9
Usefulness of an Echocardiographic Composite Cardiac Calcium Score to Predict Death in Patients With Stable Coronary Artery Disease (from the Heart and Soul Study) Sandeep A. Saha, MD a, *, Alexis L. Beatty, MD b , Rakesh K. Mishra, MD c,d , Mary A. Whooley, MD c,d,e , and Nelson B. Schiller, MD c,d Mitral annular calcium and aortic valve sclerosis on transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) are independently associated with cardiovascular (CV) events in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD). However, the prognostic value of calcic deposits at multiple sites is unknown. We performed TTEs in a prospective cohort of 595 outpatients with stable CAD and graded the severity of calcic deposition at 6 sites: mitral annulus, aortic valve, aortic ring, sinotubular junction, papillary muscle tip, and left main coronary artery. For each site with moderate calcic deposition or greater, 1 point was given to generate a composite cardiac calcium score (maximum of 6). The primary end point was the occurrence of CV eventsa composite of death, myocardial infarction, stroke, transient ischemic attack, and heart failure. The association of the composite calcium score with CV events was evaluated using multivariate Cox proportional hazards models. Over a median follow-up of 4.2 years, 205 CV events occurred. Participants with a composite calcium score 2 had a higher risk of CV events (11.1 events/100 person-years) than those with a score of 0 (5.5 events/100 person- years, unadjusted hazard ratio [HR] 2.01, p <0.001), but this association was not signicant after multivariate adjustment. The risk of death was higher in participants with a composite calcium score of 2 (8.9 events/100 person-years) versus those with a score of 0 (3.6 events/ 100 person-years, unadjusted HR 2.51, p <0.001). After adjustment for age, diabetes mellitus, previous coronary revascularization, diastolic blood pressure, estimated glomerular ltration rate, and serum phosphorus level, the risk of death remained higher in participants with a composite calcium score of 2 compared with those with a score of 0 (adjusted HR 1.76, 95% condence interval 1.10 to 2.81, p [ 0.02). In conclusion, a simple TTE-derived composite cardiac calcium score was independently predictive of death in patients with pre-existing CAD. Ó 2015 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. (Am J Cardiol 2015;116:50e58) The presence of calcium deposits in the cardiovascular (CV) system has been associated with the presence of atherosclerotic disease in autopsy studies 1 and population- based cohort studies. 2e4 Two-dimensional (2D) trans- thoracic echocardiography (TTE) is able to detect calcic deposits at several discrete sites within the heart, epicardial coronary arteries, and great vessels. Other imaging tech- niques such as transesophageal echocardiography (TEE) and cardiac computed tomography (CT) to study cardiac calci- cation are limited because of the invasive nature and anesthetic and procedural risks in the case of TEEs and exposure to ionizing radiation and high cost in the case of CT. 5,6 Mitral annular calcication (MAC) is associated with CV events, cardiac mortality, and all-cause mortality independent of traditional CV risk factors. 7e12 Similarly, aortic valve sclerosis is associated with the presence of coronary artery disease (CAD) and elevated risk of CV morbidity and mortality. 3,4,13e15 TTE studies enable detec- tion of calcic deposits at other sites, including the aortic root, sinotubular junction, tips of the papillary muscles, and the proximal coronary arteries. 16 In the present study, we developed a composite cardiac calcium score that grades the presence and severity of calcic deposition at 6 discrete sites as seen on conventional 2D TTE. The 6 sites chosen to develop this composite cardiac calcium score are mitral valve annulus, aortic valve annulus, aortic ring/root (dened as the portion between the aortic valve annulus and the sinuses of Valsalva), sinotubular junction, papillary muscle tip, and left main coronary artery. We then estimated the prognostic value of this composite cardiac calcium score for the prediction of CV events in patients with established CAD enrolled in the Heart and Soul Study. Methods The Heart and Soul Study is a prospective cohort study of outpatients with stable CAD. The enrollment process for the Heart and Soul Study has been previously described. 17 We used administrative a Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Rush University Medical Center, Chicago, Illinois; b Division of Cardiology, University of Washington and Veterans Affairs Puget Sound Health Care System, Seattle, Washington; c VeteransAffairs Medical Center, San Francisco, California; and d Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine and e Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco, California. Manuscript received February 24, 2015; revised manuscript received and accepted March 19, 2015. See page 57 for disclosure information. *Corresponding author: Tel: (312) 942-8771; fax: (312) 942-5829. E-mail address: [email protected] (S.A. Saha). 0002-9149/15/$ - see front matter Ó 2015 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. www.ajconline.org http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.amjcard.2015.03.041

