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© 2016 E3 Alliance
School Readiness
1
Made possible throughthe investment of:
2016 CENTRAL TEXAS EDUCATION PROFILE
© 2016 E3 Alliance
40%
32%
40%
48%
69%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Bastrop Caldwell Hays Travis Williamson
% o
f C
hild
Po
pu
lati
on
un
der
5 Y
ea
rs 4,849 2,425 10,884 77,695 33,390Total #
Children
Source: ACS 2014 5 year estimates, Child Care Licensing (2015) Capacity of Fully Licensed Child Care Centers
and Child Homes
Limited Childcare Available for Children Under 5
2
(4849)
(780)(4,326)
(37,465)
(23,125)
Capacity of Childcare Centers in Austin MSA as % of Population Under 5
(1,947)
© 2016 E3 Alliance
Growth in District Pre-K Enrollment Declined
Beginning in 2012
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
An
nu
al
Rate
of
Gro
wth
Annual Enrollment Growth by Year, 2005 through 2014
Central Texas Texas
Source: E3 Alliance analysis of Texas Education Agency AEIS data
3
© 2016 E3 Alliance
1 in 3 Non-low Income Children Attend Private Pre-K
18%
48%
33%
At Home/With Relative Public Pre-K Private Pre-K
4
23%
68%
9%
E3 Alliance Analysis of Ready,Set,K! weighted data, Central Texas; Prior Experience known for 95% of sample
Low Income Non-Low Income
Experience in Year Prior to Kindergarten in 2015-16
© 2016 E3 Alliance
More Low Income Children At Home in 2015-16
5
13%
75%
9%
3%
Home or w/ Relative Public Pre-K Private Pre-K Head Start
2011-12 to 2014-15 2015-16
Low Income Student Experience in Year Prior to Kindergarten
E3 Alliance Analysis of Ready,Set,K! weighted data, Central Texas; Prior Experience known for 95% of sample
23%
68%
9%
© 2016 E3 Alliance
7 in 10 Eligible Children Attend District Pre-K
Public Pre-K72%
Private Pre-K8%
Home or w/ Relative
20%
Experience in Year Prior to Kindergarten in 2015-16 for Children Eligible for Pre-K
6
E3 Alliance Analysis of Ready,Set,K! weighted data, Central Texas; Prior Experience known for 98% of sample
© 2016 E3 Alliance
Eligible White Students Enrolled in Public Pre-K
in Lowest Proportion
71%78%
54%
12%6%
23%
3% 2%
3%
14% 13%20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Black (N=230) Hispanic (N=1,623) White (N=326)
Perc
en
t o
f P
re-K
Elig
ible
Ch
ild
ren
Pre-K Enrollment, Central Texas, 2010-11 to 2015-16
Public Pre-K Private Pre-K Head Start Home or with Relative
7
E3 Alliance Analysis of Ready,Set,K! weighted data; Prior Experience known for 95% of sample
© 2016 E3 Alliance
In School Districts with Full Day Pre-K
Parents More Likely to Enroll Child in Pre-K
73%
85%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Half day Full day
Amount of Pre-K Instruction
Percent of Eligible Children Enrolled in Public Pre-K
Perc
en
t E
nro
lled
8Eligible = Low Income and/or English Language Learner
Source: E3 analysis of data from the UT Austin Education Research Center, Central Texas, 2012-13
© 2016 E3 Alliance
Students in Full Day Public Pre-K
Miss 5 Fewer Days of School on Average
154
159
130
135
140
145
150
155
160
165
170
175
Half day Full day
Amount of Pre-K Instruction
Number of Days Eligible Children Attended Public Pre-K
Nu
mb
er
of
Days i
n A
tten
dan
ce
9Eligible = Low Income and/or English Language Learner
Source: E3 analysis of data from the UT Austin Education Research Center, Central Texas, 2012-13
© 2016 E3 Alliance
Return on Investment Over Time From Enrolling each
Cohort of Children Who Are Eligible But Not Enrolled
Source: Taylor et al. (2006) Bush School of Government and Public Service Texas A&M UniversityBased on 2011-2012 E3 Analysis of ERC and K-Readiness Data
$30Million
10
© 2016 E3 Alliance
Low Ratio is <= 15 students per teacher; High Ratio is > 15 students per teacher
Source: E3 Alliance analysis of TAPR data and ESC Region 13 Pre-K Survey, CTX 2012-13
Few Students in Full Day Pre-K
with Low Student-Teacher Ratio
17%
28%
51%
