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UNC Chapel Hill Investment Fund Fiscal Year 2013 Review Presentation to The Board of Trustees of The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill November 20, 2013 1

UNC Chapel Hill Investment Fund Fiscal Year 2013 Review Presentation to The Board of Trustees of The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill November

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Page 1: UNC Chapel Hill Investment Fund Fiscal Year 2013 Review Presentation to The Board of Trustees of The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill November

UNC Chapel Hill Investment FundFiscal Year 2013 ReviewPresentation to The Board of Trustees of The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

November 20, 2013

1

Page 2: UNC Chapel Hill Investment Fund Fiscal Year 2013 Review Presentation to The Board of Trustees of The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill November

2

UNC Chapel Hill Foundation Investment

Fund, Inc. (“CHIF”)

Investment Entity Structure

UNC Investment Fund, LLC (“UNCIF”)

UNC Management Company, Inc. (“UNCMC”)

Manager

Controlling Member

Other UNC Campuses and

Affiliates

Other Members

Other UNC Chapel Hill

Affiliated Funds

Statutory Endowment of

UNC Chapel Hill

UNC Chapel Hill Foundation, Inc.

Page 3: UNC Chapel Hill Investment Fund Fiscal Year 2013 Review Presentation to The Board of Trustees of The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill November

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UNC Chapel Hill Foundation Investment Fund, Inc.As at June 30, 2013

UNC Chapel Hill Foundation Investment Fund$2.3 Billion

Invested in UNC Investment Fund ($3.5 billion)

• Foundation Unitholders• Scholarships• Professorships etc.

• Endowment Unitholders• Scholarships• Professorships etc.

• Foundation Unitholders• Scholarships• Professorships etc.

UNC Chapel Hill Statutory Endowment

$1.1Billion

UNC Chapel Hill Foundation$237.4 Million

UNC Chapel HillAffiliated Foundations

$991.2 Million• Arts & Sciences • Business

• Educational • Law

• Public Health • Medical

• Others… (23 Total)

Page 4: UNC Chapel Hill Investment Fund Fiscal Year 2013 Review Presentation to The Board of Trustees of The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill November

4

UNC Investment Fund Market Value

Jun-09 Jun-10 Jun-11 Jun-12 Jun-13$0.0

$0.5

$1.0

$1.5

$2.0

$2.5

$3.0

$3.5

$4.0

$1.8 $1.9$2.2 $2.1 $2.3

$0.5$0.6

$0.7 $1.0$1.2

CHIF UNC System Schools and Affiliates

$ B

illio

n

$3.2B$2.9B$2.5B $3.5B$2.3B

• Continued growth in Fund size• Non-CHIF members now represent more than 1/3 of the Fund

Page 5: UNC Chapel Hill Investment Fund Fiscal Year 2013 Review Presentation to The Board of Trustees of The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill November

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Primary Objective− Preserve the real (inflation-adjusted) purchasing power of funds invested in UNCIF while

providing a predictable and growing stream of spending distributions to UNCIF participants

1. To accomplish this objective - - the Fund must earn an annualized “real” total rate of return of at least 5.5% (CPI +5.5%) over rolling 5 – 10 year (and longer) periods

2. Managing return volatility within the Fund serves to enhance the stability of the annual spending distribution

UNCIF Primary Return Objective

UNCIF’s 9.2% 10-year return exceeds the 7.9% return of CPI + 5.5%

Page 6: UNC Chapel Hill Investment Fund Fiscal Year 2013 Review Presentation to The Board of Trustees of The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill November

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To achieve the Fund’s primary return objective: investment process

1. Starts with asset allocation

− Strategic Investment Policy Portfolio (SIPP) targets established by UNCIF’s Board of Directors

− The Fund’s Board approved new SIPP allocation targets at its October 2012 meeting

2. Manager research and selection

3. Board of Directors / Executive Committee approval

4. Ongoing manager review

5. Risk management is embedded throughout the investment process

Investment Implementation

Page 7: UNC Chapel Hill Investment Fund Fiscal Year 2013 Review Presentation to The Board of Trustees of The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill November

7

Strategic Investment Policy Portfolio (SIPP)

The Fund’s Board approved new Strategic Investment Policy Portfolio (SIPP) allocation targets at its October 2012 meeting

SIPP Target Allocations:Asset Class Target Range

Long Biased Equity 27% 20 - 35%

Long / Short Equity 18% 12 - 24%

Diversifying Strategies 12% 8 - 16%

Fixed Income 10% 5 - 18%

Private Equity 18% 14 - 22%

Real Estate 8% 5 - 12%

Energy & Natural Resources 7% 5 - 10%

Long Biased Equity

27%

Long/Short Equity

18%

Diversifying Strategies12%

Fixed Income10%

Private Equity

18%

Real Estate8%

Energy & NR7%

Projected L/T Real Return(1): 6.3%

(1) Per Cambridge Associates Asset Allocation Model

Page 8: UNC Chapel Hill Investment Fund Fiscal Year 2013 Review Presentation to The Board of Trustees of The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill November

