Upload
ei-lat
View
170
Download
4
Tags:
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
National-wide survey of political attitudes and approaches towards ongoing processes
2011, 11–22 November
Institute of Social Studies and Analysis
Georgian Development Research Institute
The Institute of Social Studies and Analysis carried out the
national-wide survey of political attitudes and approaches
towards ongoing processes in Georgia by the voting-age
population (age of 18 and more) on November 11-22, 2011.
• Approximately 3000 respondents were interviewed in 11 regions of Georgia including Tbilisi. The multi-stage cluster sampling methods model was applied. Respondents were selected in the families (households) based on random selection principles. In each region the sample unit were distributed with such proportions that the results would have been representative for each region. For the whole sample Margin of Error does not exceed 1.8% with 95% of reliability. The interviews were based on face to face method. The survey provided maximum of anonymity for the respondents.
KEY FINDIGS OF THE SURVEY
Georgian Orthodox Church
The ministry of Interior
NGOs
The Defence Ministry
The Presidential institution
Tbilisi City Hall
The Ministry of Education
The Government of Georgia
Georgian media
The Parliament of Georgia
Taxation services
Tbilisi City Assembly
Prosecutor’s office
The Ministry of Healthcare
Georgian Court
1.80
0.70
0.60
0.60
0.30
0.30
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.10
0.10
0.00
0.10
0.10
0.10
Evaluation of the activities of different institutions and structures
(means on five point scale: -2 “very negative; +2 “very posi-tive”)
PositiveNegative
Not sup-port at all37%
Not support rather than support16%
Neutral27%
More sup-port
rather than not sup-port8%
Support completely5%
Difficult to answer7%
Do you support the decision according to which the number of MPs should be increased up to 190?
Definitely
I think I will
I don’t think I will
I decided not to
Refuse to answer
I don’t know/ Haven’t decided yet
77.7
11.4
2.0
4.7
0.4
3.8
Would you participate in the forthcoming parliamentary elections in 2012?
It is acceptable to change the ruling power through the elections
It is acceptable to change the ruling power through the revolution before the elections
It is acceptable to change the ruling power through the revolution if the government falsifies the results of the
elections
I consider it currently impossible to change the lead-ership at all
Difficult to answer
75.7
3.2
3.6
12.2
5.3
Which way is acceptable for changing of ruling power?
Tota
lly s
up...
Rath
er s
upp.
..
Rath
er n
ot ..
.
Tota
lly n
ot...
Diffi
cult
to...
33.4
22.9
13.6 13.1
17.0
Chart Title
Bidzina Ivanishvili decided to enter politics, to create his political force and to participate in the 2012 parliamentary elections. Do
you support this decision?
Extr
emel
y po
s...
Mor
e po
sitiv
e...
Nei
ther
pos
iti...
Mor
e ne
gativ
e...
Extr
emly
neg
a...
Diffi
cult
to a
n...
24.122.1 21.4
10.28.3
13.9
How would you evaluate Bidzina Ivanishvili’s first steps in the politics?
A new political force will enter politics and that will change the existing situation in the country for the
better
The current situation will not change in the country after Ivanishvili’s coming into politics
After Ivanishvili’s coming into politics the existing situation in the country will be worsen
Difficult to answer
52.8
16.1
8.0
23.0
Please answer, what are your expectations with Bidzina Ivanishvili coming into politics for the future development of the country?
United National MovementBidzina Ivanishvili’s Party
Christian-Democratic MovementLabour Party
Free DemocratsRepublican PartyNew Rights Party
National ForumDemocratic Movement- United Georgia
Georgian PartyTopadze- Industrialists Save the Georgia
People’s PartyGeorgian Democratic Party
Georgian TroupeNational-Democratic Party
Conservative PartyGeorgian way
None from the listed (I would cross out ev-eryone)
I wold not participate in votingRefuse to answer
Difficult to answer
36.032.0
4.31.61.5
0.80.60.60.30.20.20.20.10.10.10.10.1
2.22.83.4
12.8
If parliamentary elections are held tomorrow, which political party would you vote for firstly?
