21
Unemployment Insurance Benefit Estimation UI Benefit Financing Seminar Division of Fiscal and Actuarial Services U.S. DOL/ETA/OUI October 23-26, 2018 1

Unemployment Insurance Benefit Estimation...Unemployment Rate Total Unemployed Insured Unemployment Rate Average Weekly Insured Unemployed Average Weekly Benefit Total Benefits Paid

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    11

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • Unemployment Insurance Benefit Estimation

    UI Benefit Financing SeminarDivision of Fiscal and Actuarial ServicesU.S. DOL/ETA/OUIOctober 23-26, 2018

    1

  • UI Benefit Modeling

    Answering Three Questions:

    1. How Many People are Receiving Benefits?

    2. For How Long Do They Receive Benefits?

    3. How Much Do They Receive?

    2

    PresenterPresentation NotesYou have just gone through in detail how the first step is done finding How many people are receiving benefits. Now we are going to cover the next two steps in this session

  • Two Paths to Calculating Total Benefits

    3

    1 2a) How Many Insured Unemployment Rate First

    Claimants? (Avg. Number of Claimants Per week) Payments

    b) How Long Do Total Weeks AverageThey Claim? Compensated Duration

    c) How Much Do Average Weekly Average WeeklyThey Receive? Benefit Benefit

    Total Benefits

    PresenterPresentation NotesWe are using path one

    We use Insured Unemployment Rate to get Weeks Compensated then * Awb = Total benefits.

    In path two you can multiply Fir Pay * Average Duration * AWB to get Total benefits (In UNIS model we do use both and path 2 is used by finding avg duration from a survival rate from using First pays weeks comp and exhaustions.)

  • 4

    2,270 (32%)

    7,091

    1,958 (29%)

    Total Unemployed

    JANUARY FEBRUARY MARCH

    96,743

    2,313 (32%)

    808 492UI First Payments

    200UI Exhaustees 164

    Not in Labor Force

    161

    95,439

    Total Labor Force160,037 161,494 161,548

    7,1896,671

    Unemployment Flow - First Quarter CY2018 (000)

    392

    95,549

    Unemployment Insurance Recipients

  • State Benefit Application ProcessInitial Claim

    Eligibility Determination

    Non-Monetary Entitlement /Monetary Entitlement

    Potential Maximum Duration / Weekly Benefit Amount

    5

  • 6

    0

    2,000

    4,000

    6,000

    8,000

    10,000

    12,000

    $40 - $60 $61 - $80 $81 - $100 $101 - $150 $151 - $200 $200 - $250 $251 - $300 $201 - $350 $350 - $400 $401 - $425

    Num

    ber o

    f Cla

    iman

    ts

    Weekly Benefit Amount

    Distribution of Claimants by Weekly Benefit Amounts

    PresenterPresentation NotesBe clear that claimants are assigned a weekly benefit amount upon eligibility for UI and that does not change during their spell and they assigned a maximum potential duration ( invariable potential states staes that will depend on the amount they have been assigned and in fixed duration staes they will receive 26 weeks--- this is different than the number of weeks they actually receive which depends on when they leave UI.

  • Total Labor Force

    Cov. Employ. / Total Unemployment Rate / Avg. Weekly Wage

    Insured Unemployment Rate

    Total Weeks Claimed

    Weeks Compensated Avg. Weekly Benefit

    Total Benefits

    7

    UI Benefit Cost Estimating ModelPath #1

    PresenterPresentation NotesAfter you’ve made your choices, here's what a completely specified model might look like

    Some are equations – some are definitional formulas

    I’m assuming that the assumptions provided include values for TUR, Labor Force, and Average Wage

    [WALK THROUGH EQUATIONS]

    National Model is similar in structure to Illustration #1 – except that we have regressions for first payments and exhaustions instead of average duration and exhaustion rate

    Note that I drew a line between two groups of equations

    Equations above the line affect Benefits Paid – they are all on the path from TUR to Benefits -- equations below the line do not affect Benefits Paid

    For example, changing average duration does not affect benefits! But changing the AWBA does.

    You do not need to include these equations in your model if you just want to estimate benefits

  • 1. How Many People are Receiving UI

    Start with how many people are unemployed (forecast of State or U.S. TUR) to find State Insured Unemployment Rate:

    a) Use historical correlations to build forecast:

    I. U.S. TUR to State TUR Regression EquationState TUR = B0 + B1(U.S. TUR) + B2…

    X Variables: Lagged U.S. TUR, Lagged IUR, etc…

    II. State TUR to State IUR Regression EquationState IUR = B0 + B1(State TUR) + B2…

    X Variables: Lagged TUR, (TUR-IUR), Lagged IUR, etc…

    8

  • Derivation of the Insured Unemployment Rate(Quarterly)

    Definitions:1. Insured Unemployment Rate – The average weekly number of weeks claimed for the three months of the quarter, divided by the average covered employment for the first four of the last six completed quarters.

    2. Insured Unemployment Rate – The average weekly number of weeks claimed for the three months of the quarter, divided by the insured labor force (the number of insured employed plus the insured unemployed). Not including reimbursables.

    9

  • 1. How Many People Are Receiving UI

    Deriving the number of avg. claimants per week from the Insured Unemployment Rate:

    Insured Unemployment x Insured Labor = Average WeeklyRate Force Claims

    (Covered Employ)

    1.1% x 1,851,067 = 20,362

    10

    Alabama CY2016:

  • ETA 5159 - CLAIMS AND PAYMENT ACTIVITIES OMB Approval No 1205-0010 Expires:3/31/2003 REPORT FOR PERIOD ENDING: STATE: REGION: SECTION A. Claims Activities

    Program

    Line No.

    Initial Claims

    Total Sum of

    Cols. 2-4 (1)

    New Intrastate

    Excluding Transitional

    (2)

    Additional Intrastate

    (3)

    Interstate Filed from

    Agent State (4)

    Interstate Taken as

    Agent State (5)

    Transitional

    (6)

    Interstate

    Received as Liable State

    (7) State UI

    101

    UCFE, No UI

    102

    UCX Only

    103

    Eligibility Reviews

    Continued Weeks Claimed Entering Self

    Employment, All Programs

    (13)

    Intrastate

    (8)

    Interstate

    Liable (9)

    Intrastate

    (10)

    Interstate Filed from

    Agent State (11)

    Interstate Received

    as Liable State (12)

    State UI

    201

    UCFE, No UI

    202

    UCX Only

    203

    SECTION B. Payment Activities

    Items

    Weeks and Amounts Compensated

    State UI Program

    UCFE and UCX Programs

    Self

    Employ-ment, All Programs

    (20)

    All Weeks

    Compensated (14)

    Total Unemploy-

    ment (15)

    Interstate

    (16)

    Total (17)

    UCFE, No UI

    (18)

    UCX Only

    (19)

    Number

    301

    Amount

    302

    First Payments for All Unemployment

    Final Payments for All Unemployment

    State UI Program UCFE & UCX Programs

    State UI Program

    UCFE & UCX Programs

    Total (21)

    Intrastate

    (22)

    Interstate

    (23)

    UCFE, No

    UI (24)

    UCX Only

    (25)

    Total (26)

    UCFE, No

    UI (27)

    UCX Only

    (28)

    Number

    303

    Comments

    11

    ETA 5159 - CLAIMS AND PAYMENT ACTIVITIES OMB Approval No 1205-0010

    Expires:3/31/2003

    REPORT FOR PERIOD ENDING: STATE: REGION:

    SECTION A. Claims Activities

    Program

    Line No.

    Initial Claims

    Total Sum of

    Cols. 2-4

    (1)

    New Intrastate Excluding Transitional

    (2)

    Additional Intrastate

    (3)

    Interstate Filed from Agent State

    (4)

    Interstate Taken as Agent State

    (5)

    Transitional

    (6)

    Interstate Received as Liable State

    (7)

    State UI

    101

    UCFE, No UI

    102

    UCX Only

    103

    Eligibility Reviews

    Continued Weeks Claimed

    Entering Self Employment,

    All Programs

    (13)

    Intrastate

    (8)

    Interstate

    Liable

    (9)

    Intrastate

    (10)

    Interstate Filed from Agent State

    (11)

    Interstate Received as Liable State

    (12)

    State UI

    201

    UCFE, No UI

    202

    UCX Only

    203

    SECTION B. Payment Activities

    Items

    Weeks and Amounts Compensated

    State UI Program

    UCFE and UCX Programs

    Self Employ-ment, All Programs

    (20)

    All Weeks Compensated

    (14)

    Total Unemploy-ment

    (15)

    Interstate

    (16)

    Total

    (17)

    UCFE, No UI

    (18)

    UCX Only

    (19)

    Number

    301

    Amount

    302

    First Payments for All Unemployment

    Final Payments for All Unemployment

    State UI Program

    UCFE & UCX Programs

    State UI Program

    UCFE & UCX Programs

    Total

    (21)

    Intrastate

    (22)

    Interstate

    (23)

    UCFE, No UI

    (24)

    UCX Only

    (25)

    Total

    (26)

    UCFE, No UI

    (27)

    UCX Only

    (28)

    Number

    303

    Comments

  • 2. How Long Do Claimants Receive UI Benefits

    How many weeks of UI benefits will claimants receive over a specified time (monthly, quarterly yearly):

    1) Calculate the number of Weeks Compensated (Average Duration)2) Use historical correlation, regression analysis, between avg. claimants per week and

    weeks compensated (monthly, quarterly, yearly) to derive Compensation Ratio:

    Ex: Historical derivation of Yearly Compensation Ratio

    Weeks Avg. Weekly CompensationCompensated / (Insured Unemployed * 52) = Ratio

    Forecast of Weeks Compensated:

    Avg. Weekly Compensation Total Yearly(Insured Unemployed * 52) * Ratio = Weeks Compensated

    12

  • Derivation of Total Weeks Compensated

    • Total Weeks Compensated: The number of weeks claimed for which UI benefits are actually paid. (This includes partial unemployment and interstate claims.) There are a number of reasons a week claimed may not become a week of compensation including:

    – The state has a waiting week – The claimant is not able or available for work– The claimant refuses suitable work– The claimant has disqualifying or deductable

    income

    13

  • 0

    10000

    20000

    30000

    40000

    50000

    60000

    70000

    80000

    90000

    1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011

    Thou

    sand

    sUS Weeks Claimed vs US Weeks Compensated (1981-2013)

    Total Quarterly Weeks Claimed

    Total Quarterly Weeks Compensated

    -0.50

    0.00

    0.50

    1.00

    Compensation Ratio

    14

  • 3. How Much UI Do Claimants Receive

    State Benefit Formulas

    • High Quarter Method = (High Qtr. Wage /13 = Avg. Wkly Wage)* Replacement Proportion = Avg Wkly Benefit

    • Multi-Quarter Method = Multiple of total or average wages over more than 1 Quarter

    • Annual Wage Method = Percentage of annual wages in Base Period

    • Average Weekly Wage Method = Percentage of average weekly wage in Base Period

    15

  • 16

  • 050

    100150200

    No. o

    f Clai

    man

    ts

    Dollar Amt. Received ($)

    Distribution of Weekly Benefit Amounts

    Avg. Weekly Benefit

    050

    100150200250300

    500 2,000 6,000 10,000 14,000High Quarter Earnings ($)

    Distribution of Claimants by Earnings

    Maximum WBAWe

    ekly B

    enefit

    Amou

    nt ($)

    17

    Application of Maximum Benefit and Maximum Weekly Benefit Amount

    Chart3

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    100

    110

    120

    130

    140

    150

    160

    170

    180

    190

    200

    210

    220

    Avg. Weekly Benefit

    awb

    Dollar Amt. Received ($)