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Economic Backdrop

Modest growth in the US persists

− Employment, housing and auto sales improving at a moderate pace

− Impact of Gov’t shutdown / resolution of debt ceiling impasse is uncertain

Europe - - stabilizing

Japan - - benefiting from accommodative fiscal and monetary policies

China - - hard landing scenario avoided (for now), growth resuming

Central banks driving markets

− U.S. Federal Reserve

− European Central Bank

− Bank of Japan

Global economic environment is stable-to-modestly positive, but not yet back to pre-crisis levels

Page 9: UNC Chapel Hill Investment Fund Fiscal Year 2013 Review Presentation to The Board of Trustees of The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill November

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UNCIF Performance Summary Performance to June 30, 2013

(1) BNY Mellon Endowment and Foundation Funds Universe

FY 2013 3 Year 5 Year 10 Year0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

14.0%

12.1%

9.7%

2.5%

9.2%

10 year annualized performance ranks in the top quartile (1)

FY 2013 performance exceeds the return objective• Return Objective: Net return of CPI + 5.5% per annumjjjjjjkkjjjjjjjjjjjjjjjjjjjjjjjkjjj• Annualized returns over 3 and 10 year periods also surpass this objective• 5-year performance reflects impact of ’08/’09 financial crisisfjdklafjdkaslfjd

Page 10: UNC Chapel Hill Investment Fund Fiscal Year 2013 Review Presentation to The Board of Trustees of The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill November

10

Financial Market OverviewFY 2013: July 1, 2012 to June 30, 2013

Investing in risk assets was rewarded: the “Risk On” theme continued

Despite a sell-off in late May, domestic equities had a strong FY 2013 with the S&P500 index returning 20.6%

Developed market equities significantly outpaced emerging markets as growth fears hampered BRIC countries

− The MSCI Emerging Markets Index lagged the MSCI All Country World Index by 13.7% returning only 2.9% for FY 2013 vs. 16.6% for the MSCI ACW Index.

− Concerns of slowing Chinese growth hurt commodity prices and, in turn, the commodity-sensitive markets of Brazil, Russia, and India.

Equity long/short managers, particularly those operating with higher net and gross exposures tended to perform well with the HFRI Equity Hedge Index up nearly 11% for FY 2013

While long term US government bonds suffered steep declines in FY 2013, high yield and distressed debt produced attractive returns over the period

Page 11: UNC Chapel Hill Investment Fund Fiscal Year 2013 Review Presentation to The Board of Trustees of The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill November

11

Public Markets SummaryFY 2013: July 1, 2012 to June 30, 2013

Equities Fixed Income Commodities Hedge Funds

MSCI E

AFE

S&P 500

MSCI A

ll Cou

ntry

Wor

ld

MSCI E

mer

ging

Mar

kets

Barcla

ys U

.S. C

orpo

rate

High

Yiel

d

Barcla

ys A

ggre

gate

Barcla

ys L

ong-

Term

Tre

asur

y

Dow J

ones

-UBS C

omm

odity

Spot G

old

HFRI Fun

d W

eight

ed C

ompo

site

HFRI Equ

ity H

edge

-25%

-20%

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

18.6%20.6%

16.6%

2.9%

9.5%

-0.7%

-8.3% -8.1%

-22.7%

8.3%

10.7%

The U.S. equity market was the top performer across asset classes

Fixed income markets suffered losses as the Fed announced a

possible end to QE

Page 12: UNC Chapel Hill Investment Fund Fiscal Year 2013 Review Presentation to The Board of Trustees of The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill November

12

Performance Contributors and DetractorsFY 2013: July 1, 2012 to June 30, 2013

Positive Negative

Private Equity (18% of Fund) up 16.5% vs. 9.3% for the Cambridge PE Composite index

Real Estate up 3.8% vs. 11.4% SIPP benchmark

Developed International Equities (~9% of Fund) returned 24.4% vs. 18.6% for the MSCI EAFE Index

“Low Beta” Long/Short Equity managers (12.3% of the Fund) up 9.1% vs. 10.7% HFRI Equity Hedge index

Domestic Equities (11.4% of Fund) returned 21.9%Diversifying strategies portfolio was hurt by commodity exposure and a manager with a significant short bet on European sovereign debt

Opportunistic Fixed Income & Credit Long/Short up 18.6% and 18.1%, respectively

Overweight position in Emerging Market Equities, though the Fund’s EM equity managers returned 10.3% vs. 2.9% for the MSCI EM Index

•Strong performance from “risk assets”• Defensive & diversifying strategies lagged

Page 13: UNC Chapel Hill Investment Fund Fiscal Year 2013 Review Presentation to The Board of Trustees of The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill November

• UNCIF has achieved annualized performance in excess of CPI + 5.5% over 1, 3, and 10 years• 5-year performance reflects impact of ‘08/’09 financial crisis• Returns of CPI + 5.5% maintain the purchasing power of the fund in excess of distributions