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aDivisiMedical CWashingtoWashingtoand dDivisEpidemioloCalifornia.received an

See pa*CorreE-mail

0002-9149http://dx.do

Usefulness of an Echocardiographic Composite CardiacCalcium Score to Predict Death in Patients With Stable

Coronary Artery Disease (from the Heart and Soul Study)

Sandeep A. Saha, MDa,*, Alexis L. Beatty, MDb, Rakesh K. Mishra, MDc,d, Mary A. Whooley, MDc,d,e,and Nelson B. Schiller, MDc,d

Mitral annular calcium and aortic valve sclerosis on transthoracic echocardiography (TTE)

on of Center, Cn and Vn; cVeteion of Cgy andManusd accege 57 fospondinaddres

/15/$ -i.org/1

are independently associated with cardiovascular (CV) events in patients with coronaryartery disease (CAD). However, the prognostic value of calcific deposits at multiple sites isunknown. We performed TTEs in a prospective cohort of 595 outpatients with stable CADand graded the severity of calcific deposition at 6 sites: mitral annulus, aortic valve, aorticring, sinotubular junction, papillary muscle tip, and left main coronary artery. For each sitewith moderate calcific deposition or greater, 1 point was given to generate a compositecardiac calcium score (maximum of 6). The primary end point was the occurrence of CVevents—a composite of death, myocardial infarction, stroke, transient ischemic attack, andheart failure. The association of the composite calcium score with CV events was evaluatedusing multivariate Cox proportional hazards models. Over a median follow-up of 4.2 years,205 CV events occurred. Participants with a composite calcium score ‡2 had a higher risk ofCV events (11.1 events/100 person-years) than those with a score of 0 (5.5 events/100 person-years, unadjusted hazard ratio [HR] 2.01, p <0.001), but this association was not significantafter multivariate adjustment. The risk of death was higher in participants with a compositecalcium score of ‡2 (8.9 events/100 person-years) versus those with a score of 0 (3.6 events/100 person-years, unadjusted HR 2.51, p <0.001). After adjustment for age, diabetes mellitus,previous coronary revascularization, diastolic blood pressure, estimated glomerular filtrationrate, and serum phosphorus level, the risk of death remained higher in participants with acomposite calcium score of ‡2 compared with those with a score of 0 (adjusted HR 1.76, 95%confidence interval 1.10 to 2.81, p [ 0.02). In conclusion, a simple TTE-derived compositecardiac calcium score was independently predictive of death in patients with pre-existingCAD. � 2015 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. (Am J Cardiol 2015;116:50e58)

The presence of calcium deposits in the cardiovascular(CV) system has been associated with the presence ofatherosclerotic disease in autopsy studies1 and population-based cohort studies.2e4 Two-dimensional (2D) trans-thoracic echocardiography (TTE) is able to detect calcificdeposits at several discrete sites within the heart, epicardialcoronary arteries, and great vessels. Other imaging tech-niques such as transesophageal echocardiography (TEE) andcardiac computed tomography (CT) to study cardiac calci-fication are limited because of the invasive nature andanesthetic and procedural risks in the case of TEEs andexposure to ionizing radiation and high cost in the case ofCT.5,6 Mitral annular calcification (MAC) is associated with

ardiology, Department of Medicine, Rush Universityhicago, Illinois; bDivision of Cardiology, University ofeterans Affairs Puget Sound Health Care System, Seattle,rans’ Affairs Medical Center, San Francisco, California;ardiology, Department of Medicine and eDepartment ofBiostatistics, University of California, San Francisco,cript received February 24, 2015; revised manuscriptpted March 19, 2015.r disclosure information.g author: Tel: (312) 942-8771; fax: (312) 942-5829.s: [email protected] (S.A. Saha).

see front matter � 2015 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.0.1016/j.amjcard.2015.03.041