    No. of Claimants

    Distribution of Weekly Benefit Amounts

    5

    5

    8

    12

    15

    20

    22

    24

    25

    30

    30

    30

    40

    40

    60

    75

    105

    150

    190

    ALUIQI CALC

    Aerage Weekly Wage

    YearSTAWWTOTCECONRIBTAXWAGERMB. BENSFUND BALTF InterestAWBold UITWCRREG BENSalhpaN.TWCRN. UIILFQIMWBMTWBTURNMAPIC

    1981AL255.13331938717810008036683432129882294821818644.0052407719.000.0073.7554923768,922633946466160760.0866633,78254,7591,055,5625.1990.0066009.83522884864138243

    1981AL262.81345988821410126914378838019130293691784703.0085215734.001,568,015.0075.5444060616,840509010384496670.0866508,85343,9031,056,5944.1690.00660010.0724419443092177

    1981AL266.51355635271610264592610371211040244671831939.0095036195.001,880,461.0075.4745359635,026528911399063260.0858528,75145,1991,071,6584.2290.00660010.83301314974122993

    1981AL282.5837094675801009765181173517501783332913926.0086622613.000.0076.9149017686,238568961437457230.0862568,71048,7661,058,5314.614.5490.00660011.8710.65287384347144074

    1982AL270.1334315273819771586872198230282567762159130.0051219685.000.0075.2165674919,436764161573956480.0859763,97165,4841,042,6426.2890.00660013.67545614580202176

    1982AL279.0035911074229900994319878018447105242122729.0064091102.000.0078.0057118799,652664640518311630.0859664,46056,9381,047,0375.4490.00660013.60269385068133619

    1982AL282.5435971514039793472459096110201666062485905.0047426709.000.0078.9564690905,660768399606659320.0842768,19564,4861,043,8336.1890.00660014.87312935412163424

    1982AL294.993707316209966726164928556640501452815109.008627902.000.0079.3368278955,892808079640678580.0845807,84868,0471,034,7736.586.1290.00660015.3314.37244995287142651

    1983AL284.70352625837195276110548277731747260732703069.0090000.000.0077.61728281,019,592843002653823840.0864842,77172,5971,025,3587.08120.00800015.37446994979152374

    1983AL290.7137245583569855397438391921807820662923587.0062440000.000.0077.6251258717,612596658463186670.0859596,40951,0091,036,5484.92120.00800013.7019655441884667

    1983AL298.94392477512710099344716687913606601582200390.0040860766.000.0081.9845328634,592512072419559700.0885511,88945,1451,055,0794.28120.00800013.30250175290105693

    1983AL304.1140351566941020680325398889316112072589820.0053914921.000.0088.4239086547,204431722381900230.0905431,51838,8821,059,5623.674.99120.00800012.2713.6621022443894598

    1984AL304.714024208434101589012888735835715012622322761.0040594129.000.0090.4647864670,096553298499137040.0865553,12747,6931,063,5834.48120.00800012.20453484583135246

    1984AL305.44417393691910511938436497522782348072258907.00134273699.000.0093.0134735486,290399865371853040.0869399,70334,5731,085,7663.18120.00800011.1317686424274582

    1984AL302.69419851329110669744985440313508815571792864.00183502095.000.0093.0338863544,082444455413564660.0874444,32538,7331,105,7073.50120.00800011.17266944650122589

    1984AL315.2443835512171069638352650219529259812438903.00197966562.000.0094.4640566567,924467046441239840.0869466,87340,3931,110,0313.643.70120.00800010.1711.17266514255115117

    1985AL313.214302067507105658113845737737761076112466481.00186218593.000.0093.0152312732,368580075537691920.0902579,89152,1281,108,7094.70120.0080009.80525184409143990

    1985AL319.31451259788410871149020889223625511362177070.00292253178.000.0094.3036666513,324418830394963940.0875418,67536,5111,123,6253.25120.0080008.5022632443584865

    1985AL316.05452285788411008115237556913804315071517160.00352933192.000.0095.1636114505,596419490398972390.0861419,38436,0081,136,8193.17120.0080008.63295674761101537

    1985AL330.8647635937611107509377146539941590451782858.00378299564.000.0095.9037962531,468414357397357250.0916414,22637,8311,145,3403.303.61120.0080008.578.8825356417898426

    1986AL326.42467914039311026568666518340576185831805755.00374561152.000.0095.6644273619,822538491512942380.0822538,37244,1541,146,8103.85120.0080009.80528654138130830

    1986AL327.86478490395111226525545671624299361531583824.00427241015.000.0097.3738209534,926454664442667480.0840454,55938,1041,160,7563.28120.00800010.0323871419696346

    1986AL327.18480772672211303533202379914091945801256857.00450205144.000.0097.9239752556,528459206449313620.0866459,12139,6671,170,0203.39120.00800010.07291134784102028

    1986AL343.23506154694911343822297061110016791001681122.00449305976.000.0098.3839840557,760470735463206140.0846470,62439,7291,174,1113.383.48120.0080009.409.83261644459105030

    1987AL336.54492330078511253116701792141628077292472179.00430359668.0010,828,692.0097.4446155646,170553805538165840.0833553,64245,9921,171,3033.93120.0080008.93503934522122866

    1987AL337.48509066845711603204472543625141767681979295.00469592397.00845,674.0097.9932177450,478389164381375620.0827389,03632,0491,192,3692.69120.0080007.6324477443171793

    1987AL338.99520202444411804522664134614698163373275108.00489174940.000.0098.4834157478,198395164388919310.0864394,94333,9361,214,3882.79120.0080007.5032172474184317

    1987AL365.92565124834711879842018932710865177491386881.00492984708.000.0099.1928586400,204353869350975650.0808353,78228,4991,216,4832.342.94120.0080006.977.7627249469977559

    1988AL346.94528609140911720276876080044448770631285338.00483817800.000.0097.3135935503,090438207425437380.0820438,12435,8521,207,8792.97120.0080007.23504234906111948

    1988AL350.1954755087021202744439404882590967160995889.00533552891.0010,767,091.0099.1226238367,332312966310197100.0838312,90126,1731,228,9172.13120.0080007.0328555448167729

    1988AL357.85565652415812159372634417315090679531082346.00556355234.000.0099.2328709401,926340200337581530.0844340,12928,6381,244,5752.30120.0080007.3736843472896734

    1988AL379.11600290610112180171932919310907233401198681.00552049234.000.00100.2528196394,744332269333094080.0849332,19128,1181,246,1352.262.41120.0080007.177.2028224447079577

    1989AL358.51564274050312107296503183847429374051223259.00550153843.0012,052,153.00103.1136772514,808441463453829740.0833441,38736,6961,247,4252.94145.0080007.33495604678109463

    1989AL365.0858726356481237376384534542622393690953656.00591678402.000.00106.3328229395,206334158355398960.0845334,10028,1711,265,5472.23145.0080007.0324454443369947

    1989AL361.93588710599712512332303152715064190251128297.00605971798.0012,551,396.00107.3530050420,700356389382186300.0843356,32129,9821,281,2152.34145.0080007.1335422351694215

    1989AL388.73634606882912557691738445211107760701330977.00608974411.000.00109.1128608400,512336122366800120.0851336,04228,5281,284,2972.222.43145.0080006.537.0127576446687296

    1990AL374.18603492748012406336430242350032476521404789.00586429085.0013,554,383.00111.3139604554,456475257526487590.0833475,17639,5231,280,1563.09150.0080007.20580644716132270

    1990AL378.50624580081612693563778080627165878271004295.00624101894.000.00114.3029884418,376354926406014770.0842354,86929,8271,299,1832.30150.0080006.6727585456274142

    1990AL377.29625621200912755502167635615038307371184901.00634217201.000.00113.7932061448,854376929428564980.0851376,86131,9931,307,5432.45150.0080006.97394704840102579

    1990AL406.83673908388512742191604426211040310491414087.00623354411.000.00114.1635001490,014404286461469770.0866404,20434,9191,309,1382.672.62150.0080006.636.87432224625116818

    1991AL384.21620703762812427294846654550994980111498165.00591462585.0013,867,174.00115.8048313676,382588492677159910.0821588,41048,2311,290,9603.74150.0080007.67732835232149439

    1991AL390.98642350949412637782841128326876374271213492.00598546044.0013,483,459.00118.9638466538,524461325549026780.0834461,26038,4011,302,1792.95150.0080007.3335299542688727

    1991AL391.38649529674212765911677540915035196731523341.00589265790.000.00117.6136616512,624426283500992110.0859426,19736,5301,313,1212.78150.0080007.0740431603393493

    1991AL424.38705570786412789091288258410993256932104347.00561059790.000.00118.1535901502,614407899481745170.0880407,77835,7801,314,6892.723.05150.0080006.877.2334050515292302

    1992AL401.56658321526412610895745539253190777202035402.00523636906.000.00115.9846650653,100559861646891930.0833559,74946,5381,307,6273.56160.0080007.63641525881124794

    1992AL404.07677483558412897223169266327055501501551435.00544459343.000.00118.3136454510,356432605511848430.0843432,52036,3691,326,0912.74160.0080007.5333702528276474

    1992AL409.44692677281513013691823939115245359481907448.00549932490.000.00120.1234926488,964421520504989110.0829421,41934,8251,336,1942.61160.0080007.4038256541089150

    1992AL458.42783235197513142861468938811598393411996146.00539878753.000.00122.4128942405,188344822421891910.0839344,71728,8371,343,1232.152.76160.0080007.037.4028545470675995

    1993AL400.98676181606312971637866701554424049101806902.00514820300.000.00122.3135812501,368431177525212100.0831431,08335,7181,332,8812.68165.0080007.70662284396121156

    1993AL416.28718783360213282314414827828401205781406297.00560419246.000.00126.6329088407,232345078436968350.0843345,00629,0161,357,2472.14165.0080007.8334993437277624

    1993AL422.45734616404413376552420825615802704241705590.00567106731.000.00129.2331758444,612377356487234880.0842377,27131,6731,369,3282.31165.0080007.9335767509489887

    1993AL464.64813567671413468971945470612077255761933590.00560142526.000.00126.8929631414,834347520440083580.0853347,42029,5311,376,4282.152.32165.0080006.937.6033209441881596

    1994AL420.25724045565713253035217321957160413281878049.00534167854.009,972,328.00125.9637826529,564454336570760180.0833454,24137,7311,363,0342.77180.0080006.60558784790113628

    1994AL427.69754987658713578832871354228822093601512259.00555801897.000.00127.9527466384,524321893411840690.0853321,81527,3881,385,2711.98180.0080005.9325301426159794

    1994AL442.93793391517613778661709963816809925541786500.00552076318.000.00129.4928329396,606330714427563760.0857330,62328,2381,406,1042.01180.0080005.9331881473178265

    1994AL467.64845429806713906661395159512627869942051666.00542293232.000.00132.7624419341,866282652375249030.0864282,54924,3161,414,9821.722.12180.0080005.536.0024414432961732

    1995AL448.81805888910913812445990642061945868552121583.00518721685.000.00132.7231004434,056360937477628750.0859360,83130,8981,412,1422.19180.0080006.13461724675100278

    1995AL443.70813420089914101993036746629247020021650942.00549955442.000.00135.7825807361,298300792408679690.0858300,71225,7271,435,9261.79180.0080006.5025236439463349

    1995AL445.36821923031114196311694483716274592601951803.00542057343.000.00135.4130841431,774358287484922930.0861358,19230,7461,450,3772.12180.0080006.7341981475496142