13

Long Term PerformancePerformance to June 30, 2013

(1) 70% MSCI ACWI / 30% Barclays Aggregate

1 Year 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

12.1%

9.7%

2.5%

9.2%

11.2%

9.9%

3.6%

7.0%7.3%7.8%

6.9%7.9%

10.4%

11.6%

5.0%

8.7%

UNCIF Global 70/30 CPI + 5.5% SIPP

An

nu

ali

ze

d P

erf

orm

an

ce

(1)

Page 14: UNC Chapel Hill Investment Fund Fiscal Year 2013 Review Presentation to The Board of Trustees of The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill November

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UNC Chapel Hill Foundation Investment FundFY 2013 Change in Market Value

In FY 2013, the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Foundation Investment Fund (CHIF) increased in value by $199 million, from $2.14 billion at June 30, 2012 to $2.34 billion at June 30, 2013

− The $199 million increase resulted from a positive net investment return of $262.9 plus $59.1 million in net contributions

− The annual endowment spending distribution of $123.1 million for fiscal year 2013 occurred in June 2013

Page 15: UNC Chapel Hill Investment Fund Fiscal Year 2013 Review Presentation to The Board of Trustees of The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill November

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June 302012

June 302013

Statutory Endowment $1,015.8 $1,109.3

Affiliated Foundations $905.8 $991.2

UNC Chapel Hill Foundation $217.4 $237.4

Total Chapel Hill Investment Fund $2,139.0 $2,337.9

UNC Chapel Hill Entity Changes in Market ValueValues in $ millions

Page 16: UNC Chapel Hill Investment Fund Fiscal Year 2013 Review Presentation to The Board of Trustees of The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill November

16

UNC Chapel Hill Foundation Investment FundFY 2013 Distribution Rate

At its May 2013 meeting, the Investment Fund Board:

− Approved the Fiscal Year 2014 Annual Distribution Rate of $420 per unit for the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Foundation Investment Fund, Inc., increasing the per unit distribution rate by 1.7% over the FY2013 per unit rate.

− The $420 per unit rate will be distributed to CHIF Fund participants on June 30, 2014 based on units held in the Fund during the course of FY 2014.

Page 17: UNC Chapel Hill Investment Fund Fiscal Year 2013 Review Presentation to The Board of Trustees of The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill November

17

UNC Chapel Hill Investment Fund Distribution RatePer Share Distribution Rate

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014$300

$320

$340

$360

$380

$400

$420

$440

$319

$329 $333 $333

$339

$350

$362

$380

$418

$387

$397$409

$413

$420

Fiscal Year

Per

Sh

are

Dis

trib

uti

on

Am

ou

nt

Page 18: UNC Chapel Hill Investment Fund Fiscal Year 2013 Review Presentation to The Board of Trustees of The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill November

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UNC Chapel Hill Investment Fund Distribution RateDistribution as a % of Market Value

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 20144.0%

4.5%

5.0%

5.5%

6.0%

6.5%

4.8%

5.4%

5.8%

6.1%

5.7%

5.4%

4.9%

4.4%

4.6%

5.7%

5.8%

5.4%

5.7%

5.4%

Fiscal Year

Page 19: UNC Chapel Hill Investment Fund Fiscal Year 2013 Review Presentation to The Board of Trustees of The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill November

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SIPP Target vs. Actual AllocationAs of June 30, 2013

Target Allocation Actual 6/30/13 Allocation

Difference

Long Biased Equity 2.0% Real Estate -0.5%

Long/Short Equity 0.3% Diversifying Strategies -1.4%

Private Equity 0.1% Fixed Income -1.7%

Energy & Natural Resources 0.0%

Long Biased Equity

27%

Long/Short Equity

18%

Diversifying Strategies12%

Fixed Income

10%

Private Equity

18%

Real Estate8%

Energy & NR7%

(1) Includes liquidating managers

Long Biased Equity29.0%

Long/Short Equity18.3%

Diversifying Strategies10.6%

Fixed Income

8.3%

Private Equity18.1%

Real Estate7.5%

Energy & NR7.0%

Cash1.2%

(1)

Moderately aggressive tilt:•overweight equities

•underweight defensives

Page 20: UNC Chapel Hill Investment Fund Fiscal Year 2013 Review Presentation to The Board of Trustees of The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill November

20

UNC Investment FundPerformance Update

To September 30, 2013

Simple Return

Q1 FY 2014 (3 months) 3.6%

CYTD 2013 (9 months) 10.2%

Annualized Return

1 Year 12.7%

3 Years 9.1%

5 Years 4.7%

10 Years 9.2%

Page 21: UNC Chapel Hill Investment Fund Fiscal Year 2013 Review Presentation to The Board of Trustees of The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill November

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Wrap-upAs of June 30, 2013

Strong equity returns led UNCIF to a solid 12.1% return in FY 2013

In aggregate, the Fund’s investment managers added significant value in FY 2013

The Fund’s returns for the 1-, 3- and 10-year periods ended June 30 exceed the primary return objective, while the 5-year return still lags

Our core belief remains intact:

− Investing in a highly diversified portfolio with significant allocations to alternative asset classes best positions the Fund to meet its long-term return objectives