5%0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Half Day, High Ratio Half Day, Low Ratio Full Day,High Ratio Full Day, Low Ratio
Perc
en
t E
nro
lled
Public Pre-K Type
Pre-K Enrollment by Amount of Instruction and Student-Teacher Ratio
11
© 2016 E3 Alliance
Ready Set K! is a Valid and Reliable Assessment
of School Readiness
• Representative of the 2008 Texas Pre-K
Guidelines
• Developmentally appropriate and measurable
• Aligned to Texas Essential Knowledge and Skills
• Multidimensional
• Validated: Predicts 3rd grade achievement
• Developed by early childhood education providers
and researchers from the University of Texas at
Austin and Texas State University
12
© 2016 E3 Alliance
Kindergarten Readiness Partners
13
© 2016 E3 Alliance
Pre-K Factors Related to Readiness
• Amount of Instruction
State pays for half day instruction in Pre-K
Some districts choose to have full day Pre-K
• Student-Teacher Ratio – based on two
factors
Class size
Number of teachers per class
14
© 2016 E3 Alliance
Assessing Kindergarten Readiness
• Six years data collection (2010-11 to 2015-16)
• 12 Central Texas School Districts, 54 schools
• 4,517 Kindergarten students
• 2% Asian
• 12% Black
• 58% Hispanic
• 26% White
• 67% Low Income
• 34% English Language Learners
• Data weighted to represent region
Ready, Set, K! participants 2010-11 to 2015-1615
© 2016 E3 Alliance
Just Over Half of Central Texas Students
Ready to Succeed in School
Ready41%
Not Ready59%
Kindergarten Readiness, Central Texas, 2015-16
Source: E3 Alliance Analysis of Ready,Set,K! weighted data16
© 2016 E3 Alliance
Kindergarten Readiness Rate Dropped in 2015-16
52% 50%54% 53% 53%
41%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16
Perc
en
tag
e o
f K
ind
erg
art
ners
Kindergarten Readiness, Central Texas
2020 School Readiness Objective for All Children = 70%
Source: E3 Alliance Analysis of Ready,Set,K! weighted data17
© 2016 E3 Alliance
Rates Similar Across Readiness Components
Source: E3 Alliance Analysis of Ready,Set,K! weighted data18
55%60%
56%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Emerging Literacy andNumeracy
Language & Communication Social Emotional
Perc
en
tag
e o
f K
ind
erg
art
ners
Readiness Component
Central Texas Children Entering Kindergarten School Ready,By Readiness Component, 2015-16
© 2016 E3 Alliance
Emerging Literacy and Numeracy Readiness Rate
Dropped in 2015-16
62% 62%
68%
62%65%
55%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16
Perc
en
tag
e o
f K
ind
erg
art
ners
Emerging Literacy and Numeracy Readiness for KindergartenCentral Texas
2020 School Readiness Objective for All Children = 70%
Source: E3 Alliance Analysis of Ready,Set,K! weighted data19
© 2016 E3 Alliance
Language & Communication Readiness Down 10 pts
64% 63%
71% 70% 71%
60%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16
Perc
en
tag
e o
f K
ind
erg
art
ners
Language & Communication Readiness for Kindergarten, Central Texas
2020 School Readiness Objective for All Children = 70%
Source: E3 Alliance Analysis of Ready,Set,K! weighted data20
© 2016 E3 Alliance
Social Emotional Readiness Rate Dropped in 2015-16
62% 62%64%
68%66%
56%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16
Perc
en
tag
e o
f K
ind
erg
art
ners
Social-Emotional Readiness for Kindergarten, Central Texas
2020 School Readiness Objective for All Children = 70%
Source: E3 Alliance Analysis of Ready,Set,K! weighted data21
© 2016 E3 Alliance
Most Averages Near ‘Ready’ Standards
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0
Behavior Regulation
Sustains Attention
Understands Feelings
Interacts & Plays
Follows Directions
Uses Language
Labels
Combines Sentences
Rhyming Words
Upper and Lower Case Letters
Letter Sounds
Child Retells Stories
Uses Letters
Counts up to 10 Items
Shapes
Sorts
Identifies Small Amounts
Recognizes Numerals
Average Score by Competency, Central Texas, 2015-16
