What's New in WHO Policy Guidance

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    The global burden of tuberculosisProgress, challenges, strategyand opportunities beyond 2015

    Barcelona

    27 October 2014

    Dr Mario RAVIGLIONEDirector

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    TB Basics

    Burden, Progress, Challenges

    Way Forward

    This talk will deal with

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    Tuberculosis (TB) is one of

    the oldest diseases of

    humans

    Second greatest infectious

    killer after HIV/AIDS

    TB is also one of the top

    killers of women worldwide

    TB is curable, if properly

    treated

    If untreated, TB may befatal

    One third of world has

    latent TB infection

    Tuberculosis: basics

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    TextTB is airborne

    BacteriumMycobacterium

    TB usually affects the lungs, although other

    organs are involved in 15-30% of cases

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    TB linked to HIV infection, malnutrition,alcohol, drug and tobacco use, diabetes

    Migrants, prisoners, minorities,

    refugees face risks, discrimination

    & barriers to care

    510,000 women and 80,000children die of TB each

    year; 10 million TB

    orphans

    TB spreads in poor, crowded & poorly

    ventilated settings

    Who carries the burden of tuberculosis?

    mostly, the most vulnerable

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    Estimated numberof cases

    Estimated numberof deaths

    1.5 million*

    80.000 in children 510.000 in women

    9million126 per 100,000

    550,000 in children 3.3 m in women

    480,000

    All forms of TB

    Multidrug-resistant TB

    HIV-associated TB 1.1 million (13%) 360,000

    Source: WHO Global TB Report 2014 * Including deaths attributed to HIV/TB

    The Global Burden of TB - 2013

    210,000

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    South-East Asia

    37%

    Western Pacific18%

    Africa29%

    E. Mediterranean8%

    Europe4%

    Americas

    3%

    35% in India + China

    24% in India

    Ref:GlobalTBControlReport2014

    Estimated TB incidence rate, 2013

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    TB cases and deaths in slow decline, 1990-2013

    Total mortality peaked in 2002 at 1.7 million

    1.5 million in 2013

    Incidence peaked at 9.5 million in 2004

    9 million in 2013

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    Incidence falling

    slowly (1.5%/yr):2015 MDG on track

    Reductionin TB mortality rate

    45% since 1990

    37 million lives saved since 2000

    4.8 million lives savedsince 2005 through

    TB/HIV collaborative

    activities

    86% cure rate

    61 million patients cured,

    1995-2013

    Global progress on impact - 2013

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    Challenges: Priorities for action 2014

    5 PRIORITIES FOR ACTION

    Reaching the missed cases

    (3 million not in the system)

    Address MDR-TB as crisis

    Accelerate response to TB/HIV

    Increase financing to close

    resource gaps

    Intensify research and ensure

    rapid uptake of innovations

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    Reaching the "missed" cases(nearly 3 million not diagnosed or reported)

    Ref: Global TB Control Report 2013

    Share of total missed cases

    10 countries account for 74% (2.4 million) of theestimated missed cases globally

    9 million estimated

    6 million notified

    Estimated incidence

    Global notifications

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    Ref:GlobalTBControlReport2014

    Accelerate response to TB/HIV

    Estimated HIV prevalence in new TB cases, 2013

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    Address MDR-TB as a crisis:Percentage of new TB cases with MDR-TB

    Ref:GlobalTBControlReport2014

    India, China, Russia, Pakistan and Ukraine

    have 60% of all MDR-TB cases

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    GLOBAL TB

    PROGRAMME

    The status of the MDR-TB response

    THERE IS SIGNIFICANT PROGRESS IN MDR-TB DETECTION BUT

    TREATMENT CHALLENGES COMPROMISE GAINS

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    GLOBAL TB

    PROGRAMME

    Five priority actions to address the global MDR-TB crisis

    ACTIONS NEEDED ON ALL FRONTS FROM PREVENTION TO CURE

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    GLOBAL TB

    PROGRAMME

    67thWorld Health Assembly, Geneva, May 2014

    based on a call from member states in 2012

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    GLOBAL TB

    PROGRAMME

    Target 1

    95% reduction in

    deaths due to TB

    (compared with

    2015)

