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Concluding Regional Workshop on Methodologies to Assess Socio-economic Impacts of Natural Disasters 19-21 October 2005, Bangkok. Sri Lanka. D.M.Rupasinghe Senior Economist Central Bank of Sri Lanka. 1. The country and the economy. Land area of 65,610 sq. km. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Concluding Regional Workshop on Methodologies to Assess Socio-economic Impacts of Natural Disasters 19-21 October 2005, Bangkok.Sri Lanka. D.M.RupasingheSenior EconomistCentral Bank of Sri Lanka.
1. The country and the economy. Land area of 65,610 sq. km. Population of 19.5 million in 2004. The population density is about 310 persons per square kilometer by end of 2004.
Key social indicatorsLiteracy rate : 93 per cent Life expectancy: 73 years net primary enrolment :97 per cent Infant mortality: 11.2 per 1,000 live births-2003Maternal mortality 0.1 per 1,000 live births
HDI ranks 96th place among 177 countriesPer capita income: US dollars 1,031 in 2004. Average economic growth: around 5 per cent since 1977.
Economic Growth
First half of 2005: 5.1 per centExpected growth in 2005: 5.3 per cent. First quarter 2005: 4.4 per centSecond quarter 2005 6 per cent
Sheet1
Table 1
Hydro-Meteorological Disasters
(Type of disaster and Occurence )
Type of DisasterOccurence
FloodsAnnually
DroughtsAnnually
LandslidesCommon with intense rainfall
Cyclones2003 May causing severe floods
TsunamisFor the first time in Sri Lanka
on 26 December 2004
EarthquakesOnly tremors of very small magnitude
VolcanoesPrehistoric
TornadosNever
Sheet2
Table 2
Natural Disasters in Sri Lanka - 1993 to 2004
YearNo. ofDamagedNo. of AffectedExpendiiture
DeathsHousesFamiliesfor Disasters
19933642,468237,73743,726,604
19941852,927357,33340,156,807
1995111,70791,92155,288,253
1996139,343216,208452,002,869
1997193,608466,153318,089,287
199857,93738,002106,665,779
199993,803167,416145,994,839
20001586,845257,68265,398,998
2001611,445458,008506,214,166
200225,11220,20128,389,474
200325437,227140,3101,740,153,392
20043172362,400257,625
Source: Dept. of Social Services
Sheet3
Annex 1
Table 3
Investment Needs for the Post-Tsunami Reconstruction Strategy
Table 1: Gross National Product at Constant (1996) Prices
Programme/ProjectRequiredValue (Rs. Mn.)Share of GDP (%)
Investment (US$ mn)2003(a)2004(b)2003(a)2004(b)
Road Development353Agriculture176,45017518219.017.9
Rail Transport313Agriculture137,150135,29714.713.8
Telecommunication18Forestry16,88717,1071.81.7
Water Supply and Sanitation205Fishing22,41222,7792.42.3
Electricity115
Ports22Industry Sector246,417259,25626.526.5
Education170Minning & Quarrying15,69916,9461.71.7
Health100Manufacturing151,951159,69616.316.3
Housing and Urban Development400Construction64,11568,3326.97.0
Fisheries200Electricity, gas and water14,65114,2821.61.5
Livelihood and Micro Financing157
Tourism58Services Sector507,191545,48754.555.7
Environment30Transport, storage and communication125,538142,67913.514.6
Culture and Religion13Wholesale and Retail Trade and Hotels and Restaurants206,507218,92422.222.3
Agriculture10Financial services, Real Estate and Business Services108,578114,71711.711.7