Bidzina Ivanishvili’s Party
Christian-Democratic Movement
United National Movement
Free Democrats
Labour Party
National Forum
Republican Party
New Rights Party
Democratic Movement- United Georgia
Georgian Party
Topadze- Industrialists Save the Georgia
People’s Party
Georgian Democratic Party
Conservative Party
National-Democratic Party
Georgian Troupe
Georgian way
None from the listed (I would cross out everyone)
I wold not participate in voting
Refuse to answer
Difficult to answer
12.412.2
8.85.7
3.52.5
2.01.3
0.90.80.60.50.40.20.10.10.1
7.33.5
5.831.0
If parliamentary elections are held tomorrow which political party would you vote for secondly?
If you had a second choice which political party would you vote for?
If parliamentary elections are held tomorrow, which political party would you vote for firstly?
Bidzina Ivanishvili’s
Party
United National Movement
Christian-Democratic Movement
New Rights Party 0.3% 0.7% 0.2%
Bidzina Ivanishvili’s Party 2.4% 0.9%
Democratic Movement- United Georgia 0.8% 0.1%
United National Movement 3.3% 1.0%
National-Democratic Party 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
National Forum 1.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Free Democrats 3.3% 1.4% 0.3%
Topadze- Industrialists Save the Georgia 0.5% 0.1%
Labour Party 1.8% 0.9% 0.3%
Republican Party 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
Georgian way 0.0% 0.0%
Georgian Party 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Christian-Democratic Movement 4.3% 6.8%
Georgian Troupe 0.0% 0.1%
We-Ourselves 0.1%
People’s Party 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
None from the listed 6.7% 3.5% 0.2%
Refuse to answer 0.6% 1.8% 0.1%
Difficult to answer 7.8% 10.0% 0.9%
Ivanishvili BidzinaSaakashvili Mikheil
Alasania IrakliTargamadze Giorgi
Ugulava gigiNatelashvili Shalva
Okruashvili IrakliGilauri Nika
Usupashvili DavidBurjanadze NinoBakradze DavidShartava Kakha
Gamkrelidze DavidSanikidze Gubaz
OtherNone
Refuse to answerDifficult to answer
2.91.5
1.00.9
0.80.20.20.2
0.10.2
0.10.2
0.10.20.20.1
1.75.7
Whom do you want to see as a Prime-Minister in the country from 2013 ?
Data is calculated according to the respondents who indicated “difficult to answer” (12.8%) or re-fused to answer (3.4%) the question- “which political party would you vote for in parliamentary
elections? (totally 16.2%)
Ivanishvili Bidzina
Ugulava Gigi
Alasania ikarli
Targamadze Gioergi
Bakradze David
Other
None
Refuse to answer
Difficult to answer
3.8
0.9
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.5
0.2
1.5
8
Whom you would like to see as Georgia’s President after Michael Saakashvili resigns?
Data is calculated according to the respondents who indicated “difficult to answer” (12.8%) or re-fused to answer (3.4%) the question- “which political party would you vote for in parliamentary
elections? (totally 16.2%)
Tbilisi
Imereti
Kvemo Kartli
Kakheti
Samegrelo & Zemo svaneti
Achara
Shida Kartli
Samtskhe-Javakheti
Guria
Mtskheta-mtianeti
Racha-lechkhumi & kvemo svaneti
39.6
43.8
24.0
35.8
8.4
27.8
33.9
15.2
24.6
41.8
39.8
23.9
30.7
46.3
34.9
52.7
35.9
42.9
71.7
22.2
21.2
42.1
2.0
2.0
0.8
0.8
0.9
0.6
6.1
1.8
2.4
7.2
5.0
5.2
10.5
5.1
4.5
3.0
1.2
3.0
2.9
If parliamentary elections are held tomorrow, which political party would you vote for firstly?
