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Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and slope from two decades of observations off Newport Oregon, USA Jennifer L. Fisher 1 , Bill Peterson 2 , Hongsheng Bi 3 , Brandon Chasco 2 1 Cooperative Institute for Marine Resources Studies, Oregon State University, Newport, OR , USA 2 NOAA, Northwest Fisheries Science Center, Hatfield Marine Science Center, Newport, OR, USA 3 University of Maryland, Center for Environmental Science, USA

Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and … · Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and slope from two decades of observations off Newport

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Page 1: Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and … · Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and slope from two decades of observations off Newport

Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and slope from two decades of observations off

Newport Oregon, USA

Jennifer L. Fisher1, Bill Peterson2, Hongsheng Bi3, Brandon Chasco2 1Cooperative Institute for Marine Resources Studies, Oregon State University, Newport, OR , USA

2NOAA, Northwest Fisheries Science Center, Hatfield Marine Science Center, Newport, OR, USA 3University of Maryland, Center for Environmental Science, USA

Page 2: Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and … · Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and slope from two decades of observations off Newport

Our study region is influenced by large-scale and local physical forcing

Alaska

BritishColumbia

U.S.A.

Alaska

BritishColumbia

U.S.A.Local Conditions Upwelling Coastal currents

ENSO

PDO NPGO

Page 3: Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and … · Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and slope from two decades of observations off Newport

North America

Upwelling regions are particularly susceptible to ocean acidification as upwelling delivers CO2-rich water

onto the continental shelf

From the Seattle Times- Mark Nowlin

Page 4: Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and … · Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and slope from two decades of observations off Newport

Upwelling regions have reduced habitat with respect to aragonite saturation

• High CO2 water that upwells onto the shelf has a low saturation value with respect to aragonite (Ωar)

• When Ωar <1 the water is undersaturated (or corrosive) and marine organisms with CaCO3 shells are susceptible to dissolution

From Feely et al. 2008

Page 5: Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and … · Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and slope from two decades of observations off Newport

The fraction of water column that is corrosive has increased since the pre-industrial era

From Bednarsek at al. 2014

Page 6: Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and … · Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and slope from two decades of observations off Newport

Severe shell dissolution was observed in regions with corrosive water

From Bednarsek at al. 2014

Shelf

Slope

Page 7: Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and … · Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and slope from two decades of observations off Newport

Objectives of this study 1. Determine the seasonal and

inter-annual patterns of aragonite saturation and Limacina sp. on the shelf and slope

2. Investigate whether patterns in Limacina sp. abundance are correlated with aragonite saturation or other environmental parameters

3. Develop a model with a suite of environmental parameters that best characterize changes in Limacina sp. abundance

Page 8: Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and … · Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and slope from two decades of observations off Newport

Methods

Newport Hydrographic

Line

Washington

Oregon

Columbia River

Cape Blanco

NH-25 300 m

NH-5 60 m

• Newport Hydrographic Line • Sampled biweekly/monthly 1996-

present • 2 stations

• Shelf- NH-5 (60 m) • Slope NH-25 (300 m)

• Pteropod collections • Limacina helicina • ½ m vertical net (202-um) • upper 100 m or 2 m off the bottom

• Aragonite saturation • Derived from CTD- temperature and

oxygen (Juranek et al. 2009) • 2006 – present (most consistent)

• Time series analysis and GLM • Determine seasonal and long term

trends (decompose in R) • Quantify effect of environmental

variables on pteropod density

Page 9: Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and … · Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and slope from two decades of observations off Newport

Summer upwelling stronger on the shelf compared to the slope

Upper 100 m temperature slope- NH-25

Month

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

deg

C

8

9

10

11

Water column (60 m) temperature shelf- NH-5

Month

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

deg

C

8

9

10

11Slope station Shelf station

Page 10: Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and … · Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and slope from two decades of observations off Newport

Slope station

Shelf station

More suitable habitat on the slope compared to the shelf

Page 11: Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and … · Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and slope from two decades of observations off Newport

More suitable pteropod habitat on the slope compared to the shelf

Limacina helicina density- slope (NH-25)

Month1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Den

sity

(no.

m-3

± 1

SE

)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60Limacina helicina density- shelf (NH-5)

Month1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Den

sity

(no.

m-3

± 1

SE

)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Percent of upper 100 m corrosive- slope (NH-25)

Month1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

unde

rsat

urat

ed w

ater

(%)

0

20

40

60

80Slope station

Percent of water column (60 m) corrosive- shelf (NH-5)

Month1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

unde

rsat

urat

ed w

ater

(%)

0

20

40

60

80Shelf station

Page 12: Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and … · Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and slope from two decades of observations off Newport

Percent of water column (60 m) corrosive- shelf (NH-5)

Month1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

unde

rsat

urat

ed w

ater

(%)

0

20

40

60

80

100

Percent of upper 100 m corrosive- slope (NH-25)

Month1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

unde

rsat

urat

ed w

ater

(%)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Patterns of undersaturated water consistent between 2011 (Bednarsek

et al. 2014) and present study

During peak period of undersaturation % individuals encountering sever dissolution:

Shelf = 75% Slope = 25%

From Bednarsek at al. 2014

Page 13: Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and … · Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and slope from two decades of observations off Newport

Long term trends in Limacina helicina

Shelf- NH-5

Year

96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18

Log1

0 de

nsity

no.