CV events, cardiac mortality, and all-cause mortalityindependent of traditional CV risk factors.7e12 Similarly,aortic valve sclerosis is associated with the presence ofcoronary artery disease (CAD) and elevated risk of CVmorbidity and mortality.3,4,13e15 TTE studies enable detec-tion of calcific deposits at other sites, including the aorticroot, sinotubular junction, tips of the papillary muscles, andthe proximal coronary arteries.16 In the present study, wedeveloped a composite cardiac calcium score that grades thepresence and severity of calcific deposition at 6 discrete sitesas seen on conventional 2D TTE. The 6 sites chosen todevelop this composite cardiac calcium score are mitralvalve annulus, aortic valve annulus, aortic ring/root (definedas the portion between the aortic valve annulus and thesinuses of Valsalva), sinotubular junction, papillary muscletip, and left main coronary artery. We then estimated theprognostic value of this composite cardiac calcium score forthe prediction of CV events in patients with establishedCAD enrolled in the Heart and Soul Study.

Methods

The Heart and Soul Study is a prospective cohort studyof outpatients with stable CAD.

The enrollment process for the Heart and Soul Studyhas been previously described.17 We used administrative

www.ajconline.org

Table

1Descriptio

nof

thecompo

site

cardiaccalcium

score

Site

(Views)

Severity

ofcalcificdepositio

n

Mild

Moderate

Severe

Mitral

annulus(PSAX)

Calcificdepositslim

itedto

postero-medial

term

inus

ofposteriormitral

annulus

Non

-contig

uous

calcificdepositson

thepostero-medialand

antero-lateral

term

iniof

theposteriormitral

annulus

Con

tiguous

calcificdepositsextendingfrom

the

lateralto

medialterm

iniof

theposteriormitral

annulus

Aortic

valve(PLAX,PSAX)

Focal

calcificdepositson

oneor

more

leafletswith

outleaflet

restriction

Non

-contig

uous

calcificdepo

sitson

oneor

more

leafletswith

norestrictionor

mild

restriction

Con

tiguous

calcificdepositson

oneor

more

leafletswith

anydegree

ofleaflet

restriction

Aortic

Root(PSAX)

Calcificdepositslim

itedto

anterior

orpo

steriorbo

rder

oftheaortic

ring

Non

-con

tiguous

calcificdepo

sitson

both

anterior

andposteriorbordersof

theaortic

ring

Con

tiguous

calcificdepositsof

theentire

aortic

ring

(circumferentialinvolvem

ent)

Sino-tubu

larjunctio

n(PLAX)

Focal

calcificdepo

sitson

oneor

both

sino

-tub

ular

junctio

nsCalcificdepositson

both

sino

-tub

ular

junctio

nswith

nointrusioninto

theaortic

lumen

Calcificdepo

sitson

both

sino

-tub

ular

junctio

nswith

nointrusioninto

theaortic

lumen

Papillarymuscletip

(PSAX,A2C

,A4C

)Calcificdepo

sitson

one(usually

postero-medial)papillary

muscletip

Calcificdepositson

both

papillary

muscletip

sbutnotextendinginto

thechordalapparatus

Calcificdepositson

both

papillary

muscle

tipswith

extensioninto

thechordalapparatus

Leftmaincoronary

artery

(PSAX,PLAX)

Focal

calcificdepo

sitson

oneor

both

wallsof

theleftmaincoronary

artery

Linear,no

n-contiguo

usinvo

lvem

ent

of<1cm

ofon

eor

both

walls

Linear,contiguo

usinvo

lvem

ent

of>1cm

ofbo

thwalls

PLAX

¼parasternallong

-axisview

;PSAX

¼parasternalshortaxisview

;A2C

¼apical

2-cham

berview

;A4C

¼apical

4-cham

berview

.

Coronary Artery Disease/Composite Cardiac Calcium Score by Echocardiography in CAD 51

databases to identify outpatients with documented CAD at 2departments of the Veterans Affairs (San Francisco and PaloAlto, California), the University of California, San Fran-cisco, and 9 public health clinics from the CommunityHealth Network of San Francisco.

