Sampling Methods and Estimators_9703

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    Sampling Methods and Estimators

    PS II

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    Probability Sampling Methods Simple Random Sampling

    Stratified Random Sampling

    Cluster Sampling

    Systematic Sampling

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    Stratified Random Sampling Population is divided into Hstrata

    A SRS of size nh

    is drawn from each stratum h

    n =nh is used to develop estimates of populationparameters

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    Why Stratified Random Sampling? Leads to more precise estimates of mean when

    the population within each strata is relatively homogenous butconsiderable variation exists across strata

    Useful when estimates are re uired for sub o ulations

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    Sample Mean for SSRS Point estimator of population mean

    H

    x W x=1h =

    / , population fraction in stratum

    Sample mean in stratum

    h h

    h

    W N N h

    x h

    =

    =

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    Sample Variance for SSRS

    2 2 2

    1

    1

    ( ), (1 / )(1 )1st

    Hh

    st x h h hh h

    n

    Var x W n N =

    =

    2 2 2

    1

    (1 / )(1 )st

    Hh

    x h h h

    h h

    ns W n s

    N==

    s ma e ar ance

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    Sample Population for SSRS Point estimator of population total

    stX N x=

    Estimated variance of the point estimator of population total

    2 2 2

    stx xs N s=

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    Allocation Methods in SSRS If availability of resources dictate that only a sample of size n

    could be drawn, then how to allocate n to each stratum?

    Equal Allocation

    Proportional Allocation

    O timal Allocation

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    Proportional Allocation The sample size in each stratum is proportional to the total

    number of elements in the stratum.

    hh h

    Nn nW n= =

    Sample size for stratum

    Total sample

    Population units in stratum

    Total Population

    h

    h

    n h

    n

    N h

    N

    =

    =

    =

    =

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    Allocation Methods in SSRS Optimal Allocation (Neyman Allocation)

    Choose n1, n

    2,,n

    hto minimize Var ( ) subject to the

    condition that:stx

    H

    The allocation that satisfies the condition above is:

    1h

    h

    n n=

    =

    1

    h hh H

    h h

    h

    W

    n nW

    =

    =

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    Allocation Methods in SSRS Optimal Allocation

    The sample size in each stratum be proportional to the product

    of the number of population elements in stratum and the

    standard deviation of the characteristic being measured in the

    stratum. Typically, the population standard deviation for individual strata

    is unknown so the practical utility of optimal allocation is

    limited

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    Allocation Methods in SSRS Stratified random sampling with proportional allocation gives

    a smaller variance in the mean estimate than SRS. It can be

    shown that:

    21H

    =

    1

    sp h h

    hn =

    Sample mean under SRS

    Sample mean under stratified proportional allocation

    /Population mean in stratum

    Overall population mean

    sp

    h h

    h

    x

    x

    W N Nh

    =

    =

    =

    =

    =

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    Cluster Sampling Divide the population into clusters and sample all the units

    from a set of randomly selected clusters

    Works well when clusters are heterogeneous

    Each cluster is a small-scale version of the entire population

    Feasibility and Economy

    Sampling in large populations

    Single-stage and Multi-stage cluster sampling

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    Systematic Sampling Conceptually similar to simple random sampling

    Easier to take the sample than SRS Procedure

    Randomly order the population units

    a cu a e e samp e n erva n

    Randomly start with a kth element (1k I) from the firstinterval and pick every Ith element that follows in the frame