ReadyAverage Competency Score
Source: E3 Alliance Analysis of Ready,Set,K! weighted data22
© 2016 E3 Alliance
Fewer Low Income Students Kindergarten Ready
30%
51%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Low Income Non-Low Income
Perc
en
tag
e o
f K
ind
erg
art
ners
Kindergarten Readiness, Central Texas, 2015-16
Source: E3 Alliance Analysis of Ready,Set,K! weighted data23
© 2016 E3 Alliance
Large, Consistent Gap in Readiness Rate by Income
39% 40%45% 44% 42%
30%
66%63%
68%64% 65%
51%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16
Perc
en
tag
e o
f K
ind
erg
art
ners
Read
y
Kindergarten Readiness Rate by Income Status, Central Texas
Low Income Non-Low Income
Source: E3 Alliance Analysis of Ready,Set,K! weighted data
© 2016 E3 Alliance
Largest Income Gap in Kindergarten Readiness
is in Language & Communication
47%
45%
45%
30%
65%
74%
64%
51%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Social & Emotional
Language &Communication
Emerging Literacyand Numeracy
Overall
Percent Kindergarten Ready
Non-Low Income Low Income
Kindergarten Readiness by Economic Status, Central Texas 2015-16
25
Source: E3 analysis of Ready, Set, K! data
© 2016 E3 Alliance
Readiness Rate Consistent for Low Income Students
33%29%
31%
39%
54%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Black Hispanic White
Perc
en
tag
e o
f K
ind
erg
art
ners
Kindergarten Readiness, Central Texas, 2015-16
Low Income Non-Low Income
2020 School Readiness Objective for All Children = 70%
*
*Sample too small
Source: E3 Alliance Analysis of Ready,Set,K! weighted data26
© 2015 E3 Alliance
Social Emotional Readiness Differs by Ethnicity
56%
46% 47%
64%
54%49%
56% 56%
65% 63%59%
50%
68%71%
68%
75%71%
60%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Perc
en
tag
e o
f K
ind
erg
art
ners
Social-Emotional Readiness for Kindergarten, Central Texas
Black
Hispanic
White
Source: E3 Alliance Analysis of Ready,Set,K! weighted data27
© 2015 E3 Alliance
Social Emotional Readiness Rate Drops Across
Ethnicities
54%49%
60%
50%
70%
60%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2010-11 to 2014-15 Average 2015-16
Perc
en
tag
e o
f K
ind
erg
art
ners
Social-Emotional Readiness for Kindergarten, Central Texas
Black
Hispanic
White
Source: E3 Alliance Analysis of Ready,Set,K! weighted data28
© 2016 E3 Alliance
White and Hispanic Students Show 10 Percentage
Point Drop in Social Emotional Readiness
54%
60%
70%
49% 50%
60%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Black Hispanic White
Perc
en
tag
e o
f K
ind
erg
art
ners
Social-Emotional Readiness for Kindergarten, Central Texas
2010-11 to 2014-15 Average 2015-16
Source: E3 Alliance Analysis of Ready,Set,K! weighted data29
© 2016 E3 Alliance
Children With Pre-K Have Consistently
Higher Kindergarten Readiness Rate
39% 38%42%
46%42%
28%
55% 55%58% 58%
55%
45%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Perc
en
tag
e o
f K
ind
erg
art
ners
Read
y Kindergarten Readiness by Prior Year Status, Central Texas
At Home Prior to Kindergarten Enrolled in Pre-K Program
E3 Alliance Analysis of Ready,Set,K! weighted data
PK enrollment includes Public and Private Pre-K programs
© 2016 E3 Alliance
For all Readiness Components
More Students Ready with Pre-K Experience
50%
49%
39%
28%
58%
62%
59%
45%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Social & Emotional
Language &Communication
Emerging Literacyand Numeracy
Overall
Percent Kindergarten Ready
Enrolled in Pre-K Program At Home Prior to Kindergarten
Kindergarten Readiness by Pre-K Experience, Central Texas 2015-16
31Source: E3 Alliance analysis of Ready,Set,K! data
Enrollment includes Public and Private Pre-K programs
© 2016 E3 Alliance
Kindergartners With Pre-K Experience
3 Times as Likely to Be Ready for School
1X 2X 3X 4X
Social-Emotional
Language & Communication
Emerging Literacy &Numeracy
Overall Readiness