Participants were eligible to participate if they met 1 ofthe following1: history of myocardial infarction,2 angio-graphic evidence of �50% stenosis by area in �1 coronaryvessel,3 evidence of exercise-induced ischemia by treadmillelectrocardiogram or stress nuclear perfusion imaging,4

history of coronary revascularization,5 or a previous diag-nosis of CAD by an internist or a cardiologist. Subjects wereexcluded if they had a myocardial infarction within theprevious 6 months, deemed themselves unable to walk 1block, or were planning to move out of the local area within3 years. From September 2000 to December 2002, 1,024study participants provided informed consent and completedbaseline echocardiographic and laboratory testing. Thisincluded 549 subjects (54%) with a history of myocardialinfarction, 237 (23%) with a history of revascularization butnot myocardial infarction, and 238 (23%) with a diagnosisof CAD that was documented by their physician (based on apositive angiogram or treadmill test in 98% of cases). Theinstitutional review board at each enrolling center approvedthe study protocol, and all participants provided writteninformed consent.

Of the 1,024 participants who completed the baselineexamination, a total of 595 participants underwent a repeatechocardiographic examination 5 years after enrollment,comprising the analytical cohort for this study. At the 5-yearfollow-up visit, the 595 participants completed an exami-nation that included an interview, fasting blood draw,questionnaire, and TTE. A complete 2D TTE at rest wasobtained in all patients using an Acuson Sequoia UltrasoundSystem and a 3.5-MHz transducer (Siemens Medical Solu-tions, Mountain View, California). All standard views wereobtained during quiet respiration. Two highly experiencedsonographers made all sonographic measurements, and asingle, blinded cardiologist reader (NBS) evaluated,confirmed, and, when needed, corrected each measurement.In addition, the presence and severity of calcific depositionwas measured at a total of 6 sites in the heart, using apredefined scoring system described in Table 1 and illus-trated in Figure 1. For each site with moderate or severecalcific deposition as defined earlier, the participant received1 point, allowing for a composite calcium score rangingfrom 0 to 6. The composite calcium score was computed bya single cardiologist reader (NBS), who was blinded to theparticipants’ baseline clinical and laboratory informationand did not participate in the adjudication of clinical out-comes. Age, gender, race, and medical history were deter-mined by self-report. Study personnel measured height,weight, and blood pressure. Fasting blood samples wereobtained to measure serum calcium, phosphorus, creatinine,cystatin C, C-reactive protein, total cholesterol, HDLcholesterol, LDL cholesterol, and triglyceride levels. Esti-mated glomerular filtration rate was calculated using theChronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration(CKD-EPI) creatinine-cystatin C equation.18

Annual telephone interviews were conducted with studyparticipants (or their proxy) to inquire about interval

Figure 1. (AeF). Two-dimensional TTE illustrations of calcific deposition at the 6 sites used for the composite cardiac calcium score.

52 The American Journal of Cardiology (www.ajconline.org)

emergency department visits, hospitalizations, or death.For any reported event, medical records, electrocardio-grams, and if relevant, death certificates, autopsy reports,and coroner’s reports were retrieved. Clinical end pointevents were adjudicated by 2 independent, blinded in-vestigators according to the prespecified criteria. In theevent of disagreement, the adjudicators conferred, recon-sidered their classification, and requested consultation

from a third blinded adjudicator (MAW) as necessary. Theoccurrence of death and cause of death were verified byreview of death certificates and relevant medical records.Myocardial infarction was defined using standarddiagnostic criteria.19 Stroke was defined as a new neuro-logic deficit not known to be secondary to brain trauma,tumor, infection, or other cause. Transient ischemic attackwas defined as a focal neurologic deficit (in the absence of

Figure 1. (continued).

Coronary Artery Disease/Composite Cardiac Calcium Score by Echocardiography in CAD 53

head trauma) lasting >30 seconds and �24 hours, withrapid evolution of symptoms to the maximal level ofdeficit in <5 minutes and with subsequent completeresolution. Hospitalization for heart failure was defined asa minimum 1-night hospital stay with new or worseningsigns and symptoms of heart failure.

For descriptive purposes, we divided participants into 3groups based on the composite cardiac calcium score:subjects with no significant calcific deposition (composite

calcium score of 0), with moderate or severe calcificdeposition at 1 of the 6 sites (composite calcium score of 1),and with moderate or severe calcific deposition at 2 or moresites (composite calcium score of �2). To compare thedifferences among groups, we used the chi-square test forcategorical variables and the 1-way ANOVA for continuousvariables.