    1995AL479.62888553603714250931441599212964884792274516.00525314733.000.00136.5230035420,490346618473321550.0867346,50729,9241,455,0172.062.04180.0080005.706.27311494329101856

    1996AL460.01839288935514034595653829763363907612135877.00488240282.009,155,549.00136.3438657541,198462007627074660.0837461,90638,5561,442,0152.67180.0080005.40568184583130758

    1996AL460.63855669746714289182937900029667842501683462.00505806977.000.00140.0731036434,504370388518818370.0838370,31130,9591,459,8772.12180.0080005.2725079409070750

    1996AL461.48865138153514420741741562716780386811943507.00492270516.000.00139.0331635442,890367251510021940.0861367,15831,5421,473,6162.14180.0080005.1733565459081014

    1996AL502.53949704758014537191522037813670130842134962.00475783820.000.00139.5628585400,190335222467629520.0853335,12228,4851,482,2041.922.21180.0080004.705.1327366394177519

    1997AL481.00898487595614368876206341766647582921898426.00444524177.000.00138.0434295480,130410017561499270.0836409,92934,2071,471,0942.33180.0080005.03603594098105401

    1997AL473.83902824238014656883158923330484234611348966.00468347896.000.00142.3527108379,512320684456483950.0845320,62227,0461,492,7341.81180.0080005.3027055395565803

    1997AL480.82920426479814725201740353717001996671551073.00459823304.000.00143.0328972405,608338895483908320.0855338,82428,9011,501,4211.92180.0080005.4034451408479403

    1997AL527.281016272022714825951533762514112691851907006.00443675050.000.00145.8925866362,124304867444594180.0848304,78225,7811,508,3761.711.94180.0080004.505.0629534389874638

    1998AL495.23943255104114651338815114569024635892281119.00411208663.000.00146.0033377467,278394626572214150.0846394,52433,2751,498,4082.22180.0080004.13610284094106890

    1998AL491.82960069852015016034264960830976893672423185.00458665666.000.00150.3827323382,522323104485915810.0846322,99927,2181,528,8211.78180.0080004.1728954391965095

    1998AL495.64967818286315020592390500517440826302451520.00457248732.000.00150.8329190408,660346283522079690.0843346,17829,0851,531,1441.90180.0080004.3735265410178172

    1998AL551.031076418246115026722098212414562274802185458.00443975186.000.00150.9626930377,020321034483951280.0839320,94126,8371,529,5091.751.91180.0080004.204.2233030365584914

    1999AL504.10970056448314802527465378070593269771892188.00418944005.000.00149.2330715430,010364769541668520.0842364,68730,6331,510,8852.03190.0080004.4754114346597448

    1999AL510.501000666073215078353550449631071921461426394.00458861910.000.00153.4725492356,888301353462624140.0846301,29325,4321,533,2671.66190.0080004.9727216349260685

    1999AL523.331031291171515158842050474517758011251813003.00452114345.000.00154.2527340382,760326771503833190.0837326,69527,2641,543,1481.77190.0080005.0733280402771445

    1999AL574.481134505726515191121859973515222242422082389.00436622621.000.00155.0125488356,832299736464340100.0850299,64825,4001,544,5121.641.77190.0080004.534.7630993366768855

    2000AL545.9310594074919149272577259995750954370519725274068842750154.5329893418,502356445549507420.0839356,36329,8111,522,5361.96190.0080004.5346016361890364

    2000AL533.210479846683151188432824287298682267414437044490224840156.3124386341,404287399449236270.0849287,33924,3261,536,2101.58190.0080004.4327945366658075

    2000AL529.2210444658071151813719086359171112191117650424362993750156.4828102393,428332439520248960.0845332,36628,0291,546,1661.81190.0080004.7736007355978357

    2000AL577.0811343903066151211916466407141773935822433104103118860159.2829947419,258356240567448240.0841356,14929,8561,541,9751.941.82190.0080004.674.6028748384885328

    2001AL562.6510820502863147933293071169756056893622697673600301230159.6438908544,712467299742807970.0833467,20838,8171,518,1492.56190.0080004.90484633640112752

    2001AL551.5810723221483149545937320284288845222618717663927458840162.4735040490,560426508693065040.0822426,43534,9671,530,4262.28190.0080004.9729191383785667

    2001AL552.5710702231166148986120859500160082394922521463669669920161.2536440510,160435464701670910.0837435,37436,3501,526,2112.38190.0080005.5724119432788828

    2001AL597.2611476784450147813917589062130008852127532033189203490163.0139572554,008471616768851520.0839471,50739,4631,517,6022.602.46190.0080005.835.3222246395996454

    TWCR GRAPH

    540

    550

    860

    1270

    1580

    2090

    22100

    24110

    25120

    30130

    30140

    30150

    40160

    40170

    60180

    75190

    105200

    150210

    190220

    ALUIQI CALC

    Total Qtr. Weeks Claimed

    Tot. Qtr. Weeks Compensated

    IU

    UI Weeks Claimed vs. Weeks Compensated Quarterly Data (1981-2002)

    Forecast

    Average Weekly Wage

    Average Weekly Benefit

    AWB

    AWW

    ($)

    Avg. Weekly Benefit vs. Average Weekly Wage Quarterly Data (1981-2002)

    Project

    Avg. Weekly Benefit

    awb

    Dollar Amt. Received ($)

    No. of Claimants

    Weekly Benefit Amount

    PasBLS

    REG BENSTOTYr BensYr TOTBen/TOT

    1982157395648.003431527381

    1982251831163.003591107422

    1982360665932.003597151403

    1982464067858.003707316209233960601143271024151.63

    1983165382384.003526258371

    1983246318667.003724558356

    1983341955970.003924775127

    1983438190023.004035156694191847044152107485481.26

    1984149913704.004024208434

    1984237185304.004173936919

    1984341356466.004198513291

    1984444123984.004383551217172579458167802098611.03

    1985153769192.004302067507

    1985239496394.004512597884

    1985339897239.004522857884

    1985439735725.004763593761172898550181011170360.96

    1986151294238.004679140393

    1986244266748.004784903951

    1986344931362.004807726722

    1986446320614.005061546949186812962193333180150.97

    1987153816584.004923300785

    1987238137562.005090668457

    1987338891931.005202024444

    1987435097565.005651248347165943642208672420330.80

    1988142543738.005286091409

    1988231019710.005475508702

    1988333758153.005656524158

    1988433309408.006002906101140631009224210303700.63

    1989145382974.005642740503

    1989235539896.005872635648

    1989338218630.005887105997

    1989436680012.006346068829155821512237485509770.66

    1990152648759.006034927480

    1990240601477.006245800816

    1990342856498.006256212009

    1990446146977.006739083885182253711252760241900.72

    1991167715991.006207037628

    1991254902678.006423509494

    1991350099211.006495296742

    1991448174517.007055707864220892397261815517280.84

    1992164689193.006583215264

    1992251184843.006774835584

    1992350498911.006926772815

    1992442189191.007832351975208562138281171756380.74

    1993152521210.006761816063

    1993243696835.007187833602

    1993348723488.007346164044

    1993444008358.008135676714188949891294314904230.64

    1994157076018.007240455657

    1994241184069.007549876587

    1994342756376.007933915176

    1994437524903.008454298067178541366311785454870.57

    1995147762875.008058889109

    1995240867969.008134200899

    1995348492293.008219230311

    1995447332155.008885536037184455292332978563560.55

    1996162707466.008392889355

    1996251881837.008556697467

    1996351002194.008651381535

    1996446762952.009497047580212354449350980159370.61

    1997156149927.008984875956

    1997245648395.009028242380

    1997348390832.009204264798

    1997444459418.0010162720227194648572373801033610.52

    1998157221415.009432551041

    1998248591581.009600698520

    1998352207969.009678182863

    1998448395128.0010764182461206416093394756148850.52

    1999154166852.009700564483

    1999246262414.0010006660732

    1999350383319.0010312911715

    1999446434010.0011345057265197246595413651941950.48

    2000154950742.0010594074919

    2000244923627.0010479846683

    2000352024896.0010444658071

    2000456744824.0011343903066208644089428624827390.49

    2001174280797.0010820502863

    2001269306504.0010723221483

    2001370167091.0010702231166

    2001476885152.0011476784450290639544437227399620.66

    ALPJT

    YearQRTQITWCRUIAWBAWWTAXTOTMWBMTWBTURNMAPICAnnQIAnnTUR

    198216.28763,97165,48475.21270.133,028,256,7763,431,527,381906600.0013.675456145802021760.000.00

    198225.44664,46056,93878.00279.001,844,710,5243,591,107,422906600.0013.602693850681336190.000.00

    198236.18768,19564,48678.95282.541,020,166,6063,597,151,403906600.0014.873129354121634240.000.00

    198246.58807,84868,04779.33294.99664,050,1453,707,316,209906600.0015.332449952871426516.1214.37

    198317.08842,77172,59777.61284.703,174,726,0733,526,258,3711208000.0015.374469949791523740.000.00

    198324.92596,40951,00977.62290.712,180,782,0663,724,558,3561208000.0013.70196554418846670.000.00

    198334.28511,88945,14581.98298.941,360,660,1583,924,775,1271208000.0013.302501752901056930.000.00

    198343.67431,51838,88288.42304.11931,611,2074,035,156,6941208000.0012.27210224438945984.9913.66

    198414.48553,12747,69390.46304.713,571,501,2624,024,208,4341208000.0012.204534845831352460.000.00

    198423.18399,70334,57393.01305.442,278,234,8074,173,936,9191208000.0011.13176864242745820.000.00

    198433.50444,32538,73393.03302.691,350,881,5574,198,513,2911208000.0011.172669446501225890.000.00

    198443.64466,87340,39394.46315.24952,925,9814,383,551,2171208000.0010.172665142551151173.7011.17

    198514.70579,89152,12893.01313.213,776,107,6114,302,067,5071208000.009.805251844091439900.000.00

    198523.25418,67536,51194.30319.312,362,551,1364,512,597,8841208000.008.50226324435848650.000.00

    198533.17419,38436,00895.16316.051,380,431,5074,522,857,8841208000.008.632956747611015370.000.00

    198543.30414,22637,83195.90330.86994,159,0454,763,593,7611208000.008.57253564178984263.618.88

    198613.85538,37244,15495.66326.424,057,618,5834,679,140,3931208000.009.805286541381308300.000.00

    198623.28454,55938,10497.37327.862,429,936,1534,784,903,9511208000.0010.03238714196963460.000.00

    198633.39459,12139,66797.92327.181,409,194,5804,807,726,7221208000.0010.072911347841020280.000.00

    198643.38470,62439,72998.38343.231,001,679,1005,061,546,9491208000.009.402616444591050303.489.83

    198713.93553,64245,99297.44336.544,162,807,7294,923,300,7851208000.008.935039345221228660.000.00

    198722.69389,03632,04997.99337.482,514,176,7685,090,668,4571208000.007.63244774431717930.000.00

    198732.79394,94333,93698.48338.991,469,816,3375,202,024,4441208000.007.50321724741843170.000.00

    198742.34353,78228,49999.19365.921,086,517,7495,651,248,3471208000.006.97272494699775592.947.76

    198812.97438,12435,85297.31346.944,444,877,0635,286,091,4091208000.007.235042349061119480.000.00

    198822.13312,90126,17399.12350.192,590,967,1605,475,508,7021208000.007.03285554481677290.000.00

    198832.30340,12928,63899.23357.851,509,067,9535,656,524,1581208000.007.37368434728967340.000.00