    Target 2

    90% reduction in TB

    incidence rate

    (compared with

    2015)

    Target 3

    No affected

    families face

    catastrophic

    costs due to TB

    Vision: A world free of TB

    Zero TB deaths, Zero TB disease, and Zero TB suffering

    Goal: End the Global TB epidemic (

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    GLOBAL TB

    PROGRAMME

    Integrated,

    patient-

    centered

    TB care

    and

    prevention

    Bold

    policies and

    supportive

    systems

    Intensified

    research

    and

    innovation

    The End TB Strategy: 3 pillars and 4 Principles

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    GLOBAL TB

    PROGRAMME

    Adapting the End-TB Strategy for

    low TB incidence countries

    Countries with < 10/100,000 TB cases/year, notified all forms cases & > 300k population

    Other countries progressing rapidly or with potential to consider elimination in the future

    Ref:GlobalTBControlReport2013

    Estimated incidence, new TB cases/year: 155,000

    Notified cases/year: 131,000(among women: 50,000; among children: 5,000)

    TB deaths/year: 10,000 (30 deaths a day)

    Estimated new TB/HIV cases/year: 4,000

    Notified MDR-TB cases/year: 567

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    GLOBAL TB

    PROGRAMME

    Targets

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    GLOBAL TB

    PROGRAMME

    Challenges for TB elimination

    in low-incidence countries

    TB concentrated in vulnerable and high-risk groups

    Recent transmission vs. reactivation

    Cross-border migration

    Dwindling political commitment and visibility

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    GLOBAL TB

    PROGRAMME

    ACTION FRAMEWORK8 priorities for elimination in low-incidence countries

    Invest in

    research

    and new tools

    Optimize the

    prevention and care

    of drug-resistant TB

    Address specialneeds of migrantsand cross-border

    issues

    Address the mostvulnerable and hard-

    to-reach groups

    Support global

    TB prevention, care

    and control

    Ensure continued

    surveillance,programme

    monitoring &evaluation, and case-

    based datamanagement

    Undertake

    screening for active

    TB and latent TB infection

    in TB contacts and

    selected high-risk groups,

    and provide appropriate

    treatment

    Ensure political

    commitment, funding

    and stewardship for

    planning and

    essential services

    of high quality

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    GLOBAL TB

    PROGRAMME

    Reaching the targets:Research and development crucial

    Optimize current tools,pursue universal health

    coverage and social

    protection

    Introduce new tools: a vaccine,

    a new prophylaxis & treatment

    regimen, a PoC test

    Average

    -10%/year

    by 2025

    -5%/year

    Current global trend: -2%/year

    Average

    -17%/year

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    GLOBAL TB

    PROGRAMME

    Political commitment needs to bebacked by financing to end the TB epidemic

    $2 billion

    Funding gap

    $8 billion funding required for TB prevention,

    diagnosis and treatment

    $2 billion funding required research

    and development

    $1.32 billion

    Funding gap

    TAG TB R&D report 2014

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    GLOBAL TB

    PROGRAMME

    Role of Members of Parliament to support theglobal and national vision to END TB

    Create national parliamentary groups, fora and caucus to promote the cause inyour country

    Ensure support to Ministers of Health in the adoption and adaptation of the new

    End TB Strategy and related elimination targets

    Advocate for inclusion of TB support and resources in the main national and

    international agendas of your country; prioritize high-quality TB care, social

    protection and UHC initiatives that are TB-sensitive, and research investments

    Establish links with those responsible for the post-2015 global development

    agendaand promote specific wording, targets, indicators for TB as part of the

    future "sustainable development" goals

    Advocate for much increased investmentson TB control and elimination by

    financial institutions (e.g., World Bank, Global Fund, UNITAID) to ensure sufficient

    international funding in support of the poorest countries

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    GLOBAL TB

    Many thanks

    to all!