The primary outcome of this study was the occurrence ofCV events, which included death, myocardial infarction,

Table 2Distribution of moderate or severe calcific deposition at the 6 sites used inthe composite cardiac calcium score

Site Number of participants withmoderate or severe calcific deposition

(N, %)

Aortic Valve 147 (29.3%)Aortic Root 125 (23.8%)Sino-tubular Junction 66 (11.3%)Left Main Coronary Artery 67 (12.4%)Mitral Annulus 64 (10.8%)Papillary Muscle Tip 34 (5.4%)

Table 3Baseline characteristics of the study population

Composite cardiac calcium score p-value

0 1 2-5

Number of patients 307 176 111Age (years) 68.4 � 9.9 73.1 � 9.2 75.4 � 9.4 <0.001Male sex 253 (82.4%) 145 (82.4%) 96 (86.5%) 0.58Caucasian race 173 (56.4%) 105 (59.7%) 73 (65.8%) 0.22Hypertension 221 (72.0%) 140 (79.5%) 84 (75.7%) 0.18Myocardial infarction 149 (48.5%) 87 (49.4%) 65 (58.6%) 0.18Heart failure 51 (16.6%) 35 (19.9%) 27 (24.3%) 0.20Stroke 42 (13.7%) 31 (17.6%) 25 (22.5%) 0.09Diabetes 74 (24.1%) 62 (35.2%) 37 (33.3%) 0.02Revascularization 99 (32.2%) 54 (30.7%) 53 (47.7%) 0.005Peripheral vascular disease 20 (6.5%) 12 (6.8%) 13 (11.7%) 0.21Smoking 46 (15.0%) 22 (12.5%) 10 (9.0%) 0.27Systolic blood pressure (mm Hg) 135.9 � 20.4 135.1 � 17.9 135.9 � 20.3 0.90Diastolic blood pressure (mm Hg) 76.1 � 10.5 73.9 � 10.4 73.1 � 10.4 0.01Body mass index (kg/m2) 28.6 � 5.3 28.4 � 5.1 28.4 � 5.2 0.93Total cholesterol (mg/dL) 165.0 � 38.0 163.8 � 42.9 160.5 � 35.8 0.57HDL cholesterol (mg/dL) 47.0 � 15.7 46.8 � 15.5 46.1 � 13.5 0.85LDL cholesterol (mg/dL) 93.6 � 31.4 94.0 � 35.4 93.1 � 31.3 0.97Triglycerides (mg/dL) 98 (67, 151) 97 (68, 144) 90 (64, 123) 0.19Estimated glomerular filtration rate (mL/min) 76.2 � 23.6 73.2 � 20.2 69.1 � 19.2 0.01Calcium (mg/dL) 9.5 � 0.4 9.5 � 0.4 9.5 � 0.4 0.73Phosphorus (mg/dL) 3.3 � 0.6 3.3 � 0.5 3.4 � 0.5 0.005C-reactive protein (mg/dL) 1.3 (0.7, 3.2) 1.5 (0.7, 3.4) 1.6 (0.7, 4.2) 0.14

Values are expressed as mean � SD unless otherwise specified. A p-value < 0.05 is considered statistically significant.

54 The American Journal of Cardiology (www.ajconline.org)

stroke, transient ischemic attack, and hospitalization forheart failure. We calculated event rates per 100 person-yearscategorized by the composite calcium score for the primaryoutcome and each of its components. Event rates by com-posite calcium score were compared using Cox proportionalhazards regression models. Univariate analyses wereperformed to determine which clinical variables wereindependently associated with the composite calcium score.Adjustment for these covariates was performed usingmultivariate Cox proportional hazards models to estimatethe association of the composite calcium score with theprimary outcome and the individual clinical end points.Statistical significance was defined as a 2-sided p value<0.05. Results are presented as hazard ratios (HRs) with95% confidence intervals (CIs). All analyses were per-formed using commercially available software (Stata 12;StataCorp LP, College Station, Texas).