    198842.26332,19128,118100.25379.111,090,723,3406,002,906,1011208000.007.17282244470795772.417.20

    198912.94441,38736,696103.11358.514,742,937,4055,642,740,5031458000.007.334956046781094630.000.00

    198922.23334,10028,171106.33365.082,622,393,6905,872,635,6481458000.007.03244544433699470.000.00

    198932.34356,32129,982107.35361.931,506,419,0255,887,105,9971458000.007.13354223516942150.000.00

    198942.22336,04228,528109.11388.731,110,776,0706,346,068,8291458000.006.53275764466872962.437.01

    199013.09475,17639,523111.31374.185,003,247,6526,034,927,4801508000.007.205806447161322700.000.00

    199022.30354,86929,827114.30378.502,716,587,8276,245,800,8161508000.006.67275854562741420.000.00

    199032.45376,86131,993113.79377.291,503,830,7376,256,212,0091508000.006.973947048401025790.000.00

    199042.67404,20434,919114.16406.831,104,031,0496,739,083,8851508000.006.634322246251168182.626.87

    199113.74588,41048,231115.80384.215,099,498,0116,207,037,6281508000.007.677328352321494390.000.00

    199122.95461,26038,401118.96390.982,687,637,4276,423,509,4941508000.007.33352995426887270.000.00

    199132.78426,19736,530117.61391.381,503,519,6736,495,296,7421508000.007.07404316033934930.000.00

    199142.72407,77835,780118.15424.381,099,325,6937,055,707,8641508000.006.87340505152923023.057.23

    199213.56559,74946,538115.98401.565,319,077,7206,583,215,2641608000.007.636415258811247940.000.00

    199222.74432,52036,369118.31404.072,705,550,1506,774,835,5841608000.007.53337025282764740.000.00

    199232.61421,41934,825120.12409.441,524,535,9486,926,772,8151608000.007.40382565410891500.000.00

    199242.15344,71728,837122.41458.421,159,839,3417,832,351,9751608000.007.03285454706759952.767.40

    199312.68431,08335,718122.31400.985,442,404,9106,761,816,0631658000.007.706622843961211560.000.00

    199322.14345,00629,016126.63416.282,840,120,5787,187,833,6021658000.007.83349934372776240.000.00

    199332.31377,27131,673129.23422.451,580,270,4247,346,164,0441658000.007.93357675094898870.000.00

    199342.15347,42029,531126.89464.641,207,725,5768,135,676,7141658000.006.93332094418815962.327.60

    199412.77454,24137,731125.96420.255,716,041,3287,240,455,6571808000.006.605587847901136280.000.00

    199421.98321,81527,388127.95427.692,882,209,3607,549,876,5871808000.005.93253014261597940.000.00

    199432.01330,62328,238129.49442.931,680,992,5547,933,915,1761808000.005.93318814731782650.000.00

    199441.72282,54924,316132.76467.641,262,786,9948,454,298,0671808000.005.53244144329617322.126.00

    199512.19360,83130,898132.72448.816,194,586,8558,058,889,1091808000.006.134617246751002780.000.00

    199521.79300,71225,727135.78443.702,924,702,0028,134,200,8991808000.006.50252364394633490.000.00

    199532.12358,19230,746135.41445.361,627,459,2608,219,230,3111808000.006.73419814754961420.000.00

    199542.06346,50729,924136.52479.621,296,488,4798,885,536,0371808000.005.703114943291018562.046.27

    199612.67461,90638,556136.34460.016,336,390,7618,392,889,3551808000.005.405681845831307580.000.00

    199622.12370,31130,959140.07460.632,966,784,2508,556,697,4671808000.005.27250794090707500.000.00

    199632.14367,15831,542139.03461.481,678,038,6818,651,381,5351808000.005.17335654590810140.000.00

    199641.92335,12228,485139.56502.531,367,013,0849,497,047,5801808000.004.70273663941775192.215.13

    199712.33409,92934,207138.04481.006,664,758,2928,984,875,9561808000.005.036035940981054010.000.00

    199721.81320,62227,046142.35473.833,048,423,4619,028,242,3801808000.005.30270553955658030.000.00

    199731.92338,82428,901143.03480.821,700,199,6679,204,264,7981808000.005.40344514084794030.000.00

    199741.71304,78225,781145.89527.281,411,269,18510,162,720,2271808000.004.50295343898746381.945.06

    199812.22394,52433,275146.00495.236,902,463,5899,432,551,0411808000.004.136102840941068900.000.00

    199821.78322,99927,218150.38491.823,097,689,3679,600,698,5201808000.004.17289543919650950.000.00

    199831.90346,17829,085150.83495.641,744,082,6309,678,182,8631808000.004.37352654101781720.000.00

    199841.75320,94126,837150.96551.031,456,227,48010,764,182,4611808000.004.20330303655849141.914.22

    199912.03364,68730,633149.23504.107,059,326,9779,700,564,4831908000.004.47541143465974480.000.00

    199921.66301,29325,432153.47510.503,107,192,14610,006,660,7321908000.004.97272163492606850.000.00

    199931.77326,69527,264154.25523.331,775,801,12510,312,911,7151908000.005.07332804027714450.000.00

    199941.64299,64825,400155.01574.481,522,224,24211,345,057,2651908000.004.53309933667688551.774.76

    200011.96356,36329,811154.53545.937,509,543,70510,594,074,9191908000.004.53460163618903640.000.00

    200021.58287,33924,326156.31533.202,986,822,67410,479,846,6831908000.004.43279453666580750.000.00

    200031.81332,36628,029156.48529.221,711,121,91110,444,658,0711908000.004.77360073559783570.000.00

    200041.94356,14929,856159.28577.081,417,739,35811,343,903,0661908000.004.67287483848853281.824.60

    200112.56467,20838,817159.64562.657,560,568,93610,820,502,8631908000.004.904846336401127520.000.00

    200122.28426,43534,967162.47551.582,888,452,22610,723,221,4831908000.004.97291913837856670.000.00

    200132.38435,37436,350161.25552.571,600,823,94910,702,231,1661908000.005.57241194327888280.000.00

    200142.60471,50739,463163.01597.261,300,088,52111,476,784,4501908000.005.83222463959964542.465.32

