Sri Lanka. D.M.Rupasinghe Senior Economist Central Bank of Sri Lanka

Concluding Regional Workshop on Methodologies to Assess Socio-economic Impacts of Natural Disasters 19-21 October 2005, Bangkok.Sri Lanka. D.M.RupasingheSenior EconomistCentral Bank of Sri Lanka.

1. The country and the economy. Land area of 65,610 sq. km. Population of 19.5 million in 2004. The population density is about 310 persons per square kilometer by end of 2004.

Key social indicatorsLiteracy rate : 93 per cent Life expectancy: 73 years net primary enrolment :97 per cent Infant mortality: 11.2 per 1,000 live births-2003Maternal mortality 0.1 per 1,000 live births

HDI ranks 96th place among 177 countriesPer capita income: US dollars 1,031 in 2004. Average economic growth: around 5 per cent since 1977.

Economic Growth

First half of 2005: 5.1 per centExpected growth in 2005: 5.3 per cent. First quarter 2005: 4.4 per centSecond quarter 2005 6 per cent

Sheet1

Table 1

Hydro-Meteorological Disasters

(Type of disaster and Occurence )

Type of DisasterOccurence

FloodsAnnually

DroughtsAnnually

LandslidesCommon with intense rainfall

Cyclones2003 May causing severe floods

TsunamisFor the first time in Sri Lanka

on 26 December 2004

EarthquakesOnly tremors of very small magnitude

VolcanoesPrehistoric

TornadosNever

Sheet2

Table 2

Natural Disasters in Sri Lanka - 1993 to 2004

YearNo. ofDamagedNo. of AffectedExpendiiture

DeathsHousesFamiliesfor Disasters

19933642,468237,73743,726,604

19941852,927357,33340,156,807

1995111,70791,92155,288,253

1996139,343216,208452,002,869

1997193,608466,153318,089,287

199857,93738,002106,665,779

199993,803167,416145,994,839

20001586,845257,68265,398,998

2001611,445458,008506,214,166

200225,11220,20128,389,474

200325437,227140,3101,740,153,392

20043172362,400257,625

Source: Dept. of Social Services

Sheet3

Annex 1

Table 3

Investment Needs for the Post-Tsunami Reconstruction Strategy

Table 1: Gross National Product at Constant (1996) Prices

Programme/ProjectRequiredValue (Rs. Mn.)Share of GDP (%)

Investment (US$ mn)2003(a)2004(b)2003(a)2004(b)

Road Development353Agriculture176,45017518219.017.9

Rail Transport313Agriculture137,150135,29714.713.8

Telecommunication18Forestry16,88717,1071.81.7

Water Supply and Sanitation205Fishing22,41222,7792.42.3

Electricity115

Ports22Industry Sector246,417259,25626.526.5

Education170Minning & Quarrying15,69916,9461.71.7

Health100Manufacturing151,951159,69616.316.3

Housing and Urban Development400Construction64,11568,3326.97.0

Fisheries200Electricity, gas and water14,65114,2821.61.5

Livelihood and Micro Financing157

Tourism58Services Sector507,191545,48754.555.7

Environment30Transport, storage and communication125,538142,67913.514.6

Culture and Religion13Wholesale and Retail Trade and Hotels and Restaurants206,507218,92422.222.3

Agriculture10Financial services, Real Estate and Business Services108,578114,71711.711.7

Total2,164Public Administration, Other Government Services and

Defence and other Community, Social and

Personal Services66,56869,1667.27.1

Gross Domestic Product (GDP)930,057979,925100.0100.0

Net Factor Income from Abroad-9,468-11,300

Gross National Product (GNP)920,588968,625

Source: Central Bank of Sri Lanka

2. Introduction.

Sheet1

Table 2

Hydro-Meteorological Disasters

(Type of disaster and Occurence )

Type of DisasterOccurence

FloodsAnnually

DroughtsAnnually

LandslidesCommon with intense rainfall

Cyclones2003 May causing severe floods

TsunamisFor the first time in Sri Lanka

on 26 December 2004

EarthquakesOnly tremors of very small magnitude

VolcanoesPrehistoric

TornadosNever

Sheet2

Table 2

Natural Disasters in Sri Lanka - 1993 to 2004

YearNo. ofDamagedNo. of AffectedExpendiiture

DeathsHousesFamiliesfor Disasters

19933642,468237,73743,726,604

19941852,927357,33340,156,807

1995111,70791,92155,288,253

1996139,343216,208452,002,869

1997193,608466,153318,089,287

199857,93738,002106,665,779

199993,803167,416145,994,839

20001586,845257,68265,398,998

2001611,445458,008506,214,166

200225,11220,20128,389,474

200325437,227140,3101,740,153,392

20043172362,400257,625

Source: Dept. of Social Services

Sheet3

Annex 1

Table 3

Investment Needs for the Post-Tsunami Reconstruction StrategyGross National Product at Constant (1996) Prices