Results

A total of 595 participants were included in the analysis.Moderate or severe calcific deposit was observed in theaortic valve in 147 participants (prevalence of 29.3%), fol-lowed by the aortic root (125 participants, prevalence of23.8%) and the left main coronary artery (66 participants,prevalence of 12.4%). Moderate or severe calcific depositson the mitral annulus were seen in 64 participants (preva-lence of 10.8%). A total of 307 participants had a compositecalcium score of 0, 176 had a score of 1, and 111 partici-pants had a composite calcium score of 2 to 5. None of theparticipants in this study had a composite calcium score of

6. The distribution of moderate or severe calcific depositionat the various sites is summarized in Table 2.

Compared with participants with a composite calciumscore of 0, those with a score of �2 were older and had ahigher proportion with a history of diabetes mellitus orcoronary revascularization. The proportion of participantswith previous myocardial infarction, heart failure, stroke, orperipheral arterial disease did not differ significantly be-tween groups. Participants with calcific deposits at multiplesites also had higher diastolic blood pressure, reduced renalfunction, and higher serum phosphorus levels. There were,however, no significant differences between the groups inthe fasting cholesterol profiles or C-reactive protein levels atbaseline. The baseline demographic characteristics of thepopulation studied are summarized in Table 3.

Study participants were followed for a median durationof 4.2 years (interquartile range 3.3 to 5.0 years). A total of

Figure 2. Unadjusted annual event rates of the primary outcome stratified bycomposite cardiac calcium score. Results are expressed as events per100 person-years (error bars represent 95% confidence limits) (*p <0.05;**p <0.001).

Figure 3. Unadjusted annual event rates of individual CV end pointsstratified by the composite cardiac calcium score. Results are expressed asevents per 100 person-years (error bars represent 95% confidence limits)(*p <0.05; **p <0.001).

Coronary Artery Disease/Composite Cardiac Calcium Score by Echocardiography in CAD 55

205 CV events were recorded, which included 152 deaths,28 myocardial infarctions, 22 strokes or transient ischemicattacks, and 40 hospitalizations for heart failure. Participantswith a composite calcium score of 0 had a significantlylower incidence of CV events than participants with acomposite calcium score of �2 (5.5 vs 11.1 events per 100person-years, p <0.001, Figure 2). Participants with acomposite score of 0 also had significantly lower rates ofdeath (3.6 vs 8.9 deaths per 100 person-years, p <0.001)and myocardial infarction (0.6 vs 2.1 events per 100 person-years, p ¼ 0.01) compared with participants with a com-posite score of �2. The incidence of stroke or transientischemic attack and hospitalization for heart failure did notdiffer significantly between the groups (Figure 3).

Univariate analyses indicated that the following variableswere significantly associated with the composite cardiaccalcium score: age, history of diabetes mellitus, previous

coronary revascularization, diastolic blood pressure, esti-mated glomerular filtration rate, and serum phosphoruslevel. In unadjusted analyses, the risk of CV events wastwofold higher in participants with a composite calciumscore of �2 compared with those with a composite score of0 (HR 2.01, 95% CI 1.38 to 2.92, p <0.001). Adjustment forage attenuated but did not completely abrogate this associ-ation, but after additional adjustment for diabetes mellitus,previous coronary revascularization, diastolic blood pres-sure, estimated GFR, and serum phosphorus level, the riskof CV events in participants with a composite score of �2did not significantly differ from those with a compositescore of 0 (HR 1.38, 95% CI 0.92 to 2.08, p ¼ 0.12)(Table 4, Figure 4). Participants with a composite calciumscore of �2 had a 2.5-fold increased risk of death comparedwith those with a composite calcium score of 0 (HR 2.51,95% CI 1.63 to 3.85, p <0.001) in unadjusted analyses. Inmodels adjusted for age, diabetes mellitus, previous coro-nary revascularization, diastolic blood pressure, estimatedGFR, and serum phosphorus level, the risk of death was45% higher in participants with a composite calcium scoreof 1 (HR 1.45, 95% CI 0.94 to 2.23, p ¼ 0.09), and 76%higher in participants with a composite calcium score of �2(HR 1.76, 95% CI 1.10 to 2.81, p ¼ 0.02) (Figure 4). Theresults of the multivariate analyses for the primary com-posite outcome and death are listed in Table 4.

Discussion

To our knowledge, this is the first report that describes acomprehensive, semiquantitative, composite cardiac cal-cium score that includes multiple relevant sites of calciumdeposition as seen on a conventional 2D TTE study andshows that moderate-to-severe calcific deposition at �2discrete sites (corresponding to a composite cardiac calciumscore of �2) is independently associated with mortality inpatients with CAD. Indeed, it is well known that cardiaccalcification occurs in a nonuniform manner with normalaging, and some studies suggest that mild valvular calcifi-cation routinely seen on 2D TTE studies in elderly patientsmay not be independently predictive of adverse CVevents.10 Our scoring system recognizes this phenomenonand, therefore, focuses on the presence of moderate or se-vere calcific deposition (rather than the presence or absenceof calcification) at each of the 6 sites and assigns a binaryvalue (0 or 1) for each site to make the composite calciumscoring system easy to use during routine interpretation ofTTE studies. The use of standard 2D echocardiographicviews, combined with the ease of use of the scoring system,should enable echocardiographers to compute the compositecardiac calcium score as part of their routine TTE inter-pretation and should, therefore, be associated with little orno additional cost to the patient.

