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September 17, 2015 Presenter: Jack Bobo, JD, MS Senior Vice President, Intrexon Formerly Senior Advisor for Agricultural Policy, United States Department of State - Washington, DC Moderator: James M. Rippe, MD – Leading cardiologist, Founder and Director, Rippe Lifestyle Institute Approved for 1 CPE (Level 2) by the Commission on Dietetic Registration, credentialing agency for the Academy of Nutrition and Dietetics. NUTRI-BITES ® Webinar Series Towards a Sustainable Food Supply: Myths and Realities

Towards a Sustainable Food Supply: Myths and Realities · Myths and Realities . ... What Does it Mean for Dietetic Practice? Ethics for All: Applying Ethics Principles across the

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September 17, 2015

Presenter:Jack Bobo, JD, MS

Senior Vice President, IntrexonFormerly

Senior Advisor for Agricultural Policy,United States Department of State - Washington, DC

Moderator:James M. Rippe, MD – Leading cardiologist, Founder and Director,

Rippe Lifestyle Institute

Approved for 1 CPE (Level 2) by the Commission on Dietetic Registration, credentialing agency for the Academy of Nutrition and Dietetics.

NUTRI-BITES®

Webinar Series

Towards a Sustainable Food Supply: Myths and Realities

ConAgra Foods Science Institute With a mission of:

Promoting dietary and related choices affecting wellness

by linking evidence-based understanding

with practice

Webinar logistics CEUs – a link to obtain your Continuing Education Credit

certificate will be emailed and available on this webinar’s page at www.ConAgraFoodsScienceInstitute.com within 2 days.

A recording of today’s webinar, slides, and summary PowerPoint will be available to download as a PDF within 2 days at: www.ConAgraFoodsScienceInstitute.com

The presenter will answer questions at the end of this webinar. Please submit questions by using the ‘Chat’ dialogue box on your computer screen.

Today’s Faculty

Jack A. Bobo, JD, MSJuly 2015 - Senior Vice President, Intrexon2002- July 2015:

Senior Advisor for Agricultural Policy

United States Department of State

Moderator:James M. Rippe, MD – Leading cardiologist, Founder and Director, Rippe Lifestyle Institute

Learning Objectives Outline global challenges that impact sustainable food

production Identify global trends in food trade and consumer behavior

that impact policy choices Describe tradeoffs between locally sustainable and globally

sustainable food production Illustrate cognitive behaviors that impact consumer choices in

food

NUTRI-BITES®

Webinar SeriesTowards a Sustainable Food Supply: Myths and Realities

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

Can agriculture save the planetbefore it destroys it?

40%

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

70%Aral Sea

Today

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

Greenhouse gas emissions from agriculture and deforestation

25%

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

20509 billion

Global Population Growth5 1990

7 billion 2010

20308 billion

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

And yet over 800 million don’t have enough food today

We all need to eat

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

650,000 deaths/year

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

60% more food by 2050, using…

Less land

Less water

Less fertilizer

Fewer pesticides

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

Presenter
Presentation Notes
www.unicef.org/sowc2012/urbanmap/

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

Presenter
Presentation Notes
www.unicef.org/sowc2012/urbanmap/

What is sustainability?

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

Sustainable Agriculture

Plant and animal production practices with site-specific application that will:

• Satisfy human needs;• Enhance environmental quality;• Use resources efficiently;• Sustain economic viability of farms; and• Enhance the quality of life for farmers and

society as a whole.

U.S. Code Title 7, Section 3103

Legal Definition

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

What is sustainable?Water Fertilizer

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

12

12

10% less

waterYear 2

10% more

fertilizerYear 2

Competing World Views

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

Different Choices

Brazil 2019

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

People love innovation

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

People love innovation

Almost as much as they despise change

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

Skeptical Consumers

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

DisconnectMarketing versus reality

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

New School Risk

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

Tweet-ificationThe

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

Health Scares Versus

Scary but Healthy

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

WHO Theory

How to communicate?

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

WHO Theory

How to communicate?

Media Reality

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

Risk High

When to communicate?

Media Attention Low

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

Risk High

When to communicate?

