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Thomson Reuters LPC Middle Market Loans Conference The Middle Market Evolution Continues: Once a mystery, now the place to be May 6, 2015
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Middle Market Capital Providers: The Evolution Continues Moderator Robyn E. Roof Managing Director & Group Head KeyBanc Capital Markets, Inc. [email protected] Panelists Frederick D. Buffone Managing Director, Head of Capital Markets Fifth Street Finance [email protected] Kevin F. Burke Senior Managing Director GE Capital Markets, Inc. [email protected] Scott A. Cullerton Director KKR Capital Solutions Group [email protected] Devon M. Russell Senior Managing Director Madison Capital [email protected]
Alexandra Vidmar KeyBanc Capital Markets 216-689-3323 / [email protected]
Contacts: Robyn E. Roof KeyBanc Capital Markets 212-476-7423 / [email protected]
Meghan Curran KeyBanc Capital Markets 212-476-7465 / [email protected]
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Agenda I. Leveraged Middle Market Defined: An Arranger’s Perspective
II. Sources of Capital: Pre-Crisis & Post-Crisis
III. Evolution of Middle Market Capital Providers
IV. Why Middle Market Loans?
V. Recent Strategic Positioning
VI. Outlook for Middle Market Sources of Capital
KeyBanc Capital Markets is a trade name under which corporate and investment banking products and services of KeyCorp and its subsidiaries, KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc., Member NYSE/FINRA/SIPC, and KeyBank National Association (“KeyBank N.A.”), are marketed. Securities products and services are offered by KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc. and its licensed securities representatives, who may also be employees of KeyBank N.A.. Banking products and services are offered by KeyBank N.A..
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Leveraged Middle Market Defined: An Arranger’s Perspective
Attribute Lower Traditional Large Deal Size
EBITDA Distribution
< $100 million < $25 million Direct and / or Club
< $150 million < $50 million but > $25 million Prorata Club and Some Institutional
> $150 million > $50 million Institutional
Arrangers & Investors
U.S. Banks Finance Companies BDCs
U.S. Banks & Foreign Banks Finance Companies BDCs Middle Market CLOs
U.S. Banks & Foreign Banks Finance Companies BDCs Middle Market CLOs Broad Market CLOs Loan Funds Hedge or High Yield Funds
(1) Source: Thomson Reuters LPC which defined “Middle Market” as borrowers with sales < $500 million (2) “Traditional” includes both sponsored and non-sponsored volume for deals sized below $100 million, per Thomson Reuters LPC (3) “Large” includes both sponsored and non-sponsored volume for deals sized at or above $100 million, per Thomson Reuters LPC
Traditional Middle Market (2) Large Middle Market (3)
Volume by Market (1)
($ in billions)
$136.1
$47.6
$159.6
$0
$25
$50
$75
$100
$125
$150
$175
2007 2009 2014
$47.1$23.6
$42.4
$0
$25
$50
$75
$100
$125
$150
$175
2007 2009 2014
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Sources of Capital: Pre-Crisis & Post-Crisis
Source: Standard and Poor’s Leveraged Commentary & Data
2009 2014 2007
2014Institutional Investors 73.7%Finance Companies 11.7%
Foreign Banks 9.1%US Banks 4.4%