Our results agree with previous studies that have exam-ined the association of MAC, aortic valve sclerosis, aorticannular calcification, and various combinations thereof, withall-cause and CV mortality. An analysis of the Cardiovas-cular Health Study reported that the combined presence ofMAC, aortic valve sclerosis, and aortic annular calcificationwas independently predictive of both all-cause mortality andCV mortality in an observational cohort of 3,782 elderly

Table 4Hazard ratios for cardiovascular events by composite cardiac calcium score for the primary outcome (A) and death (B)

A. Outcome: Death, myocardial infarction, stroke/transient ischemic attack, or hospitalization for heart failure

Composite Cardiac Calcium Score

0 1 � 2

HR (95% CI) p-value (vs. 0) HR (95% CI) p-value (vs. 0)

Unadjusted 1.0 1.75 (1.24, 2.46) 0.001 2.01 (1.38, 2.92) <.001Model 1 1.0 1.51 (1.06, 2.13) 0.02 1.60 (1.08, 2.38) 0.02Model 2 1.0 1.25 (0.94, 1.92) 0.10 1.45 (0.98, 2.16) 0.06Model 3 1.0 1.39 (0.96, 2.00) 0.08 1.38 (0.92, 2.08) 0.12

B. Outcome: Death

Composite Cardiac Calcium Score

0 1 � 2

HR (95% CI) p-value (vs. 0) HR (95% CI) p-value (vs. 0)

Unadjusted 1.0 1.88 (1.25, 2.82) 0.002 2.51 (1.63, 3.85) <.001Model 1 1.0 1.58 (1.04, 2.40) 0.03 1.96 (1.25, 3.07) 0.003Model 2 1.0 1.47 (0.97, 2.34) 0.07 1.87 (1.19, 2.93) 0.007Model 3 1.0 1.45 (0.94, 2.23) 0.09 1.76 (1.10, 2.81) 0.02

Model 1: Age.Model 2: Model 1 þ diabetes, revascularization, diastolic blood pressure.Model 3: Model 2 þ eGFR, phosphorus.HR ¼ hazard ratio; CI ¼ confidence intervals.

Figure 4. (A) Adjusted HR of the primary outcome by composite cardiac calcium score. Results are expressed as HRs compared with the group with acomposite cardiac calcium score of 0. Error bars represent 95% confidence limits. (B) Adjusted HR of death by composite cardiac calcium score. Results areexpressed as HRs compared with the group with a composite cardiac calcium score of 0. Error bars represent 95% confidence limits (*p <0.05).

56 The American Journal of Cardiology (www.ajconline.org)

patients followed for an average of 6.6 years.7 A retro-spective analysis of a cohort of 902 subjects with type 2diabetes mellitus over a span of 9 years also showed that thepresence of MAC and aortic valve sclerosis togetherconferred a higher risk of all-cause and CV mortality thanMAC or aortic valve sclerosis alone, with similar resultsseen in patients with or without a history of myocardialinfarction.20 Another study in a cohort of 2,081 subjectswith no history of CV disease followed for a medianduration of 8.6 years showed that the presence of MAC andaortic valve sclerosis combined together as a “heart sclerosisscore” independently predicted all-cause and CV mortalitybetter than MAC or aortic valve sclerosis alone and that thisassociation was more pronounced in women than in men.11

In a small prospective study of 167 patients hospitalized for

known or suspected CAD, a semiquantitative cardiaccalcium score (obtained by combining the presence ofMAC, aortic valve sclerosis, and aortic root sclerosis)showed a positive correlation with both the FraminghamRisk Score and the Duke score for the presence of CAD oncoronary angiography.21 Another semiquantitative echo-cardiographic calcium score that included aortic valvesclerosis, mitral valvular or annular calcification, calcifica-tion of the submitral apparatus, and leaflet restriction ofeither the aortic or mitral valve cusps was shown to correlatewith the coronary calcium score obtained from cardiac CTin a group of 41 patients referred for cardiac CT.22 How-ever, these studies are limited by their small size, referralbias, technical limitations in the assessment of calcificdeposition at certain sites, lack of evaluation of the severity

Coronary Artery Disease/Composite Cardiac Calcium Score by Echocardiography in CAD 57

of calcific deposition, lack of inclusion of other importantsites of calcific deposition, and perhaps most importantly,lack of data about the association of the composite scorewith clinical events.

