler2013).But

bycedingleadershipinthedevelopmentof4Gtechnologiesandapplications,Nokia’s

strugglesdisruptedawidearrayofFinnishenterprises,includingthoseoutsideofits

subcontractingnetwork.

Finally,Nokiainfluencedpublicpolicyinwaysthatsystematicallydisadvantaged

Finnishentrepreneurs.Notsurprisingly,Nokia’sinfluenceoverFinnishinnovationpolicy

encouragedthenarrowpatternofspecializationdescribedabove.Asonefrustratedtech

executivesummarized,

There’ssomuchsupportforR&D,forinternationalizationandforotheractivities,butitisalwaysabouttelecoms.Imean,whatthehell?Whyisthat?It’sasiftelecomscompaniesaretheonlygrowth-oriented,hi-techfirmsinFinland.IwasatameetinginIndiaandabout60%ofthemeetingwasonlyabouttelecoms.Butthereareothercompaniesthatcouldprobablybenefit

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evenmorefromconnectionsinIndia(Interviewwithexecutive,non-telecommunicationsfirm,24October2005,Finland).

Thisbiastowardmobilecommunicationsmayexplainwhysomanyentrepreneursoutside

ofthetelecommunicationsindustrycriticizedtheFinnishFundingAgencyforTechnology

andInnovationasirrelevantorincompetent(Ornston2014).Fromtheperspectiveofan

aspiringentrepreneur,however,publicsupportclearlyincentivizedspecializationin

mobilecommunications.

Secondandmoreimportantly,Finnishinnovationpoliciesfocusedheavilyon

technologicaldevelopment(Leiponen2004:102).Newfirms,forexample,wereevaluated

onthetechnicalqualityoftheirproducersratherthantheircommercialviability(Interview

withdirector,Tekes,16June2016,Finland).Acolleagueconfirmed,“Tekeswasestablished

in1983andwasveryfocusedontechnology,technologywasinthename….Today,ahuge

amountoftroublecomesfrom1983wherewejustlookedatnewtechnology”(Interview

withdirector,Tekes,9June2016,Finland).ThismayhaveworkedforNokia,acentury-old

conglomeratewithsophisticatedlogisticalcapabilitiesandestablishedmarketingchannels

(Häikiö2002),butitdidnothelpinexperiencedstartups.Firstandsecondgeneration

entrepreneurshippoliciesinthe1980sand1990smobilizeventurefunding,butfocusedon

alleviatingcapitalshortagesratherthandeliveringadviceorsupportservices(Luukkonen

2006).Thisrelativeinattentiontocommercializationandmentoringwasexacerbatedby

thefactthatmanyofFinland’smostsuccessfulstartupswereoperatingwithinNokia’s

orbitratherthaninteractingdirectlywithconsumers.

Theseone-sidedinnovationpolicieschangedandchangedrapidlyfollowingNokia’s

collapse.Tekes’Vigoacceleratorprogram,launchedin2009,explicitlyfocusedon

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commercializationandmentorshipratherthantechnicaldevelopment,inspiring

policymakersinWaterloo(Interviewwithformerpolicymaker,23November2017,

Waterloo).Between2005and2012,Tekesfundingforstart-upstripledfrom40millionto

130millionEuro(Interviewwithdirector,Tekes,9June2016).Commentingonthechange,

adirectorremarked,

Ihavebeenhere[forroughlyadecade]andtheapplicationprocessatTekeshaschangedalot.Before,wewereprimarilyinterestedinthetechnology,hownewandpromisingthetechnologywas.Today,wehardlyfocusonthetechnologyatall.Thereneedstobeasolidbusinessmodelandmarketpotential.Thereisalotmoreattentiontocommercialization(interviewwithdirector,Tekes,16June2016)

Increasingsupportwasdriveninpartbyincreasingstudentinterestinentrepreneurship.