(Data according to regional section)
New Rights Party Bidzina Ivanishvili’s Party United National Movement Free Democrats Labour Party
Republican Party Christian-Democratic Movement
Employed Public Sector
Employed Private Sector
Self-employed
Student / pensioner
Unemployed
21.3
37.0
41.3
37.7
36.4
52.1
28.1
27.4
32.6
29.6
1.9
3.9
4.7
4.0
4.9
3.1
4.4
3.3
3.4
2.6
12.8
12.6
11.0
12.0
14.6
3.4
4.4
3.5
If parliamentary elections are held tomorrow, which political party would you vote for firstly?
(Data according to employment section)
New Rights Party Bidzina Ivanishvili’s PartyUnited National Movement National Forum Free Democrats Labour Party Republican Party Christian-Democratic Movement None from the listed (I would cross out everyone) I wold not participate in votingRefuse to answer Difficult to answer
Which political party you would not vote at all?
Democratic Movement- United GeorgiaUnited National Movement
Labour PartyGeorgian Party
Georgian Democratic PartyBidzina Ivanishvili’s Party
Christian-Democratic MovementNew Rights Party
Georgian wayGeorgian Troupe
National-Democratic PartyFree Democrats
Topadze- Industrialists Save the GeorgiaWe-Ourselves
Conservative PartyRepublican Party
People’s PartyNational Forum
Levan GachechiladzeNone from the listed
There is no such party Difficult to answer
16.513.6
11.32.72.62.32.11.81.71.51.21.00.80.80.70.60.60.40.2
2.09.8
25.9
Bidzina Ivanishvili already named political partners with whom he would actively cooperate: Free Democrats (Irakli Alasania) and
Republican Party (Davit Usufashvili). In your opinion how justified is his choice?
Fully justy-fied 11%
More justyfied than un-justyfied
28%
More un-justyfied
than justy-fied 20%
Fully unjustyfied11%
Difficult to answer
31%
Chart Title
If the elections are held fairly, will Bidzina Ivanishvili’s political force have enough recourses to compete with:
United National Movement
Other opposition parties
60.6
70.4
25.1
14.7
14.3
14.9
YesNoDifficult to answer
Yes59.1%
No15.4%
Difficult to answer25.6%
Do you think that the parliamentary elections planed for October 2012 will be held fairly?
Ruling power
43%
The
opposition38%
None of them2%
Difficult to answer17%
Who will have most support of the population in upcoming parliamentary elections – more ruling power, or more op-
position?
United National MovementBidzina Ivanishvili’s Party
Christian-Democratic MovementFree Democrats
Labour PartyRepublican PartyNew Rights Party
National ForumDemocratic Movement- United Georgia
Georgian PartyTopadze- Industrialists Save the Georgia
People’s PartyConservative Party
Georgian TroupeNational-Democratic PartyGeorgian Democratic Party
We-OurselvesGeorgian way
Refuse to answerDifficult to answer
26.021.4
14.77.9
4.43.6
2.41.8
1.31.2
0.80.70.50.40.30.30.20.1
1.410.7
Which political force will overcome the 5% barrier in the forthcoming parliamentary elections?
Positively
More positively than negatively
Neither positively nor negatively
More negatively than positively
Negatively
Difficult to answer
Refuse to answer
22.1
16.9
18.2
9.7
26.1
1.3
5.7
How would you evaluate the possibility of Michael Saakashvili staying in power after his Presidential term would expire in 2013?
Ivanishvili BidzinaSaakashvili Michael
Alasania IrakliTargamadze Giorgi
Ugulava GigiNatelashvili Shalva
Okruashvili IrakliGilauri Nika
Usupashvili DavidBurjanadze NinoBakradze DavidShartava Kakha
Gamkrelidze DavidSanikidze GubazDzidziguri Zviad
Gachechiladze LevanOthernone
Refuse to answerDifficult to answer
26.124.2
7.86.8
6.41.61.61.4
1.110.90.80.60.60.4
0.10.9
0.53.4
13.8
Whom would you want to be a Prime-Minister of Georgia from 2013?