Securities Firms 1.1%100.0%
2009Institutional Investors 30.3%Finance Companies 34.8%
Foreign Banks 6.3%US Banks 26.0%
Securities Firms 2.6%100.0%
2007Institutional Investors 67.2%Finance Companies 13.0%
Foreign Banks 6.8%US Banks 7.4%
Securities Firms 5.6%100.0%
Institutional Investors
73.7%
Finance Companies
11.7%
Foreign Banks9.1%
US Banks 4.4%
Securities Firm1.1%
Institutional Investors
30.3%
Finance Companies
34.8%
Foreign Banks6.3%
US Banks26.0%
Securities Firms2.6%
Institutional Investors
67.2%
Finance Companies
13.0%
Foreign Banks6.8%
US Banks7.4%
Securities Firms5.6%
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Evolution of Middle Market Capital Providers
Sources: The Lead Left, Private Debt Investor Magazine, Investor Websites
Finance Companies
MM CLOs 1.0
Banks
BDCs 1.0 Hedge Funds /
Credit Op Funds Private Equity
Funds Insurance
Companies Mezzanine Funds
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Traditional BDC
Finance Company
Private Equity
Insurance Company
1998 – 2007 Private Credit Funds
2001 Acquired Heller Financial
2004 – 2008 CLO Manager (HY and Leveraged Loan Focus)
2001 - 2008 Product / Services
Expansion
2013 NasdaqGS:FSFR
(Senior) Public BDC
2007 Established Senior
Secured Loan Program
2013 – 2015 Integrated Capital
Markets & Private Credit Origination,
Mid-Market B/D JV
Evolution of Middle Market Capital Providers
2014 Senior Credit Funds,
CLOs & JVs
2008 NasdaqGS:FSC
Public BDC
2005 Acquired Antares Capital
2009 -2012 Private Credit (Mezz, Direct Lending, Spec
Sits), Private BDC
2009 – 2014 Funding Sources Expansion and
Developed Investment Management Capabilities
2008 Acquired Merrill Lynch
Capital
2015 Funding Sources &
Capabilities Expansion
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Size of Market
Favorable Pricing
Capital Structure Seniority
Lower Risk Profile
More Conservative
Structures
Less Volatility / Increased Liquidity
"Skin in the Game"
Lower Defaults / Higher
Recoveries
Shorter Duration
Diverse Investor Base
MIDDLE MARKET INCLUDES 200,000
BUSINESSES IN ALL INDUSTRY
SEGMENTS AND GEOGRAPHIES
Why Middle Market Loans?
Sources: GE Capital, Fifth Street Management, The National Center for the Middle Market – 2014 Annual Report
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New BDCs
New Direct Platforms / Participants
New JVs & Mergers
New Middle Market Funds & CLOs
(Ivy Hill)
Recent Strategic Positioning (LTM)
Note: Each category organized top down, from newest to oldest Sources: SEC filings, Thomson Reuters’ LPC Loan Connector, Standard & Poor’s Leveraged Commentary & Data (“LCD”), Bloomberg & individual investor websites
Churchill Asset Management (Apr-15)
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0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
100%
2013 Survey 2014 Survey 2015 Survey
% o
f res
pond
ents
Banks Banks - modest impact
Banks
Banks
Non-Banks
Non-Banks
Outlook for Middle Market Sources of Capital Proposed Regulation Effect on Banks Effect on CLOs Effect on BDCs
Leveraged Lending Guidance Negative Positive Positive
Basel III Negative Positive Positive
Volcker Rule Negative Negative Positive
Sources: Fifth Street Management, Thomson Reuters LPC
How will Leveraged Lending Guidance impact banks’ ability to invest in leveraged loans?