TheAaltoEntrepreneurshipSociety,establishedin2009,hostsitsownbusiness

acceleratorandhasorganizedSlush,Europe’slargeststart-upconference(Best2014;

Toivonen2014).Collectively,thesedevelopmentshavetransformedtheFinnishICT

ecosystem.Inthewordsofaveteranventurecapitalist,“[Adecadeago,]Isaweverysingle

startupinFinland,eithermeormyteam.NowI’mhappyifweseeoneinfiveoroneinten.

[Perhaps]we’vebecomealittlelazy,butsomuchishappening.Thestartupsceneis

sizzling”(interviewwithventurecapitalist,8June2016).Gaming,responsiblefor20%of

turnoverintheICTindustry(Neogames2014),hasgarneredthemostinternational

attention,butitispossibletoidentifypromisingenterprisesinamuchwiderrangeof

industriesthanthemorespecialized1990sor2000s(Interviewswithventurecapitalist,8

June2016,anddirector,Tekes,16June2016,Finland).

Whilethepost-NokiareinventionoftheFinnishICTindustryisimpressive,the

sectorfacesheadwinds.ICTemploymenthasnotregainedtheheightsitachievedunder

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26

Nokia.TheFinnishgamingindustry,forexample,employedonly2,750in2016.These

modestemploymentfiguresobscureamuchsteeperdeclineinoutput.Effortstoboost

employmentandproductivityarehamperedbytherelativeimmaturityofthesector.

Finlandhasrelativelyfewexperienced,serialentrepreneursandmanyofitsmost

successfulstartupsdevelopedunderNokia’swingratherthanindependentlydefining

markets,internationalizingandmanagingcustomers.WhileFinlandhasmadeprogresson

thisfront,thesedeficitsareparticularlystrikingwhenjuxtaposedwithWaterloo.

IncontrasttoNokia,BlackBerrydidnotconstructasuppliernetworkinWaterloo.

Asonetechnologyexecutivebluntlyobserved,“RIMwasverymuchorganizedandledasa

single,homogeneousentity.Itdidnothaveanecosystem,notinhardwareandnotin

software”(Interviewwithformerexecutive,technologyfirm,29November2017,

Waterloo).Asaresult,RIM’scollapsemayhaveimpactedcaterers,hoteliers,intellectual

propertylawyersandothergeneralserviceproviders,butitdidnotaffecttechnologyfirms

(Dingman2015).NorwerelocalfirmsparticularlyaffectedbytheriseoftheiOSandthe

Internet-enabledsmartphone.BecauseBlackBerrywaslessdominantwithinpolicymaking

circlesandlesshegemonicwithintheCanadianmedia,high-technologyentrepreneurship,

asmodestasitmayhavebeenduringthe1980sand1990s,waslesstightlycoupledto

telecommunicationsthaninFinland(Interviewwithprofessor,UniversityofWaterloo,24

November2017andformerexecutive,technologyfirm,29November2017,Waterloo).

ThismorediversifiedICTindustrybenefitedWaterloointwoways.First,theregion

couldrelyonasmallbutstableclusterofenterprisesexploitthetalentexitingBlackBerry.

Forexample,medium-sizedenterprisessuchasOpenText(4,000employees)inInternet

searchorDesire2Learn(1,000employees)ineducationwerenotadverselyaffectedby

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BlackBerry’scollapseorthedevelopmentoftheiPhone.Politiciansandtechnology

executivesdescribeacollectiveefforttoplaceBlackBerrytalentwithintheseenterprisesin

thewakeofthecrisis(Interviewwithformerpolitician,28November2017andformer

technologyexecutive29November2017,Waterloo).Theformerpolitician,above,claimed

thatCommunitechalonehad2,000openjobsattheheightofthecrisis.Thiswasonly

possiblewithinalesstightlyintegratedICTecosystem.