Odds of Kindergarten Readiness
Odds of Kindergarten Readiness Based on Pre-K Enrollment Status,
Central Texas, 2010-11 to 2015-16
E3 Alliance analysis of Ready,Set,K! weighted data; odds ratios from logistic regression with Pre-K
enrollment (Public & Private), income status and gender as predictors32
© 2016 E3 Alliance
More Students with Pre-K Ready for School
18%
40%
33%
55%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Low Income Non-low Income
Perc
en
tag
e o
f K
ind
erg
art
ners
R
ead
y
Kindergarten Readiness, Central Texas, 2015-16
At Home Prior to Kindergarten
Enrolled in Pre-K Program
E3 Alliance Analysis of Ready,Set,K! weighted data
PK enrollment includes Public and Private Pre-K programs33
© 2016 E3 Alliance
Low Income Kindergartners with Pre-K Experience
Almost 3 Times as Likely To Be Ready for School
2.9
1.7
3.0
1X 2X 3X 4X
Low Income
Non-Low Income
All
Odds of Kindergarten Readiness
Odds of Kindergarten Readiness Based on Pre-K Enrollment Status
Central Texas, 2010-11 to 2014-15
E3 Alliance analysis of Ready,Set,K! weighted data; odds ratios (as relative risk) from logistic
regression by income status with Pre-K enrollment (Public & Private) and gender as predictors34
© 2016 E3 Alliance
Greater readiness than other groups, p = .002
Eligible = Low income and/or English Language Learner; Low Ratio is <=15 students/teacher
Source: E3 Alliance analysis of Central Texas Ready,Set,K! data from 2010-11 to 2014-15
Greatest Language Readiness with Full Day Pre-K and
Low Student-Teacher Ratio
61% 61% 61%
69%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Half Day, High Ratio Half Day, Low Ratio Full Day, High Ratio Full Day, Low Ratio
Avera
ge R
ead
iness P
rop
ort
ion
Public Pre-K Type
Readiness in Language and Communication for Eligible Childrenby Amount of Instruction and Student-Teacher Ratio
*
35
© 2016 E3 Alliance
Fewer Girls Ready for Kindergarten in 2015
44%
61%
37%
45%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Boys Girls
Perc
en
tag
e K
ind
erg
art
ners
Kindergarten Readiness, Central Texas
2010-11 to 2014-15 2015-16
Source: E3 Alliance Analysis of Ready,Set,K! weighted data36
© 2016 E3 Alliance
Readiness Rates for Low Income Children
Dropped in 2015-16
42%45%
48%51%
48%
33%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16
% L
ow
In
co
me K
ind
erg
art
ners
Kindergarten Readiness for Low Income Children Who Attended District Pre-K, 2010-11 to 2015-16
2020 School Readiness Objective for All Children = 70%
E3 Alliance Analysis of Ready,Set,K! weighted data37
© 2016 E3 Alliance
Kindergarten Readiness Status Strongest Predictor
1.7
2.2
5.0
1.8
2.1
4.4
1X 2X 3X 4X 5X
EnglishLanguageLearner
Non-low income
KindergartenReady
Odds of Passing 3rd Grade STAAR (Phase 1 Standard)
Math
Reading
Odds Ratios for Factors in Kindergarten that
Predict Passing STAAR in 3rd Grade, Central Texas
E3 Alliance analysis of Ready,Set,K! and data at the Education Research Center at UT Austin; odds ratios
from model with income, ELL, gender, ethnicity, Kinder ready status as predictors; Kindergarten in 2011-1238
© 2016 E3 Alliance
Kindergarten Readiness Even More Predictive of
Advanced Performance on STAAR Math
4.0
3.1
6.3
3.6
1X 2X 3X 4X 5X 6X 7X
AdvancedStandard
Passing Standard(Phase 2)
Odds of Meeting Standard on 3rd Grade STAAR if Kindergarten Ready
Math
Reading
Odd Ratios for Meeting STAAR Standard if Ready for Kindergarten, Central Texas
39E3 Alliance analysis of Ready,Set,K! and data at the Education Research Center at UT Austin; odds ratios
from model with income, ELL, gender, ethnicity, Kinder ready status as predictors; Kindergarten in 2011-12
© 2016 E3 Alliance
e3alliance.org/profile
The conclusions of this research do not necessarily reflect the opinions or official position of the
Texas Education Agency, the Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, or the State of Texas.
E3 Alliance