    QIM

    M015.1

    M025.1

    M034.54.90

    M044.6

    M054.5

    M065.84.97

    M075.5

    M085.6

    M095.65.574.90

    M1064.97

    M115.95.57

    M125.65.835.83

    TWCRM

    YearAnnQIAnnTUR

    19826.1214.37

    19834.9913.66

    19843.7011.17

    19853.618.88

    19863.489.83

    19872.947.76

    19882.417.20

    19892.437.01

    19902.626.87

    19913.057.23

    19922.767.40

    19932.327.60

    19942.126.00

    19952.046.27

    19962.215.13

    19971.945.06

    19981.914.22

    19991.774.76

    20001.824.60

    20012.465.32

    YearQRTQITWCRUIAWBAWWTAXTOTMWBMTWBTUR

    198216.287639716548475.21270.133028256776343152738190660013.67

    198317.088427717259777.61284.7031747260733526258371120800015.37

    198414.485531274769390.46304.7135715012624024208434120800012.20

    198514.705798915212893.01313.213776107611430206750712080009.80

    198613.855383724415495.66326.424057618583467914039312080009.80

    198713.935536424599297.44336.544162807729492330078512080008.93

    198812.974381243585297.31346.944444877063528609140912080007.23

    198912.9444138736696103.11358.514742937405564274050314580007.33

    199013.0947517639523111.31374.185003247652603492748015080007.20

    199113.7458841048231115.80384.215099498011620703762815080007.67

    199213.5655974946538115.98401.565319077720658321526416080007.63

    199312.6843108335718122.31400.985442404910676181606316580007.70

    199412.7745424137731125.96420.255716041328724045565718080006.60

    199512.1936083130898132.72448.816194586855805888910918080006.13

    199612.6746190638556136.34460.016336390761839288935518080005.40

    199712.3340992934207138.04481.006664758292898487595618080005.03

    199812.2239452433275146.00495.236902463589943255104118080004.13

    199912.0336468730633149.23504.107059326977970056448319080004.47

    200011.9635636329811154.53545.9375095437051059407491919080004.53

    200112.5646720838817159.64562.6575605689361082050286319080004.90

    198225.446644605693878.00279.001844710524359110742290660013.60

    198324.925964095100977.62290.7121807820663724558356120800013.70

    198423.183997033457393.01305.4422782348074173936919120800011.13

    198523.254186753651194.30319.312362551136451259788412080008.50

    198623.284545593810497.37327.8624299361534784903951120800010.03

    198722.693890363204997.99337.482514176768509066845712080007.63

    198822.133129012617399.12350.192590967160547550870212080007.03

    198922.2333410028171106.33365.082622393690587263564814580007.03

    199022.3035486929827114.30378.502716587827624580081615080006.67

    199122.9546126038401118.96390.982687637427642350949415080007.33

    199222.7443252036369118.31404.072705550150677483558416080007.53

    199322.1434500629016126.63416.282840120578718783360216580007.83

    199421.9832181527388127.95427.692882209360754987658718080005.93

    199521.7930071225727135.78443.702924702002813420089918080006.50

    199622.1237031130959140.07460.632966784250855669746718080005.27

    199721.8132062227046142.35473.833048423461902824238018080005.30

    199821.7832299927218150.38491.823097689367960069852018080004.17

    199921.6630129325432153.47510.5031071921461000666073219080004.97

    200021.5828733924326156.31533.2029868226741047984668319080004.43

    200122.2842643534967162.47551.5828884522261072322148319080004.97

    198236.187681956448678.95282.541020166606359715140390660014.87

    198334.285118894514581.98298.9413606601583924775127120800013.30

    198433.504443253873393.03302.6913508815574198513291120800011.17

    198533.174193843600895.16316.051380431507452285788412080008.63

    198633.394591213966797.92327.1814091945804807726722120800010.07

    198732.793949433393698.48338.991469816337520202444412080007.50

    198832.303401292863899.23357.851509067953565652415812080007.37

    198932.3435632129982107.35361.931506419025588710599714580007.13

    199032.4537686131993113.79377.291503830737625621200915080006.97

    199132.7842619736530117.61391.381503519673649529674215080007.07

    199232.6142141934825120.12409.441524535948692677281516080007.40

    199332.3137727131673129.23422.451580270424734616404416580007.93

    199432.0133062328238129.49442.931680992554793391517618080005.93

    199532.1235819230746135.41445.361627459260821923031118080006.73

    199632.1436715831542139.03461.481678038681865138153518080005.17

    199731.9233882428901143.03480.821700199667920426479818080005.40

    199831.9034617829085150.83495.641744082630967818286318080004.37

    199931.7732669527264154.25523.3317758011251031291171519080005.07

    200031.8133236628029156.48529.2217111219111044465807119080004.77

    200132.3843537436350161.25552.5716008239491070223116619080005.57

    198246.588078486804779.33294.99664050145370731620990660015.33

    198343.674315183888288.42304.119316112074035156694120800012.27

    198443.644668734039394.46315.249529259814383551217120800010.17

    198543.304142263783195.90330.86994159045476359376112080008.57

    198643.384706243972998.38343.231001679100506154694912080009.40

    198742.343537822849999.19365.921086517749565124834712080006.97

    198842.2633219128118100.25379.111090723340600290610112080007.17

    198942.2233604228528109.11388.731110776070634606882914580006.53

    199042.6740420434919114.16406.831104031049673908388515080006.63

    199142.7240777835780118.15424.381099325693705570786415080006.87

    199242.1534471728837122.41458.421159839341783235197516080007.03

    199342.1534742029531126.89464.641207725576813567671416580006.93

    199441.7228254924316132.76467.641262786994845429806718080005.53

    199542.0634650729924136.52479.621296488479888553603718080005.70

    199641.9233512228485139.56502.531367013084949704758018080004.70

    199741.7130478225781145.89527.2814112691851016272022718080004.50

    199841.7532094126837150.96551.0314562274801076418246118080004.20

    199941.6429964825400155.01574.4815222242421134505726519080004.53

    200041.9435614929856159.28577.0814177393581134390306619080004.67

    200142.6047150739463163.01597.2613000885211147678445019080005.83

    NMAPIC

    19821545614580202176

    19831446994979152374

    19841453484583135246

    19851525184409143990

    19861528654138130830

    19871503934522122866

    19881504234906111948

    19891495604678109463

    19901580644716132270

    19911732835232149439

    19921641525881124794

    19931662284396121156

    19941558784790113628

    19951461724675100278

    19961568184583130758

    19971603594098105401

    19981610284094106890

    1999154114346597448

    2000146016361890364

    20011484633640112752

    19822269385068133619

    1983219655441884667

    1984217686424274582

    1985222632443584865

    1986223871419696346

    1987224477443171793

    1988228555448167729

    1989224454443369947

    1990227585456274142

    1991235299542688727

    1992233702528276474

    1993234993437277624

    1994225301426159794

    1995225236439463349

    1996225079409070750

    1997227055395565803

    1998228954391965095

    1999227216349260685

    2000227945366658075

    2001229191383785667

    19823312935412163424

    19833250175290105693

    19843266944650122589

    19853295674761101537

    19863291134784102028

    1987332172474184317

    1988336843472896734

    1989335422351694215

    19903394704840102579

    1991340431603393493

    1992338256541089150

    1993335767509489887

    1994331881473178265

    1995341981475496142

    1996333565459081014

    1997334451408479403

    1998335265410178172

    1999333280402771445

    2000336007355978357

    2001324119432788828

    19824244995287142651

    1983421022443894598

    19844266514255115117

    1985425356417898426

    19864261644459105030

    1987427249469977559

    1988428224447079577

    1989427576446687296

    19904432224625116818

    1991434050515292302

    1992428545470675995

    1993433209441881596

    1994424414432961732

    19954311494329101856

    1996427366394177519

    1997429534389874638

    1998433030365584914

    1999430993366768855

    2000428748384885328

    2001422246395996454

    TAXTOTM

    QIQQICQIP/QINQIQQICQIP/QINQIQQICQIP/QINQIQQICQIP/QIN

    19872.942.432.4119872.232.432.4119872.342.432.6219872.222.432.62

    19883.092.622.4319882.302.622.4319882.452.623.0519882.672.623.05

    19893.743.052.6219892.953.052.6219892.783.052.7619892.723.052.76

    19903.562.763.0519902.742.763.0519902.612.762.3219902.152.762.32

    19912.682.322.7619912.142.322.7619912.312.322.1219912.152.322.12

    19922.772.122.3219921.982.122.3219922.012.122.0419921.722.122.04

    19932.192.042.1219931.792.042.1219932.122.042.2119932.062.042.21

    19942.672.212.0419942.122.212.0419942.142.211.9419941.922.211.94

    19952.331.942.2119951.811.942.2119951.921.941.9119951.711.941.91

    19962.221.911.9419961.781.911.9419961.901.911.7719961.751.911.77

    19972.031.771.9119971.661.771.9119971.771.771.8219971.641.771.82

    19981.961.821.7719981.581.821.7719981.811.822.4619981.941.822.46

    19992.562.461.8219992.282.461.8219992.382.4619992.602.46

    AWBM

    TWCRUIAWWAWBTWCRUIAWWAWBTWCRUIAWWAWBTWCRUIAWWAWB

    198744138736696358.51103.11198733410028171365.08106.33198735632129982361.93107.35198733604228528388.73109.11

    198847517639523374.18111.31198835486929827378.50114.30198837686131993377.29113.79198840420434919406.83114.16

    198958841048231384.21115.80198946126038401390.98118.96198942619736530391.38117.61198940777835780424.38118.15

    199055974946538401.56115.98199043252036369404.07118.31199042141934825409.44120.12199034471728837458.42122.41

    199143108335718400.98122.31199134500629016416.28126.63199137727131673422.45129.23199134742029531464.64126.89

    199245424137731420.25125.96199232181527388427.69127.95199233062328238442.93129.49199228254924316467.64132.76

    199336083130898448.81132.72199330071225727443.70135.78199335819230746445.36135.41199334650729924479.62136.52

    199446190638556460.01136.34199437031130959460.63140.07199436715831542461.48139.03199433512228485502.53139.56

    199540992934207481.00138.04199532062227046473.83142.35199533882428901480.82143.03199530478225781527.28145.89

    199639452433275495.23146.00199632299927218491.82150.38199634617829085495.64150.83199632094126837551.03150.96

    199736468730633504.10149.23199730129325432510.50153.47199732669527264523.33154.25199729964825400574.48155.01

    199835636329811545.93154.53199828733924326533.20156.31199833236628029529.22156.48199835614929856577.08159.28

    199946720838817562.65159.64199942643534967551.58162.47199943537436350552.57161.25199947150739463597.26163.01

    PPSheet

    TOTTAXAWWQIMTWBTOTTAXAWWQIMTWBTOTTAXAWWQIMTWBTOTTAXAWWQIMTWB

    198756427414742937358.512.948000198758726362622394365.082.238000198758871061506419361.932.348000198763460691110776388.732.228000

    198860349275003248374.183.098000198862458012716588378.502.308000198862562121503831377.292.458000198867390841104031406.832.678000

    198962070385099498384.213.748000198964235092687637390.982.958000198964952971503520391.382.788000198970557081099326424.382.728000

    199065832155319078401.563.568000199067748362705550404.072.748000199069267731524536409.442.618000199078323521159839458.422.158000

    199167618165442405400.982.688000199171878342840121416.282.148000199173461641580270422.452.318000199181356771207726464.642.158000

    199272404565716041420.252.778000199275498772882209427.691.988000199279339151680993442.932.018000199284542981262787467.641.728000

    199380588896194587448.812.198000199381342012924702443.701.798000199382192301627459445.362.128000199388855361296488479.622.068000

    199483928896336391460.012.678000199485566972966784460.632.128000199486513821678039461.482.148000199494970481367013502.531.928000

    199589848766664758481.002.338000199590282423048423473.831.818000199592042651700200480.821.9280001995101627201411269527.281.718000

    199694325516902464495.232.228000199696006993097689491.821.788000199696781831744083495.641.9080001996107641821456227551.031.758000

    199797005647059327504.102.0380001997100066613107192510.501.6680001997103129121775801523.331.7780001997113450571522224574.481.648000

    1998105940757509544545.931.9680001998104798472986823533.201.5880001998104446581711122529.221.8180001998113439031417739577.081.948000

    1999108205037560569562.652.5680001999107232212888452551.582.2880001999107022311600824552.572.3880001999114767841300089597.262.608000

    WKLDM

    AWWAWBMWBQIAWWAWBMWBQIAWWAWBMWBQIAWWAWBMWBQI

    1987358.51103.11145.002.941987365.08106.33145.002.231987361.93107.35145.002.341987388.73109.11145.002.22

    1988374.18111.31150.003.091988378.50114.30150.002.301988377.29113.79150.002.451988406.83114.16150.002.67

    1989384.21115.80150.003.741989390.98118.96150.002.951989391.38117.61150.002.781989424.38118.15150.002.72

    1990401.56115.98160.003.561990404.07118.31160.002.741990409.44120.12160.002.611990458.42122.41160.002.15

    1991400.98122.31165.002.681991416.28126.63165.002.141991422.45129.23165.002.311991464.64126.89165.002.15

    1992420.25125.96180.002.771992427.69127.95180.001.981992442.93129.49180.002.011992467.64132.76180.001.72

    1993448.81132.72180.002.191993443.70135.78180.001.791993445.36135.41180.002.121993479.62136.52180.002.06

    1994460.01136.34180.002.671994460.63140.07180.002.121994461.48139.03180.002.141994502.53139.56180.001.92

    1995481.00138.04180.002.331995473.83142.35180.001.811995480.82143.03180.001.921995527.28145.89180.001.71

    1996495.23146.00180.002.221996491.82150.38180.001.781996495.64150.83180.001.901996551.03150.96180.001.75

    1997504.10149.23190.002.031997510.50153.47190.001.661997523.33154.25190.001.771997574.48155.01190.001.64

    1998545.93154.53190.001.961998533.20156.31190.001.581998529.22156.48190.001.811998577.08159.28190.001.94

    1999562.65159.64190.002.561999551.58162.47190.002.281999552.57161.25190.002.381999597.26163.01190.002.60

    FFSheet

    Projection Program (1-6)

