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U.S. Population Trends U.S. Population Trends September 13, 1999

U.S. Population Trends U.S. Population Trends September 13, 1999

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Page 1: U.S. Population Trends U.S. Population Trends September 13, 1999

U.S. Population TrendsU.S. Population Trends

September 13, 1999

Page 2: U.S. Population Trends U.S. Population Trends September 13, 1999

Total Population: 1900 to 2050Total Population: 1900 to 2050

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 2040

Mill

i ons

Page 3: U.S. Population Trends U.S. Population Trends September 13, 1999

5

10

15

20

25

30

1900

-10

1910

-20

1920

-30

1930

-40

1940

-50

1950

-60

1960

-70

1970

-80

1980

-90

1990

-00

2000

-10

2010

-20

2020

-30

2030

-40

2040

-50

Population Change per Decade: Population Change per Decade: 1900 to 20501900 to 2050

Change (

in m

illio

ns)

Page 4: U.S. Population Trends U.S. Population Trends September 13, 1999

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

Average Annual Growth RateAverage Annual Growth RateDuring the Decade: 1900 to 2050During the Decade: 1900 to 2050

Perc

ent

Change

Page 5: U.S. Population Trends U.S. Population Trends September 13, 1999

U.S. Births, Deaths, and Net Migrants: U.S. Births, Deaths, and Net Migrants: 1900 to 20501900 to 2050

Mill

ions

1

2

3

4

5

6

1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 2040

Births Deaths Migrants

Page 6: U.S. Population Trends U.S. Population Trends September 13, 1999

U.S. Birth, Death, and Net Migration Rate: U.S. Birth, Death, and Net Migration Rate: 1900 to 2050 1900 to 2050

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 2040

Birth Rate Death Rate Net Migration Rate

Per

1,0

00

popula

tion

Page 7: U.S. Population Trends U.S. Population Trends September 13, 1999

Percent Foreign Born in the U.S. Percent Foreign Born in the U.S. 1900 to 19901900 to 1990

13.6

11.6

6.2

7.9

13.2

5.4 4.8

6.9

8.8

14.7

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990

Perc

ent

Page 8: U.S. Population Trends U.S. Population Trends September 13, 1999

Birth, Death, and Net Migration Rate, Birth, Death, and Net Migration Rate, and Rate of Natural Increase and and Rate of Natural Increase and

Growth Rate: 1998Growth Rate: 1998

Country/RegionCountry/Region CBR CDR NMR RNI G.R. CBR CDR NMR RNI G.R.

World 22.2 9.1 --- 1.3 World 22.2 9.1 --- 1.3 1.31.3

More DevelopedMore Developed

U.S. 14.4 8.8 3.0 0.6 U.S. 14.4 8.8 3.0 0.6 0.90.9

Other Developed 10.3 10.9 1.2 -0.1 Other Developed 10.3 10.9 1.2 -0.1 0.1 0.1

Less Developed 25.0 8.8 -0.4 1.6 Less Developed 25.0 8.8 -0.4 1.6 1.61.6

Crude birth, Crude death, and Net migration rates are per 1,000 population.

Rate of Natural Increase and Growth rate are expressed in percent.

Page 9: U.S. Population Trends U.S. Population Trends September 13, 1999

Births, Deaths, and Natural Increase: Births, Deaths, and Natural Increase: 19981998

Country/RegionCountry/Region Births Deaths Natural Births Deaths Natural increaseincrease

United States 3,892 2,379 1,514United States 3,892 2,379 1,514

Other Developed 9,363 9,882 -520Other Developed 9,363 9,882 -520

(Numbers in thousands)

Page 10: U.S. Population Trends U.S. Population Trends September 13, 1999

Total Population Ranked by Country: Total Population Ranked by Country: 1998 (in millions)1998 (in millions)

1. China 1. China 1,266 1,266 6. Russia 6. Russia 147 147

2. India 2. India 983 983 7. Pakistan 7. Pakistan 135 135

3. U.S. 3. U.S. 270 270 8. Bangladesh 8. Bangladesh 128 128

4. Indonesia4. Indonesia 213 213 9. Japan 9. Japan 126 126

5. Brazil5. Brazil 170 170 10. Nigeria 10. Nigeria 111 111

Page 11: U.S. Population Trends U.S. Population Trends September 13, 1999

Total Population, by Region: Total Population, by Region: 1900 to 20201900 to 2020

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020

South

West

Midwest

Northeast

Mill

ions

Page 12: U.S. Population Trends U.S. Population Trends September 13, 1999

19%

23%

36%

22%

NortheastMidwestSouthWest

U.S. Population Distribution by Region: U.S. Population Distribution by Region: 1980, 2000, and 20201980, 2000, and 2020