Our study adds to the published literature in 3 distinctways. First, this is the first study in the literature that showsthat moderate-to-severe calcific deposition at sites other thanthe mitral annulus, aortic valve, and aortic root, such as thesinotubular junction, papillary muscle tip, and left maincoronary artery, is also associated with higher risk ofadverse CV events in elderly patients with CAD. Theprevalence of moderate or severe calcific deposits in the leftmain coronary artery (12.4%) and sinotubular junction(11.3%) was higher than that of MAC (10.8%) in this study,whereas the site with the highest prevalence of moderate orsevere calcific deposition was the aortic valve (147 partici-pants, 29.3%). Second, the composite cardiac calcium scoreis able to identify patients with pre-existing CAD at asignificantly higher risk of death, even when the traditionalmarkers of clinical risk, such as fasting lipid profiles, sys-tolic blood pressure, and C-reactive protein levels, are notsignificantly different. Finally, we have defined standardizedcriteria for determining the severity of calcific deposition at6 distinct anatomic sites within the heart and have developeda simple, easy-to-use scoring system that can be used toreport the extent of global cardiac calcific deposition as seenon conventional 2D TEE. Most patients with CAD undergoTTE studies as part of the longitudinal follow-up of their CVdisease. Whether the addition of this composite cardiaccalcium score in TTE reports of patients with CAD leads todifferences in the clinical management of these high-riskpatients remains to be studied.

Our study has important limitations that must beconsidered. First, the study population consisted predomi-nantly of older men from Northern California, and nearlyhalf of these patients were enrolled from the Veterans’ Af-fairs medical centers, and therefore, the results may not begeneralizable to women or younger patients with CAD.Second, this study was performed in subjects who attended a5-year follow-up examination as part of a prospective cohortstudy of patients with CAD. Thus, the study populationcomprised patients with CAD who survived for at least5 years with CAD with close follow-up within the Heart andSoul Study, which may not be representative of the generalpopulation of patients with newly diagnosed CAD or thosewith established CAD. Third, the number of myocardialinfarctions, strokes, and transient ischemic attacks in thisstudy was small, and the relatively low CV event rate mayhave reduced the statistical power of the study. Fourth, thecomposite cardiac calcium score for all study participantswas computed by 1 experienced echocardiographer (NBS),and although the scoring system was defined a priori indetail (Table 1, Figure 1), the reproducibility of these resultswas not specifically evaluated. Finally, the lack of a vali-dation cohort analysis of the composite cardiac calciumscore remains a limitation of the present study, but wedecided not to split the Heart and Soul population intoderivation and validation cohorts to allow for such ananalysis because of the small number of clinical events inthis population. We hope, however, that investigators willbe attracted to the simple and intuitive nature of this scoring

system to determine the global cardiac calcific burden intheir patients and will choose to apply this scoring system toother patient populations to determine the prognostic valueof the composite cardiac calcium score in their studypopulations.

Disclosures

The Heart and Soul Study supported by grants from theDepartment of Veterans Affairs, Washington, DC (Epide-miology Merit Review Program), grant R01HL079235 fromthe National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, Bethesda,MD,the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation, Princeton, NJ(Generalist Physician Faculty Scholars Program), theAmerican Federation for Aging Research, New York, NY(Paul Beeson Faculty Scholars in Aging Research Program),the Ischemia Research and Education Foundation, South SanFrancisco, CA, and the Nancy Kirwan Heart Research Fund,San Francisco, CA. Dr. Beatty received support from awardnumber F32 HL110518 from the National Heart, Lung, andBlood Institute and KL2TR000143 from the National Centerfor Advancing Translational Sciences, Bethesda, MD. Theauthors have no conflicts of interest to disclose.

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