Appendix
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Evolution of Middle Market Capital Providers
:
BDC 1.0 Equus Total Return American Capital Partners MVC Capital PennantPark Floating Rate Gladstone Capital Corp MCG Capital Harris & Harris Ameritrans Capital Corp. TICC Capital Corp. Apollo Investment Corp. Ares Capital Corp. Prospect Capital Corp. NGP Capital Resources Hercules Technology Growth Capital Gladstone Investment Corp. Middle Market CLO 1.0 Jefferies Finance Company CIT Capital Source Madison Capital Heller Financial - acquired by GE FirstLight Financial - acquired by Ares Transamerica - acquired by GE Freeport Antares Capital - acquired by GE Private Equity & Asset Manager 1.0 New York Life (Madison Capital Funding) Och-Ziff, Northwestern Mutual Life & Shawmut Capital (NewStar Financial) Unitranche 1.0 Golub
BDC 1.0 Capital Southwest Corp. Kayne Anderson Energy KCAP Financial Triange Capital Corp. Saratoga Investment Corp. PennantPark Investment Corp. Blackrock Kelso Capital Corp. Main Street Capital Corp. Fifth Street Finance Corp. New Mountain Finance FS Investment Corp THL Credit Inc. Keating Capital Middle Market CLO 1.0 Golub, Jefferies & NewStar Finance Company Merrill Lynch Capital - acquired by GE Unitranche & JV 2.0 GE Capital & Allied Capital GE Capital & Ares Capital GE Capital & Mubadala JV
BDC & Unitranche 2.0 Solar Capital Ltd. Golub Capital BDC Corporate Capital Trust TPG Specialty Lending Firsthand Technology Full Circle Capital Corp. Horizon Technology Medley Capital Corp. Solar Senior Capital Ltd. Fidus Investment Corp. GSV Capital Corp. FSIC II FSEP II BDCA HMS Income Funds TCP Capital Corp. Sierra Income Fund Monroe Capital Corp. Goldman Sachs BDC Stellus Capital OFS Capital Corp. Whitehorse Finance LLC CION Investments Garrison Capital Carlyle GMS Harvest Capital Credit FSIC III Fifth Street Floating
Private Equity & Asset Manager 2.0 StonePoint (NXT) Carlyle (Churchill Financial) Blackrock & BlueMountain (Alliance Partners) Crescent Capital (Crescent Direct Lending) MassMutual / Babson (Babson Middle Market) Apollo (Madison Capital) KKR & Stone Point (KKR - Merchant Advisors) Highbridge – Middle Market fund Cyrus Capital (Stifel) AllianceBernstein (direct lending platform) (‘14) Varagon Capital Partners / AIG JV (‘14) Trinity Universal Insurance (Fifth Street) (‘14) Angelo Gordon (direct lending platform) (‘14) Voya (Solar) – direct lending fund (‘14) PIMCO (Solar) – unitranche JV (‘14) American Capital – middle market loan fund (‘14) Credit Value Partners – middle market loan fund (‘14) THL Credit (Perspecta Trust) JV (‘14) NewStar (GSO & Franklin Square) (‘14) MGG Investment Group – McCourt) (‘15) Apollo (Midcap Financial) JV (’15) Koch Industries & Eaglehill Capital (’15) TIAA-Cref (Churchill Asset Mgmt) (’15)
Cumulative # of BDCs Cumulative # of CLOs
(1) Sources: SEC filings, Thomson Reuters’ LPC Loan Connector, Standard & Poor’s Leveraged Commentary & Data (“LCD”), Bloomberg & individual investor websites (2) Table above reflects all middle market CLO managers, but a sample of select BDCs, asset manager, and private equity entrants intro the middle market
NF Investment Corp. Capitala Finance Corp. American Capital Senior Floating (‘14) CM Finance (‘14) TriplePoint Venture Growth (‘14) Alcentra Capital Corp. (‘14) TCW Direct Lending (‘14) Griffin-Benefit Street (‘14) BDCA II (‘14) NexPoint Capital (‘14) Carey Credit Income Series-15 (‘14) Carey Credit Income Series-17 (‘14) Credit Suisse Park View BDC (‘14) Champion Investments Inc. (‘14) Golub Capital Investment Corp. (‘14) Crescent Capital BDC (‘15) Freedom Capital Corp. (‘15)
Middle Market CLO 2.0 Arrowpoint, BMO, Cerberus, Fortress, Fifth Street, Garrison, Golub, Ivy Hill, Jefferies, Madison, MCF Capital, Monroe, NewStar, NXT Capital, Oak Hill, Tennenbaum & TICC Finance Company Monroe Capital – middle market loan fund NewStar – middle market loan fund NXT (Stone Point) CIT & OneWest - merger (’14) NXT Capital – middle market loan fund (’15)
913 15
1823 25
28
35
43
51
58
71 73
1 16 6 6 6 8
19
31
4853
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 YTD 5/1/15