EstablishedenterprisescouldnothireallofthetalentthatleftWaterloo,butthey

deliveredasecondbenefit.BecausetheseenterpriseswerenotsupplyingBlackBerry,they

hadtosecuretheirownriskcapital,customersandmarketingchannels.Whereasthe

historicinattentiontomentoringanddearthofexperiencedmanagersisaliabilityinthe

Finnishinnovationsystem(Ornston2018),aspiringentrepreneursinWaterloocanturnto

awidevarietyofengagedentrepreneurswhoeffectivelybootstrappedtheirorganizations

withoutBlackBerry’ssupport.Indeed,newentrepreneursandindustryveteransdescribe

thesementoringnetworksasoneofthemostvaluableassetsintheregion(Interviewwith

partner,venturecapitalfund,22November2017,executive,high-technologyfirm,23

November2017,executive,technologyfirm,28November2017,andexecutive30

November2017).Toprovidejustoneillustrativeexample,

WhenIcametojointhefolksat[astartup],oneofthefirstthingsIdidwasasktojoinapeertopeergroupatCommunitechforchieffinancialofficers…Thethingthatstruckmewasthewaythecommunitywasopenandwillingtosharewitheachother.IcameinasanoutsiderandIhadpeopletoreachoutwithquestions.WhatdoIneedtodotogetSREDcredits?Whoisthebestpersontogoto?Whatshouldmyoptionplanlooklike?….Thatmentorshiphascarriedontothisday.Tenyearsago,[Iknew]thatifIhadastart-upIcouldsendthemsomewhereformentorship(Interviewwithformertechandventurecapitalemployee,23November2017,Waterloo).7

7 TheFinnishgamingindustrymayrepresenttheexceptionwhichprovestherule.WhileseveralgamingfirmsdeliveredproductstoNokia,thetight-knitcommunityformeditsownnetworkwithintheFinnish

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Publicpolicyreinforcedthesestrengths.WhereasNokiareorientedFinnishinnovation

policiestowardtechnicaldevelopment,thecreativetensionbetweenBlackBerryand

Communitechenabledthelatterorganizationtoprioritizetheneedsofsmallandmedium-

sizedenterprisesasearlyasthe1990s(Interviewswithpartner,venturecapitalfirm,22

November2017andexecutive,technologyfirm,30November2017,Waterloo).While

Finlandsuccessfullyorienteditsinnovationpoliciesin2009,thisinfrastructurewasmore

fullydevelopedinWaterloo.Manyremainconcernedaboutthescarcityofsenior

managerialtalent,especiallyinmarketing(Interviewwithformerventurecapitalist,23

November2017)buttherearealsodissentingvoices(Interviewswithprofessor,

UniversityofWaterloo23November2017andformeremployee,technologyfirm,24

November2017)andthesedeficitswereneveraspronouncedinFinland.Asaresult,

Waterloo-basedentrepreneurscouldhitthegroundrunning,whereastheirFinnish

counterpartsfacedthemoredauntingtaskofconstructinganentrepreneurialecosystem

fromscratch.Thiswaslessafunctionoflong-standinginstitutionaldifferencesbetween

thetwocommunitiesthanNokia’soutsizedrolewithintheFinnishinnovationsystemand

BlackBerry’smorealoofposture.

Conclusions

WhilethiscomparativestudyofFinlandandWaterloosuggeststhattheintegration

offlagshipfirmsisfraughtwithperil,skepticsmayquestionthedecisiontocomparea

region(Waterloo)withanation-state(Finland).Thereareseveralwaystoaddressthis innovationsystemandconstructedstrikinglysimilarpeer-to-peermentoringnetworksamongotherwiseindependententerprises(Ornston2018).

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concern.WecouldpointtoparalleldevelopmentswithinspecificFinnishcommunities,

mostnotablyOulu,whichcloselyresemblesWaterlooinsize(200,000),itsyouthful

demographics,thepresenceofanentrepreneurialengineeringuniversity,anditsrecent

butstrikingspecializationinICT.LikeFinlandasawhole,regionalstartupsgravitated

towardtelecommunicationsandNokiainparticular(Interviewwithventurecapitalist8

June2012,Finland).Whilestartupactivityhassurgedsince2010,theregionwashard-hit

byNokia’sdecline.