    STATE:AlabamaBASE YEAR:2001

    Card 1

    Base Year

    Qrt of Comp Date

    Cal Year of Comp Date

    MTWB8000

    MWB190.00

    ILF (3rd Qtr yr-1)1546166

    ILF (4th Qtr yr-1)1541975

    UI (3rd Qtr yr -1)28029

    UI (4th Qtr yr -1)29856

    TOT (3rd Qtr yr - 1)10444658

    TOT (4th Qtr yr - 1)11343903

    Card 2Card 3Card 4Card 5

    Qtr1Qtr2Qtr3Qtr4

    TLF2136689214361121482502161657

    ILF1518149153042615262111517602

    UI38817349673635039463

    TAX7560569288845216008241300089

    TOT10820503107232211070223111476784

    AWW562.65551.58552.57597.26

    TWCR467208426435435374471507

    TWC-E

    TWC-D

    AWB159.64162.47161.25163.01

    E-B TRIG

    Qtr1Qtr2Qtr3Qtr4

    Card 6

    IUR yr2.22.02.52.2

    IUR yr - 11.71.41.61.7

    IUR yr - 21.5

    % Chg in TLF0.99% chng AWW3.472964

    Qrt TLF Ratios0.998383AWB Ratios 19990.977871

    1.0016171.001358

    0.9968891.005748

    1.0031111.015023

    ILF/TLF0.709225AWW Ratios0.994055

    0.974497

    0.976246

    1.055202

    QI2.46

    TUR5.32

    NM48463291912411922246

    AP3640383743273959

    IC112752856678882896454

    ILF

    NMAPICWCD1D2D3D4

    198015456145802021768512951000

    198022693850681336197401950100

    198033129354121634248383190010

    198042449952871426518846160001

    198114469949791523749437551000

    19812196554418846676631180100

    198132501752901056935868880010

    19814210224438945985054660001

    198214534845831352466200111000

    19822176864242745824494450100

    198232669446501225895035340010

    198242665142551151175251150001

    198315251844091439906776651000

    19832226324435848654746370100

    198332956747611015374681090010

    19834253564178984264918030001

    198415286541381308305739971000

    19842238714196963464953500100

    198432911347841020285156650010

    198442616444591050305164740001

    198515039345221228665979011000

    19852244774431717934166310100

    19853321724741843174411660010

    19854272494699775593704890001

    198615042349061119484660721000

    19862285554481677293402520100

    19863368434728967343722970010

    19864282244470795773655330001

    198714956046781094634770481000

    19872244544433699473662190100

    19873354223516942153897640010

    19874275764466872963708660001

    198815806447161322705138001000

    19882275854562741423877520100

    198833947048401025794159070010

    198844322246251168184539410001

    198917328352321494396270071000

    19892352995426887274992070100

    19893404316033934934748950010

    19894340505152923024651450001

    199016415258811247946049881000

    19902337025282764744727970100

    19903382565410891504527220010

    19904285454706759953748770001

    199116622843961211564643291000

    19912349934372776243772080100

    19913357675094898874117430010

    19914332094418815963839040001

    199215587847901136284904971000

    19922253014261597943560500100

    19923318814731782653670950010

    19924244144329617323161120001

    199314617246751002784016791000

    19932252364394633493344480100

    19933419814754961423996920010

    199343114943291018563890110001

    199415681845831307585012301000

    19942250794090707504024610100

    19943335654590810144100510010

    19944273663941775193703010001

    199516035940981054014446851000

    19952270553955658033516030100

    19953344514084794033757090010

    19954295343898746383351490001

    199616102840941068904325801000

    19962289543919650953538360100

    19963352654101781723781000010

    19964330303655849143488760001

    19971541143465974483982271000

    19972272163492606853306100100

    19973332804027714453544370010

    19974309933667688553302020001

    19981460163618903643875381000

    19982279453666580753162340100

    19983360073559783573643720010

    19984287483848853283881270001

    199914846336401127525046201000

    19992291913837856674545740100

    19993241194327888284725510010

    19994222463959964545130190001

    Paste ILF

    Financial Forecast

    STATE:AlabamaBASE YEAR:2001

    Qtr1Qtr2Qtr3Qtr4

    TAX-17509544298682317111221417739

    TAX7560569288845216008241300089

    TOT-110594075104798471044465811343903

    TOT10820503107232211070223111476784

    FUND BALNANA366967NA

    CONRIBNANA20860NA

    Total Benefits paid-1(4th Qtr)NANANANA

    Total Benefits paid742816930770167NA

    % Ben Charged0.865

    % Ben Charged to Active Accounts0.96

    Amount of Miscellaneous (Reimbursable) Benefits72636597.263659

    Coefficients

    Total Labor Force

    Months200020012000

    Jan213024821351670

    Feb213682621399140

    Mar21371632134745.6721349872136689.33Qtr100

    Apr214065821342210

    May214801421305780

    Jun21806512156441.0021660342143611.00Qtr200

    Jul216204721514490

    Aug216299121477730% chg in TLF

    Sep21584552161164.3321455292148250.33Qtr3000.00-0.312964870

    Oct216301321597933887097

    Nov21702672167283

    Dec21609442164741.3321578962161657.33Qtr4

    Annual Average21542732147552323925

    Period AvgPeriod AvgPeriod Avg

    2145593.33Jan-Jun2140150.17Jan-Jun0Jan-Jun

    2162952.83Jul-Dec2154953.83Jul-Dec647849.5Jul-Dec

    Qtr RatiosQtr RatiosQtr Ratios

    0.994944211Qtr10.998382902Qtr10.000000000Qtr1

    1.005055789Qtr21.001617098Qtr20.000000000Qtr2

    0.999173121Qtr30.996889261Qtr30.000000000Qtr3

    1.000826879Qtr41.003110739Qtr40.000000000Qtr4

    WagesPrv AWWCurr AWWAnn AWWAWW Ratios

    545.93562.65566.0150.994054928Qtr1

    533.2551.58566.0150.974497142Qtr2

    529.22552.57566.0150.976246213Qtr3

    577.08597.26566.0151.055201717Qtr4Prv AWWCurr AWW% chng AWW

    546.3575566.0153.472964497

    Ann ILF

    ILF1518149Qtr1

    1530426Qtr2

    1526211Qtr3

    1517602Qtr4Ann ILFILF/TLF

    1523097.050.709224761

    AWBRatiosAWB Ratios

    1990115.980.97294576570.9778707613

    1990118.310.99249192571.0013582553

    1990120.121.00767585251.0057478951

    1990122.411.0268864561119.2051.0150230883

    1991122.310.9686769889

    1991126.631.0028907457

    1991129.231.0234823585

    1991126.891.0049499069126.265

    1992125.960.9761314321

    1992127.950.9915530068

    1992129.491.0034872908

    1992132.761.0288282703129.04

    1993132.720.9823288863

    1993135.781.0049775179

    1993135.411.0022389579

    1993136.521.010454638135.1075

    1994136.340.9826306306

    1994140.071.0095135135

    1994139.031.002018018

    1994139.561.0058378378138.75

    1995138.040.9698758146

    1995142.351.0001580861

    1995143.031.0049357995

    1995145.891.0250302998142.3275

    19961460.9763110821

    1996150.381.0056004146

    1996150.831.0086095926

    1996150.961.0094789107149.5425

    1997149.230.9754232303

    1997153.471.00313746

    1997154.251.0082358324

    1997155.011.0132034774152.99

    1998154.530.9864666454

    1998156.310.9978295563

    1998156.480.9989147782

    1998159.281.0167890201156.65

    1999159.640.9879171372

    1999162.471.0054303263

    1999161.250.9978804709

    1999163.011.0087720655161.5925

    19921925290

    19921937389

    199219400661934248.33

    19921956107

    19921959771

    199219878811967919.67

    19921970225

    19921963980

    199219535071962570.67

    19921980039

    19921989151

    199219817091983633.001962092.916666671.76686522640.9911012416

    1962094

    19931964566

    19931971927

    199319694541968649.00

    19931993717

    19931988296

    199320240642002025.67

    19932011918

    19931995937

    199319909171999590.67

    19932015190

    19932026274

    199320163482019270.6719973841.5360730626

    1997384

    19942001616

    19942007853

    199420008272003432.00

    19942015453

    19942013636

    199420536902027593.00

    19942038556

    19942031089

    199420275092032384.67

    19942043321

    19942062488

    199420464892050766.002028543.916666671.9390407749

    2028544

    19952042574

    19952053203

    199520454232047066.67

    19952060320

    19952060036

    199521046912075015.67

    19952087159

    19952070655

    199520618492073221.00

    19952076173

    19952085956

    199520758332079320.6720686561.427000826

    2068656

    19962056965

    19962064323

    199620663452062544.33

    19962079733

    19962082555

    199621153762092554.67

    19962107016

    19962102566

    199621013092103630.33

    19962126893

    19962143655

    199621365012135683.002098603.083333333.1550438431

    2098603

    19972122171

    19972137953

    199721420102134044.67

    19972156357

    19972160392

    199721992442171997.67

    19972190181

    19972177593

    199721685192178764.33

    19972183029

    19972189602

    199721766132183081.332166972-0.4858734837

    2166972

    19982145404

    19982150942

    199821509502149098.67

    19982163070

    19982160138

    199821941872172465.00

    19982164475

    19982153667

    199821442332154125.00

    19982152953

    19982156113

    199821417982150288.002156494.16666667-0.5217449267

    2156494

    19992108066

    19992117618

    199921186592114781.00

    19992129272

    19992124279

    199921626612138737.33

    19992152580

    19992146602

    199921454902148224.00

    19992166546

    19992185045

    199921867962179462.332145301.166666670.4164707221

    2145301

    20002130248

    20002136826

    200021371632134745.67

    20002140658

    20002148014

    200021806512156441.00

    20002162047

    20002162991

    200021584552161164.33

    20002163013

    20002170267

    200021609442164741.332154273.08333333-0.3129648704

    2154273

    20012135167

    20012139914

    200121349872136689.33

    20012134221

    20012130578

    200121660342143611.00

    20012151449

    20012147773

    200121455292148250.33

    20012159793

    20012167283

    200121578962161657.332147552

    2147552

    Projection Program (Regression Equation Coefficients)

    STATE:AlabamaBASE YEAR1999

    QICard 23Card 24Card 25Card 26

    Qtr1Qtr2Qtr3Qtr4

    Constant/1000.3688530.00368853-0.335709-0.00335709-0.265391-0.00265391-0.309291-0.00309291

    Previous0.277744000

    Current0.9957551.0558720.9137910.675675

    Next0000.259339

    TWCRCard 37Card 38

    Qtr1Qtr2Qtr3Qtr4

    Constant9310.6969876487.0597535231.8104962440.709815

    UI12.06112611.96952211.77725111.756975

    ABAAW0000

    TAXTOTCard 40Card 41

    Qtr1Qtr2Qtr3Qtr4

    Constant-0.5445750.0729820.0125880.038693

    QI*100000000-0.004084-0.4084

    TBAAW-4.802191.202430.7034360.436374

    MTWB9.08E-05-1.79E-05-7.80E-06-3.67E-06

    Linear or Non Linear (Card 40)NLLL

    AWBCard 42Card 43

    Qtr1Qtr2Qtr3Qtr4

    Constant3.10739-1.513635-3.3592620.826859

    MWB0000

    PRODX0000

    SQRTPRODX0.4613680.4875770.4934050.456642

    AWW0000

    QI*1001.049793104.97931.839002183.90022.45685245.6852.785875278.5875

    MWB - 0, PRODX - 1, SQRTPRODX - 2 (Card 43)2222

    Chart1

    500

    1000

    2000

    4000

    6000

    8000

    10000

    12000

    14000

    16000

    Maximum WBA

    Weekly Benefit Amount ($)

    High Quarter Earnings ($)

    Distribution of Claimants by Earnings

    25

    75

    150

    200

    220

    250

    250

    250

    250

    250

    ALUIQI CALC

    Aerage Weekly Wage

    YearSTAWWTOTCECONRIBTAXWAGERMB. BENSFUND BALTF InterestAWBold UITWCRREG BENSalhpaN.TWCRN. UIILFQIMWBMTWBTURNMAPIC

    1981AL255.13331938717810008036683432129882294821818644.0052407719.000.0073.7554923768,922633946466160760.0866633,78254,7591,055,5625.1990.0066009.83522884864138243

    1981AL262.81345988821410126914378838019130293691784703.0085215734.001,568,015.0075.5444060616,840509010384496670.0866508,85343,9031,056,5944.1690.00660010.0724419443092177

    1981AL266.51355635271610264592610371211040244671831939.0095036195.001,880,461.0075.4745359635,026528911399063260.0858528,75145,1991,071,6584.2290.00660010.83301314974122993

    1981AL282.5837094675801009765181173517501783332913926.0086622613.000.0076.9149017686,238568961437457230.0862568,71048,7661,058,5314.614.5490.00660011.8710.65287384347144074

    1982AL270.1334315273819771586872198230282567762159130.0051219685.000.0075.2165674919,436764161573956480.0859763,97165,4841,042,6426.2890.00660013.67545614580202176

    1982AL279.0035911074229900994319878018447105242122729.0064091102.000.0078.0057118799,652664640518311630.0859664,46056,9381,047,0375.4490.00660013.60269385068133619

    1982AL282.5435971514039793472459096110201666062485905.0047426709.000.0078.9564690905,660768399606659320.0842768,19564,4861,043,8336.1890.00660014.87312935412163424

    1982AL294.993707316209966726164928556640501452815109.008627902.000.0079.3368278955,892808079640678580.0845807,84868,0471,034,7736.586.1290.00660015.3314.37244995287142651

    1983AL284.70352625837195276110548277731747260732703069.0090000.000.0077.61728281,019,592843002653823840.0864842,77172,5971,025,3587.08120.00800015.37446994979152374

    1983AL290.7137245583569855397438391921807820662923587.0062440000.000.0077.6251258717,612596658463186670.0859596,40951,0091,036,5484.92120.00800013.7019655441884667