Media Attention Low

Risk Low

Media Attention High

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

Language that turns people off:

What to communicate?

Amount is miniscule

Keeps prices lowLet us feed the world

Research shows it’s safe

Better for the environment

Lesson: If you lead with the science, you may lose with the science

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

Risk in Context

“The difference between risk and the perception of risk is the difference

between action and reaction.”

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

Food doesn’t have to be scary

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

What’s in a name?

Has anybody eaten Chinese gooseberries?

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

Jameskennedymonash.wordpress.com

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

How do you get a seedless watermelon?

Treat seeds with colchicine (natural plant extract)

Sterile seedless melon

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

Bat and Ball Problem

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

Confirmation BiasThe tendency to search for, interpret, focus on and remember

information in a way that confirms one's preconceptions.

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

Availability HeuristicThe tendency to overestimate the likelihood of events

with greater "availability" in memory.

Scientist as Storyteller

PersonalizeAcknowledgeConnect

Only then can we talk about the science

Build Trust

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

We Need Science

Source: USDA/ERS

Res

ourc

es P

er B

ushe

l of C

orn

1980

–20

11 60% Less Erosion

50% Less Water

40% Less Energy

35% Less Greenhouse Gases

40% Less Land

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

Framing• How can organic farming be

more productive and competitive?

• How can the transition be made from conventional to more sustainable forms of agriculture?

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

Towards a Sustainable Food Supply

Lower Productivity

Lower Local Impact

Higher Productivity

Higher Local Impact

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

Presenter
Presentation Notes
http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/2006/09/picture.htm

Framing

Health and Safety

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

New York’s trendiest restaurant is serving you garbage (and it’s awesome)

MARCH 20, 2015

SustainabilityJack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

Global Fisheries

90% 90 percent of the world's fisheries are fully fished or in decline

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

AquacultureLimitations

DiseasePollutionSource of Omega 3

SolutionsEnclosed pensBetter genetics (less feed)New source of Omega 3

Baby Boom?

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

Presenter
Presentation Notes
http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/2006/09/picture.htm

Baby Boom

UN, Department of Economic and Social Affairs

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

In 1950 the average woman had between 7 and 8 children

Presenter
Presentation Notes
http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/2006/09/picture.htm

Baby Bust

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

By 2050 the average will be 2 children per woman

Presenter
Presentation Notes
http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/2006/09/picture.htm

Peak Child

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

Why Now MattersOpportunity

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

Presenter
Presentation Notes
http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/2006/09/picture.htm

Jack A. BoboSenior Vice President

@Jack_A_Bobo@Intrexon

www.dna.com

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Vice President | Intrexon

Presenter
Presentation Notes
http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/vaop/ncurrent/images_article/nature11069-f1.2.jpg

Questions?

Based on this webinar the participant should be able to: Outline global challenges that impact sustainable food

production Identify global trends in food trade and consumer behavior

that impact policy choices Describe tradeoffs between locally sustainable and globally

sustainable food production Illustrate cognitive behaviors that impact consumer choices in

food

NUTRI-BITES®

Webinar SeriesTowards a Sustainable Food Supply: Myths and Realities

ConAgra Foods Science Institute Nutri-Bites® Webinar details

A link to obtain your Continuing Education Credit certificate will be emailed within 2 days

Today’s webinar, including certificate link, will be available to download within 2 days at: www.ConAgraFoodsScienceInstitute.com

For CPE information: [email protected]

Recent CEU webinars archived at the ConAgra Foods Science Institute website: Setting the Record Straight on Cholesterol, Saturated Fat, and Heart Disease Risk Nutrition Support for the Bariatric Patient Critical Evaluation of Nutrition Research Functional Foods: Phytochemicals – Hidden Nutrition Gems Sodium: Too much, too little or just right? A Decade of Nutrigenomics: What Does it Mean for Dietetic Practice? Ethics for All: Applying Ethics Principles across the Dietetics Profession

Vitamin D and CalciumNew Research - New Recommendations?

Robert P. Heaney, MD, FACP, FASNClinical Nutrition and Bone Biology

Creighton University

Date: November 5, 20152-3 pm EST/1-2 pm CST

www.ConAgraFoodsScienceInstitute.com

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