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RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & DATA ANALYTICS MAY 22, 2018 ACTUARIES’ CLUB OF HARTFORD & SPRINGFIELD AMANDA HUG, FSA, MAAA Actuary, MassMutual FELIX OKWANING, FSA, MAAA, EA, FCA VP & Consulting Actuary, Prudential ANDREW PORTER Director of Behavioral Finance, Merrill Lynch

RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & … · RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & DATA ANALYTICS MAY 22, 2018 ACTUARIES’ CLUB OF HARTFORD & SPRINGFIELD

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Page 1: RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & … · RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & DATA ANALYTICS MAY 22, 2018 ACTUARIES’ CLUB OF HARTFORD & SPRINGFIELD

RETIREMENT PLANS:

LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS

& DATA ANALYTICS

MAY 22, 2018 ACTUARIES’ CLUB OF HARTFORD & SPRINGFIELD

AMANDA HUG, FSA, MAAA

Actuary, MassMutual

FELIX OKWANING, FSA, MAAA, EA, FCA

VP & Consulting Actuary, Prudential

ANDREW PORTER

Director of Behavioral Finance, Merrill Lynch

Page 2: RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & … · RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & DATA ANALYTICS MAY 22, 2018 ACTUARIES’ CLUB OF HARTFORD & SPRINGFIELD

AGENDA

01

02

03

04

BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS BASICS & INSIGHTS

Amanda Hug

BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS APPLICATIONS

Andrew Porter

DATA ANALYTICS

Felix Okwaning

Page 3: RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & … · RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & DATA ANALYTICS MAY 22, 2018 ACTUARIES’ CLUB OF HARTFORD & SPRINGFIELD

WHAT IS BEHAVIORAL

ECONOMICS?

ECONOMICS PSYCHOLOGY

Page 4: RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & … · RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & DATA ANALYTICS MAY 22, 2018 ACTUARIES’ CLUB OF HARTFORD & SPRINGFIELD

WHY THIS TOPIC?

Page 5: RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & … · RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & DATA ANALYTICS MAY 22, 2018 ACTUARIES’ CLUB OF HARTFORD & SPRINGFIELD

“ECONS” Have the intelligence of Albert Einstein

Have an endless memory bank

Exhibit constant self-control

“HUMANS” Have trouble calculating the restaurant tip

Forget their anniversary

Gouge themselves at the all-you-can-eat buffet

Page 6: RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & … · RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & DATA ANALYTICS MAY 22, 2018 ACTUARIES’ CLUB OF HARTFORD & SPRINGFIELD

SYSTEMATIC BIASES

Page 7: RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & … · RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & DATA ANALYTICS MAY 22, 2018 ACTUARIES’ CLUB OF HARTFORD & SPRINGFIELD

ANCHORING

HOW LONG IS THE

MISSISSIPPI RIVER? “ “

RETIREMENT APPLICATION

WHEN SUGGESTING DEFERRAL RATES,

SUGGEST 5, 7, & 9% INSTEAD OF 3, 5, & 7%

Page 8: RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & … · RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & DATA ANALYTICS MAY 22, 2018 ACTUARIES’ CLUB OF HARTFORD & SPRINGFIELD

LOSS AVERSION

RETIREMENT APPLICATION

MITIGATE THE FEELING OF LOSS BY SHOWING

RETURNS OVER A LONGER TIME HORIZON

Page 9: RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & … · RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & DATA ANALYTICS MAY 22, 2018 ACTUARIES’ CLUB OF HARTFORD & SPRINGFIELD

INVESTOR BEHAVIOR

Source: DALBAR’s 23rd Annual Quantitative Analysis of Investor Behavior for period ended 12/30/2016

Page 10: RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & … · RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & DATA ANALYTICS MAY 22, 2018 ACTUARIES’ CLUB OF HARTFORD & SPRINGFIELD

40 YEARS IN THE S&P 500

Source: S&P 500, Yahoo Finance

Page 11: RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & … · RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & DATA ANALYTICS MAY 22, 2018 ACTUARIES’ CLUB OF HARTFORD & SPRINGFIELD

MENTAL ACCOUNTING

Page 12: RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & … · RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & DATA ANALYTICS MAY 22, 2018 ACTUARIES’ CLUB OF HARTFORD & SPRINGFIELD

MENTAL ACCOUNTING

RETIREMENT APPLICATION

EMPLOYEES ARE LESS LIKELY TO SPEND MONEY

THAT THEY HAVE EARMARKED TOWARDS RETIREMENT

Page 13: RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & … · RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & DATA ANALYTICS MAY 22, 2018 ACTUARIES’ CLUB OF HARTFORD & SPRINGFIELD

1986

2010

A DELUGE OF INFORMATION

Page 14: RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & … · RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & DATA ANALYTICS MAY 22, 2018 ACTUARIES’ CLUB OF HARTFORD & SPRINGFIELD
Page 15: RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & … · RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & DATA ANALYTICS MAY 22, 2018 ACTUARIES’ CLUB OF HARTFORD & SPRINGFIELD

A/B TESTING

A B

Page 16: RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & … · RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & DATA ANALYTICS MAY 22, 2018 ACTUARIES’ CLUB OF HARTFORD & SPRINGFIELD

FOLLOWING INSIGHTS FROM

“THE SMARTER SCREEN”

BY SHLOMO BENARTZI

Page 17: RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & … · RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & DATA ANALYTICS MAY 22, 2018 ACTUARIES’ CLUB OF HARTFORD & SPRINGFIELD

INSIGHT 1:

BEAUTY

MATTERS

$162

$327

Page 18: RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & … · RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & DATA ANALYTICS MAY 22, 2018 ACTUARIES’ CLUB OF HARTFORD & SPRINGFIELD

INSIGHT 2:

POSITION

MATTERS

Page 19: RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & … · RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & DATA ANALYTICS MAY 22, 2018 ACTUARIES’ CLUB OF HARTFORD & SPRINGFIELD

INSIGHT 3:

TIMING

MATTERS

Page 20: RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & … · RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & DATA ANALYTICS MAY 22, 2018 ACTUARIES’ CLUB OF HARTFORD & SPRINGFIELD
Page 21: RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & … · RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & DATA ANALYTICS MAY 22, 2018 ACTUARIES’ CLUB OF HARTFORD & SPRINGFIELD

BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS:

PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS

ANDREW PORTER

Director of Behavioral Finance, Merrill Lynch

Page 22: RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & … · RETIREMENT PLANS: LEVERAGING BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS & DATA ANALYTICS MAY 22, 2018 ACTUARIES’ CLUB OF HARTFORD & SPRINGFIELD

SAVE MORE TOMORROW™ Thaler & Benartzi, Journal of Political Economy, 2004, vol. 112

Approach employees well in advance of a pay raise

about increasing their contribution rates.

Ask in advance

Increase contribution rates in the first paycheck

after a pay raise to avoid a loss in take-home pay.

Timing Matters

Increase contribution rates with each raise until

reaching a preset maximum.

Increase over time

01

02

03

Give employees the flexibility to own the decision

and avoid feeling locked in.

Allow opt out at any time

04