    1983AL298.94392477512710099344716687913606601582200390.0040860766.000.0081.9845328634,592512072419559700.0885511,88945,1451,055,0794.28120.00800013.30250175290105693

    1983AL304.1140351566941020680325398889316112072589820.0053914921.000.0088.4239086547,204431722381900230.0905431,51838,8821,059,5623.674.99120.00800012.2713.6621022443894598

    1984AL304.714024208434101589012888735835715012622322761.0040594129.000.0090.4647864670,096553298499137040.0865553,12747,6931,063,5834.48120.00800012.20453484583135246

    1984AL305.44417393691910511938436497522782348072258907.00134273699.000.0093.0134735486,290399865371853040.0869399,70334,5731,085,7663.18120.00800011.1317686424274582

    1984AL302.69419851329110669744985440313508815571792864.00183502095.000.0093.0338863544,082444455413564660.0874444,32538,7331,105,7073.50120.00800011.17266944650122589

    1984AL315.2443835512171069638352650219529259812438903.00197966562.000.0094.4640566567,924467046441239840.0869466,87340,3931,110,0313.643.70120.00800010.1711.17266514255115117

    1985AL313.214302067507105658113845737737761076112466481.00186218593.000.0093.0152312732,368580075537691920.0902579,89152,1281,108,7094.70120.0080009.80525184409143990

    1985AL319.31451259788410871149020889223625511362177070.00292253178.000.0094.3036666513,324418830394963940.0875418,67536,5111,123,6253.25120.0080008.5022632443584865

    1985AL316.05452285788411008115237556913804315071517160.00352933192.000.0095.1636114505,596419490398972390.0861419,38436,0081,136,8193.17120.0080008.63295674761101537

    1985AL330.8647635937611107509377146539941590451782858.00378299564.000.0095.9037962531,468414357397357250.0916414,22637,8311,145,3403.303.61120.0080008.578.8825356417898426

    1986AL326.42467914039311026568666518340576185831805755.00374561152.000.0095.6644273619,822538491512942380.0822538,37244,1541,146,8103.85120.0080009.80528654138130830

    1986AL327.86478490395111226525545671624299361531583824.00427241015.000.0097.3738209534,926454664442667480.0840454,55938,1041,160,7563.28120.00800010.0323871419696346

    1986AL327.18480772672211303533202379914091945801256857.00450205144.000.0097.9239752556,528459206449313620.0866459,12139,6671,170,0203.39120.00800010.07291134784102028

    1986AL343.23506154694911343822297061110016791001681122.00449305976.000.0098.3839840557,760470735463206140.0846470,62439,7291,174,1113.383.48120.0080009.409.83261644459105030

    1987AL336.54492330078511253116701792141628077292472179.00430359668.0010,828,692.0097.4446155646,170553805538165840.0833553,64245,9921,171,3033.93120.0080008.93503934522122866

    1987AL337.48509066845711603204472543625141767681979295.00469592397.00845,674.0097.9932177450,478389164381375620.0827389,03632,0491,192,3692.69120.0080007.6324477443171793

    1987AL338.99520202444411804522664134614698163373275108.00489174940.000.0098.4834157478,198395164388919310.0864394,94333,9361,214,3882.79120.0080007.5032172474184317

    1987AL365.92565124834711879842018932710865177491386881.00492984708.000.0099.1928586400,204353869350975650.0808353,78228,4991,216,4832.342.94120.0080006.977.7627249469977559

    1988AL346.94528609140911720276876080044448770631285338.00483817800.000.0097.3135935503,090438207425437380.0820438,12435,8521,207,8792.97120.0080007.23504234906111948

    1988AL350.1954755087021202744439404882590967160995889.00533552891.0010,767,091.0099.1226238367,332312966310197100.0838312,90126,1731,228,9172.13120.0080007.0328555448167729

    1988AL357.85565652415812159372634417315090679531082346.00556355234.000.0099.2328709401,926340200337581530.0844340,12928,6381,244,5752.30120.0080007.3736843472896734

    1988AL379.11600290610112180171932919310907233401198681.00552049234.000.00100.2528196394,744332269333094080.0849332,19128,1181,246,1352.262.41120.0080007.177.2028224447079577

    1989AL358.51564274050312107296503183847429374051223259.00550153843.0012,052,153.00103.1136772514,808441463453829740.0833441,38736,6961,247,4252.94145.0080007.33495604678109463

    1989AL365.0858726356481237376384534542622393690953656.00591678402.000.00106.3328229395,206334158355398960.0845334,10028,1711,265,5472.23145.0080007.0324454443369947

    1989AL361.93588710599712512332303152715064190251128297.00605971798.0012,551,396.00107.3530050420,700356389382186300.0843356,32129,9821,281,2152.34145.0080007.1335422351694215

    1989AL388.73634606882912557691738445211107760701330977.00608974411.000.00109.1128608400,512336122366800120.0851336,04228,5281,284,2972.222.43145.0080006.537.0127576446687296

    1990AL374.18603492748012406336430242350032476521404789.00586429085.0013,554,383.00111.3139604554,456475257526487590.0833475,17639,5231,280,1563.09150.0080007.20580644716132270

    1990AL378.50624580081612693563778080627165878271004295.00624101894.000.00114.3029884418,376354926406014770.0842354,86929,8271,299,1832.30150.0080006.6727585456274142

    1990AL377.29625621200912755502167635615038307371184901.00634217201.000.00113.7932061448,854376929428564980.0851376,86131,9931,307,5432.45150.0080006.97394704840102579

    1990AL406.83673908388512742191604426211040310491414087.00623354411.000.00114.1635001490,014404286461469770.0866404,20434,9191,309,1382.672.62150.0080006.636.87432224625116818

    1991AL384.21620703762812427294846654550994980111498165.00591462585.0013,867,174.00115.8048313676,382588492677159910.0821588,41048,2311,290,9603.74150.0080007.67732835232149439

    1991AL390.98642350949412637782841128326876374271213492.00598546044.0013,483,459.00118.9638466538,524461325549026780.0834461,26038,4011,302,1792.95150.0080007.3335299542688727

    1991AL391.38649529674212765911677540915035196731523341.00589265790.000.00117.6136616512,624426283500992110.0859426,19736,5301,313,1212.78150.0080007.0740431603393493

    1991AL424.38705570786412789091288258410993256932104347.00561059790.000.00118.1535901502,614407899481745170.0880407,77835,7801,314,6892.723.05150.0080006.877.2334050515292302

    1992AL401.56658321526412610895745539253190777202035402.00523636906.000.00115.9846650653,100559861646891930.0833559,74946,5381,307,6273.56160.0080007.63641525881124794

    1992AL404.07677483558412897223169266327055501501551435.00544459343.000.00118.3136454510,356432605511848430.0843432,52036,3691,326,0912.74160.0080007.5333702528276474

    1992AL409.44692677281513013691823939115245359481907448.00549932490.000.00120.1234926488,964421520504989110.0829421,41934,8251,336,1942.61160.0080007.4038256541089150

    1992AL458.42783235197513142861468938811598393411996146.00539878753.000.00122.4128942405,188344822421891910.0839344,71728,8371,343,1232.152.76160.0080007.037.4028545470675995

    1993AL400.98676181606312971637866701554424049101806902.00514820300.000.00122.3135812501,368431177525212100.0831431,08335,7181,332,8812.68165.0080007.70662284396121156

    1993AL416.28718783360213282314414827828401205781406297.00560419246.000.00126.6329088407,232345078436968350.0843345,00629,0161,357,2472.14165.0080007.8334993437277624

    1993AL422.45734616404413376552420825615802704241705590.00567106731.000.00129.2331758444,612377356487234880.0842377,27131,6731,369,3282.31165.0080007.9335767509489887

    1993AL464.64813567671413468971945470612077255761933590.00560142526.000.00126.8929631414,834347520440083580.0853347,42029,5311,376,4282.152.32165.0080006.937.6033209441881596

    1994AL420.25724045565713253035217321957160413281878049.00534167854.009,972,328.00125.9637826529,564454336570760180.0833454,24137,7311,363,0342.77180.0080006.60558784790113628

    1994AL427.69754987658713578832871354228822093601512259.00555801897.000.00127.9527466384,524321893411840690.0853321,81527,3881,385,2711.98180.0080005.9325301426159794

    1994AL442.93793391517613778661709963816809925541786500.00552076318.000.00129.4928329396,606330714427563760.0857330,62328,2381,406,1042.01180.0080005.9331881473178265

    1994AL467.64845429806713906661395159512627869942051666.00542293232.000.00132.7624419341,866282652375249030.0864282,54924,3161,414,9821.722.12180.0080005.536.0024414432961732

    1995AL448.81805888910913812445990642061945868552121583.00518721685.000.00132.7231004434,056360937477628750.0859360,83130,8981,412,1422.19180.0080006.13461724675100278

    1995AL443.70813420089914101993036746629247020021650942.00549955442.000.00135.7825807361,298300792408679690.0858300,71225,7271,435,9261.79180.0080006.5025236439463349

    1995AL445.36821923031114196311694483716274592601951803.00542057343.000.00135.4130841431,774358287484922930.0861358,19230,7461,450,3772.12180.0080006.7341981475496142

    1995AL479.62888553603714250931441599212964884792274516.00525314733.000.00136.5230035420,490346618473321550.0867346,50729,9241,455,0172.062.04180.0080005.706.27311494329101856

    1996AL460.01839288935514034595653829763363907612135877.00488240282.009,155,549.00136.3438657541,198462007627074660.0837461,90638,5561,442,0152.67180.0080005.40568184583130758

    1996AL460.63855669746714289182937900029667842501683462.00505806977.000.00140.0731036434,504370388518818370.0838370,31130,9591,459,8772.12180.0080005.2725079409070750

    1996AL461.48865138153514420741741562716780386811943507.00492270516.000.00139.0331635442,890367251510021940.0861367,15831,5421,473,6162.14180.0080005.1733565459081014

    1996AL502.53949704758014537191522037813670130842134962.00475783820.000.00139.5628585400,190335222467629520.0853335,12228,4851,482,2041.922.21180.0080004.705.1327366394177519

    1997AL481.00898487595614368876206341766647582921898426.00444524177.000.00138.0434295480,130410017561499270.0836409,92934,2071,471,0942.33180.0080005.03603594098105401

    1997AL473.83902824238014656883158923330484234611348966.00468347896.000.00142.3527108379,512320684456483950.0845320,62227,0461,492,7341.81180.0080005.3027055395565803

    1997AL480.82920426479814725201740353717001996671551073.00459823304.000.00143.0328972405,608338895483908320.0855338,82428,9011,501,4211.92180.0080005.4034451408479403

    1997AL527.281016272022714825951533762514112691851907006.00443675050.000.00145.8925866362,124304867444594180.0848304,78225,7811,508,3761.711.94180.0080004.505.0629534389874638

    1998AL495.23943255104114651338815114569024635892281119.00411208663.000.00146.0033377467,278394626572214150.0846394,52433,2751,498,4082.22180.0080004.13610284094106890

    1998AL491.82960069852015016034264960830976893672423185.00458665666.000.00150.3827323382,522323104485915810.0846322,99927,2181,528,8211.78180.0080004.1728954391965095

    1998AL495.64967818286315020592390500517440826302451520.00457248732.000.00150.8329190408,660346283522079690.0843346,17829,0851,531,1441.90180.0080004.3735265410178172

    1998AL551.031076418246115026722098212414562274802185458.00443975186.000.00150.9626930377,020321034483951280.0839320,94126,8371,529,5091.751.91180.0080004.204.2233030365584914