BecauseOuluwasinfluencedbythesame,national-levelinfluencesthat

characterizeFinlandasawhole,however,itwouldbemoreinsightfultocompare

BlackBerrytoadeeplyintegratedflagshipfirmwithinCanada.Nortel,whichdominatedthe

localICTecosysteminOttawa,providesausefulcounterpoint,althoughthereare

opportunitycostsincomparingthetwofirms.UnlikeNokia,Nortelwasheavilyfocusedon

networkequipmentanddeclinedafulldecadeearlierthanBlackBerry.Theenterprise,

however,moreembeddedwithinitslocalcommunitythanNokiaeverwas.Incontrastto

BlackBerry,theflagshipemergedasadefactomemberongovernmentcommitteesduring

the1990s(Interviewwithprofessor,22November2017,Waterloo).Theenterprisewas

alsomoretightlyconnectedtolocalICTenterprises.ContrastingCommunitech,whichwas

inspiredbytheOttawa-CarletonResearchInstitute,aveterannoted,

Ifyoulookaround[Communitech],wehadadjacencies,butnotdirectinvolvement.Itmighthavebeenpennies,buttherestoftheecosystemwasnottightlycoupled…TheOttawaecosystemwasavibrantecosystemthathadasitsconsistentcomponentsNortel,Mytel,NewbridgeNetworksandwhatwasinterestingisthatyoufindthehallmarkofaNokiaecosysteminthattheywerealltelecommunications.TheywerealltightlycoupledtoeachotherandwhenNortelwentdown,theyallwentdown(InterviewwithformerCommunitechboardmember,29November,2017,Waterloo).

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LikeFinland,Nortel’sdominancedisadvantagedtheregionintwoways.Inadditionto

Nortel’ssubcontractingnetwork,Nortel’ssuccessandpolicyinitiativesguidedindependent

enterprisesintotelecommunications.Asaresult,thesameforcesthataffectedNortel,

overinvestmentintelecommunicationsnetworks,affectedtheentireindustry(Interview

withformerCommunitechboardmember,29November,2017,Waterloo).

LikeFinland,Nortel’sdeclinewasnotadeathsentence.TheICTecosystem

recoveredandonecouldarguethatOttawahostsahealthierandmoresustainable

technologyclustertoday(Creutzbergetal.2017).Noneofthecasestudiesinthispaper

supportabroad-basedcritiqueofflagshipfirms.Inadditiontodrivingeconomicgrowth

anddeliveringawidevarietyofcollectivegoodswhentheyprosper,flagshipfirmscanseed

adiverseandvibrantecosystemwhentheycollapse.Thenatureofthistransition,however,

variesgreatly.InFinlandandOttawa,theshort-termeffectsofflagshipcollapsewere

catastrophic,triggeringdeepandprotracteddownturnsinbothICTindustries.Bycontrast,

theconsequencesofBlackBerry’sdecline,whilepainfulformanyindividuals,were

surprisinglyshallowandshort-lived.

Comparativeanalysissuggeststhatthisdivergencehaslesstodowiththeflagship

firmsthemselvesthanthewaytheyareembeddedwithinthelocalcommunity.Deeper

integrationmayfacilitateinvestmentinmoresophisticatedcollectivegoodsanddrive

knowledgespillovers,butitgreatlyincreasesvulnerabilitytodisruptiveshocks.Thepolicy

implicationsareclear.Whileembeddingcandeliverformidablebenefits,networking

initiatives,likeCommunitechinWaterloo,shouldfocusondevelopingcollaborationamong

smallerandmedium-sizedenterprisesratherthanconnectingthemtoaflagshipsuchas

NokiaorNortel.Thismayseemobvious,butitisanimportantandoft-overlooked

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31

counterpointtotheemphasisonachievinggreaterscaleandcoordinationwithinnational

innovationsystems,includingCanada’s(Nicholson2016).

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