Total2,164Public Administration, Other Government Services and
Defence and other Community, Social and
Personal Services66,56869,1667.27.1
Gross Domestic Product (GDP)930,057979,925100.0100.0
Net Factor Income from Abroad-9,468-11,300
Gross National Product (GNP)920,588968,625
Source: Central Bank of Sri Lanka
2. Introduction.
Sheet1
Table 2
Hydro-Meteorological Disasters
(Type of disaster and Occurence )
Type of DisasterOccurence
FloodsAnnually
DroughtsAnnually
LandslidesCommon with intense rainfall
Cyclones2003 May causing severe floods
TsunamisFor the first time in Sri Lanka
on 26 December 2004
EarthquakesOnly tremors of very small magnitude
VolcanoesPrehistoric
TornadosNever
Sheet2
Table 2
Natural Disasters in Sri Lanka - 1993 to 2004
YearNo. ofDamagedNo. of AffectedExpendiiture
DeathsHousesFamiliesfor Disasters
19933642,468237,73743,726,604
19941852,927357,33340,156,807
1995111,70791,92155,288,253
1996139,343216,208452,002,869
1997193,608466,153318,089,287
199857,93738,002106,665,779
199993,803167,416145,994,839
20001586,845257,68265,398,998
2001611,445458,008506,214,166
200225,11220,20128,389,474
200325437,227140,3101,740,153,392
20043172362,400257,625
Source: Dept. of Social Services
Sheet3
Annex 1
Table 3
Investment Needs for the Post-Tsunami Reconstruction StrategyGross National Product at Constant (1996) Prices
Programme/ProjectRequiredValue (Rs. Mn.)Share of GDP (%)
Investment (US$ mn)2003(a)2004(b)2003(a)2004(b)
Road Development353Agriculture176,45017518219.017.9
Rail Transport313Agriculture137,150135,29714.713.8
Telecommunication18Forestry16,88717,1071.81.7
Water Supply and Sanitation205Fishing22,41222,7792.42.3
Electricity115
Ports22Industry Sector246,417259,25626.526.5
Education170Minning & Quarrying15,69916,9461.71.7
Health100Manufacturing151,951159,69616.316.3
Housing and Urban Development400Construction64,11568,3326.97.0
Fisheries200Electricity, gas and water14,65114,2821.61.5
Livelihood and Micro Financing157
Tourism58Services Sector507,191545,48754.555.7
Environment30Transport, storage and communication125,538142,67913.514.6
Culture and Religion13Wholesale and Retail Trade and Hotels and Restaurants206,507218,92422.222.3
Agriculture10Financil services, Real Estate and Business Services108,578114,71711.711.7
Total2,164Public Administration, Other Government Services and
Devence and other Community, Social and
Personal Services66,56869,1667.27.1
Gross Domestic Product (GDP)930,057979,925100.0100.0
Net Factor Income from Abroad-9,468-11,300
Gross National Product (GNP)920,588968,625
Source: Central Bank of Sri Lanka
Sheet1
Table 1
Hydro-Meteorological Disasters
(Type of disaster and Occurence )
Type of DisasterOccurence
FloodsAnnually
DroughtsAnnually
LandslidesCommon with intense rainfall
Cyclones2003 May causing severe floods
TsunamisFor the first time in Sri Lanka
on 26 December 2004
EarthquakesOnly tremors of very small magnitude
VolcanoesPrehistoric
TornadosNever
Sheet2
Table 3
Natural Disasters in Sri Lanka - 1993 to 2004
YearNo. ofDamagedNo. of AffectedExpendiiture
DeathsHousesFamiliesfor Disasters
19933642,468237,73743,726,604
19941852,927357,33340,156,807
1995111,70791,92155,288,253
1996139,343216,208452,002,869
1997193,608466,153318,089,287
199857,93738,002106,665,779
199993,803167,416145,994,839
20001586,845257,68265,398,998
2001611,445458,008506,214,166
200225,11220,20128,389,474
200325437,227140,3101,740,153,392
20043172362,400257,625
Source: Dept. of Social Services
Sheet3
Annex 1
Table 3
Investment Needs for the Post-Tsunami Reconstruction StrategyGross National Product at Constant (1996) Prices
Programme/ProjectRequiredValue (Rs. Mn.)Share of GDP (%)
Investment (US$ mn)2003(a)2004(b)2003(a)2004(b)
Road Development353Agriculture176,45017518219.017.9
Rail Transport313Agriculture137,150135,29714.713.8
Telecommunication18Forestry16,88717,1071.81.7
Water Supply and Sanitation205Fishing22,41222,7792.42.3
Electricity115
Ports22Industry Sector246,417259,25626.526.5
Education170Minning & Quarrying15,69916,9461.71.7
Health100Manufacturing151,951159,69616.316.3
Housing and Urban Development400Construction64,11568,3326.97.0
Fisheries200Electricity, gas and water14,65114,2821.61.5
Livelihood and Micro Financing157
Tourism58Services Sector507,191545,48754.555.7
Environment30Transport, storage and communication125,538142,67913.514.6
Culture and Religion13Wholesale and Retail Trade and Hotels and Restaurants206,507218,92422.222.3
Agriculture10Financil services, Real Estate and Business Services108,578114,71711.711.7
Total2,164Public Administration, Other Government Services and
Devence and other Community, Social and
Personal Services66,56869,1667.27.1
Gross Domestic Product (GDP)930,057979,925100.0100.0
Net Factor Income from Abroad-9,468-11,300
Gross National Product (GNP)920,588968,625
Source: Central Bank of Sri Lanka
The tsunami on 26 December 2004. The death toll was over 38,000 persons, second highest after Indonesia. 21,441 people injured Over 5000 are reported missing Nearly one million have been displaced.
In terms of total value of damage
The third most affected country (US dollars 1,454 million).
In term of GDP
Second highest damage (7.6 per cent).
Required financial assistanceThe total cost of required relief, rehabilitation and reconstruction is estimated to be around US dollars 2 billion for a period of 3-5 years.
Sheet1
Table 1
Hydro-Meteorological Disasters
(Type of disaster and Occurence )
Type of DisasterOccurence
FloodsAnnually
DroughtsAnnually
LandslidesCommon with intense rainfall
Cyclones2003 May causing severe floods
TsunamisFor the first time in Sri Lanka
on 26 December 2004
EarthquakesOnly tremors of very small magnitude
VolcanoesPrehistoric
TornadosNever
Sheet2
Table 2
Natural Disasters in Sri Lanka - 1993 to 2004
YearNo. o