/m3

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

Slope- NH-25

Year

96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18

Log1

0 de

nsity

no.

/m3

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

Page 14: Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and … · Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and slope from two decades of observations off Newport

Shelf- NH-5

Year

96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18

Log1

0 de

nsity

no.

/m3

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

Slope- NH-25

Year

96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18

Log1

0 de

nsity

no.

/m3

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0Slope- NH-25

Year

96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18

Log1

0 de

nsity

no.

/m3

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

Tren

d

0.00.20.40.60.81.01.21.4

Shelf- NH-5

Year

96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18

Log1

0 de

nsity

no.

/m3

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

Tren

d

0.00.20.40.60.81.01.21.4

Long term trends in Limacina helicina

Page 15: Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and … · Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and slope from two decades of observations off Newport

Slope- NH-25

Year

96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18

Tren

d Li

mac

ina

no. /

m3

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

Shelf- NH-5

Year

96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18

Tren

d Li

mac

ina

no. /

m3

0.00.20.40.60.81.01.21.4

Long term trends in Limacina helicina

Page 16: Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and … · Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and slope from two decades of observations off Newport

Slope- NH-25

Year

96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18

Tren

d Li

mac

ina

no. /

m3

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

% u

nder

satu

rate

d

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Long term trends in Limacina sp. on the slope correlated with % of water column undersaturated

Slope- NH-25

Year

96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18

Tren

d Li

mac

ina

no. /

m3

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

% u

nder

satu

rate

d

0

5

10

15

20

25

30% undersaturated

r = -0.43 +7 mo. lag

Slope- NH-25

Year

96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18

Tren

d Li

mac

ina

no. /

m3

0.00.20.40.60.81.01.21.4

NPG

O

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

NPGO r = -0.33 0 mo. lag

NPGO is correlated to upwelling source waters in this region (JO Peterson et al. 2013)

Page 17: Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and … · Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and slope from two decades of observations off Newport

Shelf- NH-5

Year

96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18

Tren

d Li

mac

ina

no. /

m3

0.00.20.40.60.81.01.21.4

% u

nder

satu

rate

d

0

10

20

30

40

50

Long term trends in Limacina sp. on the shelf variable and not correlated with aragonite or NPGO

Shelf- NH-5

Year

96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18

Tren

d Li

mac

ina

no. /

m3

0.00.20.40.60.81.01.21.4

NPG

O

-4-3-2-10123

Page 18: Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and … · Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and slope from two decades of observations off Newport

Generalized Linear Model preliminary results

working towards zero-inflated model

Slope- NH-25 Shelf- NH-5

Effect

Year * *

Month * *

% water Ω<1 * *

NPGO * *

PDO -- --

ONI -- --

Page 19: Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and … · Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and slope from two decades of observations off Newport

Limacina sp. decreases rapidly in response to the fraction of the water column that is corrosive

Page 20: Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and … · Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and slope from two decades of observations off Newport

Limacina sp. decreases rapidly in response to the fraction of the water column that is corrosive

Page 21: Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and … · Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and slope from two decades of observations off Newport

Summary- nearshore • Shelf dominated (80%) by

corrosive water seasonally creating habitat unsuitable for Limacina sp.

• Limacina sp. abundance drops dramatically when the shelf waters are most corrosive

• Long term trends in Limacina sp. abundance not correlated with other variables

Page 22: Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and … · Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and slope from two decades of observations off Newport

• Suitable habitat available during most of the year, with corrosive water occupying 30% of the upper 100 m during July - Oct

• Limacina sp. abundance peaks in May when the water is not corrosive

• Long term trends in pteropod abundance are correlated with the % of the water column undersaturated and with the NPGO

Summary- offshore

Page 23: Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and … · Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and slope from two decades of observations off Newport

• Limacina sp. do not appear to be declining over the 20-year time series

• However, Limacina sp. abundance appears to be strongly influenced by the fraction of the water column that is corrosive

• Future ocean conditions with increased corrosivity will reduce pteropod habitat and likely lead to declines

Conclusions

Page 24: Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and … · Variable patterns in pteropod abundance between the shelf and slope from two decades of observations off Newport

Acknowledgements Samantha Zeman, Kym Jacobson, Cheryl Morgan, Jay Peterson, Leah Feinberg,

Tracy Shaw, Jennifer Menkel, Jesse F. Lamb, Toby Auth, Julie Keister, Aaron Chappell, Bobby Ireland, Thomas Murphy, Ryan Rykaczewski, Rian Hooff,

Ramiro Riquelmo, Jaime Gomez, Mitch Vance, Hui Lui