Urban growth and transport in Jeddah - Universiteit Twente I am grateful to the urban planning and transport

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  • Urban growth and transport in Jeddah: DYNAMIC MODELLING AND ASSESSMENT

    Mohammed Omayer Aljoufie

  • Examining committee: Prof.dr.ir. A. Stein University of Twente Prof.dr. A. van der Veen University of Twente Prof.dr. A.K. Bregt Wageningen University Prof.dr. A.D. May University of Leeds, UK Mevr. Ir. H. van Delden University of Adelaide, Australia ITC dissertation number 221 ITC, P.O. Box 6, 7500 AA Enschede, The Netherlands ISBN 978-90-6164-347-0 Cover designed by Job Duim Printed by ITC Printing Department Copyright © 2012 by M.O. Aljoufie

  • URBAN GROWTH AND TRANSPORT IN JEDDAH: DYNAMIC MODELLING AND ASSESSMENT

    DISSERTATION

    to obtain the degree of doctor at the University of Twente,

    on the authority of the rector magnificus, prof.dr. H. Brinksma,

    on account of the decision of the graduation committee, to be publicly defended

    on Tuesday, December 18, 2012 at 14.45 hrs

    by

    Mohammed Omayer Aljoufie

    born on 1 December 1979

    in Saudi Arabia

  • This thesis is approved by: Prof.dr.ir. M.F.A.M. van Maarseveen, promoter Dr.ir. M.H.P. Zuidgeest, assistant promoter

  • Acknowledgements I express my sincere gratitude to Ministry of Higher Education and King Abdulaziz University, Saudi Arabia for granting the scholarship to pursue my PhD at the Faculty ITC of the University of Twente, in The Netherlands. Sincere appreciations and thanks go to my promoter Prof.dr.ir. Martin van Maarseveen for his guidance and support. It has been an honour to work with you. Utmost gratitude is extended to my co-promoter Dr. Mark Zuidgeest for his immense support, guidance, sharing scientific knowledge and endless encouragement. Thank you very much for valuable comments and suggestions, contributions and all the support that guided me through the long journey of my PhD study. I would also like to extend my utmost gratitude to Ir. Mark Brussel for his remarkable advices, critical comments and guidance which always lead me to the right track and carried this research successfully. Mark, I am very grateful for your unlimited encouragement and valuable suggestions and friendship during my study. I enjoyed working with all of you and wish to continue the same in the future. I am deeply indebted to Prof. Walid Abdulaal, Dr. Hossny Aziz Alrhman (Former Dean of Faculty of Environmental Design, King Abdulaziz University), Prof. Jamal Abdullaal, Prof. Abdulmajeed Daghistani, Prof. Abdulakader Murad, Dr. Sami Alkeredmi, Dr.Yousef Neyazi (Dean of Faculty of Environmental Design, King Abdulaziz University), Dr. Hassan Shawli and Dr. Abdulakader Algilani for their encouragement to be here at ITC, for the assistance during my fieldwork periods and their unlimited advices. I am also indebted to the staff members of Saudi Cultural Bureau in Germany for their constant help and support in my study period. I especially express gratitude to Dr. Talal Yousif, Dr. Omar Othman and Ms. Abir Abdelbari. I am grateful to the urban planning and transport officers and staff at Jeddah municipality for their valuable data and remarkable advices. Special thanks to Dr. Abdulaziz Asiri for his immense assistance and sharing of valuable transport data. I also extend my thanks to Eng. Husni Kalktawi, Eng. Maged Alharbi, and Eng. Mohammed Melibari for their assistance and the useful discussions. I am also very much grateful to King Abdul-Aziz City for Science and Technology in particular Space Research Department for providing several satellite images for Jeddah city. I owe a deepest gratitude to the staff of Research Institute for Knowledge Systems (RIKS) in Maastricht, the Netherlands. I am indebted to Prof. Hedwig van Delden for her constant support, sharing in-depth scientific knowledge and provision of the Metronamica software. I am also grateful to

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    Dr. Jasper van Vliet for his technical assistance, critical comments, valuable suggestions and nice discussion. Profound thanks go to PGM department staff for their continuous support and encouragement, especially to Dr. Richard Sliuzas, Dr. Johannes Flacke, Ing. Frans van den Bosch, Monika Kuffer and Petra Weber. Thanks to Dr. Paul van Dijk, Loes Colenbrander, Theresa van den Boogaard, Bettine Geerdink, Marie Chantal Metz, Saskia Tempelman, Jorien Terlouw, Laura Windig, Marion Pierik, Saskia Groenendijk, Rebanna Spaan and Job Duim for their assistance and relevant information from the beginning to the end of my PhD Study. I am immensely thankful to my friends Ahmad Fallatah, Merai Alqahtani, Mohammed Dahli, Tagel, Christine, Sukhad, Talat, Alphonse, Arif, Yamini and Sriram. Thanks my friends for your support, company, nice discussions and pleasant time. Most importantly I will forever be deeply indebted to my parents for their endless love and prayers that allowed me to achieve this goal. Thanks to my brothers and sisters for their continuous support, encouragement and prayers that made me to achieve this goal. Last but not the least, heartiest gratitude to my wife and lovely sons Bandar and Wesam. Thanks for your immense love, support, encouragement during my study and hardship, and sharing my difficulties with you. This work is dedicated to you with my love.

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    Table of Contents Acknowledgements ............................................................................. i List of figures .................................................................................... vi List of tables ................................................................................... viii 1. General introduction .................................................................... 1

    1.1 Background ............................................................................ 2 1.2 Urban growth and transportation interaction ............................... 2 1.3 Research problem .................................................................... 3

    1.3.1 Scientific relevance .............................................................. 4 1.3.2 Social relevance .................................................................. 6

    1.4 Research objectives ................................................................. 7 1.5 Study area ............................................................................. 8 1.6 Thesis outline.......................................................................... 8

    2. Spatial-temporal analysis of urban growth and transportation . 11 2.1 Introduction .......................................................................... 13 2.2 Methodology ......................................................................... 14

    2.2.1 Study area ........................................................................ 14 2.2.2 Data and image processing ................................................. 15 2.2.3 Urban growth and transportation indicators .......................... 17

    2.3 Results ................................................................................. 20 2.4 Discussion ............................................................................ 33 2.5 Conclusion ............................................................................ 36

    3. Urban growth and transportation: understanding the spatial temporal relationship ................................................................ 39

    3.1 Introduction .......................................................................... 41 3.2 Literature review ................................................................... 42 3.3 Methodology ......................................................................... 43

    3.3.1 Study area ........................................................................ 43 3.3.2 Data and image processing ................................................. 43 3.3.3 Statistical analysis ............................................................. 44 3.3.4 Spatial analysis ................................................................. 47

    3.4 Results and discussion ........................................................... 49 3.4.1 Statistical analysis ............................................................. 50 3.4.2 Spatial proximity analysis ................................................... 53

    3.5 Conclusion ............................................................................ 55 4. Spatial statistical analysis of urban growth and transport

    infrastructure expansion ........................................................... 57 4.1 Introduction .......................................................................... 59 4.2 Material and Methods ............................................................. 60

    4.2.1 Study area ........................................................................ 60 4.2.2 Data and image Processing ................................................. 61 4.2.3 Variables, data disaggregation and preparation for analysis ... 63 4.2.4 Spatial statistical analysis ................................................... 64

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    4.3 Results ................................................................................. 70 4.3.1 Spatial autocorrelation analysis ........................................... 70 4.3.2 Spatial regression analysis .................................................. 75

    4.4 Discussion ............................................................................ 81 4.5 Conclusion ........