    1999AL504.10970056448314802527465378070593269771892188.00418944005.000.00149.2330715430,010364769541668520.0842364,68730,6331,510,8852.03190.0080004.4754114346597448

    1999AL510.501000666073215078353550449631071921461426394.00458861910.000.00153.4725492356,888301353462624140.0846301,29325,4321,533,2671.66190.0080004.9727216349260685

    1999AL523.331031291171515158842050474517758011251813003.00452114345.000.00154.2527340382,760326771503833190.0837326,69527,2641,543,1481.77190.0080005.0733280402771445

    1999AL574.481134505726515191121859973515222242422082389.00436622621.000.00155.0125488356,832299736464340100.0850299,64825,4001,544,5121.641.77190.0080004.534.7630993366768855

    2000AL545.9310594074919149272577259995750954370519725274068842750154.5329893418,502356445549507420.0839356,36329,8111,522,5361.96190.0080004.5346016361890364

    2000AL533.210479846683151188432824287298682267414437044490224840156.3124386341,404287399449236270.0849287,33924,3261,536,2101.58190.0080004.4327945366658075

    2000AL529.2210444658071151813719086359171112191117650424362993750156.4828102393,428332439520248960.0845332,36628,0291,546,1661.81190.0080004.7736007355978357

    2000AL577.0811343903066151211916466407141773935822433104103118860159.2829947419,258356240567448240.0841356,14929,8561,541,9751.941.82190.0080004.674.6028748384885328

    2001AL562.6510820502863147933293071169756056893622697673600301230159.6438908544,712467299742807970.0833467,20838,8171,518,1492.56190.0080004.90484633640112752

    2001AL551.5810723221483149545937320284288845222618717663927458840162.4735040490,560426508693065040.0822426,43534,9671,530,4262.28190.0080004.9729191383785667

    2001AL552.5710702231166148986120859500160082394922521463669669920161.2536440510,160435464701670910.0837435,37436,3501,526,2112.38190.0080005.5724119432788828

    2001AL597.2611476784450147813917589062130008852127532033189203490163.0139572554,008471616768851520.0839471,50739,4631,517,6022.602.46190.0080005.835.3222246395996454

    TWCR GRAPH

    540

    550

    860

    1270

    1580

    2090

    22100

    24110

    25120

    30130

    30140

    30150

    40160

    40170

    60180

    75190

    105200

    150210

    190220

    ALUIQI CALC

    Total Qtr. Weeks Claimed

    Tot. Qtr. Weeks Compensated

    IU

    UI Weeks Claimed vs. Weeks Compensated Quarterly Data (1981-2002)

    Forecast

    Average Weekly Wage

    Average Weekly Benefit

    AWB

    AWW

    ($)

    Avg. Weekly Benefit vs. Average Weekly Wage Quarterly Data (1981-2002)

    Project

    Avg. Weekly Benefit

    awb

    Dollar Amt. Received ($)

    No. of Claimants

    Weekly Benefit Amount

    PasBLS

    REG BENSTOTYr BensYr TOTBen/TOT

    1982157395648.003431527381

    1982251831163.003591107422

    1982360665932.003597151403

    1982464067858.003707316209233960601143271024151.63

    1983165382384.003526258371

    1983246318667.003724558356

    1983341955970.003924775127

    1983438190023.004035156694191847044152107485481.26

    1984149913704.004024208434

    1984237185304.004173936919

    1984341356466.004198513291

    1984444123984.004383551217172579458167802098611.03

    1985153769192.004302067507

    1985239496394.004512597884

    1985339897239.004522857884

    1985439735725.004763593761172898550181011170360.96

    1986151294238.004679140393

    1986244266748.004784903951

    1986344931362.004807726722

    1986446320614.005061546949186812962193333180150.97

    1987153816584.004923300785

    1987238137562.005090668457

    1987338891931.005202024444

    1987435097565.005651248347165943642208672420330.80

    1988142543738.005286091409

    1988231019710.005475508702

    1988333758153.005656524158

    1988433309408.006002906101140631009224210303700.63

    1989145382974.005642740503

    1989235539896.005872635648

    1989338218630.005887105997

    1989436680012.006346068829155821512237485509770.66

    1990152648759.006034927480

    1990240601477.006245800816

    1990342856498.006256212009

    1990446146977.006739083885182253711252760241900.72

    1991167715991.006207037628

    1991254902678.006423509494

    1991350099211.006495296742

    1991448174517.007055707864220892397261815517280.84

    1992164689193.006583215264

    1992251184843.006774835584

    1992350498911.006926772815

    1992442189191.007832351975208562138281171756380.74

    1993152521210.006761816063

    1993243696835.007187833602

    1993348723488.007346164044

    1993444008358.008135676714188949891294314904230.64

    1994157076018.007240455657

    1994241184069.007549876587

    1994342756376.007933915176

    1994437524903.008454298067178541366311785454870.57

    1995147762875.008058889109

    1995240867969.008134200899

    1995348492293.008219230311

    1995447332155.008885536037184455292332978563560.55

    1996162707466.008392889355

    1996251881837.008556697467

    1996351002194.008651381535

    1996446762952.009497047580212354449350980159370.61

    1997156149927.008984875956

    1997245648395.009028242380

    1997348390832.009204264798

    1997444459418.0010162720227194648572373801033610.52

    1998157221415.009432551041

    1998248591581.009600698520

    1998352207969.009678182863

    1998448395128.0010764182461206416093394756148850.52

    1999154166852.009700564483

    1999246262414.0010006660732

    1999350383319.0010312911715

    1999446434010.0011345057265197246595413651941950.48

    2000154950742.0010594074919

    2000244923627.0010479846683

    2000352024896.0010444658071

    2000456744824.0011343903066208644089428624827390.49

    2001174280797.0010820502863

    2001269306504.0010723221483

    2001370167091.0010702231166

    2001476885152.0011476784450290639544437227399620.66

    ALPJT

    YearQRTQITWCRUIAWBAWWTAXTOTMWBMTWBTURNMAPICAnnQIAnnTUR

    198216.28763,97165,48475.21270.133,028,256,7763,431,527,381906600.0013.675456145802021760.000.00SUMMARY OUTPUT

    198225.44664,46056,93878.00279.001,844,710,5243,591,107,422906600.0013.602693850681336190.000.00

    198236.18768,19564,48678.95282.541,020,166,6063,597,151,403906600.0014.873129354121634240.000.00Regression Statistics

    198246.58807,84868,04779.33294.99664,050,1453,707,316,209906600.0015.332449952871426516.1214.37Multiple R0.9127980076

    198317.08842,77172,59777.61284.703,174,726,0733,526,258,3711208000.0015.374469949791523740.000.00R Square0.8332002026

    198324.92596,40951,00977.62290.712,180,782,0663,724,558,3561208000.0013.70196554418846670.000.00Adjusted R Square0.7776002701

    198334.28511,88945,14581.98298.941,360,660,1583,924,775,1271208000.0013.302501752901056930.000.00Standard Error14348.812152738

    198343.67431,51838,88288.42304.11931,611,2074,035,156,6941208000.0012.27210224438945984.9913.66Observations5

    198414.48553,12747,69390.46304.713,571,501,2624,024,208,4341208000.0012.204534845831352460.000.00

    198423.18399,70334,57393.01305.442,278,234,8074,173,936,9191208000.0011.13176864242745820.000.00ANOVA

    198433.50444,32538,73393.03302.691,350,881,5574,198,513,2911208000.0011.172669446501225890.000.00dfSSMSFSignificance F

    198443.64466,87340,39394.46315.24952,925,9814,383,551,2171208000.0010.172665142551151173.7011.17Regression13085368227.416323085368227.4163214.9856333560.0305042037

    198514.70579,89152,12893.01313.213,776,107,6114,302,067,5071208000.009.805251844091439900.000.00Residual3617665230.583683205888410.194561

    198523.25418,67536,51194.30319.312,362,551,1364,512,597,8841208000.008.50226324435848650.000.00Total43703033458

    198533.17419,38436,00895.16316.051,380,431,5074,522,857,8841208000.008.632956747611015370.000.00

    198543.30414,22637,83195.90330.86994,159,0454,763,593,7611208000.008.57253564178984263.618.88CoefficientsStandard Errort StatP-valueLower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%

    198613.85538,37244,15495.66326.424,057,618,5834,679,140,3931208000.009.805286541381308300.000.00Intercept-228438.04247558394192.7440811442-2.42521910480.0937299504-528201.67407152171325.5891203553-528201.67407152171325.5891203553

    198623.28454,55938,10497.37327.862,429,936,1534,784,903,9511208000.0010.03238714196963460.000.00458072.282833109918.67229133773.87112817610.030504203712.8592127855131.706453434312.8592127855131.7064534343

    198633.39459,12139,66797.92327.181,409,194,5804,807,726,7221208000.0010.072911347841020280.000.00

    198643.38470,62439,72998.38343.231,001,679,1005,061,546,9491208000.009.402616444591050303.489.83

    198713.93553,64245,99297.44336.544,162,807,7294,923,300,7851208000.008.935039345221228660.000.00

    198722.69389,03632,04997.99337.482,514,176,7685,090,668,4571208000.007.63244774431717930.000.00RESIDUAL OUTPUTPROBABILITY OUTPUT

    198732.79394,94333,93698.48338.991,469,816,3375,202,024,4441208000.007.50321724741843170.000.00

    198742.34353,78228,49999.19365.921,086,517,7495,651,248,3471208000.006.97272494699775592.947.76ObservationPredicted 202176ResidualsStandard ResidualsPercentile202176

    198812.97438,12435,85297.31346.944,444,877,0635,286,091,4091208000.007.235042349061119480.000.001137891.355725469-4272.355725469-0.34381183641084667

    198822.13312,90126,17399.12350.192,590,967,1605,475,508,7021208000.007.03285554481677290.000.002162756.65031528667.34968472010.053704030130133619

    198832.30340,12928,63899.23357.851,509,067,9535,656,524,1581208000.007.37368434728967340.000.003153721.296176541-11070.2961765405-0.890866562350142651

    198842.26332,19128,118100.25379.111,090,723,3406,002,906,1011208000.007.17282244470795772.417.204131458.18357868720915.81642131351.683170998870152374

    198912.94441,38736,696103.11358.514,742,937,4055,642,740,5031458000.007.334956046781094630.000.00590907.514204024-6240.514204024-0.502196630290163424

    198922.23334,10028,171106.33365.082,622,393,6905,872,635,6481458000.007.03244544433699470.000.00

    198932.34356,32129,982107.35361.931,506,419,0255,887,105,9971458000.007.13354223516942150.000.00

    198942.22336,04228,528109.11388.731,110,776,0706,346,068,8291458000.006.53275764466872962.437.01

    199013.09475,17639,523111.31374.185,003,247,6526,034,927,4801508000.007.205806447161322700.000.00

    199022.30354,86929,827114.30378.502,716,587,8276,245,800,8161508000.006.67275854562741420.000.00

    199032.45376,86131,993113.79377.291,503,830,7376,256,212,0091508000.006.973947048401025790.000.00

    199042.67404,20434,919114.16406.831,104,031,0496,739,083,8851508000.006.634322246251168182.626.87

    199113.74588,41048,231115.80384.215,099,498,0116,207,037,6281508000.007.677328352321494390.000.00

    199122.95461,26038,401118.96390.982,687,637,4276,423,509,4941508000.007.33352995426887270.000.00

    199132.78426,19736,530117.61391.381,503,519,6736,495,296,7421508000.007.07404316033934930.000.00

    199142.72407,77835,780118.15424.381,099,325,6937,055,707,