Ivanishvili BidzinaUgulava Gigi
Alasania IrakliTargamadze Giorgi
Bakradze DavidNatelashvili ShalvaGamkrelidze David
Okruashvili IrakliUsupashvili David
Burjanadze NinoSanikidze GubazShartava Kakha
Gachechiladze LevanDzidziguri Zviad
Othernone
Refuse to answerDifficult to answer
31.812.7
9.37.1
2.31.5
10.90.90.80.60.5
0.20.1
1.40.9
3.923.9
Whom would you like to be Georgia’s President after Michael Saakashvili resigns?
UnemploymentLost teritories
PovertyProduct price increase
High prices for healthcareHigh utility prices
Low pentionsHigh prices for medication
Cutting contacts with russiaExpanssive transportation fares
Bank lawn burdenAbuse of fundamental human rights
Unavailability of fair and independent trialHard conditions for inmates
Environmental problemsElite corruption
Overcoming fear in the societyNo prospects for integrating into NATO or EU
Pressure on mediaOne party governance in the country
Poor conditions of the roadsUnsecured safety of the country
OtherDifficult to answer
19.113.4
10.29.9
8.17.5
6.45.2
3.63.3
2.11.71.6
1.11
0.80.80.80.80.80.7
0.50.3
0.1
Solution of which problems should be pripority for a political party or a politician today?
Fully possible
16%
More possible rather
than not
possible 29%
Rather not
possible than
possible 21%
Fully im-
possi-ble
24%
Difficult to answer10%
In case of staying in power, how it would be possible that the ruling party would solve problems mentioned by you?
Fully possible
26%
Rather possible than not possible 31%
Rather not pos-
sible than
possible 14%
Fully impos-sible6%
Difficult to answer23%
In case of coming into power how it would be possible that Bidz-ina Ivanishvili’s party would solve the problems mentioned by
you?
Bidzina Ivanishvili's partyUnited National Movement
Christian-Democtatic Movement Our Georgia- Free Democrats
Republican Party National Forum
Industrialists Save Georgia People’s Party Labour’s Party
New Rights Par ty Conservative Party
Georgian Troupe We- Ourselves
For United Georgia Whites Party
National-Democratic Party Georgia’s Way
Georgian Democratic Party United Georgia
0.700.30
0.240.16
0.070.15
0.320.360.37
0.410.43
0.530.64
0.680.730.730.74
0.781.02
Do you have positive or negative attitudes towards to each political party?
(means on five point scale: -2 “very negative”, +2 “very positive”)
PositiveNegative
Shalva Natelashvili
Irakli Alasania
Photo reporters
Vakhtang Maisaia
Bizina Ivanishvili
Irakli Okruashvili
Kakha Bendukidze
Erosi Kitsmarishvili
Zurab Nogaideli
Nino Burjanadze
0.95
0.84
0.81
0.65
0.62
0.25
0.18
0.06
0.22
0.23
How fair are allegations of being Russian agent towards the persons listed below ?
(means on four point scale: below zero “totally fair”, above zero “totally
unfair”)
Unfair
Fair
Adj
ara
tele
visi
on
Imed
i
Kavk
asia
I Cha
nnel
II ch
anne
l
Firs
t Cau
casi
an
Mae
stro
Real
TV
Rust
avi 2
1.29
2.37 2.00 1.67 1.44 1.742.16
1.512.45
65.2
14.3
39.9 41.3
72.1 80.5
47.167.2
13.7
how often do you use news programs on various TV channels? (means on three point scale: 1- “rarely”, 2 – “More or less of-
ten”, 3 – “very often”)
Mean Do not watch, percentage %Tbilisi
Rustavi 2
Maestro
Imedi
Kavkasia
I Channel
First C
aucasia
n
Adjara televisio
n
Real TV
Patriarch
ate TV
II Channel
Trust
neither o
f them
Difficu
lt to answ
er0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
18.3
14.912.7
8.9
3.01.4 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1
27.5
12.2
Which TV channel do you trust mostly??
Tbilisi
Thank you
for your attention