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Thoughts to Ponder….

Thoughts to Ponder…

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Thoughts to Ponder…. A Steel Pole Perspective by George Tamez, PE. Why Steel?. Evaluation. Strength Environmental Customer Acceptance Inventory & Handling Lineman Concerns. Steel. D. Wood. Intangible Decision is Steel. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Thoughts to Ponder…

Thoughts to Ponder….

Page 2: Thoughts to Ponder…

A Steel Pole Perspective

by

George Tamez, PE

Page 3: Thoughts to Ponder…

Why Steel?

Page 4: Thoughts to Ponder…

Evaluation

• Strength

• Environmental

• Customer Acceptance

• Inventory & Handling

• Lineman Concerns

Page 5: Thoughts to Ponder…

Streng

th

Enviro

nmen

tal

Custom

er

Accep

tance

Linemen

Conce

rns

Inve

ntory

& Han

dling

D

Steel

Wood

Intangible Decision is Steel

Page 6: Thoughts to Ponder…

So What is the Problem?

Page 7: Thoughts to Ponder…

NPV: Time & Money

• New Installation

• Replacement Accessible

Page 8: Thoughts to Ponder…

Steel – New Installation

1500

10 12 1520 24

29

3000

10 20 30 35 45 55 65 70

NPV s = $ 1537

112WACC= 7% Inflation= 2%

Page 9: Thoughts to Ponder…

Wood – New Installation

950

25 30

530

48 5870

36

1060

10 20 30 35 45 55 65 70

NPV w =

2100

$ 1235

WACC= 7% Inflation= 2%

Page 10: Thoughts to Ponder…

Steel – Replacement Accessible

2100

10 1220 24

29

3000

15

10 20 30 35 45 55 65 70

NPV s-r =

112

$ 2137

WACC= 7% Inflation= 2%

Page 11: Thoughts to Ponder…

Wood – Replacement Accessible

1050

25 30

530

48 5870

36

1060

10 20 30 35 45 55 65 70

NPV w-r =

2100

$ 1335

WACC= 7% Inflation= 2%

Page 12: Thoughts to Ponder…

Tangible Decision is Wood

•New Installation

(NPV s) > (NPV w) by ~ $ 300

•Replacement Accessible

(NPV s-r) > (NPV w-r) by ~ $ 800

Page 13: Thoughts to Ponder…

• 1,566 sq miles

• 7,450 OH ckt miles

• 360,000 poles

Page 14: Thoughts to Ponder…

Net Yearly InstallationsWood vs. Steel

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

Amount

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

Year

WOOD STEEL

Wood decreases by avg. of 27%

Steel increases by avg. of 46%

Page 15: Thoughts to Ponder…

What goes up must come down!

Page 16: Thoughts to Ponder…

Breakdown of Wood Installations

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

CIVIE SBDVE SIMPE

Page 17: Thoughts to Ponder…

System Improvements Contributing to Increase Use of Steel

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

CIVIE SBDVE SIMPE

Page 18: Thoughts to Ponder…

Could We Go Cold Turkey?

Page 19: Thoughts to Ponder…

Customer Commitments

Page 20: Thoughts to Ponder…

Agreements to Use Steel

• San Antonio Capital Civic Improvements • Suburban Cities

* Universal City* City of Live Oak* City of Schertz

• Military Bases* Camp Bullis/Fort Sam Houston* Brooks

• Conversion/Beautification Projects

Page 21: Thoughts to Ponder…

Where do we go from here?

Page 22: Thoughts to Ponder…

Recommendation are…

• Discontinue use of steel on system improvements,

• Continue use steel for City of SA Civics/Political,

• Continue use steel for reimbursable customer requests,

Page 23: Thoughts to Ponder…

… but depends on budget, price of steel.

Page 24: Thoughts to Ponder…

“ Tis easy to See,

hard to Forsee.”

~~Benjamin Franklin.