Programme/ProjectRequiredValue (Rs. Mn.)Share of GDP (%)

Investment (US$ mn)2003(a)2004(b)2003(a)2004(b)

Road Development353Agriculture176,45017518219.017.9

Rail Transport313Agriculture137,150135,29714.713.8

Telecommunication18Forestry16,88717,1071.81.7

Water Supply and Sanitation205Fishing22,41222,7792.42.3

Electricity115

Ports22Industry Sector246,417259,25626.526.5

Education170Minning & Quarrying15,69916,9461.71.7

Health100Manufacturing151,951159,69616.316.3

Housing and Urban Development400Construction64,11568,3326.97.0

Fisheries200Electricity, gas and water14,65114,2821.61.5

Livelihood and Micro Financing157

Tourism58Services Sector507,191545,48754.555.7

Environment30Transport, storage and communication125,538142,67913.514.6

Culture and Religion13Wholesale and Retail Trade and Hotels and Restaurants206,507218,92422.222.3

Agriculture10Financil services, Real Estate and Business Services108,578114,71711.711.7

Total2,164Public Administration, Other Government Services and

Devence and other Community, Social and

Personal Services66,56869,1667.27.1

Gross Domestic Product (GDP)930,057979,925100.0100.0

Net Factor Income from Abroad-9,468-11,300

Gross National Product (GNP)920,588968,625

Source: Central Bank of Sri Lanka

Sheet1

Table 1

Hydro-Meteorological Disasters

(Type of disaster and Occurence )

Type of DisasterOccurence

FloodsAnnually

DroughtsAnnually

LandslidesCommon with intense rainfall

Cyclones2003 May causing severe floods

TsunamisFor the first time in Sri Lanka

on 26 December 2004

EarthquakesOnly tremors of very small magnitude

VolcanoesPrehistoric

TornadosNever

Sheet2

Table 3

Natural Disasters in Sri Lanka - 1993 to 2004

YearNo. ofDamagedNo. of AffectedExpendiiture

DeathsHousesFamiliesfor Disasters

19933642,468237,73743,726,604

19941852,927357,33340,156,807

1995111,70791,92155,288,253

1996139,343216,208452,002,869

1997193,608466,153318,089,287

199857,93738,002106,665,779

199993,803167,416145,994,839

20001586,845257,68265,398,998

2001611,445458,008506,214,166

200225,11220,20128,389,474

200325437,227140,3101,740,153,392

20043172362,400257,625

Source: Dept. of Social Services

Sheet3

Annex 1

Table 3

Investment Needs for the Post-Tsunami Reconstruction StrategyGross National Product at Constant (1996) Prices

Programme/ProjectRequiredValue (Rs. Mn.)Share of GDP (%)

Investment (US$ mn)2003(a)2004(b)2003(a)2004(b)

Road Development353Agriculture176,45017518219.017.9

Rail Transport313Agriculture137,150135,29714.713.8

Telecommunication18Forestry16,88717,1071.81.7

Water Supply and Sanitation205Fishing22,41222,7792.42.3

Electricity115

Ports22Industry Sector246,417259,25626.526.5

Education170Minning & Quarrying15,69916,9461.71.7

Health100Manufacturing151,951159,69616.316.3

Housing and Urban Development400Construction64,11568,3326.97.0

Fisheries200Electricity, gas and water14,65114,2821.61.5

Livelihood and Micro Financing157

Tourism58Services Sector507,191545,48754.555.7

Environment30Transport, storage and communication125,538142,67913.514.6

Culture and Religion13Wholesale and Retail Trade and Hotels and Restaurants206,507218,92422.222.3

Agriculture10Financil services, Real Estate and Business Services108,578114,71711.711.7

Total2,164Public Administration, Other Government Services and

Devence and other Community, Social and

Personal Services66,56869,1667.27.1

Gross Domestic Product (GDP)930,057979,925100.0100.0

Net Factor Income from Abroad-9,468-11,300

Gross National Product (GNP)920,588968,625

Source: Central Bank of Sri Lanka

The tsunami on 26 December 2004. The death toll was over 38,000 persons, second highest after Indonesia. 21,441 people injured Over 5000 are reported missing Nearly one million have been displaced.

In terms of total value of damage

The third most affected country (US dollars 1,454 million).

In term of GDP

Second highest damage (7.6 per cent).

Required financial assistanceThe total cost of required relief, rehabilitation and reconstruction is estimated to be around US dollars 2 billion for a period of 3-5 years.

Sheet1

Table 1

Hydro-Meteorological Disasters

(Type of disaster and Occurence )

Type of DisasterOccurence

FloodsAnnually

DroughtsAnnually

LandslidesCommon with intense rainfall

Cyclones2003 May causing severe floods

TsunamisFor the first time in Sri Lanka

on 26 December 2004

EarthquakesOnly tremors of very small magnitude

VolcanoesPrehistoric

TornadosNever

Sheet2

Table 2

Natural Disasters in Sri Lanka - 1993 to 2004

YearNo. o