22%

26%33%

19%

1980 2000

2020

17%

21%

25%

36%

Page 13: U.S. Population Trends U.S. Population Trends September 13, 1999

Percent of U.S. Population Living in Percent of U.S. Population Living in Metropolitan Areas: 1900 to 1996Metropolitan Areas: 1900 to 1996

Perc

en

t

28.3

34.0

44.6

63.3

69.0

74.8

79.8

25.5

47.8

77.5

56.1

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 1996

Page 14: U.S. Population Trends U.S. Population Trends September 13, 1999

89.4

73.4 74.7

86.3

60.8

36.8

54.4

78.7

56.1

79.8

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

U.S. Northeast Midwest South West

19501996

Percent of U.S. Population Living in Percent of U.S. Population Living in Metropolitan Areas, by Region: Metropolitan Areas, by Region:

1950 and 19961950 and 1996

Perc

en

t

Page 15: U.S. Population Trends U.S. Population Trends September 13, 1999

29.435.3

40.745.6

50.0 50.8

26.7

28.0

28.3

29.327.3 29.0

1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 1996

Less than 1 million1 million +

Percent of U.S. Population Living in Metropolitan Percent of U.S. Population Living in Metropolitan Areas, by Size of Metropolitan Area Population: Areas, by Size of Metropolitan Area Population:

1950 to 19961950 to 1996

56.156.1

63.363.3

69.069.0

74.874.877.577.5

79.879.8

Page 16: U.S. Population Trends U.S. Population Trends September 13, 1999

Age Distribution of the U.S. Population, by Sex: 1950Age Distribution of the U.S. Population, by Sex: 1950

15 10 5 0 5 10 15

<5

5-9

10-14

15-19

20-24

25-29

30-34

35-39

40-44

45-49

50-54

55-59

60-64

65-69

70-74

75-79

80-84

85+

Male Female

Millions

Page 17: U.S. Population Trends U.S. Population Trends September 13, 1999

15 10 5 0 5 10 15

<5

5-9

10-14

15-19

20-24

25-29

30-34

35-39

40-44

45-49

50-54

55-59

60-64

65-69

70-74

75-79

80-84

85+

15 10 5 0 5 10 15

<5

5-9

10-14

15-19

20-24

25-29

30-34

35-39

40-44

45-49

50-54

55-59

60-64

65-69

70-74

75-79

80-84

85+

Age Distribution of the U.S. Population, by Sex: 2000Age Distribution of the U.S. Population, by Sex: 2000

Millions

Male Female

= Year 1950

Page 18: U.S. Population Trends U.S. Population Trends September 13, 1999

15 10 5 0 5 10 15

<5

5-9

10-14

15-19

20-24

25-29

30-34

35-39

40-44

45-49

50-54

55-59

60-64

65-69

70-74

75-79

80-84

85+

15 10 5 0 5 10 15

<5

5-9

10-14

15-19

20-24

25-29

30-34

35-39

40-44

45-49

50-54

55-59

60-64

65-69

70-74

75-79

80-84

85+

Age Distribution of the U.S. Population, by Sex: 2050Age Distribution of the U.S. Population, by Sex: 2050

Male Female

Millions

= Year 2000

Page 19: U.S. Population Trends U.S. Population Trends September 13, 1999

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 2040

Median Age: 1900 to 2050Median Age: 1900 to 2050Years

Page 20: U.S. Population Trends U.S. Population Trends September 13, 1999

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

1900

1920

1940

1960

1980

2000

2020

2040

U.S. Population, by Race: 1900 to 2050U.S. Population, by Race: 1900 to 2050Perc

en

t

WhiteWhite

BlackBlack

OtherOther

Page 21: U.S. Population Trends U.S. Population Trends September 13, 1999

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

Hispanic Non-Hispanic

U.S. Population by Hispanic Origin: U.S. Population by Hispanic Origin: 1980 to 20501980 to 2050

Mill

ions

Page 22: U.S. Population Trends U.S. Population Trends September 13, 1999

50

100

150

200

250

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

Projected U.S. Population Growth: Projected U.S. Population Growth: 2000 to 20502000 to 2050

Mill

ions

White*

Hispanic

Black*

API*

AIEA*

* Excludes people of Hispanic origin

Page 23: U.S. Population Trends U.S. Population Trends September 13, 1999

72%

4%1%

11%

12%White*Black*AIEA*API*Hispanic

U.S. Population by Race: U.S. Population by Race: 1980, 2000, and 20201980, 2000, and 2020

80%

2%6%

12%

1%

1980 2000

2020

64%

16%

13%

6%1%

* Excludes people of Hispanic origin