Securing Florida’s Future, Together

2014 FAC Board Leadership Summit

“Take part in politics

Or

Get taken apart by it.”Former U. S. Senator

Alan Simpson

Wyoming

Words of Wisdom

Voter Registration Matrix – July 1, 2014

10,433,849 11,351,608 11,315,368 11,888,239

0

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

5,000,000

6,000,000

4,155,837

4,638,330

3,094,072

REPDEMOTH

D – 39% R – 35% O – 26%

2006 2008 2012 Today

• Gender (52/48) 53 – 45 – 2• Race (79/11/6/4) 66 – 14 – 14 – 6• Democrats

– Tallahassee, Gainesville, Palm Beach and Miami

• Republicans – Naples

• Others – Miami, Naples and Palm Beach

Voter Registration

• African American Voters (14% of Voters)• 82% Dem 3% Rep 15% NPA

• Caucasian Voters (66% of Voters)• 31% Dem 45% Rep 24% NPA

• Hispanic Voters (14% of Voters)• 38% Dem 28% Rep 34% NPA

• Others (6% of Voters)• 34% Dem 22% Rep 44% NPA

Voter Demographics

– Democratic Party• 28% African American 14% Hispanic 52% Caucasian

– Republican Party• 1.3% African American 11% Hispanic 84% Caucasian

– Other Parties• 8% African American 19% Hispanic 63% Caucasian

Voter Demographics

• Republicans 161,435 24.37%• Democrats 195,590 29.52%• Others 305,520 46.11%

• Net Change 662,545 100%

Voter Demographics 1/1/13 — 4/30/14

• New African-American voters –– Dem – 73%; NPAs – 24% and Rep – 3%

• New Caucasian voters – – Dem – 22%; NPA – 40%; Rep – 38%

• New Hispanic voters – – Dem – 39%; NPAs – 45%; Rep -- 16%

Voter Registration Trends

Counties With More “Others” than Republican

• Broward• Total – 1,104,396• Dem -- 567,854• Other -- 292,875• Rep -- 243,567

• Miami-Dade Palm Beach• Total – 1,282,119 Total – 845,034• Dem -- 551,334 Dem – 369,362• Other -- 368,048 Other -- 238,663• Rep -- 362,737 Rep -- 237,009

• Osceola• Total – 165,511• Dem -- 70,786• Other -- 52,645• Rep -- 42,080 As of May 1, 2014

Counties With More “Others” than Democrats

• Collier• Total – 179,888• Rep -- 91,364• Other -- 45,111• Dem -- 43,413

• Okaloosa• Total – 119,800• Rep -- 70,280• Other -- 25,107• Dem -- 24,413

As of May 1, 2014

House Districts With More “Other Voters” than Republican Voters

– HD 08 Tallahassee HD 43 Osceola– HD 45 Orange HD 46 Orange– HD 48 Orange HD 49 Orange– HD 61 Hillsborough HD 62 Hillsborough– HD 70 Tampa Bay HD 81 Palm Beach– HD 87 Palm Beach HD 88 Palm Beach– HD 90 Palm Beach HD 91 Palm Beach– HD 92 Broward HD 94 Broward– HD 95 Broward HD 96 Broward– HD 97 Broward HD 98 Broward– HD 99 Broward HD 100 Broward/Miami-Dade– HD 101 Broward HD 102 Broward/ Miami-Dade– HD 107 Miami-Dade HD 108 Miami-Dade– HD 109 Miami-Dade HD 113 Miami-Dade– HD 117 Miami-Dade

House Districts With More “Others” than Democrats

HD 76 Lee CountyHD 77 Lee CountyHD 106 CollierHD 116 Miami-Dade

The 2014 BallotGovernor (Scott – 48.9%)Attorney General (Bondi – 54.8%)Chief Financial Officer (Atwater – 57.3%)Agriculture Commissioner (Putnam – 55.9%)All 27 Congressional 20 State Senate Districts – Even numbered SeatsAll 120 House Districts (75R – 45D)Constitutional Amendments* 3 on ballotLocal Candidates & Issues

*Amendment 1 -- Right to Marijuana for Treatment of Certain Medical Diseases and Conditions

*Amendment 2 - Water and Land Conservation. Sponsored by Florida’s Water and Land Legacy, Inc.

*Amendment 3 – Prospective Appointment of Certain Judicial Vacancies

STATEWIDE POLL

• Second Statewide of 2014 • 806 Completed Interviews

• Margin of Error +/- 3.5%

Voters’ Concerns - Open

Chart Title

29

145

33

131 4

Jun-14

Jobs/Econ

Education

Environment

Property Taxes

Bal Budget

Health Care

Marijuana

Immigration

Voters’ Concerns - Open

Chart Title

Jobs/Econ

Education

Environm

ent

Property

Taxes

Bal Budget

Health C

are

Marij

uana

Imm

igra

tion

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35 31

17

0

4 3

11

3 3

29

14

53 3

13

14

Feb-14Jun-14

Florida Right Track/Wrong Direction

Dec-03

Oct-0

4

Jun-05

Jan-06

Sep-06

Apr-07

Feb-08

Oct-0

8

Feb-09

Aug-09

Jun-10

2nd T...

5th T

rack

Jun-11

Jan-12

12-Aug

Mar-1

3

Jan-14

15

25

35

45

55

65RightWrong

June 2014 43% Right -- 41% Wrong

Senator Re-elected Without Opposition

SD 02 Evers

SD 04 Bean

SD 08 Hukill

SD 18 Simpson

SD 26 Galvano

SD 28 Detert

SD 38 Garcia

SD 40 Diaz de la Portilla

HD 21: Perry (R) HD 29: Clelland (D)

HD 30: Castor Dental (D) HD 42: La Rosa (R)

HD 47: Stewart (D) HD 65: Zimmermann (D)

HD 68: Dudley (D) HD 69: Peters (R)

HD 84: Lee (D) HD 89: Hager (R)

HD 112: Rodriguez (D)

House Incumbent Battleground Seats - General

Open House Battleground Seats - General

HD 67: C. Latvala HD 111: Avila

Could Be House Battleground Seats - General

HD 103: M. Diaz, Jr. HD 105: Trijullo HD 114: Fresen

“Take part in politics

Or

Get taken apart by it.”Former U. S. Senator

Alan Simpson

Wyoming

Words of Wisdom